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Doug Orth | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Top 200 Big Board, FFPC High-Stakes League
Preseason Matchup Analysis
8/31/17

TFC | FPPC

Remember how I said last week my overall Big Boards were not going to change significantly over the remainder of the preseason barring injuries?

Yeah, so last weekend happened. (Yet another reminder as to why it is foolish to sink more than a few dollars into this hobby until after the third full week of the preseason has finished.) Three fairly high-profile fantasy players (Spencer Ware, Julian Edelman and Cameron Meredith) going down in a matter of a few days stirs the pot for a lot of big changes on the NFL teams they play for and a slew of minor changes in the overall rankings.

For all of those unfamiliar with the Big Boards, allow me to explain the color-coding system before we start:

Red – A very difficult matchup. For lower-level players, a red matchup means they should not be used in fantasy that week. For a second- or third-tier player, drop your expectations for them at least one grade that week (i.e. from WR2 to WR3). For elite players, expect them to perform one level lower than their usual status (i.e. RB1 performs like a RB2).

Yellow – Keep expectations fairly low in this matchup. For lower-level players, a yellow matchup is a borderline start at best. For a second- or third-tier player, they can probably overcome the matchup if things fall right. For the elite players, expect slightly better than average production.

White – Basically, this matchup is one that could go either way. In some cases, I just don’t feel like I have a good feel yet for this defense. Generally speaking, these matchups are winnable matchups for all levels of players.

Green – It doesn’t get much better than this. For non-elite players, the stage is basically set for said player to exploit the matchup. For the elite player, this matchup should produce special numbers.

Success Score Index (SSI) - This score is an apples-to-oranges number I reach after meticulously grading and assigning certain weights to several unique attributes to that position that I feel are critical to fantasy success.

Note: In the final set of Big Boards over the following two weeks, I will rank 200 players and present my final rankings for kickers and defense/special teams.

Here is the scoring system that I used to rank the players in the FFPC format:

 PPR Big Board - Top 200
Rank Pos Player Tm Age SSI 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 RB1 David Johnson ARI 25 1097.5
2 WR1 Antonio Brown PIT 29 1094.4
3 RB2 Le'Veon Bell PIT 25 1088.8
4 WR2 Julio Jones ATL 28 1078.1
5 WR3 Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 24 1077.5
6 RB3 Devonta Freeman ATL 25 1076.0
7 WR4 Jordy Nelson GB 32 1061.0
8 WR5 Mike Evans TB 24 1045.6
9 RB4 Melvin Gordon LAC 24 1041.3
10 RB5 DeMarco Murray TEN 29 1040.3
11 WR6 Michael Thomas NO 23 1039.6
12 WR7 A.J. Green CIN 29 1035.6
13 RB6 Jay Ajayi MIA 24 1033.0
14 TE1 Rob Gronkowski NE 28 1031.3
15 RB7 LeSean McCoy BUF 29 1027.3
16 RB8 Todd Gurley LAR 23 1023.8
17 WR8 Doug Baldwin SEA 28 1018.3
18 RB9 Jordan Howard CHI 22 1017.0
19 WR9 Brandin Cooks NE 23 1001.0
20 RB10 Kareem Hunt KC 22 995.8
21 TE2 Jimmy Graham SEA 30 975.0
22 WR10 Dez Bryant DAL 28 973.9
23 RB11 Dalvin Cook MIN 22 973.8
24 RB12 Isaiah Crowell CLE 24 972.8
25 TE3 Travis Kelce KC 27 970.0
26 RB13 Christian McCaffrey CAR 21 966.5
27 WR11 Michael Crabtree OAK 29 966.3
28 RB14 Ezekiel Elliott DAL 22 965.8
29 WR12 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 34 965.8
30 WR13 Amari Cooper OAK 23 965.6
31 WR14 Keenan Allen LAC 25 965.5
32 RB15 Lamar Miller HOU 26 965.0
33 RB16 Leonard Fournette JAC 22 964.8
34 WR15 DeAndre Hopkins HOU 25 961.5
35 WR16 Kelvin Benjamin CAR 26 956.9
36 WR17 Demaryius Thomas DEN 29 951.3
37 TE4 Greg Olsen CAR 32 950.0
38 RB17 Ty Montgomery GB 24 949.3
39 TE5 Jordan Reed WAS 27 949.2
40 QB1 Tom Brady NE 40 941.5
41 QB2 Aaron Rodgers GB 33 941.5
42 WR18 T.Y. Hilton IND 27 940.0
43 TE6 Kyle Rudolph MIN 27 938.8
44 RB18 Carlos Hyde SF 25 936.8
45 WR19 Allen Robinson JAC 24 936.3
46 WR20 Martavis Bryant PIT 25 936.3
47 WR21 Tyreek Hill KC 23 935.0
48 RB19 Mark Ingram NO 27 931.5
49 TE7 Martellus Bennett GB 30 931.3
50 TE8 Tyler Eifert CIN 26 930.4
51 RB20 Joe Mixon CIN 21 928.8
52 RB21 Danny Woodhead BAL 32 923.3
53 RB22 Doug Martin TB 28 923.0
54 WR22 Emmanuel Sanders DEN 30 922.5
55 WR23 Stefon Diggs MIN 23 921.8
56 RB23 Ameer Abdullah DET 24 921.5
57 RB24 Marshawn Lynch OAK 31 919.0
58 WR24 Davante Adams GB 24 918.8
59 WR25 DeVante Parker MIA 24 918.8
60 WR26 Jeremy Maclin BAL 29 917.5
61 TE9 Hunter Henry LAC 22 917.5
62 WR27 Terrelle Pryor WAS 28 916.9
63 WR28 Pierre Garcon SF 31 915.4
64 WR29 Golden Tate DET 29 915.0
65 RB25 Rob Kelley WAS 24 911.5
66 WR30 Jamison Crowder WAS 24 908.9
67 RB26 Tevin Coleman ATL 24 906.0
68 RB27 Adrian Peterson NO 32 904.5
69 RB28 Bilal Powell NYJ 28 899.0
70 WR31 Willie Snead NO 24 897.5
71 WR32 Brandon Marshall NYG 33 896.6
72 QB3 Drew Brees NO 38 893.5
73 RB29 Mike Gillislee NE 26 893.0
74 RB30 Jonathan Stewart CAR 30 891.8
75 WR33 Sammy Watkins LAR 24 886.3
76 QB4 Russell Wilson SEA 28 882.5
77 RB31 Duke Johnson CLE 23 882.3
78 WR34 Alshon Jeffery PHI 27 880.4
79 RB32 Frank Gore IND 34 880.3
80 WR35 Jarvis Landry MIA 24 880.0
81 RB33 Theo Riddick DET 26 873.8
82 RB34 Darren McFadden DAL 30 866.5
83 TE10 Zach Ertz PHI 26 866.3
84 QB5 Matt Ryan ATL 32 865.5
85 RB35 Derrick Henry TEN 23 864.8
86 WR36 Adam Thielen MIN 27 863.8
87 WR37 John Brown ARI 27 861.8
88 WR38 DeSean Jackson TB 30 856.5
89 WR39 Donte Moncrief IND 24 855.0
90 RB36 C.J. Anderson DEN 26 848.3
91 WR40 Corey Coleman CLE 23 847.3
92 WR41 Randall Cobb GB 27 847.0
93 RB37 Terrance West BAL 26 846.8
94 WR42 Mike Wallace BAL 31 844.0
95 QB6 Cam Newton CAR 28 843.5
96 WR43 Chris Hogan NE 28 840.0
97 WR44 Kevin White CHI 25 840.0
98 TE11 Austin Hooper ATL 22 835.0
99 QB7 Philip Rivers LAC 35 833.5
100 WR45 Tyrell Williams LAC 25 832.5
101 TE12 Delanie Walker TEN 33 832.5
102 QB8 Jameis Winston TB 23 831.5
103 RB38 Darren Sproles PHI 34 830.5
104 WR46 Kenny Britt CLE 28 826.0
105 QB9 Dak Prescott DAL 24 825.5
106 WR47 Marvin Jones DET 27 823.1
107 WR48 Rishard Matthews TEN 27 822.5
108 TE13 Julius Thomas MIA 29 820.0
109 QB10 Kirk Cousins WAS 29 819.5
110 WR49 Cole Beasley DAL 28 819.4
111 RB39 LeGarrette Blount PHI 30 817.0
112 TE14 Jack Doyle IND 27 815.0
113 WR50 Ted Ginn Jr. NO 32 814.8
114 QB11 Marcus Mariota TEN 23 814.5
115 RB40 Jamaal Williams GB 22 812.8
116 TE15 Eric Ebron DET 24 811.3
117 RB41 Matt Forte NYJ 31 811.0
118 RB42 DeAndre Washington OAK 24 810.3
119 WR51 Robby Anderson NYJ 24 808.4
120 RB43 Rex Burkhead NE 27 808.0
121 WR52 Eric Decker TEN 30 806.3
122 RB44 James White NE 25 805.3
123 RB45 Jalen Richard OAK 23 805.3
124 RB46 Chris Thompson WAS 26 805.0
125 QB12 Matthew Stafford DET 29 804.5
126 QB13 Andrew Luck IND 27 802.5
127 QB14 Andy Dalton CIN 29 801.5
128 QB15 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 35 801.5
129 RB47 Jonathan Williams BUF 23 798.5
130 TE16 Cameron Brate TB 26 795.0
131 QB16 Derek Carr OAK 26 794.0
132 WR53 Zay Jones BUF 22 793.5
133 WR54 Sterling Shepard NYG 24 791.3
134 RB48 Jeremy Hill CIN 24 790.8
135 TE17 Evan Engram NYG 22 787.5
136 RB49 Charles Sims TB 26 781.3
137 WR55 Corey Davis TEN 22 778.8
138 QB17 Carson Palmer ARI 37 778.0
139 QB18 Eli Manning NYG 36 777.5
140 TE18 Jason Witten DAL 35 775.0
141 WR56 Cooper Kupp LAR 24 773.8
142 RB50 James Conner PIT 22 773.5
143 RB51 D'Onta Foreman HOU 21 772.5
144 RB52 C.J. Prosise SEA 23 772.3
145 WR57 Travis Benjamin LAC 27 770.6
146 RB53 Thomas Rawls SEA 24 770.5
147 RB54 Devontae Booker DEN 25 767.8
148 RB55 Alvin Kamara NO 31 767.5
149 WR58 Jordan Matthews BUF 25 767.5
150 QB19 Carson Wentz PHI 24 767.0
151 RB56 Latavius Murray MIN 27 767.0
152 RB57 Samaje Perine WAS 21 764.5
153 WR59 Kenny Golladay DET 23 764.4
154 RB58 Kyle Juszczyk SF 26 763.5
155 RB59 Tarik Cohen CHI 22 762.5
156 TE19 Zach Miller CHI 32 760.4
157 WR60 Devin Funchess CAR 23 760.0
158 RB60 Jamaal Charles DEN 30 758.0
159 RB61 Shane Vereen NYG 28 757.3
160 RB62 Jacquizz Rodgers TB 27 757.3
161 RB63 Christopher Carson SEA 22 756.3
162 TE20 Coby Fleener NO 28 753.8
163 RB64 Marlon Mack IND 21 753.5
164 RB65 Eddie Lacy SEA 27 752.0
165 TE21 Austin Seferian-Jenkins NYJ 24 751.3
166 RB66 Giovani Bernard CIN 25 751.3
167 WR61 Kenny Stills MIA 25 750.6
168 QB20 Tyrod Taylor BUF 28 750.5
169 TE22 Antonio Gates LAC 37 745.0
170 RB67 T.J. Yeldon JAC 23 743.5
171 RB68 Robert Turbin IND 27 743.0
172 RB69 Dion Lewis NE 26 740.3
173 RB70 Donnel Pumphrey PHI 22 740.0
174 RB71 Paul Perkins NYG 22 739.5
175 WR62 Brandon LaFell CIN 30 733.8
176 WR63 Breshad Perriman BAL 23 733.1
177 TE23 Dwayne Allen NE 27 732.5
178 WR64 Mohamed Sanu ATL 27 730.6
179 QB21 Sam Bradford MIN 29 730.5
180 WR65 Curtis Samuel CAR 21 727.5
181 QB22 Jay Cutler MIA 34 726.0
182 WR66 Marqise Lee JAC 25 725.0
183 RB72 Wayne Gallman NYG 22 724.3
184 RB73 De'Angelo Henderson DEN 24 724.0
185 RB74 Jerick McKinnon MIN 25 722.5
186 RB75 Wendell Smallwood PHI 23 719.8
187 WR67 Marquise Goodwin SF 26 718.8
188 WR68 Kendall Wright CHI 27 717.5
189 TE24 Erik Swoope IND 25 715.0
190 RB76 Tim Hightower SF 31 713.5
191 WR69 Josh Doctson WAS 24 713.1
192 TE25 O.J. Howard TB 22 712.5
193 WR70 Torrey Smith PHI 28 708.8
194 WR71 Nelson Agholor PHI 24 707.5
195 RB77 Matt Breida SF 22 707.3
196 TE26 Gerald Everett LAR 23 706.3
197 TE27 David Njoku CLE 21 705.0
198 WR72 Paul Richardson SEA 25 701.3
199 WR73 J.J. Nelson ARI 25 700.0
200 TE28 Vance McDonald PIT 27 700.0


Next: TFC


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.