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Inside the Matchup
Week 13
11/29/17; Updated: 12/1/17

By: Andy Swanson | Jason Katz | Nick Caron | Jake Gordon


DET @ BAL | TB @ GB | SF @ CHI | PIT @ CIN



- Green highllight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)

Redskins at Cowboys - (Katz)

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week’s win against the Giants was ugly for Kirk Cousins. Nevertheless, he got the job done both in real life and fantasy, completing 19 of 31 passes for 242 yards, two touchdowns, and one very fluky pick six. Cousins did this despite Vernon Davis not catching a single pass against a team that had been getting destroyed by tight ends. Jordan Reed will be inactive once again so do not be turned away from Davis following last week’s dud.

The Cowboys haven’t been able to do anything right since Ezekiel Elliott and Sean Lee were lost. Without Lee, this defense is one of the worst in the league so Davis can be expected to bounce back nicely. After seeing what Keenan Allen did last week, Jamison Crowder owners should be very encouraged. The Cowboys were exploited underneath (and really everywhere) by Allen while Crowder had his own fun against the Giants to the tune of 7-140-1. No one other than Crowder saw consistent targets from Cousins and although Josh Doctson is technically the number one receiver, Crowder is back to being an every week WR2 in this offense. As for Doctson, I do think the switch is going to flip on him at some point. It could be this week. It could be in three weeks. For now, he’s best treated as a touchdown dependent WR3, but his upside is as high as anyone’s.

DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.8
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13

Running Game Thoughts: It took the Redskins more than half a season, but they finally have a running game. Samaje Perine has emerged as a true workhorse and an every week starter in fantasy. Perine has posted back to back 100 yard rushing games and has a whopping 51 touches over his past two games. Everything is coming together for a monster finish for Perine. It continues this week with a favorable matchup and favorable game script against the pathetic Cowboys. The Redskins can’t afford to lose another game if they want any shot at the postseason. They already dropped their home game to the Cowboys back when the Cowboys were good. Now, the Redskins will lean on Perine to pound away at a depleted defense that will still be without Sean Lee. Fire up Perine with confidence this week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Kirk Cousins (mid-range)
RB2: Samaje Perine (high end)
WR2: Jamison Crowder (mid-range)
WR3: Josh Doctson
TE1: Vernon Davis (low end)
Bench: Byron Marshall, Ryan Grant, Jordan Reed

Passing Game Thoughts: I thought the lack of Tyron Smith was the biggest problem for the Cowboys. As it turns out, it really was Ezekiel Elliott after all – at least on offense. Dak Prescott is an elite QB1 with Zeke. Without Zeke, apparently, he is not even worth a roster spot. For the second week in a row, Prescott was pretty much the single worst relevant fantasy QB in the league. To put it bluntly, he cannot be started until he shows something again. The only thing I’ll say in his defense is that he has one of the worst group of WRs outside of Chicago. I feel like I say this every week, but I can’t stress it enough – Dez Bryant is terrible. I don’t know why he still gets the benefit of the doubt in the fantasy community at large. Bryant has not been good since 2014. The fact that Prescott has to choose between the likes of a washed Bryant, Terrance Williams, and Cole Beasley is embarrassing. Prescott looks like he is forcing throws because he is – no one is getting open.

Bryant is outside the top 75 in target separation and outside the top 60 in a whole host of other efficiency metrics. The inability of Cowboys receivers to get open is why you see Prescott do nothing in the first half before melting down in the second half. In the first half, he can get away with just throwing the ball away or checking it down to Jason Witten. In the second half, when opposing offenses have begun to break down the Cowboys defense, Prescott has no choice but to try and make something happen. This leads to him pressing and results in interceptions. Prescott had nothing to do in his first game against the Redskins as it was the Ezkeiel Elliott show. He will have to step up Thursday night. I am not willing to bank on that happening.

WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.11
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.25
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.4

Running Game Thoughts: Both Alfred Morris and Rod Smith saw nine carries last week. Smith was used as the goal line back and actually did punch one in. Neither back was a big factor in the passing game. This is a true split and although Darren McFadden’s release at least guarantees it won’t be more than that, neither Smith nor Morris have any fantasy value.

Value Meter:
WR3: Dez Bryant
Bench: All other Cowboys

Prediction: Redskins 24, Cowboys 13 ^ Top

Chiefs at Jets - (Katz)

Passing Game Thoughts: We have officially reached the point in the Chiefs tailspin where Andy Reid had to give Alex Smith a vote of confidence. “Alex is still my quarterback.” I believe you Andy…for now. Another loss or two and Reid’s hand will be forced. To put it as simply as I can, Smith just isn’t playing well. Gone is the early season QB that was willing to stretch the field and take shots deep. Smith has reverted to his old ways. Everything is safe and underneath. Adding to the issue is Reid’s lack of innovation offensively. Teams have figured out those motion plays they used early in the season and Reid hasn’t come up with anything new. How does Travis Kelce only have four targets last week in a game the Chiefs trailed wire to wire? Did Albert Wilson really need seven targets? Once again, up until very late in the game with the Chiefs needing a big play, more plays were drawn up for third string WRs and backup TEs than for Kelce or Tyreek Hill. We know how talented Kelce and Hill are. We’ve also seen Reid mismanage his stars week after week. Kelce and Hill remain must start options, but fantasy owners must understand that they are anything but safe. Hill has seven receptions in each of his last two games, which is great for PPR, but the downfield shots and the splash plays haven’t been there. The matchup this week is not foreboding. It is up to Reid and Smith to get the ball where it needs to go.

NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.7
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.19
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.11
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.9

Running Game Thoughts: No one is seriously pushing Kareem Hunt as an RB1 anymore. That doesn’t mean he shouldn’t still be an RB2. 11 carries for 17 yards is downright Paul Perkins-ian. Andy Reid’s solution to the Chiefs offensive struggles is always the same: “We need to run more.” While I agree that Hunt should carry the ball more than 11 times, the problem hasn’t been the volume, but the predictability. The Chiefs run exactly when you would expect them to, making it very easy for defenses to shut them down. The matchup has not been the problem nor has Hunt’s ability suddenly disappeared. He’s not elite, but he’s a good running back that should be performing at a higher level than he has been. Hunt still hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 3, but coming off his worst game as a pro is not the time to jump ship. If nothing else, Reid will commit to getting Hunt the ball even to his own team’s detriment. The volume is going to be there this week. Hopefully it comes with some creativity as well.

Value Meter:
RB2: Kareem Hunt (mid-range)
WR2: Tyreek Hill (low end)
TE1: Travis Kelce (high end)
Bench: Alex Smith, Albert Wilson, DeMarcus Robinson

Passing Game Thoughts: After a one week lull, Josh McCown is back! He threw for 307 yards and three touchdowns. Sure, he lost a fumble that probably cost his team the game, but his fantasy numbers were great. With the Chiefs struggling on all sides of the ball, McCown is a very streamable option this week. One man you cannot stream is Robby Anderson. That’s because he’s universally owned as an every week WR2. Anderson popped off two touchdowns last week and a season high 146 yards. His 10 targets were the second most he’s seen all season and he has now scored in five straight games. He’s the clear number one ahead of Jermaine Kearse, who also had a huge game with 105 yards and a touchdown on seven of 11 targets. Even with Kearse’s spike performance, he hadn’t done anything of note for the previous four weeks. Do not chase last week’s points with Kearse. In another universe, Austin Seferian-Jenkins has three more touchdowns this season. The man is just cursed in the end zone whether it be drops or the increasingly common “how did they overturn that?” non-touchdown. ASJ is what he is – a touchdown or bust option.

KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.18
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.24

Running Game Thoughts: Matt Forte ended up playing last week and led the team with 10 carries. He only managed 26 yards and didn’t catch a single pass. Bilal Powell and Elijah McGuire also did nothing of note. This rushing attack has become a true three man committee where none of the backs have any fantasy value. The Jets may be able to run on the Chiefs, but your guess as to which of the three will produce the most is as good as mine. Even if you were to guess right, there’s no guarantee that the production would even be worth a starting roster spot on your fantasy team. Pass on all Jets RBs this week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Josh McCown (low end)
WR2: Robby Anderson (low end)
TE1: Austin Seferian-Jenkins (low end, touchdown dependent)
Bench: Jermaine Kearse, Jets RBs

Prediction: Jets 26, Chiefs 24 ^ Top

Patriots at Bills - (Katz)

Passing Game Thoughts: Tom Brady didn’t throw the ball much last week and didn’t throw it very far (just 227 yards, his lowest total this season by far), but he threw four touchdowns, marking his third consecutive game with not just multiple touchdown passes, but at least three. Brady has thrown multiple scores in 75% of his games this season. Brady’s rapport with Brandin Cooks looks to be hitting its stride at just the right time. Cooks has caught six balls in three straight games and scored in his last two. He’s had three weeks where he was a complete dud, but otherwise has been remarkably consistent. As the season wears on, the Patriots offense seems to feature fewer and fewer players. With Chris Hogan still nursing a shoulder injury and Danny Amendola’s usage dropping significantly, the passing attack is down to just Cooks and Rob Gronkowski, who caught two touchdown passes last week and looked unstoppable with the ball in his hands. Last week was a friendly reminder that Gronk is still going to Gronk and there is nothing anyone can do about it. Brady only completed 18 passes with 11 of them going to Gronk or Cooks. Until Hogan returns, this passing attack is a three man show.

BUF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.22
BUF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.3
BUF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.22
BUF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22

Running Game Thoughts: Also shrinking in size is the Patriots rushing attack. Once a four man committee of sorts, it is now a more predictable and reliable two man show featuring Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead. Mike Gillislee has been a healthy scratch of late. James White plays, just not very much. Unfortunately for White, he just doesn’t bring enough to the table. He can catch passes, but he can’t really handle carries while Burkhead and Lewis can do both. Lewis carried the ball 15 times last week to Burkhead’s 13. More noteworthy is the deliberate effort to get the ball Burkhead in high leverage situations. Burkhead was in the game at the goal line as that appears to be his job now and after he was just short on a carry, the next play was a designed timing throw to him for the one-yard touchdown. With the Patriots scoring so many points on a weekly basis, both Lewis and Burkhead offer legitimate RB2 appeal. That’s not to say Belichick couldn’t flip the script on us at any given moment, but for now, it appears as though Lewis and Burkhead are both safe weekly options.

Value Meter:
QB1: Tom Brady (high end)
RB2: Dion Lewis, Rex Burkhead (low end)
WR1: Brandin Cooks (mid-range)
TE1: Rob Gronkowski (high end)
Bench: Chris Hogan (shoulder), Danny Amendola, James White

Passing Game Thoughts: Hey remember that time Sean McDermott thought it would be smart to bench Tyrod Taylor for Nate Peterman and Peterman was so bad that he could only make it through a half before McDermott went crawling back to Taylor like that ex-girlfriend you never should’ve broken up with? Yeah that’s a thing that really happened and it is our job to never let anyone forget it. So how did Taylor respond? With nothing but class. The man went out there and did his job, which, last week, was to go into Arrowhead as a touchdown underdog and beat the once great Chiefs. Taylor threw for 183 yards and a touchdown while adding 27 yards on the ground. Most importantly, he didn’t turn the ball over.

Taylor has always been safe with the football and his rushing prowess has helped him establish a relatively high floor. He is unlikely to post any huge weeks, but he won’t completely fail you. His leading receiver was Charles Clay last week. Clay caught all four of his targets for 60 yards. Taylor likes Clay and with Kelvin Benjamin hurt, Jordan Matthews ineffective (2-15 last week), and Zay Jones inefficient (3-33 on 10 targets), Clay will continue to be Taylor’s most trusted option. He is the only member of this passing attack other than Taylor that is worth starting. New England’s defense has come on strong after a rocky start, but they are not impenetrable and a projected significant negative game script should keep Taylor busy all afternoon.

NE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.5
NE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
NE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
NE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15

Running Game Thoughts: LeSean McCoy has not been his usual efficient self this season. What he has had plenty of, however, is volume. Shady only managed 49 yards on 22 carries last week, but he touched the ball 26 times. He would’ve posted RB1 numbers had he found a way into the end zone. Shady is a weekly top 10 option as even his down games aren’t that bad. He’s only had one game where he’s finished outside the top 24 RBs all season and when he does find himself in the end zone, his games are usually elite. McCoy can be deployed as usual this week.

Value Meter:
QB1: Tyrod Taylor (low end)
RB1: LeSean McCoy (high end)
TE1: Charles Clay (low end)
Bench: Kelvin Benjamin, Zay Jones, Jordan Matthews

Prediction: Patriots 30, Bills 20 ^ Top

Broncos at Dolphins - (Katz)

Passing Game Thoughts: Trevor Siemian. Brock Osweiler. Paxton Lynch. Trevor Siemian. Paxton Lynch. What an embarrassment. I don’t want to hear anything about John Elway’s general managing abilities. He took a super bowl caliber roster and turned it into a bottom five NFL team because he treated the QB position like it’s the most meaningless in football. Siemian is a career backup talent and the other two shouldn’t even be in the NFL. They are destroying this team and sapping the fantasy value of Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Last week, the two combined to catch eight passes for a mere 30 yards. Sanders has been held to 30 yards or fewer in five games this season and hasn’t scored since Week 2. Thomas had scored in three straight prior to last week’s dud, largely due to his rapport with Osweiler. Thomas has been the safer of the two, but hasn’t flashed any ceiling whatsoever. The matchup this week is favorable, but the QB carousel is not.

MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.15
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5

Running Game Thoughts: Somehow, the Broncos running game is worse than their passing game. Last week, the Broncos’ leading rusher was Paxton Lynch. Devontae Booker led the team in carries with six, which was one more than C.J. Anderson’s five. The two combined for 23 yards. Booker looks like he is taking control of this backfield, for whatever that is worth (answer: not much). The matchups don’t get much easier than the Raiders and the Broncos’ RBs were incapable of mustering up anything. It is exceedingly difficult to endorse starting any Broncos at this point.

Value Meter:
WR3: Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders
Bench: All other Broncos

Passing Game Thoughts: Jay Cutler has cleared the concussion protocol and will start this week…but certainly not for you. Not against the Broncos still strong pass defense, even without Aqib Talib. The only trustworthy guy on this passing attack is and always has been Jarvis Landry. Landry has at least five receptions in every game this season and although he’s posted six games under 50 receiving yards, he’s also scored six touchdowns while the reception count keeps his floor high. He will likely avoid Chris Harris, who will be tasked with shutting down DeVante Parker – not a difficult assignment. Parker is still soft and still not (read: never going to be) the guy he was supposed to be when he was drafted. Parker managed one measly catch for five yards last week, which marked the fourth consecutive week that his production has dropped. He is absolutely not a fantasy option this week. Julius Thomas has been surprisingly useful over the past couple weeks. He still has a weekly floor of nearly zero, but he’s shown enough involvement the past four weeks to at least be a consideration if you are TE desperate. Kenny Stills has been better than expected this season, but is still the third option on a weak passing offense in a bad matchup.

DEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.20
DEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.23
DEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
DEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.2

Running Game Thoughts: In the words of Jerry Seinfeld, “Love the Drake!” With Damien Williams likely done for the season with a dislocated shoulder, it’s all Kenyan Drake from here on out. With the backup being something called a Sinorise Perry, Drake will be given an opportunity to do something he’s never done in his entire football career – be a feature back. Drake had been splitting/playing second fiddle to Williams since Jay Ajayi was traded. Now, the Dolphins have no choice but to give the ball to Drake at least 15 times a game. The matchup is not easy against the Broncos, but volume is volume, especially when it’s so reliable. Drake will be involved in the passing game as well as that was previously Williams’ role despite the fact that Drake is an adept pass catcher. Drake should be able to post flex-worthy numbers on volume alone.

Value Meter:
WR2: Jarvis Landry (low end)
Flex: Kenyan Drake
Bench: Jay Cutler, DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills, Julius Thomas

Prediction: Dolphins 16, Broncos 13 ^ Top

Lions @ Ravens - (Swanson)

Passing Game Thoughts: Matthew Stafford is quietly having a solid fantasy year as the No.9 ranked QB in fantasy points per game (22.1), despite the fact that he has only one four-touchdown game on the season and just one three-touchdown performance his last five games. A big reason for his success has been the emergence of Marvin Jones outside, and the return of Golden Tate to the slot, a position in which Tate excels and Stafford relies on heavily in the offense.

Limiting mistakes is another reason why Stafford is has found success this season, as the former No.1 overall pick in the 2009 NFL draft has just six interceptions in 11 games. If you exclude the outlier three-interception game Stafford posted against the Saints Week 6, Stafford would be on pace to set career lows in turnovers this year.

In his second season with the Lions after signing a lucrative free-agent deal in 2016, Jones is coming into his own this season as the No.6 ranked WR is fantasy points per game. He trails Julio Jones for No.5 on the list by just .2 FPts/G, a pretty impressive feat considering Julio needed two touchdowns and 253 yards last week to move into the top five rankings.

The Ravens rank second behind only the Jags in allowing the fewest points to opposing wide receivers on the year, making this week’s matchup for Jones not the most attractive for fantasy owners. But I wrote last week that Jones could be limited against Xavier Rhodes and the Vikings, and Jones proceeded to go ham with six catches for 109 yards and two touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins’ seven catch, 125-yard performance against cornerback Jimmy Smith and the Ravens secondary on Monday Night Football is also a positive factor that could make Jones a top 5 WR once again this week.

Despite Baltimore's recent struggles, according to Rich Hribar of, the Ravens have allowed just two top-12 scoring weeks for opposing quarterbacks in their last 13 home games, with 11 of those QBs finishing outside of QB2 range. Stafford and the Lions skill position players in the passing game are worthy of a start, but expectations should be tempered somewhat based on Baltimore’s success defensively at home.

BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.31
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.21
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11

Running Game Thoughts: After an offseason of hype building up Ameer Abdullah as a possible breakout candidate, eleven games of the 2017 NFL season have shown that the former Nebraska Cornhusker is a touchdown-dependent player who is struggling to break arm tackles and lacks the size to be an every-down back.

It doesn’t help that the Lions boast the worst run blocking offensive line according to Detroit running backs are tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage on 31% of plays, which is a recipe for fantasy disaster for any running back, especially one like Abdullah who is well below average in terms of breaking tackles.

After a span of four games in which the defense allowed four rushing touchdowns and three 100-yard rushers, the Ravens defensive line is healthy and playing like a top 10 unit. No running back since Week 7 has rushed for more than 57 yards in a game and the Ravens have given up only one double-digit fantasy performance.

Starting any Lion running back is risky proposition as Abdullah is a touchdown-dependent back and Theo Riddick is not getting enough volume in the passing game just justify a start in standard leagues. Avoiding this backfield for the rest of the season may be the best course of action.

Value Meter:
QB1: Matthew Stafford (Low-End)
RB3: Ameer Abdullah (High-End)
WR1: Marvin Jones (Low-End)
WR2: Golden Tate (Low-End)
TE2: Eric Ebron (High-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: A home game against the Houston Texans, a team that allows the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, was without question the most attractive fantasy matchup for Joe Flacco this season. Alex Smith, Jacoby Brissett, Jared Goff, and Blaine Gabbert all delivered 20-plus point performances against Houston; not to mention the 41.6 monster game Russell Wilson dropped on the Texans Week 8.

Instead of taking advantage of a piss poor unit decimated with injuries, Flacco failed to throw for 150 yards or a touchdown and needed a season-high 42 rushing yards just to score double digits. Week 12’s pathetic game is a perfect microcosm of the 2017 Ravens passing offense, and more than enough reason to avoid all receiving skill position players on this team.

The Ravens wide receiving corps ranked 29th out of 32 teams in points scored on the season, with veteran Mike Wallace evolving into Flacco’s favorite “weapon” over the past two games with 18 targets against Green Bay and Houston. After a season-high nine targets against Tennessee Week 9, Jeremy Maclin faded into oblivion with catches for 50 yards over the past two games combined.

Neither player is a great play against a Lions defense that allows the 20th-most points to opposing quarterbacks. With a rushing touchdown allowed in each of the past six weeks, the way to beat the Lions is on the ground, and the Ravens will use a run-heavy offense in what could be a low-scoring game.

DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.17
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.4
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7

Running Game Thoughts: Alex Collins continues to be the first and second down back in a Baltimore committee that ranks 12th on the season for combined fantasy points scored by running backs. Collins rushed for 60 yards on 16 carries while scoring a rushing touchdown for the second time in two weeks. With the Lions allowing a rushing TD in each of their last six games, a third-consecutive scoring week is not out of the question for Collins.

After seeing limited volume in his first game back from a severe hamstring injury, Danny Woodhead’s usage did not increase much against the Texans last week, with Buck Allen continuing to be used as part of a three-headed monster. Woodhead’s presumed value centered on the presumption that he would become the primary passing-down back, an assumption that has yet to come to fruition.

Only four teams have allowed more points to opposing running backs this season than the Lions. Eight different running backs have topped more than ten fantasy points in 11 games, highlighted by Mark Ingram’s 27-point performance Week 6. Teams have proven that you can run against Detroit and the Raven coaching staff is not afraid to use a dull, run-heavy scheme to attack an opponent’s weakness. Collins is a solid start in this game and Woodhead is worthy of a flex play in deep leagues, while all receiving options and Joe Flacco should not be used.

Value Meter:
QB3: Joe Flacco (Low-End)
RB2: Alex Collins (High-End)
RB3: Danny Woodhead (Low-End)
WR4: Jeremy Maclin (Low-End)
WR4: Mike Wallace: (Low-End)
TE1: Ben Watson (Low- End)

Prediction: Lions 21, Ravens 17 ^ Top

Buccaneers @ Packers - (Swanson)

Passing Game Thoughts: Jameis Winston appears to be on track to make his first start since suffering an AC joint sprain Week 9 against the New Orleans Saints. Winston is slated to take the first-team reps in practice this week in preparation for the Packers, a team that allows the 16th-most points to opposing quarterbacks.

All 11 quarterbacks who have faced the Packers this season have managed to score double-digit points, including Joe Flacco, the worst quarterback in the league regarding fantasy points scored per game. Two quarterbacks have thrown for over 34 fantasy points in a game against the Packers in 2017, highlighted by Ben Roethlisberger’s 36.1 point game last week.

On paper, Winston appears to be a decent streaming option, however, the fact that he is coming off a painful shoulder injury that could limit his already suspect accuracy, and he could once against aggravate the ailment and leave owners out to dry.

Season ending knee injuries to starting center Ali Marpet and tackle Demar Dotson are also a concern for fantasy owners thinking of playing Winston. With an already subpar offensive line down two starters playing against a blitz-happy Dom Capers defense, Winston could be in for a long day.

A consensus early round pick in drafts this summer, Mike Evans has been a huge disappointment to fantasy owners. His 9.4 points per game place him 19th among wide receivers, well behind undrafted (fantasy) players like Robby Anderson and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Evans ranks tenth in targets (96), but his four touchdown receptions on the year ties him with fantasy stalwarts Josh Doctson and Cole Beasley.

The return of Winston is great news for Evans as all four of his touchdowns were thrown by the former Florida State star. If Winston can play the entire game and work past the offensive line woes, he could have a monster day. But if Ryan Fitzpatrick is once again forced to play due to another Winston injury, Evans could continue to disappoint.

Cameron Brate is another player who will greatly benefit from Winston returning to the field, as Brate’s value completely disappeared under Fitzpatrick. Brate scored a receiving touchdown in every game from Week 3 through Week 6, only to score less than five fantasy points in his last four games combined.

GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.16
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.9
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.3
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.32

Running Game Thoughts: Doug Martin suffered a concussion last week against the Falcons and has yet to be cleared in the concussion protocol, opening the door for Jacquizz Rodgers and Peyton Barber to possibly get more carries on Sunday against the Packers. Rodgers was the primary back when Martin went down, with Barber and Charles Simms working in on passing downs and change of pace runs.

Rodgers rushed for 31 yards on eight carries, while Barber managed just seven yards on five totes, but did manage to score two rushing touchdowns. If Martin is indeed ruled out for this game, Rodgers will be the back to own and play, while Barber is more of a speculative add and a boom-bust play in very deep leagues.

It is a shame for Martin owners for their starting running back to miss this game against a Green Bay team that allows the 9th-most points to opposing RBs. An opposing running back has scored a rushing touchdown in four of the last six games vs. Green Bay, and Le’Veon Bell posted 18.3 fantasy points last week on Sunday Night Football.

Value Meter:
QB2: Jameis Winston (High-End)
RB3: Jacquizz Rodgers (High-End)
WR1: Mike Evans (High-End)
WR3: DeSean Jackson: (High-End)
TE2: Cameron Brate (High-End)
TE2: O.J. Howard (Mid-Range)

Passing Game Thoughts: In one of the most surprising performances of the week, third-year quarterback Brett Hundley went toe-to-toe with Ben Roethlisberger in what turned out to be a very competitive Sunday Night Football game. Hundley threw a career-high three touchdown passes and zero interceptions for an impressive 24.9 fantasy points against one of the best passing defenses in the league. The former UCLA Bruin appears to be gaining confidence in the huddle and did not hold onto the ball as long as in previous games. He is also improving his pocket awareness by moving up in the pocket when pressured outside, instead of panicking and running for his life.

Davante Adams continues to be Hundley’s top target while Jordy Nelson withers away into the abyss. Adams posted his third consecutive double-digit game with five catches for 82 yards and a score, while Nelson managed just 11 yards on three receptions. Adams continues to be a must-start WR with touchdown upside, while all other receiving options, including Nelson, are risky plays that should be avoided.

Owners looking for a streaming option may want to consider Hundley against a Tampa Bay unit that allows the 6th-most points to opposing quarterbacks. No quarterback who played a full game against the Bucs this year failed to score at least 16 fantasy points, including Mike Glennon Week 1 and Matt Moore in just one half of play Week 11.

This could be a sneaky-high scoring game between two defenses that rank in the bottom 10 in points allowed, but risking a birth in the fantasy playoffs on starting Jameis Winston or Brett Hundley may not be for the faint of heart.

TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.29

Running Game Thoughts: With Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones out with injuries, rookie Jamaal Williams posted the best game of his young career with 135 total yards and two touchdowns against the Steelers, including an impressive 50-yard screen in the first half. His 3.2 yard per carry average is nothing to get excited about, but the volume continues to be there, and he is a threat to score as the primary back in the red zone. Williams also flashed some impressive pass-catching ability, securing eight of his 11 targets on the season for 105 yards and a score.

The Bucs are equally bad against the run and the pass, ranking in the top-ten in fantasy points allowed for both stat categories. Tevin Coleman gashed the Bucs for 19 carries for 97 yards and two scores last week, and Damien Williams of the Dolphins posted 102 total yards against the Bucs in Week 11.

If the Packers can keep the game in reach and head coach Mike McCarthy is able to stick to the run, Williams could have another big day on Sunday. But if Jameis Winston and the Tampa passing offense is able to pick apart the Packers and build a big lead, Williams’ role may be reduced to just a receiving option.

The usage of Williams may be reduced is Jones is able to return from a knee injury that forced him to miss the last few games. Jones practiced on a limited basis Thursday and looks like he could return to the field.

Value Meter:
QB2: Brett Hundley (Low-End)
RB1: Jamaal Williams (Low-End)
WR1: Davante Adams (Low-End)
WR4: Randall Cobb: (Low-End)
W4: Jordy Nelson (Low-End)

Prediction: Packers 28, Bucs 24 ^ Top

49ers @ Bears - (Swanson)

Passing Game Thoughts: An injury to rookie C.J. Beathard in the closing moments of last week’s loss to the Seahawks forced the 49er coaching staff to bring in quarterback of the future Jimmy Garoppolo. The former New England Patriot completed both of his pass attempts in the final minute of the game, including a ten-yard touchdown pass as time expired.

As expected, head coach Kyle Shanahan opted to give Garoppolo the start this week as the 49ers travel to Chicago to take on a Bears. Beathard is still banged up, and the Niners need the final five games of the season to see what they have in Garoppolo. At 1-10 on the season and a top-3 pick in the 2018 NFL draft a foregone conclusion, the 49ers need to evaluate Garoppolo to see if he is the quarterback going forward or perhaps one of the highly touted college players will be a better option.

For fantasy purposes, starting Garoppolo against a tough defense that allows the 8th-fewest points to opposing quarterbacks is not a wise play this week. Only three opposing quarterbacks have managed to throw two or more touchdowns vs. Chicago, with Drew Brees, Brett Hundley, Cam Newton, and Joe Flacco all registering games without a passing touchdown.

Although opposing quarterbacks have failed to post multi-touchdown games against Chicago, seven different wide receivers have scored double-digit games vs. the Bears, including Alshon Jeffery, Marvin Jones, and Davante Adams in the last three games. Starting a wide receiver like Marquis Goodwin this week against the Bears is a risky play. But statistically speaking, if an opposing skill position player will score a touchdown against Chicago, it is usually an outside wide receiver with speed.

CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.26
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.16
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.20

Running Game Thoughts: Carlos Hyde played in a season-high 90% of snaps last week against Seattle, rushing for a pedestrian 47 yards on 16 carries. But his usage in the passing game in four of his last five games is something that cannot be ignored, as the former Ohio State Buckeye 44 targets since Week 7, including a career-high 13 targets vs. Seattle.

Teams have found more success moving the ball on the ground than in the air this season against the Bears, making another high volume game for Hyde a strong possibility. It also would not be surprising for the 49ers to limit the number of pass attempts for Garoppolo as he is still learning the offense.

On the injury front, safety Adrian Amos and linebacker Danny Trevathan are dealing with leg injuries. Trevathan was limited in practice with a calf injury but looks to be on track to play on Sunday. With the re-signing of Chris Prosinski after Amos missed practice on Wednesday, it appears as though Amos may miss multiple weeks with a hamstring injury.

Value Meter:
QB2: Jimmy Garoppolo (Low-End)
RB1: Carlos Hyde (Low-End)
WR4: Marquise Goodwin (Low-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: A home game against a San Francisco defense that allows the second-most point to opposing quarterbacks is one of the only games this season in which Mitchell Trusbisky should garner consideration deep 12-team leagues. All 11 players who have played against the Niners this season have managed to score at least 16 fantasy points, with Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott each managing to score more than 30 points in their respective games.

After limiting his throws to less than 25 attempts in his first three games, including just seven throws in a Week 7 win over Carolina, John Fox and the Chicago coaching staff have taken off the reins on their franchise QB. Trubisky has attempted at least 30 passes in each of his last three games, completing just 58% of those throws for two touchdowns and two interceptions.

Dontrell Inman has finished as a WR3 or better in two of the team’s last three games as Trubisky’s favorite WR target. Eight wide receivers have posted double-digit performances against the Niners this season, including Sterling Shepard’s 11/132 performance two weeks ago. With Inman leading his team in target volume, you could do a lot worse than Inman this week as a No.3 WR.

The biggest concern for the owners playing skill position players in the Bears passing game is the possible negative game script created by their defense and running game. Just like the Week 7 game when the Bears upset the Panthers at home, Vic Fangio’s defense could be the best offense for Chicago on Sunday, limiting the need for Trubisky to throw the ball.

SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.13
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.12

Running Game Thoughts: Jordan Howard enters Week 13 as the No. 11 ranked running back in fantasy points per game, just behind Lamar Miller and LeSean McCoy. Although his season totals are impressive, he is a bit schizophrenic in his production and has not always taken advantage of matchups against defenses he should play well against.

For example, the Packers defense allows the 7th most points to opposing running backs this season, yet Howard managed to rush for only 54 yards on 15 carries. He followed that game up with 18.5 points against the Lions Week 11, only to score 1.9 last week against the Eagles.

Despite his roller coaster production, Howard is a must-start player this week and could be in line for his biggest game of the year. Only the Rams have allowed more points to opposing running backs in 2017, with ten RBs scoring at least 10 points in 11 games. Two of the biggest running back games of the season have been against the lowly Niners, with Todd Gurley and Ezekiel Elliott each scoring three total touchdowns and combining for 368 total yards.

Value Meter:
QB2: Mitchell Trubisky (High-End)
RB1: Jordan Howard (High-End)
WR3: Dontrelle Inman (High-End)

Prediction: 49ers 21, Bears 14 ^ Top

Steelers at Bengals - (Swanson)

Passing Game Thoughts: Ben Roethlisberger is one of the more difficult players to predict this week based on two conflicting narratives. Big Ben has been on fire over the past two games with 32 and 36 points against the Titans and Packers at home, but he has just three top-12 finishes in his last ten games against the Bengals, and he averages just over ten-fewer points on the road than at home over the past three seasons.

Will Big Ben and the Steelers offense continue their stellar play, or will Ben’s road woes and struggles against the Bengals derail the post-bye momentum built by Pittsburgh? For fantasy purposes, looking for a middle ground of the two narratives seems to be the prudent course of action. Assuming third consecutive four touchdown game may be a stretch, but a solid 250-yard, two touchdown game is not out of the question.

With five touchdowns and 315 receiving yards in his last two games, Antonio Brown jumped DeAndre Hopkins as the No. 1 fantasy wide receiver this season. Although Brown does not have a 100-yard or multi-touchdown game against the Bengals over the past three seasons, he is still an elite play this week and tends to shine on the national stage.

Rookie sensation JuJu Smith-Schuster participated fully in practice on Thursday and will play against the Bengals barring a setback. The rookie from USC kicked off a run of three consecutive games with a touchdown when the two teams met in Pittsburgh Week 7, and he will once again be a solid No.3 WR play this week.

Smith-Schuster’s return to the starting lineup is a knock on Martavis Bryant’s value. Although Bryant caught one of Big Ben’s four touchdown passes against the Titans, he is still hovering just above 13% of the team’s targets and remains a touchdown-dependent play.

CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.21

Running Game Thoughts: Le’Veon Bell enters the Monday Night game as the number two running back in total points scored and No.3 in points per game. An impressive number when you consider he has just five total touchdowns on the year and has yet to score a receiving TD. Bell is the king of volume as both a runner and receiver, leading the league in both carries (252) and receptions (61) at the running back position.

Bell torched the Bengals for 134 rushing yards and 58 receiving yards Week 5 but failed to reach the end zone in the 29-14 victory for the Steelers. Despite having great success against Cincinnati in his five-year NFL career, Bell has not scored a touchdown against the Bengals since 12/7/14.

Look for Bell to reverse his season-long and Bengal touchdown drought on Monday Night, as Bell leads the league in touches inside the red zone and inside the 10-yard line. The Bengals have been leaky against running backs as of late, with Isiah Crowell, C.J. Anderson, DeMarco Murray, Chris Ivory, and Marlon Mack all posting double-digit games against their rush defense.

Value Meter:
QB1: Ben Roethlisberger (High-End)
RB1: Le’Veon Bell (Elite)
WR1: Antonio Brown (Elite
WR3: JuJu Smith-Schuster (High-End)
WR4: Martavis Bryant (High-End)
TE2: Jesse James (Low-End)

Passing Game Thoughts: Quarterback Andy Dalton delivered a disappointing 214-yard, two-touchdown game last week at home against a sub-par Cleveland Browns secondary. Although the Bengals won the game going away, Dalton failed to live up to his previous performances against the Browns, a team in which he finished as a top 10 fantasy quarterback in each of the past four matchups.

Dalton has not had much success against the Steelers as of late, and his performances under the lights in nationally televised games is downright dreadful. The Red Rifle has thrown just 20 touchdowns in 18 primetime games while adding 15 interceptions and finishing as a QB1 in only five of those games.

Fantasy owners should consider looking elsewhere for a streaming option this week, with Case Keenum, Brett Hundley, and Blake Bortles offering much more attractive games than Andy Dalton.

On a positive note, the Steelers have been burned with big plays of over 40 yards over the past month, making a deep pass to A.J. Green a possibility. Green has struggled with five catches for 70 yards combined in his last two games against the Steelers, but he has a history of big games against Pittsburgh, including two 100-plus games in 2015.

PIT FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
PIT FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
PIT FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.26
PIT FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.30

Running Game Thoughts: Rookie Joe Mixon posted the best game of his young career with 22.5 fantasy points on 165 total yards and a rushing touchdown against Cleveland Week 12. Mixon has four double-digit fantasy points in his last five games, cementing himself as the lead running back in Cincinnati for the remainder of the season and the start of 2018.

Mixon ran well against the Steelers when the two teams faced off at Heinz Field Week 7; rushing for 48 yards on just seven carries. For some inexplicable reason, head coach Marvin Lewis continued to use Jeremy Hill in the second half of that game and failed to give Mixon touches late. With Hill on IR and Mixon receiving 20-plus carries in each of this last two games, Lewis will not likely make that same mistake twice.

But turnovers by Dalton and a negative game script by the Pittsburgh offense could negate some of Mixon’s value in this game. He is a must-start in all formats, but expectations of him posting another 22-point game need to be tempered.

Value Meter:
QB1: Andy Dalton (Low-End)
RB2: Joe Mixon (Low-End)
WR1: A.J. Green (Low-End)
WR4: Brandon LaFell (High-End)
TE2: Tyler Kroft (High-End)

Prediction: Steelers 28, Bengals 21 ^ Top

Colts @ Jaguars - (Gordon)

Passing Game Thoughts: Having the sixth lowest scoring offense in the NFL and letting your quarterback get sacked seven more times than any other team (47 to be exact) isn’t optimal for fantasy lineups. Neither is playing against the best pass defense in the league or against the team with the most sacks of the quarterback this season. The math doesn’t add up to start anyone from the Colts’ passing attack. Outside of an outlier in Week 9, Hilton hasn’t had more than two receptions in a game since Week 5. If it hasn’t clicked for Brissett and Hilton by now, it isn’t going to when they play on the road against the Jags. I suspect the offense will try to muster up a fight by using more short passes this weekend, but it will be window dressing by the second half. About the only thing fantasy owners can hope for is some garbage time points and even that may not come with Blake Bortles only offering slightly better odds of leading his team up and down the field. TE Jack Doyle will be asked to help block more often and won’t make it far down the field when he is targeted so he can’t even be a recommended PPR option. Seek shelter and wait for Week 14.

JAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
JAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
JAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.32
JAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14

Running Game Thoughts: Frank Gore has put up 60 yards rushing in each of the past three games against the Jags and another one isn’t out of the question this week. Unfortunately, it may take a timely defensive pass interference or Bortles interception to set up a touchdown for Gore so he will have to grind out a flex worthy game. If you haven’t been eliminated from your league’s fantasy playoff picture, you probably have two better running backs on the roster making this an easy decision. Marlon Mack could see his touches balloon north of ten if the game gets away from the Colts. I don’t see that happening unless Brissett completely implodes so it’s best to simply avoid all Colts when setting your Week 13 lineups.

Value Meter:
TE2: Jack Doyle
Flex: Frank Gore
Bench: Everyone else

Passing Game Thoughts: Blake Bortles hasn’t seen his completion percentage north of 58 since Week 9 and has thrown one more interception (3) than touchdowns (2) over the past three weeks. The cold spell came just as Marqise Lee was starting to emerge as a legitimate weekly starter so he finds himself stuck in Flex limbo heading into Week 13. For those looking for a reason to get him into the lineup, you can feel good about his stats at home. In his past three home contests, Lee has seen double digit targets in every game, scored two touchdowns and posted at least 55 receiving yards. The less inspired fantasy owner won’t overlook twelve receptions in the past three games and keep him benched. I’d lean more towards putting him in the lineup this week but the choice will ultimately come down to your other options. Given the low totals of Bortles, there really isn’t any other notable fantasy asset in the passing game. Allen Hurns and Marcedes Lewis are lucky to catch more than two balls each game and I don’t see the three-win Colts making this game a shootout so the Jags aren’t likely to win this game with Bortles’ arm.

IND FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
IND FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.5
IND FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.9
IND FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8

Running Game Thoughts: Twelve weeks into the season and it is pretty clear that the foundation is in place in Jacksonville. The running game is the heart and soul of Jaguars offense and a rebound following their poor performance against the Cardinals is likely in store for Leonard Fournette owners. The Jags rookie has been dealing with an ankle injury of late but he may have finally turned the corner by putting in a full week of practice. He’s a RB1 when going right so keep him in your lineups despite the Week 12 hiccup. Chris Ivory shouldn’t be starting for anyone this week but he carries handcuff value heading into the fantasy playoffs.

Value Meter:
RB1: Leonard Fournette
WR3: Marqise Lee
Flex: Dede Westbrook
Bench: Blake Bortles, Marcedes Lewis

Prediction: Jaguars 23, Colts 9 ^ Top

Texans @ Titans - (Gordon)

Passing Game Thoughts: Will Fuller continues to miss practice with a rib injury and will likely miss another week. That would push Bruce Ellington and Braxton Miller into more playing time against a susceptible defense. Unfortunately, Tom Savage has a way of limiting any potential upside the passing game might command against a favorable opponent. One thing Savage has done better than many of his predecessors is get the ball to DeAndre Hopkins. Houston’s talented receiver continues to be a quality weekly fantasy play with the team forced to throw more than they would like given their quarterback situation. The Texans defense is giving up over 24 points per game over the past month and may be playing this game without Jadeveon Clowney. Ellington has seen at least seven targets in each of the past four games but has only gone over 50 yards receiving once during that span. That trend should continue into Week 13 making him a decent gamble in deep leagues. Tight end C.J. Fiedorowizc is in a similar boat as Ellington. He’s going to see plenty of passes with the team short on quality receivers but it’s hard to get excited about a guy catching passes from a quarterback with a completion percentage of 54.3 percent.

TEN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
TEN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
TEN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.7
TEN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23

Running Game Thoughts: The aforementioned defensive woes play right into the hand of Andre Ellington’s sleeper potential this week. He wasn’t active last week after being brought over to the team off waivers but I would think the team will want to get him into this game in hopes of curbing Savage’s propensity for turnovers. Ellington could be an optimal dump off option that would also keep Lamar Miller from taking more bruising in the passing game. Miller has continued to receive days of rest during the week. Houston has no choice but to lean on the running game where the workload typically translates into RB2 production for Miller. Like most lead running backs, the veteran continues to play through minor injuries that have caused him to miss a few series during the games. If Miller continues to miss time late into the week, Alfred Blue would get a bump into the low-end RB2 discussion. Even in that scenario, the team would be inclined to give Ellington more snaps-assuming he has digested enough of the playbook to be active this week.

Value Meter:
RB2: Lamar Miller
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
TE1: C.J. Fiedorowicz (low end)
Flex: Bruce Ellington, Andre Ellington
Bench: Tom Savage, Alfred Blue, Braxton Miller, Will Fuller

Passing Game Thoughts: The state of the passing game isn’t too great in Nashville. Not only has this unit struggled to find consistency this year their most consistent wide receiver, Rishard Matthews, continues to deal with a hamstring injury. I’d have another option lined up if Matthews has been your WR3/Flex when healthy because it looks like he is going to miss his second straight game. Eric Decker hasn’t been the solution the team had hoped when they signed him this offseason. The extra playing time he saw last week only produced four targets. He might notch a few more fantasy points in a better match up this week but the ceiling remains pretty low to be an attractive Flex. The guy fantasy owners want to see emerge is Corey Davis. Unfortunately, he is a pure gamble in the fantasy realm. Marcus Mariota hasn’t been able to find his groove nor find chemistry with his rookie wideout. The four balls thrown to him in Week 12 were the fewest he has seen since returning to the lineup in Week 9 and it’s hard to see a turnaround when the offense is averaging 207.5 passing yards per game in 2017. Delanie Walker will eat up the bulk of the passing game work if Mathews is unable to play making him the only somewhat reliable fantasy option in the Titans’ passing game this week.

HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.6
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.6

Running Game Thoughts: Given Houston’s ability to contain similar types of backfields (like the Ravens) this RBBC will come up short for fantasy owners in Week 13. Tennessee’s way of getting Derrick Henry more involved seems to be by letting his fresher legs take more snaps in the second half of games. That strategy seemed to pay off in last week’s win but the reality is that Henry has looked like the better runner over the past several weeks and is the better fantasy play this week. In a better offense, perhaps one that didn’t stubbornly give DeMarco Murray the ball, Henry would be a solid RB2 option against the Texans this week. However, the decision to keep giving the ball to an ineffective DeMarco Murray relegates Henry to being a low end RB2 in deep formats and benched in shallow leagues. Murray is coasting into the finish line with over a month of the season left; failing to reach 20 yards rushing in three of the past four weeks. If not for his work in the passing game he would have been on the majority of waiver wires by now. Keep him on the bench and hope the Titans take the same advice so at least one player can help fantasy owners in the coming weeks.

Value Meter:
RB2: Derrick Henry (deep leagues)
TE1: Delanie Walker
Bench: Marcus Mariota, Eric Decker, Rishard Matthews (injury), Corey Davis

Prediction: Texans 20, Titans 13 ^ Top

Panthers @ Saints - (Gordon)

Passing Game Thoughts: Carolina’s offense has produced a whopping 14 passing touchdowns in eleven games this season so there isn’t much meat on the bones for fantasy owners to chew. Coming off his first 100-yard game of the year, Devin Funchess has established himself as the team’s top receiver in the wake of Kelvin Benjamin’s departure. He is easily the most gifted receiver on the depth chart and won’t have any issues securing targets against the Saints this weekend. That will be especially true if TE Greg Olsen is sidelined. X-rays came back negative on the tight end’s foot this week but he has missed practice and is considered day-to-day. The Panthers are short on available pass catchers so the potential for Olsen to be playing at less than full strength (if he plays) is a daunting task for an already challenged passer like Cam Newton. Sustaining drives in the Superdome will be a key factor towards deciding the game so fantasy owners should cross their fingers that Olsen can get himself back healthy enough to make a splash in Week 13. Cam Newton’s accuracy issues combined with inexperienced depth behind Funchess will make it tough for the signal caller to have a nice fantasy day so unless Christian McCaffrey takes a short pass to the house, Newton will need his legs to make up for his lack of passing numbers. Curtis Samuel’s injury opens up a few more opportunities for Russell Shepard.

NO FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.18
NO FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.24
NO FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
NO FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.16

Running Game Thoughts: McCaffrey is dealing with a sore shoulder that kept him out of practice Wednesday. He returned Thursday and appears to be on track to play against New Orleans this weekend. Regardless, Jonathan Stewart has been getting more touches and yards in the diluted Panthers rushing attack. McCaffrey has better fantasy appeal but the rookie remains a PPR only guy with the team needing Stewart to fill the yeoman role the team is built around. Though the touches warrant RB2 consideration, J-Stew profiles as a touchdown dependent emergency RB2 on rosters hit by injury. Without much of a passing game, the Saints shouldn’t have too much trouble stopping the running game and forcing plenty of three and outs so keep expectations low for Carolina’s backfield.

Value Meter:
WR2: Devin Funchess
RB2: Christian McCaffrey (PPR only if healthy)
TE1: Greg Olsen (if healthy)
Bench: Cam Newton, Jonathan Stewart, Russell Shepard

Passing Game Thoughts: New Orleans finally tasted defeat against a Rams team that kept the entire offense at bay. The game served as a reminder to New Orleans that the passing game needs to improve and not simply ride shotgun to the rushing attack. The wake-up call should translate into a busier and more effective outing this weekend against the Panthers. Carolina’s run defense isn’t too shabby so look for Drew Brees to do more of the heavy lifting this week against the second friendliest defense to opposing fantasy wide receivers over the past three weeks. Michael Thomas has been a relative bust outside of PPR leagues but I’m not giving up on him just yet. He has consistently led the Saints pass catchers in targets and will be the first guy called upon to score should the Saints’ running backs find it tough to score this weekend. He scored his first touchdown of the year against the Panthers back in Week 3 and I like his chances to add another one or two against them this weekend. A heavier passing game plan this week will also spill over to Ted Ginn Jr. The seasoned wideout is coming off an eleven target, seven-catch 71-yard outing in Week 12 and already has one touchdown against his former team this year. He’s a solid WR3 this week with a shot to finish in the top 25 amongst all receivers.

CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.24
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.30
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.25

Running Game Thoughts: The Panthers know the Saints have been anchored by a strong running game this season but they also enter this weekend with the confidence of having the third best rush defense in the NFL. Carolina has allowed only 83.2 rushing yards per game this season and has allowed only one passing touchdown to a running back all year. Needless to say, this should be a good test of two teams’ strength that also happen to be division rivals known for having good games late in the season. That being said, New Orleans boasts two of the best fantasy running backs in the game. Neither can be benched based on opponent but you may want to take a different direction in DFS just in case this is the week somebody cools Alvin Kamara’s afterburners. The rookie went over 1,000 total yards on the year last week and also added his eighth and ninth touchdowns. A down week would still make him a great RB2 so enjoy the ride for another week. Mark Ingram stalled out with the rest of the Saints a week ago. He’s probably not a true RB1 this week in a tougher matchup but I won’t be the guy with him on the bench either.

Value Meter:
QB1: Drew Brees
RB1: Alvin Kamara, Mark Ingram
WR1: Michael Thomas
WR3: Ted Ginn Jr.
Bench: Brandon Coleman, Coby Fleener, Willie Snead

Prediction: Panthers 26, Saints 20 ^ Top

Vikings @ Falcons - (Gordon)

Passing Game Thoughts: The pride of the NFC North comes to Atlanta seeking their tenth win of the season. The scorching hot play of Case Keenum will face an improved Falcons’ secondary in this playoff-like atmosphere. Expect the Vikings to come into this game doing what they have done all year and force the defense to defend the whole field. To accomplish this, Keenum will need to get Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen going early. While Thielen has become the steadier fantasy player this season it is Diggs that can match the playmaking ability of Julio Jones on the other side of the field. Slowed by a groin injury earlier in the year, Diggs is finally starting to work his way back into a prominent role in the passing game. He has seen his targets go up in each of the past three weeks and the Vikes will need to throw it to win it on the road. TE Kyle Rudolph represents the steady unspectacular play in the passing game needed to do the dirty work. That doesn’t make him a bad fantasy play but it prevents him from being a great option. He should get a few chances near the goal in this matchup but ultimately should be treated as a boom or bust fantasy play.

ATL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
ATL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
ATL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.28
ATL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26

Running Game Thoughts: The equation for running the ball in Minnesota is simple: Latavius Murray runs it early and Jerick McKinnon takes over on passing downs. Of course, it helps to have a quarterback stepping up and making all the throws necessary to keep drives alive and churn the clock to keep defenses more honest. Nonetheless, the Vikings’ less heralded duo plod along in grinder fashion to be effective. That makes them more effective in real life than for fantasy purposes, however, as this RBBC doesn’t offer much more than Flex appeal this week. The Falcons have clamped down on the run of late, allowing the seventh fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs over the past three weeks. A tough matchup and split workloads translate into fantasy bust more often than not so keep both players benched for Week 13.

Value Meter:
QB1: Case Keenum
WR2: Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs
Flex: Jerick McKinnon (PPR only)
Bench: Latavius Murray, Kyle Rudolph

Passing Game Thoughts: Matt Ryan and the Falcons need this win to establish themselves as one of the front runners for a Wild Card berth so don’t expect the team to hold anything back-not that they did in letting Mohamed Sanu throw for a score a week ago! Ryan will face a very steep challenge in dueling with the Vikings secondary. Fortunately, he has done very well incorporating more of Mohamed Sanu into the weekly game plan to discourage defenses from paying too much attention to Jones. Minnesota’s defense doesn’t allow many opportunities for tight ends so don’t expect Austin Hooper to make any highlight reels this week. I don’t foresee a lot of big plays in this game so Matty Ice may not be the best choice amongst fantasy quarterbacks either. He’s been a borderline starter most of the year and this week he draws a superior defense that will limit his upside. If you need a win to get into your fantasy playoffs your backup may be the better choice this week.

MIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.29
MIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.31
MIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.18
MIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28

Running Game Thoughts: Devonta Freeman cleared concussion protocol this week and has been practicing in full. The team may not want to give him 20 touches in his first game back from a concussion so he sits just outside the top ten in Week 13’s running back rankings. Tevin Coleman’s owners got a nice outing from him a week ago but his value decreases without the added touches he received as the starter. The Falcons offense has started to score more lately, but they won’t have an easy time keeping it going against the Vikings. Less opportunities to score make Coleman a riskier than usual Flex option. For this reason, I would keep him benched and look for a more promising player to use in that slot.

Value Meter:
RB2: Devonta Freeman
WR2: Julio Jones
Flex: Mohamed Sanu
Bench: Matt Ryan, Tevin Coleman, Austin Hooper, Taylor Gabriel

Prediction: Vikings 21, Falcons 20 ^ Top

Browns @ Chargers - (Caron)

Passing Game Thoughts: Josh Gordon is back! We haven’t seen him play in over three years but head coach Hue Jackson has said that he wants Josh Gordon to play “as much as possible.” That doesn’t actually tell us anything because what does “as much as possible” mean to him? It could mean every single offensive snap or it could mean only a few plays in a few packages. We just don’t know. Gordon is a huge risk this week but there’s no question that he’s one of the most physically-skilled players we’ve ever seen at the position. It’d be wise to wait and see with Gordon but if you’re looking for a lottery ticket type player, you could certainly do worse. Corey Coleman has been a big focal point of the Cleveland offense since coming back from injury and while it hasn’t translated into huge fantasy point totals yet due to lack of touchdowns, Coleman is a player who is likely available in many leagues who could be put into starting lineups on teams looking for a potential boom player in Week 13.

The Chargers defense has given up the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. That doesn’t look like a recipe for a big game from DeShone Kizer despite him coming off of the best pass yardage day of his young career. The interesting thing with Kizer, however, is that he can move. He’s rushed for nearly 30 rushing yards per game with five rushing scores on the season which does make him a very risky option but a player with a high ceiling in two-quarterback formats.

LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.6
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.31

Running Game Thoughts: Isaiah Crowell will carry a questionable designation into Sunday’s game against the Chargers but is expected to play in what is a great matchup on paper against a defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in fantasy points given up to opposing running backs. Crowell has quietly been on a decent streak as of late, scoring double-digit PPR fantasy points in four of his past five games. Meanwhile fellow running back Duke Johnson has been substantially more effective on a per-touch basis, mainly due to his effectiveness in the receiving game. Johnson has caught at least four passes in five straight contests and could very well be a big part of the offensive gameplan, especially if the Browns fall behind on the scoreboard. Johnson is a very safe PPR option to get double-digit fantasy points on a weekly basis but he’s almost a complete non-factor in standard scoring formats. The opposite is nearly true for Crowell, who has only caught more than two passes in two games this season. Johnson would become a serious consideration as an RB1 in PPR leagues if Crowell does somehow end up being sidelined this week, but both players are RB2/Flex option as the situation currently stands.

Value Meter:
QB2: DeShone Kizer
RB2: Duke Johnson (PPR)
Flex: Isaiah Crowell, Corey Coleman
Bench: Josh Gordon, David Njoku

Passing Game Thoughts: Don’t look now but the once 0-4 Chargers are now one game out of the division lead in the AFC West and much of it has come on the shoulders of quarterback Philip Rivers who has been lights out since Week 5, throwing 14 touchdown passes with just three interceptions over that span, including a monstrous 434-yard, three score day against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving. Rivers has once again elevated himself into the QB1 discussion as he and the Chargers host the Browns, who rank in the bottom-10 in the league in fantasy points given up to opposing quarterbacks this season. What’s been interesting is that, while Rivers has been extremely effective as of late, the only pass catcher on the team who has been reliable has been Keenan Allen. But Allen has been an absolute beast over the past two weeks, making a ridiculous 23 receptions for 331 yards and three scores. He has to be considered an elite WR1 option this week as well, with the Browns really not having anyone who is capable of locking him down. Unfortunately, the other receivers and tight ends are extremely hit or miss in this offense, with Hunter Henry being the only other viable weekly fantasy option. Even Henry is a touchdown-or-bust type of low-end TE1.

CLE FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
CLE FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
CLE FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
CLE FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.3

Running Game Thoughts: With the Chargers surging toward a playoff spot, you’d think that their running game would have to be extremely effective. That hasn’t been the case over the past month, though, even with Melvin Gordon getting to play against some weak fantasy run defenses. Gordon has topped 80 rushing yards just once in his past five contests and his usage in the passing game has been way down from what it was in the beginning of the season. He’s been held to one or zero receptions in three of his past five games, which is just not what we’re looking for out of an elite fantasy back. Gordon has still been good enough to not be a bust most weeks but he’s fallen down from being a superstar to more of a low-end RB1 with the emergence of satellite back Austin Ekeler. Ekeler has been on the field for at least one-third of the Chargers’ offensive plays in every game since Week 7, and he’s been inching closer to a 50-50 snap split in recent weeks. While Gordon is still seeing more touches, this committee backfield approach has hurt the weekly upside of Gordon while making Ekeler himself a viable Flex play in PPR formats. This duo now gets the benefit of playing against a Browns defense that has given up some big fantasy days to opposing running backs as of late.

Value Meter:
QB1: Philip Rivers
RB1: Melvin Gordon
WR1: Keenan Allen
TE1: Hunter Henry
Flex: Austin Ekeler (PPR only)
Bench: Travis Benjamin, Tyrell Williams, Mike Williams, Antonio Gates

Prediction: Chargers 28, Browns 16 ^ Top

Rams @ Cardinals - (Caron)

Passing Game Thoughts: The Rams continue to shock the world as they are ranked in the top five in both offensive yardage produced and total offensive points scored this season. Quarterback Jared Goff might not be an elite fantasy quarterback but he ranks in the top 10 in points scored in most formats, which makes his receivers very interesting on a weekly basis, even if it can oftentimes be difficult to predict which receiver will be the focal point of the offense in a given game. With Robert Woods still sidelined with a shoulder injury, however, the passing game has become significantly easier to predict as of late. With Sammy Watkins typically drawing the opposing team’s top cornerback, in this case Patrick Peterson, it’s been rookie slot receiver Cooper Kupp who has been carving up defenses underneath. Kupp had by far the best game of his young career this past week against a good Saints defense, catching eight passes for 116 yards. Kupp should avoid Peterson on most snaps given where he lines up, which will likely make him the focal point of the passing game once again. While Watkins has caught touchdowns in three of his past four games, he’s been held to four or fewer catches in every game since his Week 3 breakout. He’s been more involved with Woods being injured but it’d be wise to avoid him this week given the shutdown cornerback that is Patrick Peterson.

ARI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.3
ARI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.26
ARI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
ARI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18

Running Game Thoughts: We said it all last year during his season-long slump - at least he’s getting carries. The difference this season is that those carries are actually translating into huge fantasy games this season for Rams running back Todd Gurley. Gurley is currently the top-scoring running back in PPR formats this season and he has only failed to score at least 13 PPR fantasy points once this season. The Cardinals are a decent run defense but there’s not much to worry about here - deploy Gurley as usual as a superstud RB1.

Value Meter:
QB1: Jared Goff
RB1: Todd Gurley
WR2: Cooper Kupp
Bench: Sammy Watkins, Tavon Austin, Tyler Higbee, Gerald Everett

Passing Game Thoughts: Blaine Gabbert shocked the world this past week by posting a decent fantasy day against the league’s top secondary and leading the Cardinals to an unlikely win over the Jaguars. This week he’ll be up against another one of the league’s surprising top teams, the Rams, who also boast a top-five fantasy defense against opposing quarterbacks. Not since Week 4 have the Rams given up more than 17 fantasy points to an opposing quarterback and that includes a Week 7 matchup against the Cardinals when they injured Carson Palmer and proceeded to lock down Arizona’s entire offense in a 33-0 blowout victory.

Really the only player to look at in this passing game for fantasy purposes is Larry Fitzgerald who just continues to battle on, posting another WR1 fantasy season. He was held in check by the Jaguars this past week but he had caught 19 passes in his previous two games so there’s no question that he’s still the focal point of the passing game. Fitzgerald might not be a WR1 on a week-to-week basis because he lacks the “boom” factor that many other receivers have but he’s still capable of putting up nice fantasy numbers in PPR formats. Another player to keep an eye on in this passing game is tight end Ricky Seals-Jones, who has come out of seemingly nowhere to make three touchdown receptions in his past two games, with seven total receptions. He’s still a relatively unknown commodity but if you’re desperate and in need of a tight end, he seems to have a decent connection with Gabbert.

LAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.28
LAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
LAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
LAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27

Running Game Thoughts: It continues to be tough to predict when Adrian Peterson is going to perform well since his move to Arizona but the Cardinals have had no problem giving him the ball. Peterson has touched the ball an average of 27.6 times per game since coming to Arizona. That gigantic number alone makes him a serious consideration as an RB2 against practically any opponent. It doesn’t always translate into fantasy points but that kind of usage just cannot be ignored as the days of the “bell cow running back” seem to be coming to an end in the NFL. This week, Peterson gets a Rams defense that held him to just 21 yards on 11 carries back in Week 7. However, it’s worth noting that the Rams aren’t typically that good against opposing backs. In fact, that was by far their best defensive game of the season and they’ve given up two massive fantasy days in a row to the Minnesota and New Orleans backfields. Peterson is not the back that he once was and he’s really only an afterthought in the passing game but he is still capable of putting up RB2 numbers in a matchup like this.

Value Meter:
QB2: Blaine Gabbert (low-end)
RB2: Adrian Peterson
WR2: Larry Fitzgerald
Bench: John Brown, Jaron Brown, J.J. Nelson, Ricky Seals-Jones

Prediction: Rams 27, Cardinals 20 ^ Top

Giants @ Raiders - (Caron)

Passing Game Thoughts: The Giants have been the talk of the NFL this week as the team will bench quarterback Eli Manning, who had the league’s longest active start streak at the position. While it’s not hard to understand why the team would look toward the future, it’s odd they’ve decided to go with Geno Smith, who had flamed out for the Jets prior to being signed by the Giants. The immediate fantasy implications are yet to be seen but this simply doesn’t look good for any member of this passing game as there is little to no chemistry between Smith and his receivers.

Wide receiver Sterling Shepard had been putting up some nice numbers prior to a migraine issue which held him out of the past two games. While he’s expected to be back on the field this week, Shepard can really only be considered a Flex option with Smith behind center. Tight end Evan Engram might still be a low-end TE1 but that’s more of an indication of the lack of quality options at that position than it is any sort of confidence in him returning to the player we saw tearing up the league in the middle of the season. Engram has caught just four passes for 27 yards and no touchdowns in his past two contests and that was with a quarterback he’s been playing with since Week 1. It’s hard to get much worse than that but adding Geno Smith to the mix just doesn’t look like a great thing for anyone in this passing game. The Oakland defense is awful against the pass but even they should be able to keep Smith and the Giants in check in this game.

OAK FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.14
OAK FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
OAK FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
OAK FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.10

Running Game Thoughts: Orleans Darkwa continues to be the primary back for the Giants which has led to some nice games but it’s also led to some frustrating fantasy results, such as this past week when he was only able to contribute 30 rushing yards on 11 carries against a mediocre Washington run defense. The presence of Wayne Gallman continues to limit Darkwa’s upside but the truth is that the New York offense itself is simply not good enough to give these players a high scoring potential. It’s true that the Giants might opt to lean more heavily on the running game this week given the shaky quarterback situation but even then Darkwa is probably more of a Flex option. The Raiders run defense is bad but it’s been able to perform well against bad offenses, such as Denver’s this past week, who they held to just 30 rushing yards.

Value Meter:
WR3: Sterling Shepard
TE1: Evan Engram (low-end)
Flex: Orleans Darkwa
Bench: Geno Smith

Passing Game Thoughts: Derek Carr has taken a big step back overall this season and he’s only thrown for multiple touchdowns in four of his 10 games, making him a mediocre fantasy starter. He did perform well this past weekend against a good, albeit struggling Denver secondary which was surprising given that his top receiver, Michael Crabtree, was ejected early in the contest. He’ll be without Crabtree again this week as he and Broncos cornerback Aqib Talib will both serve an additional one-game suspension for their on-field brawl in Week 12. This would seem to indicate that Carr will have to focus on Amari Cooper but Cooper is looking likely to miss this week’s contest with a concussion and an ankle injury which has held him out of practice all week. If Cooper is out, look for Seth Roberts to take over as the team’s top wide receiver this week. Roberts has nine catches over his past three games and while he’s not a spectacular talent, he’s the player who led the team in routes run once Crabtree and Cooper were both out of the game in Week 12.

Cordarrelle Patterson and even Johnny Holton could be deep lottery ticket type options this week but neither player is likely to surpass Roberts in targets. The player who you’ll really want for fantasy purposes, however, is tight end Jared Cook. Cook has an incredibly great matchup against the league’s worst fantasy defense against the position. The Giants have given up a whopping 10 touchdowns to the position this season and this is exactly the kind of matchup that could break Cook out of the slump he’s been in over these past two weeks. Cook is a locked and loaded TE1 in this game and could very well lead all Raiders in targets, receptions, yardage and touchdowns.

NYG FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
NYG FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.13
NYG FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.10
NYG FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1

Running Game Thoughts: With the passing game struggling and hobbled with injuries, look for the Raiders to lean heavily on their running game, specifically Marshawn Lynch. Lynch has been on a bit of a hot streak as of late, having scored three rushing touchdowns over his past three games, and he’s coming off of a 26-carry day against the Broncos which is by far his highest total since returning to the league. The Giants have been run over and through by opposing backs this season who have generated nearly 100 yards on the ground per game so it makes sense that Oakland will look to continue to do what works. The Giants offense isn’t likely to score many points this week which could mean a late game “closer” type of situation for Lynch who has to be one of the best in the league at playing that role. Lynch is typically an RB2 due to his lack of usage in the passing game but he could even sneak in as an RB1 in non-PPR formats this week.

Value Meter:
QB2: Derek Carr
RB2: Marshawn Lynch
TE1: Jared Cook
Flex: Seth Roberts
Bench: Jalen Richard, DeAndre Washington, Seth Roberts, Cordarrelle Patterson, Johnny Holton

Prediction: Raiders 27, Giants 16 ^ Top

Eagles @ Seahawks - (Caron)

Passing Game Thoughts: The breakout, MVP-level season for Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz continues each week and his connection with top receiver Alshon Jeffery just keeps getting better. Jeffery has now made five touchdown receptions over his past four games and while he hasn’t gone over 100 yards in any game this season, there’s no doubt that he’s a WR1 for fantasy purposes at the moment. The matchup on the road against the Seahawks is typically one of the worst possible but the injuries in the Seattle secondary have made them a shell of their usual selves. With Wentz playing as well as he has been, there’s no doubt that he’s a QB1, Jeffery is a WR1 and tight end Zach Ertz is a TE1 coming off of a 10-catch, 103-yard day. The player in question here is Nelson Agholor who did catch a touchdown pass this past week but has not gone over 55 receiving yards in a game since Week 5. Agholor has become somewhat of a touchdown-or-bust type of receiver, which is not uncommon for depth fantasy receivers, but he’s in an offense that is producing huge numbers so his potential is much higher than similar players in lesser offenses.

SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.25
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.17

Running Game Thoughts: Many believed that Jay Ajayi would quickly take over as the top runner in Philadelphia when the Eagles made the trade to acquire him earlier this season but that has not exactly turned out to be true. While Ajayi has been by far the most effective player on a per-touch basis in the backfield, seemingly breaking off a long run every week, he has not been rewarded with a high touch total. Instead, it’s LeGarrette Blount who continues to be the team’s primary ball carrier with Ajayi playing more of a complementary role. Corey Clement has also been involved minimally, which makes this an effective but frustrating backfield for fantasy purposes. None of these backs is more than a Flex option as things currently stand but they do all have the potential of getting into the end zone, which could make them interesting for teams in need.

Value Meter:
QB1: Carson Wentz
WR1: Alshon Jeffery
TE1: Zach Ertz
Flex: Jay Ajayi, LeGarrette Blount, Nelson Agholor
Bench: Corey Clement, Torrey Smith

Passing Game Thoughts: There is not a player in the league who is carrying his team more than Russell Wilson is this season. Wilson has either rushed for or thrown all but one touchdown the Seattle offense has scored this season. No player in the Super Bowl era has a higher ratio than Wilson’s 2017 touchdown involvement. It’s no surprise that he’s the highest-scoring fantasy player in the league and he’s now thrown for multiple touchdowns in eight of his past nine contests while getting more involved in the rushing game. Wilson’s excellence has translated into some big numbers for tight end Jimmy Graham who has now scored eight touchdowns in his past seven games. He’s dealing with an ankle injury but he’s been battling that for a few weeks now and it hasn’t kept him off the field – or out of the end zone.

Doug Baldwin has been uncharacteristically boom-or-bust this season and this does look like a tough matchup. The Eagles haven’t given up more than 165 receiving yards to an entire team’s receiver group since all the way back in Week 5. Baldwin may still be able to get his numbers if this game turns into a shootout as many expect that it will but he’s also not the lock high-end WR1 that he usually is. One player to keep an eye on in this offense is fellow receiver Paul Richardson who has played at least 88 percent of the Seattle offense plays in four of their past five contests. He’s also made nine receptions over his past two games, which makes him an interesting Flex option in what could be a high scoring game.

PHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.21
PHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.32
PHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.23
PHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19

Running Game Thoughts: There are few offenses as good as Seattle’s where the running game is practically a non-factor but that’s the situation we have here in 2017. The Seahawks have utilized seemingly countless backs throughout the season and almost all of them have been a non-factor for fantasy purposes. Eddie Lacy got 17 carries this past week which was a shockingly high number after he hadn’t seen more than six carries in a game since Week 7. Yet despite that high usage, head coach Pete Carroll doesn’t seem too confident that he’ll give Lacy a bunch of carries again in Week 13. In fact, Carroll specifically pointed out that Mike Davis will be back this week, which further clouds an already murky backfield situation. The best thing to do is completely avoid this ugly running game but if you need someone, Lacy would seemingly be the “hot hand” if there is one.

Value Meter:
QB1: Russell Wilson
WR1: Doug Baldwin
TE1: Jimmy Graham
Flex: Paul Richardson
Bench: Eddie Lacy, Mike Davis, Thomas Rawls, J.D. McKissic, Tyler Lockett

Prediction: Eagles 27, Seahawks 24 ^ Top