9/24/10
Jets @ Dolphins -
(Marcoccio)
Passing
Game Thoughts: The handcuffs that were placed on Mark Sanchez
in Week 1 by the coaching staff were removed in Week 2 with great
results. Sanchez threw for over 200 yards and 3 TDs against the
New England Patriots at the Meadowlands earning the Jets a much
needed victory. Sanchez dumped off when necessary, but unlike
in the opening week, he attacked deep early and often against
the young Pats’ secondary. He spread the wealth around as
Jerricho Cotchery, Braylon Edwards and Dustin Keller were each
on the receiving end of a TD pass. Expect the results this week
to be somewhere in between Week 1 and Week 2 as the Jets will
look for more balance and ball control in what should be a defensive
battle. As you are probably aware WR Braylon Edwards was arrested
on suspicions of drunk driving this week and his playing time
could be limited – it’s likely best to move him to
your bench.
Miami was very poor against the pass last season (24th ranked,
allowing 234.6 ppg and 23 TDs through the air), but have fared
much better in 2010. They shut down Trent Edwards in Week 1 (which
wasn’t unexpected) and then forced Bret Favre into a three
interception game in Week 2 in Minnesota. The team has responded
to new DC Mike Nolan’s more aggressive schemes and is the
6th rated pass defense so far, after allowing only 162 passing
ypg and 1 passing TD on the year.
Running Game Thoughts: LaDanian Tomlinson looked like the LT of
old as he sliced through and over the Patriots’ run defense
last week. The burst that seemed to have abandoned him the last
two seasons has returned and Rex Ryan has slowly phased him into
the lead back role in the Jets RBBC. That’s not to say that
Shonn Greene will not continue to be a vital part of the rushing
attack, but he will not be the bellcow that those who drafted
him expected him to be. RG Matt Slausen has played very well so
far this season and surprisingly the Jets have not lost much after
handing perennial Pro Bowler Alan Faneca his walking papers. Center
Nick Mangold was forced to leave last week’s contest with
an arm injury, but is expected to be back in Week 3.
Miami gave up 186 yards and a TD to Adrian Peterson last week
and will be tested once again. While the Jets do not have a back
as talented as Peterson, their duo if pretty dynamic and their
o-line line is superior. Safety Yeremiah Bell is leading the Dolphins
team in tackles after two weeks, which is never a good sign.
Projections:
Mark Sanchez: 215 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 Int. / 10 yards rushing
Braylon Edwards: 30 yds receiving
Jerricho Cotchery: 55 yds receiving
Dustin Keller: 60 yds receiving, 1 TD
Shonn Greene: 55 yds rushing, 1 TD / 5 yds receiving
LaDainian Tomlinson: 60 yds rushing, 1 TD / 45 yds receiving
Passing
Game Thoughts: Chad Henne has had a quiet season in 2010
tossing only 1 TD during the first two weeks. With the Dolphins
owning a 2-0 record though, no one is complaining much. WR Brandon
Marshall has been heavily targeted in the first two games, but
has yet to make any real impact for his new team averaging only
slightly above 10 yards per reception. Brian Hartline was held
without a catch in Week 1, but hooked up with Henne for a TD in
Week 2. He will likely not be consistent enough from week to week
to be counted on by fantasy owners, but could be a decent bye
week filler in the right matchups. TE Anthony Fasano is a big
target in the middle of the field that seems to be back in favor
in the Miami offense. The Jets have not defended the TE position
well during the first two weeks allowing Todd Heap and rookie
Aaron Hernandez to put up nice stat-lines against them, so Fasano
may make a nice sneaky start if you don’t have any better options.
Darrelle Revis pulled up lame on Randy Moss’ TD catch last week
and will miss this week’s game as a result of his balky hamstring.
While Antonio Cromartie stepped up and shut down Randy Moss in
Revis’ absence last week – it’s an obvious blow to the Jets and
a possible boon to Marshall owners.
Running Game Thoughts: The “Wild Cat” which was called
a gimmick by some of the Jet players prior to the game last season
was a mixed bag for Miami in the two games the two teams played
last season. In the first matchup, the Phins ran all over the
Jets, but it was shut down when the teams met again in New Jersey
a few weeks later. The Jets run defense has been practically impenetrable
so far this season as Baltimore and New England only rushed for
100 yards combined during the first two weeks against them. If
the Jets can shut down the running game and force Henne to beat
them, the two teams could be all tied up atop the AFC East come
Monday.
Projections:
Chad
Henne: 195 yds passing, 1 TD, 2 Ints.
Brandon Marshall: 95 yds receiving
Brian
Hartline: 10 yds receiving
Davone Bess: 20 yds receiving
Anthony
Fasano: 40 yds receiving, 1 TD
Ronnie Brown: 55 yds rushing, 1 TD / 10 yds rec.
Ricky Williams: 40 yds rushing / 10 yds receiving
Prediction: Jets 24 Dolphins 17 ^ Top
Titans @ Giants
- (Marcoccio)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Vince Young had a relatively big passing
day in Week 1 against the Raiders but found himself in a familiar
spot during the Week 2 contest with Pittsburgh - on the bench
watching Kerry Collins. Jeff Fischer has announced that Young
will be back in the starting line-up this week for the Titans,
but that doesn’t mean he should be in your fantasy team’s starting
line-up. Former Rutgers star Kenny Britt makes his return to New
Jersey this week and must begin to show some consistency before
the Titans ever truly rely on him as Young’s go to receiver –
he is far too talented to lose targets to mediocre veterans like
Justin Gage and Nate Washington.
The Giants pass defense looked very good when Matt Moore was under
center in Week 1 but looked very poor when Peyton Manning was
under center in Week 2. Go figure. Truth is, the Giants secondary
is likely somewhere in the middle of Week 1 and Week 2, and should
be solid against less than stellar passers like Vince Young. Young
should be able to make some plays with his legs however, if he
is able to escape the Giants’ resurgent pass rush. Kenny Philips
should improve the further along he gets in his recovery from
a knee injury and the team will need him to fully recover if they
are going to morph back into the dominant defense they once were.
Running Game Thoughts: After a poor
Week 2 performance, Chris Johnson fell way off the pace from achieving
his goal of 2,500 rushing yards. However, the Pittsburgh defense
has a way of making everyone look bad, and Johnson should return
to being a “sure thing” in your starting line-up once again as
he faces the Giants D which has allowed over 124 ypg through the
first two weeks of the season. The Giants line-backing crew simply
doesn’t have the speed to keep up with Johnson (but who really
does?), and the aging Keith Bulluck has been slow to adjust to
his new surroundings and responsibilities.
Projections:
Vince
Young: 145 yds passing, 1 TD, 1 Int. / 45 yds rushing
Kenny
Britt: 55 yds receiving, 1 TD
Justin
Gage: 10 yds receiving
Nate
Washington: 35 yds receving
Bo Scaife: 25 yds receiving
Chris Johnson: 155 yds rushing, 1 TD / 30 yds receiving
Passing
Game Thoughts: Eli Manning was once again outplayed by
his older brother, but there’ really no shame in that. Last week
his o-line really let him down, as Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis
were all over him the entire game. While the Titans don’t have
as dominant a duo at defensive ends, overall they do have a good
pass rush so the Giants’ o-line will need to step up. TE Kevin
Boss missed last week, but is expected back and should help provide
a decent outlet for Manning if the line does leak a little. It’s
been pretty clear that Hakeem Nicks is ready to take the next
step as he’s hauled in 4 TD catches in only two games to start
the season. However, the Giants do have plenty of targets in the
passing game, so Nicks could have some quiet weeks if he doesn’t
find the end-zone.
The Titans are the No. 1 rated pass defense in the early season,
but that stat isn’t as impressive when you realize that they have
faced Jason Campbell and Dennis Dixon in the first two games.
The Giants will be a much sterner test this week – and bear in
mind the Titans were terrible against the pass last season.
Running Game Thoughts: Brandon Jacobs
lost his starting spot in Week 1 and his “cool” in Week 2, as
he tossed his helmet into the stands after being berated by HC
Tom Coughlin. Coughlin didn’t like Jacobs dancing around in the
backfield instead of being the North-South runner that made him
so successful in the past. With Jacobs in the doghouse, Ahmad
Bradshaw should further cement his role as the back that sees
the lion’s share of the carries. The fourth year back is a dynamic
runner with surprising power and could be this year’s break out
running back.
The Titans have not allowed a rushing TD yet on the season. They
shut down Darren McFadden until the game was out of reach in Week
1 and followed it up by keeping Rashard Mendenhall at bay in Week
2. Bradshaw combines the speed of McFadden and the strength of
Mendenhall into one package. Perhaps he’ll crack the code this
week.
Projections:
Eli
Manning: 265 yds passing, 2 TDs, 1 Int.
Steve Smith: 40 yds receiving, 1 TD
Mario Manningham: 60 yds receiving
Hakeem Nicks: 75 yds receiving, 1 TD
Kevin
Boss: 25 yds receiving
Brandon
Jacobs: 30 yds rushing / 5 yds receiving
Ahmad
Bradshaw: 115 yds rushing, 1 TD / 50 yds receiving
Prediction: Giants 17 Titans 14
^ Top
Bills @ Patriots
- (Marcoccio)
Passing
Game Thoughts: In 2009, an ineffective Trent Edwards was
benched for journeyman and former Harvard QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Albert Einstein once said "The definition of insanity is doing
the same thing over and over again and expecting different results".
Welcome to the Buffalo Bills version of insanity. Once again the
gun shy Edwards will be sent to the bench in favor of the Ivy
Leaguer. In Chan Gailey’s defense, Fitzpatrick does play with
a lot more passion and moxie than Edwards, and the spark he may
add to the offense, while not likely to provide different results,
may excite the fan base a little and help the Bills offense look
somewhat respectable. Then again, it just may be 2009 all over
again.
The Pats secondary was abused for much of 2009, allowing 25 passing
TDs and 209.7 ypg through the air and has not fared well in 2010
either. With Leigh Bodden’s season ending shoulder injury, the
Pats start a very inexperienced secondary, second year player
Darius Butler and rookie Devin McCourty and they have struggled.
To be fair, the duo did very well against the Bengals talented
wide-outs in Week 1 until the game was well out of hand for he
Bengals and the garbage time stats started piling up. However,
the much maligned Mark Sanchez threw for 225 yards and 3 TDs in
Week 2 against them. Can the Harvard Boy outwit the football genius
Billy Boy’s defensive schemes? While the brain may be willing
the arm isn’t likely to be there.
Running Game Thoughts: Surprisingly
Marshawn Lynch was the featured back in the Buffalo running game
last week. Were the Bills showcasing him in front of potential
suitor Green Bay? Perhaps, but the Bills have been very adamant
in their stance that they are not trading Lynch and Chan Gailey
has stated that Lynch will continue to see a heavy workload while
CJ Spiller gets eased into the offense. Lynch ran hard and performed
reasonably well against a very tough Packer run defense last week,
so he just may be back on the brink of fantasy relevance.
The Patriots played the run effectively in 2009 allowing 110.5
yards per game and incredibly only 6 rushing TDs on the season
and are on a similar pace this year having allowed 111 ypg and
1 TD during the first two weeks.
Projections:
Ryan
Fitzpatrick: 185 yds passing, 2 Ints. / 10 yards rushing
Lee Evans: 40 yds receiving
Steve Johnson: 60 yds receiving
Jonathan Stupar: 15 yds receiving
C.J. Spiller: 15 yds rushing / 30 yds receiving
Fred Jackson: 35 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving
Marshawn
Lynch: 85 yds rushing, 1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: Tom Brady threw for a respectable 245 yards
and 2 TDs last week, however he did the majority of his damage
in the first half and was highly ineffective in the second half.
The Jets flustered Brady with a fierce pass rush and shifting
coverages, making him look far worse than he has in years. Sometimes
these things happen and his owners should not panic. In his favor,
Brady may have the best collection of skill players surrounding
him that he has had in his entire career. Everyone knows about
Moss and Welker of course, but two the rookie TEs drafted by New
England have become vital parts of the Pats passing attack. Rob
Gronkowski is being used as a nice red zone option and Aaron Hernandez
is being used as a hybrid slot WR ala Dallas Clark. Hernandez
may see a further increase in targets now that RB Kevin Faulk
has been lost for the year.
The Bills pass defense has not been as effective as last season
when they finished second in the league against the pass allowing
only 184.3 ypg and 14 TDs with 29 interceptions. They have yet
to grab an interception so far and allowed two Aaron Rodgers TD
passes last week. If the Bills stand any chance to pull the upset
this week they will need to shut down the Pats passing game and
force them into a ground attack. While the Bills have only slightly
improved their putrid run defense, New England lacks a dynamic
runner to take advantage.
Running Game Thoughts: Fred Taylor
was able to gain 71 yards against a tough Bengal defense in Week
1, but only received limited carries against an even tougher Jet
defense in Week 2. For those keeping track, it was BenJarvis Green-Ellis
last week who was the primary ball carrier in the Pat RB rotation,
albeit with only 10 carries. Sammy Morris is expected to take
over Kevin Faulk’s third down role which may give him a small
amount of value in ppr leagues.
Projections:
Tom
Brady: 265 yds passing 2 TDs
Randy
Moss: 95 yds receiving, 1 TD
Wes Welker: 60 yds receiving
Rob Gronkowski: 25 yds receiving, 1 TD
Aaron
Hernadez: 60 yds receiving
Fred
Taylor: 55 yds rushing / 15 yds receiving
Sammy
Morris: 15 yds rushing / 45 yds receiving
BenJarvis Green-Ellis: 40 yds rushing, 1 TD
Prediction: Patriots 24 Bills 13
^ Top
Browns @ Ravens
- (Autry)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Seneca Wallace replaced an injured Jake
Delhomme last week and, all things considered, played okay. But
now he faces a Baltimore defense that will most certainly enter
the contest with a chip on its shoulder. Holding a potentially
explosive Cincinnati offense to just five field goals in the Bengals’
backyard says a lot about a defense with huge question marks in
the secondary. But the Ravens lost that game. A surprising 2nd-ranked
pass defense will make for a tough day for Wallace.
Ray Lewis indicated during an interview this week that the Ravens
must be concerned about Wallace’s running ability. Truth be told,
that’s the only way Wallace will pose a threat to Baltimore. His
passing ability is suspect and he’s without a formidable receiving
threat on the outside. So even though Baltimore’s (supposed) most
glaring weakness is its pass defense, the Browns have no weapons
capable of exploiting it. Like most Baltimore games, this will
prove to be a low-scoring affair. Wallace and his targets will
struggle mightily in this game.
Running Game Thoughts: As of Thursday
evening, starting RB Jerome Harrison has yet to practice. Chances
are good that he will sit this one out with a thigh injury, meaning
Peyton Hillis will likely get the start. Of the four TDs Cleveland
has scored so far this season, Hillis has two. His physical, between-the-tackles
kind of play may be better suited to counter Baltimore’s stifling
run defense. Hillis, surprisingly, is active in the passing game
too. His seven receptions are tied for the team lead with Ben
Watson. Hillis will be active in the game plan, but that more
than likely still won’t lead to the kind of production suitable
for a start. Also, expect Josh Cribbs to get a few carries out
of the Wildcat formation. But steer clear of this fantasy wasteland;
there is no Cleveland Brown worth a start this week.
Projections:
Seneca
Wallace – 155 yards / 0 TDs / 2 INTs
Peyton
Hillis – 40 yards rushing / 25 yards rec.
Mohamed Massaquoi – 45 yards
Chansi Stuckey – 35 yards
Josh
Cribbs – 15 yards rec. / 20 yards rushing
Ben Watson – 25 yards
Passing
Game Thoughts: Joe Flacco was a popular pick heading into
fantasy drafts this year, based largely on his productive season
in 2009. This time last year, Flacco had five TDs and only two
INTs; after two games in 2010, he has one TD and five INTs. That’s
not the stuff that productive fantasy QBs are made of. This week,
though, we should see Flacco and the Ravens offense in full bloom.
Cleveland’s pass defense is really nothing special, but they’ve
held the Bucs and Chiefs to a combined 33 points through the first
two games. Neither team, however, poses the kind of dual threat
that Baltimore does, and neither team has a receiver that can
match Anquan Boldin’s ability.
Boldin was brought in to add a physical dimension to Baltimore’s
passing attack. Even though he has yet to score, Boldin has shown
the brilliance that made him a fantasy football staple during
his time Arizona. He leads the team in receptions with 12, and
that should continue this week. Expect Boldin’s best game so far
this year. TE Todd Heap should show up too. Keep in mind that
Cleveland allowed Kansas City’s TE Tony Moeaki (who?) to have
a fairly productive day last week.
Running Game Thoughts: It was a foregone conclusion that Ray
Rice’s receptions would go down once Anquan Boldin joined
the team. Rice was a rushing and receiving fool last year, leading
the Ravens in both categories in 2009. So far in ’10, he’s
yet to pay dividends on the top-5 pick many used on him this summer.
His 3.5 ypc won’t make fantasy owners feel comfortable with
him. And take away his longest run of 30 yards and that average
drops to an embarrassing 2.7 ypc. Cleveland ranks 25th in the
league against the run this year, but they have yet to surrender
a rushing TD. Rice is way too valuable to bench, though. This
could be a game where Rice gets 25-30 carries. With that kind
of action, he’s bound to reward patient owners with a stellar
game.
Projections:
Joe
Flacco – 220 yards / 2 TDs
Ray
Rice – 80 yards / 1 TD
Anquan
Boldin – 115 yards / 1 TDs
Derrick
Mason – 40 yards
T.J.
Houshmandzadeh – 20 yards
Todd
Heap – 45 yards / 1 TD
Prediction: Baltimore 24, Cleveland 9 ^ Top
Lions @ Vikings
- (Autry)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Shaun Hill stunk up the joint for about
three-fourths of the game last week before heating up late. He
finished with a very respectable 335/2/2. I still wouldn’t touch
him with a 10-foot fantasy pole, but it’s good to see that he
finally realized that it’s legal to throw to #81, Calvin Johnson.
Calvin had a goose egg in his stat line for most of last week’s
game. He recovered nicely, but those flirtations with below-average
performances churn the stomach a bit.
Nate Burleson injured an ankle early in last week’s game and
probably won’t play. Whether or not that’s bad news for Calvin
is debatable. Burleson’s not much of a talent that defenses would
give him the kind of attention that would leave Calvin one-on-one.
In fact, head coach Jim Schwartz mentioned in an interview this
week that Philly’s secondary concentrated so much on Calvin that
second-year TE Brandon Pettigrew had his best game as a pro. Expect
Minnesota to do the same thing. Minnesota’s front four enters
this game with only three sacks so far this season. They will
harass Hill coming off the bus; expect them to match that number
in this contest. It’s imperative, however, that Detroit’s O-line
keep Hill upright.
Running Game Thoughts: Okay, quick:
Who leads all RBs in fantasy points so far this year? Who has
the most receptions by a RB so far this year? It’s Jahvid Best.
While fellow rookie Ryan Mathews got all the notoriety heading
into the season relative to possible Rookie of the Year honors,
practically no one mentioned Best. This kid has been lighting
it up both on the ground and through the air. He’s turned into
a must-start regardless of opponent already. And sure, Minnesota
has a tough run defense, but Best is on fire right now.
Forget Calvin Johnson; this kid is now the centerpiece of the
offense. His running and receiving skills make him a valuable
commodity regardless of who else he plays with. Yes, the Lions
are on the road; yes, it’s in Minnesota—a place in
which they haven’t played well in a decade; yes, we’re
talking about the Detroit Lions here. But all of that aside, Jahvid
Best has proven his fantasy (and NFL) worth; put him and keep
him in your line-up until further notice.
Projections:
Shaun
Hill – 170 yards / 2 TD / 2 INTs
Jahvid
Best – 65 yards rushing / 35 yards rec. / 1 rushing TD
Calvin
Johnson – 70 yards / 1 TD
Bryant Johnson – 35 yards
Brandon
Pettigrew – 25 yards /1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: I’ll start by saying this: 41 years old
is 41 years old. And to think that someone so “mature” can continue
to defy father time while playing one of the most grueling sports
in the history of forever is grossly optimistic. Brett Favre is
toast. History. He may have a good game here or there in 2010,
but the 2009 version is getting smaller and smaller in our rearview
mirror. His lack of a receiving threat has been talked about endlessly,
and couple that with an aching soon-to-be 41-year-old body and
we’re looking at a trainwreck of a QB.
What’s more, the Detroit Lions quietly have one of the most disruptive
front fours in the league. The Lions are second in the league—SECOND!!!—with
nine sacks. They will get after Favre all day and force him into
Favre-like mistakes. Several interceptions are not out of the
realm of possibility. Percy Harvin returned to practice this week,
but his fragility has been well documented. Bernard Berrian is…well…Bernard
Berrian. Visanthe Shiancoe is the only viable threat for Favre.
Shiancoe should get the lion’s share of Favre’s attention. Expect
a good game from the TE. Other than that, tread lightly around
the Vikings this week. It could get ugly.
Running Game Thoughts: Adrian Peterson
has been the Adrian Peterson we’ve come to know and appreciate.
He’s averaging just under 5 ypc this year and has been the real
cornerstone of this offense. Even though they’re 0-2, things would
look much worse if not for A.P. And A.P. loves playing against
the Lions. In six career games, he’s averaged 104 yards rushing
and scored five total TDs. There’s no reason to believe he won’t
get an opportunity to put up similar numbers this week. It was
a telling sign that Minnesota’s last six plays were running plays
to Peterson last week. He’s the bellcow for this offense, and
as he goes, so go the Vikings. Expect 25+ carries from Peterson
this week.
Projections:
Brett Favre – 200 yards / 1 TD / 2 INTs
Adrian Peterson – 110 yards / 1 TD
Percy Harvin – 65 yards
Bernard Berrian – 30 yards
Visanthe Shiancoe – 85 yards / 1 TD
Prediction: Detroit 24, Minnesota 20 ^ Top
Packers @ Bears
- (Autry)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers had one of those strangely
quiet 3-TD games last week. You’re watching the game then look
up at its conclusion and realize…dang, he threw for how many yards?
I suppose that’s the reaction when a highly-drafted player meets
expectations. Rodgers has a boatload of talented receivers at
his disposal, and he makes them all viable fantasy options at
certain intervals during the season. The three main cogs—Greg
Jennings, Donald Driver, Jermichael Finley—are as gifted a trio
as any in the league. Look for this game to be high scoring, giving
these three weapons ample opportunity to produce quality fantasy
points.
Chicago’s pass defense is one of those bend-but-don’t-break
units. They’re ranked 27th in the league against the pass
but have surrendered only one passing TD. That’s odd. I
think Rodgers will do damage in both categories on Monday night.
Look for a great game from Rodgers in front of a national TV audience.
Running Game Thoughts: How did
head coach Mike McCarthy turn into a RBBC guy all of a sudden?
In years past, McCarthy stuck with one main RB. With Ryan Grant
out for the year, many expected that trend to continue with Brandon
Jackson. Well, after witnessing a virtual split of the carries
in week 2 between Jackson and John Kuhn, Jackson owners now find
themselves knee-deep in an unsuspecting RBBC. Ouch. It probably
wouldn’t matter much this week anyway. Chicago has the league’s
top-ranked run defense, having given up a paltry 56 yards through
two games (a 1.4 ypc average). This game will be won or lost with
Rodgers chucking the rock all over the field. Jackson may get
you a few points with receptions, but expect nothing much beyond
that.
Projections:
Aaron Rodgers – 275 yards / 3 TDs
Brandon Jackson – 40 yards
Greg Jennings – 120 yards / 2 TDs
Donald Driver – 70 yards
Jermichael Finley – 55 yards / 1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: I’ll be the first to admit that so far,
Jay Cutler has proven me wrong. I thought he would struggle during
his first year orchestrating the Mike Martz offense. Not only
has he not struggled; only Peyton Manning has scored more fantasy
points so far this season. Gone are the careless interceptions.
Gone is the perceived nonchalant demeanor on the field. In other
words, Cutler is in charge and in full control of this offense.
Green Bay’s defense should give him his toughest test yet in
2010. They’re the 3rd-ranked pass defense and have given up just
one TD pass. Cutler must remain poised and not allow the defense
to dictate what he does. Cutler’s no-name group of receivers should
do fine this game. Look for Johnny Knox and Greg Olsen to have
huge games this week.
Running Game Thoughts: Matt Forte
was a bargain coming into this season. His subpar allowed him
to be had at a steal during draft season, and the only thing he’s
done so far is lead the league’s RBs in receiving yards. Forte
hasn’t done a lot on the ground, averaging less than 3 ypc. But
only four teams have given up more rushing yards than Green Bay
so far this season, so perhaps this could be Forte’s chance to
put up nice rushing totals. Keep in mind, though, that it’s his
role in the passing game that makes him so valuable. Everyone
knew Martz is notorious for incorporating RBs in his scheme, so
it should be no big surprise that Forte has been a surprise. While
his rushing numbers could go either way, look for Forte to be
among team leaders in receptions at the conclusion of the game.
Projections:
Jay
Cutler – 285 yards / 2 TDs / 1 INT
Matt
Forte – 70 yards rushing / 35 yards rec.
Devin Aromashodu – 80 yards / 1 TD
Johnny
Knox – 55 yards
Devin Hester – 30 yards
Greg
Olsen – 65 yards / 1 TD
Prediction: Green Bay 31, Chicago
20 ^ Top
49ers @ Chiefs
- (Eakin)
Passing
Game Thoughts: It was great to see QB Alex Smith lead a
game-tying fourth quarter drive on the defending champions. Was
that the moment he needed to clear the hump? We won’t know until
we see him prove he can consistently avoid the down swings. We
won’t know until Sunday, on the road, in a hostile environment,
against a surprise (2-0) young Chiefs team. AT (0-2), there are
few moral victories left for the Niner’s this campaign. At Seattle,
in the other loudest stadium in the league, their offense struggled
with communication, in getting plays in on time and having time
to make pre-snap adjustments. They must start there. Second, one
catch for 32 yards is not going to get it done for Michael Crabtree.
The guy is lightning with the ball after the catch, and shame
on them if they don’t find more ways to take advantage of it.
Look for Crabtree to begin turning his season around this week.
Antonio Gates proved in week one that talented TEs can find room
to operate in the Chiefs secondary. Vernon Davis has the same
type of skill set that Smith can lean on to keep the chains moving.
In a hostile place, QBs often find their TEs first. Davis will
continue to roll. Few RBs are better utilized in the passing game
than Frank Gore is. Along with Davis, he will be a quick outlet
option to save Smith from a fired up pass rush that will be getting
good jumps thanks to the crowd noise.
Running Game Thoughts: Gore is looking
like the third best RB in the league behind Johnson and Peterson.
If he stays healthy, he’s right up as the leader of the second
tier. They need another big day from him to establish control
of the game and keep his QB out of must pass situations. LB Derrick
Johnson and DE Glenn Dorsey has been the key to the Chiefs early
defensive stinginess. Two great college prospects that have had
perplexingly poor starts to their careers. Despite their turn
around, if Gore can eat up the Saints, his chances are good to
find room to roam again behind his rapidly improving offensive
line.
Projections:
Alex Smith: 215 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Michael Crabtree: 65 yds/1 TD
Josh Morgan: 40 yds
Vernon Davis: 85 yds
Frank Gore: 110 yds/35 yds rec/2 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: Like the Niners with Crabtree, despite hanging
their hat on a running game, I don’t think the Chiefs can keep
things going without WR Dwayne Bowe getting more involved. If
Bowe begins to stretch the field, then their duo of Jamal Charles
and Dexter McCluster will have more space where they become elite
playmakers. Without Bowe Defense’s crowd up and shut them down.
The 49ers are a tough matchup for the Chiefs struggling pass attack.
CB Nate Clements can be a tough cover. The safeties stay disciplined
to protect them from the type of big plays Bowe thrives on, nor
have the chiefs shown a desire to force it. Keep an eye out for
unknown TE Tony Moeaki. With eight receptions for 80 yards through
two weeks, he has flashed the athletism it takes to stick as a
quality NFL tight end. To beat the 49ers, the Charlie Wies would
be wise to take apge from the Saints playbook when they were able
to beat MLB Patrick Willis trying to cover Reggie Bush out of
the backfield. Seems like Jamal Charles could be used in similar
fashion if, you know, Thomas Jones needs a breather from all his
3-yard plunges.
Running Game Thoughts: Speaking
of 3-yard plunges, HC Todd Haley wasn’t kidding when he named
Thomas Jones the starter. Jones saw double the carries over Charles
in Cleveland week two, finishing with 83 yards on 22 carries for
3.9 yards per pop. Look, if Haley can watch now unemployed Larry
Johnson lunge for under three yards per carry for half of 2009,
he must be downright thrilled watching Jones. Granted the numbers
were skewed by Jones getting the final 6-carries of the game to
seal the victory, the mystery of how Charles doesn’t see 15-20
touches per game when he is averaging over 8 yards per touch continues
for a second straight year. The Chiefs will not be able to lineup
and run right at the stout 49er run defense with much success.
Projections:
Matt Cassel: 175 yds/1 TD
Dwayne
Bowe: 50 yds
Chris Chambers: 40 yds
Tony
Moeaki: 40 yds
Thomas
Jones: 50 yds rushing
Jamaal Charles: 40 yds/30 yds rec/1 TD
Prediction: San Francisco 24 Chiefs 20 ^ Top
Redskins @ Rams
- (Eakin)
Passing
Game Thoughts: QB Donovan McNabb looks like a good bet
to go off again after torching the Texans to the tune of 428 yards
and a score. He would have matched Schaub had a long bomb not
slipped between WR Joey Galloway’s outstretched hands on a 50
plus yard bomb in the end zone. In two outing McNabb is now 43
for 70 with 597 yards, 1 TD and no picks. Someone forgot to tell
Galloway 38 year olds aren’t supposed to average 30 yards per
reception. The man can still stretch the field and few throw the
deep ball as well as McNabb. One has to think that at some point,
they will need Devin Thomas to help out, but judging from the
whispers of them shopping for Vincent Jackson’s services, even
the Redskins brass seems to have their doubts. Until then, we’ll
play “these are the 1990’s” with the Redskin offense. Santana
Moss has been impressive as the go to guy on the outside. He has
always been explosive but it’s his short and intermediate work
that shows a diversity in his game that was previous either missing
or underutilized.
The Rams lack difference makers in the secondary to slow the
Redskins down. If they double Moss then TEs Chris Cooley and Fred
Davis will torch them. They must get pressure on Donovan. The
Redskin O-line can be beat, especially if impressive rookie LT
Trent Williams can’t play on his sore knee. His status is questionable
as of now. DE Chris Long is still in search of his first sack
and could use the help but he usually lines up over the right
tackle.
Running Game Thoughts: Even Mike
Shanahan has yet to turnaround a running game that has struggled
in recent years. Portis is savvy but can’t break off yards in
chunks anymore. On Monday his back up, Larry Johnson was released
making Keiland Williams an interesting player to watch. Portis
is not beyond getting nicked up, and Shanny has a history of making
unknown prospects into household names. Williams showed some burst
in the preseason and is one Portis nick or twist from being relevant.
Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 350 yds/2 TDs/1 INT
Santana Moss: 90 yds
Joey Galloway: 65 yds/1 TD
Chris Cooley: 70 yds/1 TD
Clinton Portis: 65 yds rushing/20 yds rec/1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: It’s a great sign for the Rams that rookie
QB Sam Bradford is already the equivalent of an average NFL QB
after just two games. The Next ten years suddenly look hopeful.
The passing attack lacks a legitimate WR1. Mark Clayton is off
to a good start as the lead guy, but he’s not a special talent.
The Raiders held him to two catches, both happened to be scores
and both when Nnamdi Asomugha was on the other side of coverage.
WR Danny Amendola and RB Steven Jackson serve as the lead underneath
routes. The Rams lack a playmaker at TE so they throw a high percentage
of balls to their wide outs. This presents a problem when facing
a team like Washington that has a pair of CBs capable of shutting
them down. TE Daniel Fells is the best receiving TE on the roster,
which isn’t saying much but all Ram receivers should post numbers
equal or better than their season average in another likely shootout.
Running Game Thoughts: RB Steven
Jackson is getting his 19-20 carries and four receptions per game
but is down in yards. He looks healthy so it’s up to scheme and
blockers to improve his totals. The Skins are 8th against the
run thus far while the Rams are just 24th in rushing offense.
LB Rocky McIntosh is off to a great start in transitioning to
the new 3-4 scheme. He will be key in following Jackson and should
continue racking up tackles.
Projections:
Sam Bradford: 250 yds/1 TDs/2 INT
Mark Clayton: 70 yds/1 TD
Danny Amendola: 45 yds
Daniel Fells: 35 yds
Steven Jackson: 85 yds rushing/40 yds rec/1 TD
Prediction: Washington 27 St. Louis 20 ^ Top
Chargers @ Seahawks
- (Eakin)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Should be a typically stellar day for Philip
Rivers and all his targets if they can overcome the Seattle crowd.
The Chargers are 6th in passing facing the Hawks 26ht ranked pass
defense. Rivers will always have TE Antonio Gates who has picked
up where he left off last year and is even more targeted without
Vincent Jackson around. Malcom Floyd showed he can be the deep
threat they needed when not playing in a rainstorm. He hit on
a long go routes for a score late in last weeks blowout albeit
after the Jaguars had long since waived the white flag and inserted
some reserves. On the downside, week one star Legedu Naanee was
absent with just one catch. This looks like a Saints type offense
where it will be difficult to guess which WR will have the production
due to Rivers ability to spread the love around.
DE Chris Clemons is the best pass rusher in the Seattle front
seven. He needs to make the Chargers miss holdout LT Marcus McNeil.
If the Hawks can keep the crowd loud and get good jumps off the
ball, they have a chance to frustrate Rivers much like the Chiefs
did opening night. They could use some of that Seattle rain for
good measure.
Running Game Thoughts: Ryan Mathews
announced Wednesday that he has a high ankle sprain. After seeing
the play where his body was pretzled ala Napoleon McAllum style,
it could have been much worse. That said, he hasn’t practiced
and these sprains can sometimes last weeks. With the solid performance
of Mike Tolbert in his stay, I’m not confident the Chargers will
be in any hurry to rush him back. Keep a contingency plan on hand,
in case Mathews is a game day scratch. Seattle is 5th against
the run early on, so Mathews on a sore ankle is not a lock for
a big day anyways.
Predictions:
Philip
Rivers: 300 yds/2TDs/1 INT
Malcom
Floyd: 65 yds
Legedu
Naanee: 55 yds/1 TD
Antonio
Gates: 90 yds/1 TD
Ryan
Mathews/Mike
Tolbert: 90 yds rushing/2 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: after a hot start, it looked like QB Matt
Hasselbeck made a few costly mistake in Denver. He should get
back on track a little at home. The Chargers don’t create a lot
of pressure but they can cover on the outside. Expect CB Quentin
Jammer to keep WR Mike Williams under wraps. Where the Seahawks
can attack is the shaky San Diego safeties. TE John Carlson could
be a weapon but hasn’t shown anything thus far. Rookie Golden
Tate is the wild card. He is starting to get some time at WR2.
I like is chances to creates some havoc with the ball on some
drags and screens. Not sure Eric Weddle can bring Tate down in
the open field.
Running Game Thoughts: Much like
last year and similar to the Jamal Charles situation, RB Justin
Forsett is biting off over 5-yards per carry but can’t get any
volume. Yes, the Jones brothers remain the league’s biggest jock-blockers
to fantasy goodness. This remains a RBBC until further notice,
but Forsett is slowly rising as the season progresses and could
pay dividends for patient owners who can stash him away. Just
don’t play him yet. According to my math even at 5.5 ypc, ten
carries only nets 55 yards.
Projections:
Matt
Hasselbeck: 220 yds/1 TD/2 INT
Mike
Williams: 60 yds/1 TD
Deion
Branch: 40 yds
John
Carlson: 30 yds
Justin
Forsett: 60 yds/25 rec/1 TD
Prediction: Chargers 27 Seahawks
17 ^ Top
Colts @ Broncos
- (Eakin)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Start all your Colts. The Manning led pass
attack is well oiled. The only negative has been the slow start
of Pierre Garçon. I still start him as a solid WR2 regardless.
He won’t be held down all year and I think this is a good time
for the numbers to average out with a big outing. Both starting
CBs for the Denver Broncos, Champ Bailey and Andre Goodman, are
questionable to play. If they do play, they may not be at full
strength. The lack of a Denver pass rush will mean trouble for
Denver. Wayne may have a slight off day facing Champ, but you’re
not sitting him in any situation. Dallas Clark and Austin Collie
are better athletes than the Denver Safeties and will continue
finding room to roll.
Running Game Thoughts: It‘s a great
sigh of relief for Colt fans seeing them run right through the
Giants last week. Something they weren’t able to do all of 2009.
They Giants came out in Nickel and dared them to run. Judging
from how unsuccessful the strategy was, I don’t expect the Broncos
to duplicate it, thus the Colts are not likely to run as much
as last week. Addai is expected to play despite being on the injured
list for a sore knee. His numbers come from receptions and scoring
so he can be inconsistent. With the surprising emergence of Donald
Brown last week, Addai’s value as a fantasy starter is riskier
than normal. Keep him as a flex RB3 until their usage works itself
out.
Projections:
Peyton
Manning: 325 yds/3 TDs
Reggie
Wayne: 80 yds
Pierre
Garcon: 70 yds/1 TD
Austin
Collie: 40 yds
Dallas
Clark: 75 yds/1 TD
Joseph
Addai: 35 yds/30 rec/1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: Kyle Orton is the ninth ranked fantasy QB
after two weeks ahead of Tony Romo, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, and
Joe Flacco. The Broncos are a passing team until Knowshon Moreno
can improve upon his 2.8 yards per carry. Welcome to the NFL Demaryius
Thomas Wow! The rookie comes in without a preseason and training
camp, after playing in a run heavy option attack in college, and
simply posts a top ten all-time opening game by a receiver in
the history of the NFL with eight receptions for 97 yards and
a score. Fans can begin to forgive the Broncos for picking him
over Dez Bryant in the draft. One game does not make a career,
but at 6-3 229lbs and sub 4.5 speed, he has an elite skill set
as a base line. His emergence probably ends the tease of Brandon
Lloyd as a fantasy option most, and takes some scoring value from
Gaffney. He may have the opposite effect for slot man Eddie Royal,
if teams start to roll coverage towards Thomas. The Broncos will
try to score with the Colts, but are not quite in the same class
on defense to win.
Running Game Thoughts: At first
glance, it appears RB Knowshon Moreno is off to a good start.
A closer look brings skepticism. As mentioned earlier, his yards
per carry must improve or we will begin to see some Laurence Maroney
in the mix. What Moreno has done is score in each game and makes
some plays in the passing game. There’s no question the Broncos
want to see their first rounder pan out and will want to run against
the Colts to keep Manning off the field. This is a big test for
Moreno to prove he is a reliable piece of the pie moving forward.
Editor's Note: Knowshon Moreno has been ruled
out for Week 3. Correll Buckhalter and Laurence Maroney are expected
to handle the rushing duties against the Colts.
Projections:
Kyle
Orton: 271 yds/2 TD/1 INT
Eddie
Royal: 70 yds
Demaryius
Thomas: 60 yds/1 TD
Jabar
Gaffney: 40 yds/1 TD
Correll
Buckhalter / Laurence
Maroney: 70 yds/35 rec/1 TD
Prediction: Colts 34 Broncos 24 ^ Top
Raiders @ Cardinals
- (Eakin)
Passing
Game Thoughts: For whatever reason Jason Campbell just
can’t get it done. He’s always been a guy that looks the part,
but seems to be missing the “it” factor, call it moxie I guess.
After a slow start, the Raiders were quick with the hook. Probably
too quick. Enter Bruce Gradkowski. He’s the antithesis of Campbell.
A fiery guy that gets everything out of his more limited skills.
He’s a spark off the bench to use a basketball analogy. Gradkowski
has shown some flashes in his career but battled injuries and
inconsistency. What makes him attractive is that he was able to
get Heyward-Bey and Murphy involved in the offense where all others
have failed. However, it’s a little bit of the chicken or the
egg argument. Were the openings on the outside a result of the
long awaited breakout of McFadden, forcing defenses to bite on
play action or was it the arm of Bruce? If all goes well, Campbell
may have to wait a long time to find out. The next step for this
offense, beyond continuing getting the ball to the WRs, will be
getting TE Zach Miller more involved. When that happens then Raiders
will have a balance on offense capable of competing with anyone
in the West.
Running Game Thoughts: Great game
by McFadden last week. After two games, Run DMC has posted 300
total yards offense. A sure sign that the game is slowing down
for him is that he’s making people miss and getting yards after
contact. His straight-line running has always been the knock on
him in the past. It looks like preseason favorite Michael Bush
should return this week after missing the first two games with
a thumb surgery. Bush has shown promise with limited opportunity,
but he will not get many carries while McFadden is running well.
Expect him to occasionally to occasionally spell McFadden and
get some short yardage work.
Projections:
Bruce Gradkowski: 220 yds/1 TD/ 10 yds rush
Darren McFadden: 80 yds/1 TD/ 30 yds rec
Louis Murphy: 70 yds/ 1 TD
Darrius Heyward-Bey: 40 yds
Zach Miller: 50 yds
Passing
Game Thoughts: The Cards are in a quandary. QB Derek Anderson
isn’t the first half of 2007 breakout guy that made him and Braylon
Edwards rich and perennial teases. Despite Fitz leading the league
in targets, he has yet to get going. It won’t help matters being
lined up against shutdown star Nnamdi Asomugha. After sending
Leinart packing, the only other QBs on the roster are rookies
with promise but aren’t ready. At (1-1) the Cards can’t yet throw
the season away to bring on the Max Hall era. He relieved Anderson
late last week and promptly threw an interception on his first
attempt. For now, Anderson remains the starter with a short leash.
As soon as they are out of the playoff race, Hall will be in.
Either way, the value of Fitz and Breaston take a hit from preseason
expectations. Another rookie of note, Stephen Williams, who made
quite a splash in preseason, caught two balls for 27 yards in
place of Early Doucet. In “Derek Andersonese” that translates
to 4-for-54. Not bad.
Running Game Thoughts: Tune in for a new episode of “Days
of our Beanie Wells”, or is it “As the Beanie Turns”?
Either way, it’s a long running soap providing countless
hours of drama and intrigue. Just when his patient or not so patient
fans were ready to unwrap the 230-pound bundle of speed and power,
HC Ken Whisenhunt warns fans “…Beanie is not in football
shape…and not to expect 15-20 carries…” Tim
Hightower is still the play here and should post a good all around
game running and receiving. Big game for both teams. The winner
here has some hope and the loser plays the next few weeks with
their back against the wall.
Projections:
Derek
Anderson: 240 yds/1 TD/1 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 75 yds/1 TD
Steve Breaston: 55 yds
Stephen
Williams: 40 yds
Tim Hightower: 65 yds/ 35 rec/1 TD
Prediction: Raiders 24 Cards 20 ^ Top
Falcons @ Saints
- (Kilroy)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Matt Ryan has gotten off to a pretty good
start this year as he’s completed 63.2% of his pass attempts with
3 touchdowns and just 1 interception. The interception came in
a Week 1 loss against the highly regarded Pittsburgh Steelers
defense. They also held him to zero touchdowns, but allowed him
to throw for more than 250 yards. Last week, against the Cardinals,
Ryan had a terrific outing. He threw for 225 yards while completing
65% of his passes with 3 touchdowns and zero turnovers in leading
the Falcons to a 41-7 victory. In both of those games Ryan has
made excellent use of his primary target, Roddy White.
In Week 1 White was dialed up to the tune of 13 receptions for
111 receiving yards. He followed it up with a 7 catch, 78 yard
outing in which he hauled in his first touchdown pass of the season.
Against the Saints this week White stands an excellent chance
of again totaling 5 or more receptions while producing 80 or more
yards receiving. He’ll also have a strong opportunity of
coming away with another score as the Falcons will likely have
to put up no less than 21 points to come away with a win on the
road against the Saints.
Another candidate to come away with a solid outing is Tony Gonzalez.
He has just 4 receptions for 54 yards through two games up to
this point, but he’s bound to produce sooner or later. This week’s
contest against New Orleans is likely to be his best performance
in the early goings of his 2010 campaign.
Running Game Thoughts: Michael
Turner finished last week’s outing with just 9 carries, albeit
for 75 yards, before being forced to the sidelines with a groin
injury. In his place Jason Snelling stepped in and carried the
ball 24 times for 129 yards and 2 touchdowns. Snelling’s most
recent opportunity appears to be short lived, however, as Michael
Turner is expected to be back in action this Sunday.
Turner participated fully in Thursday’s practice and has
been cleared to play against the Saints. Snelling may touch the
ball a handful of times this week, but Turner will get the bulk
of the carries and should finish with 80 or more yards rushing
and a possible score. If the Falcons can keep the game within
reach Turner should go over the 100-yard mark as it would allow
Atlanta to lean more heavily on their rushing attack as a means
of limiting the amount of time Drew Brees gets on the field.
Projections:
Matt Ryan – 245 yards passing / 2 TDs / 0 INTs
Michael Turner – 80 yards rushing / 0 TDs
Jason Snelling – 15 yards rushing / 0 TDs
Roddy
White – 105 yards receiving / 1 TD
Harry Douglas – 35 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Tony
Gonzalez – 70 yards receiving / 1 TD
Passing
Game Thoughts: Brees hasn’t had any breakout performances
yet (or at least not by the standards owners have come to expect
from him) in games against the Minnesota Vikings and San Francisco
49ers, but he has been very efficient. He’s completed 74.3% of
passes while throwing for 491 yards and 3 touchdowns with zero
interceptions. The Falcons meanwhile have defended the pass well
(0 touchdowns allowed, 4 interceptions), but have done so against
the likes of Dennis Dixon, Derek Anderson, and Max Hall. Brees
will be the first opponent to really test them – making it unlikely
they hold another quarterback to under 200 yards passing and zero
touchdowns.
In his two outing against the Falcons last season, Brees averaged
over 300 passing yards per game with 5 touchdowns and just 1 interception.
In all likelihood he will come close to matching or exceeding
those figures again this Sunday.
Running Game Thoughts: After suffering
a broken fibula in last week’s contest against the San Francisco
49ers, Reggie Bush is expected to miss the next 6 weeks of action,
which leaves Pierre Thomas as the only experienced back remaining
on the defending Super Bowl Champions roster of a year ago (Mike
Bell left via free agency and Lynell Hamilton is on the IR).
In the wake of Bush’s injury the Saints have signed Ladell
Betts to provide depth at the position, but it stands to reason
Thomas will function as New Orleans every down back in the meantime
– or at least until Betts has another week to digest the
Saints playbook.
Thomas has struggled on the ground this season, averaging just
3.2 yards per carry on 37 rushing attempts, but has been a worthwhile
option as a receiver out of the backfield. He has been targeted
11 times in the passing game and has managed to haul in all 11
of the balls that have been thrown his way. With Reggie Bush out
of action he is likely to be targeted even more as a receiver
and should prove successful in doing so. As for his level of productivity
on the ground he still has a lot to prove. The Falcons are allowing
opponents to average 5.9 yards per carry against them, however,
so Thomas is likely to have a much better outing this week than
he has had in games against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Arizona
Cardinals.
Projections:
Drew
Brees – 290 yards passing / 3 TDs / 0 INTs
Pierre Thomas – 75 yards rushing / 1 TD / 35 yards receiving
/ 1 TD
Marques Colston – 100 yards receiving / 1 TD
Devery Henderson – 60 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Robert Meachem – 35 yards receiving / 1 TD
Jeremy Shockey – 45 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Prediction: New Orleans 34, Atlanta 20 ^ Top
Bengals @ Panthers
- (Kilroy)
Passing
Game Thoughts: The Bengals aerial attacked looked strong
in their season opener against the Patriots as Carson Palmer tallied
345 yards through the air with 2 touchdowns added in for good
measure. In last week’s contest against the Ravens however, and
not unexpectedly, the results were far different.
Palmer threw the ball 35 times, but completed just 16 of those
attempts for 167 yards. Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens were
also held in check as they totaled 7 receptions for 101 yards
with no scores after having produced a total of 19 receptions,
1 touchdown, and 212 receiving yards between the two of them a
week earlier. This week Cincinnati finds themselves on the road
against the Carolina Panthers and are likely to have results closer
to matching their Week 1 efforts as opposed to their underwhelming
performance from last Sunday.
The Panthers are currently allowing opponents to average 218
passing yards per game against them and the 5 touchdown passes
they have surrendered ranks them worst in the league within that
category. Furthermore, with Panthers rookie Jimmy Clausen making
the first NFL start of his career, the Bengals offense will have
more opportunities to put points on the board as Clausen is bound
to make some rookie mistakes resulting in a number of turnovers
and more three-and-out series than a veteran at the position would
likely produce. Carson Palmer, Ochocinco, and Terrell Owens should
all be considered worthwhile starts this week. Jordan Shipley
should also continue being considered in PPR leagues.
Running Game Thoughts: Cedric Benson
is off to sluggish start this season averaging just 3.2 yards
per carry on 38 attempts for a total of 121 yards rushing. With
the Panthers limiting opponents to only 3.0 yards per carry themselves
however, it’s doubtful Benson’s fortunes are about to change any
time soon.
The best chance Benson has at being productive this week is for
his team to have a big lead by midway through the third quarter
which would enable him to carry the ball 25-30 times. Even then
he still may not pass the 100-yard plateau which means he’d
have to find the end zone in order to provide his fantasy owners
with something better than an 8-10 point outing.
Projections:
Carson Palmer – 270 yards passing / 2 TDs / 0 INTs
Cedric Benson – 80 yards rushing / 0 TDs
Chad Ochocinco – 85 yards receiving / 1 TD
Terrell Owens – 90 yards receiving / 1 TD
Jordan Shipley – 50 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Jermaine Gresham – 20 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: The Panthers passing attack was so dismal
with Matt Moore at the helm that it may actually be more productive
with rookie Jimmy Clausen directing the offense. That said Clausen
has a long way to go before being thought of as a worthwhile starter
in the league.
One of the biggest attributes mentioned whenever Clausen is discussed
is his understanding of a pro-style offense do to his time at
Notre Dame under then head coach Charlie Weiss. Nonetheless rookie
quarterbacks rarely step in and perform immediately at a high
level. He should be left on the waiver wire where it’s likely
he’ll remain throughout the year in most fantasy leagues.
The biggest question here is how will having a rookie at quarterback
affect Steve Smith’s production. Considering how poorly
Matt Moore had been playing it really shouldn’t make much
of a difference.
Running Game Thoughts: DeAngelo
Williams and Jonathan Stewart are yet to look like the devastating
one-two punch they’ve been regarded as over the last two seasons.
Neither player has reached the end zone yet and between the two
of them they are averaging a subpar 3.7 yards per carry.
Cincinnati’s defense has had difficulty containing their
previous opponents rushing attacks however (they’re allowing
4.9 yards per carry), which may be a telltale sign of the Panthers
duo showing up this week. That said Cincinnati’s defense
can focus all their energy on keeping Williams and Stewart grounded
as long as Clausen doesn’t perform well enough to make the
Bengals respect Carolina’s passing game. One thing is certain
though, both Williams and Stewart should see plenty of carries
this Sunday as the Panthers will rely heavily on the ground game
as a means of protecting their young signal caller.
Projections:
Jimmy Clausen – 160 yards passing / 1 TD / 2 INTs
DeAngelo Williams – 90 yards rushing / 1 TD / 10 yards receiving
Jonathan Stewart – 55 yards rushing / 0 TDs
Steve Smith – 70 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Dwayne Jarrett – 35 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Dante Rosario – 20 yards receiving / 1 TD
Prediction: Cincinnati 23, Carolina 14 ^ Top
Cowboys @ Texans
- (Kilroy)
Passing
Game Thoughts: At 0-2 the Cowboys are regarded as one of
the most disappointing teams in the early goings of the 2010 NFL
season. While Tony Romo’s 2 interceptions last week didn’t
help their cause any in a 27-20 loss against the Bears his production
from a fantasy standpoint has been solid.
In Week 1 Romo posted 282 yards passing with 1 touchdown and
no interceptions while completing 66% of his attempts. The following
week he threw for 374 yards with another score while completing
66.7% of his passes. This week he’ll be facing a 2-0 Texans
squad that ranks last in the league against the pass which should
translate into another strong outing from the Cowboys quarterback.
Houston is currently allowing opponents to throw for more than
400 yards per game against them while coming away with zero interceptions
and having surrendered 4 touchdown passes. With the Cowboys trio
of running backs contributing far less than anyone anticipated,
and the Texans secondary ripe for the picking, Romo owners can
expect another strong performance from him. The same can also
be said for Miles Austin, with Roy Williams and Dez Bryant deserving
legitimate interest as potential starters this week.
Jason Witten is off to a bit of a slow start this year, be he
too deserves to be kept in your starting line-up.
Running Game Thoughts: As noted
above, the Cowboys trio of backs has been far less productive
through the first two weeks of the season than anyone expected.
Neither Marion Barber or Felix Jones, nor Tashard Choice, has
managed to reach the end zone and as a group they are averaging
just 3.3 yards per carry. Couple that with the Texans defense
ranking second in the league against the run, with opponents averaging
just 13.5 rushing attempts per game against them at a rate of
2.3 yards per carry and there’s good reason to doubt the Cowboys
will suddenly find success on the ground here in Week 3. It’s
possible one of the three will come away with a touchdown in what
is expected to be a high scoring affair, but all three are likely
better off on your bench this week.
Projections:
Tony Romo – 355 yards passing / 2 TDs / 0 INTs
Marion Barber – 40 yards rushing / 1 TD / 10 yards receiving
Felix Jones – 25 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 20 yards receiving
Tashard Choice – 15 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 10 yards receiving
Miles Austin – 110 yards receiving / 1 TD
Roy Williams – 55 yards receiving / 1 TD
Dez Bryant – 80 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Jason Witten – 70 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: Matt Schaub only had to throw the ball 17
times in Week 1’s contest against the Colts as running back Arian
Foster provided much of the Texans offense that week with 3 touchdowns
and 231 yards rushing on 33 carries. In Week 2 however the Texans
had to rely on their passing game just a tad bit more than they
did in their season opener.
In a game that was decided in overtime the Texans came away with
a 30-27 victory against the Washington Redskins as Schaub posted
totals of 497 yards passing and 3 touchdowns while connecting
on 38 of his 52 passing attempts (73.1%). Arian Foster still contributed
plenty in that contest as he produced 69 yards rushing on 19 carries
and another 69 yards receiving amongst his 3 receptions, but it
was nice to see Schaub and his receivers produce the way we had
become so accustomed to seeing from them throughout their 2009
campaign.
In this week’s contest against the Cowboys expect Schaub and
company to again provide fantasy owners with great production.
The Cowboys defense ranks 6th in the league against the run, but
against the pass they rank just rank just 18th and have allowed
3 touchdowns without recording a single interception. Andre Johnson
(ankle) is banged up heading into this contest, but he is expected
to play and have himself another impressive outing.
Running Game Thoughts: Arian Foster
can clearly be identified as the Texans primary ball carrier.
There was some belief that even though he was expected to handle
the majority of carries for Houston this season Steve Slaton would
still factor into the equation and handle at least 30-40% of the
team’s snaps out of the backfield. Instead Foster has carried
the ball 52 times in comparison to Slaton’s 9 carries. Foster
even has the edge in receptions with 4 for 76 yards while Slaton
is yet to even be targeted out of the backfield.
While all of that is good news for Foster owners his match-up
this week against the Cowboys may be his toughest opponent yet.
The Cowboys are currently limiting opponents to just 3.0 yards
per carry and haven’t allowed a touchdown via the ground.
With both the Cowboys and the Texans expected to feature their
passing attacks more than their ground games this week Foster
will be hard pressed to produce more than 80-90 yards rushing.
In terms of total yardage, however, there’s a fair chance
he’ll surpass the 100-yard mark. There’s also an outside
chance he’ll be the first running back post a touchdown
against the Cowboys this year, but it’s not to be expected.
Projections:
Matt Schaub – 300 yards passing / 3 TDs / 1 INT
Arian Foster – 75 yards rushing / 0 TDs / 20 yards receiving
Steve Slaton – 10 yards rushing / 15 yards receiving
Andre Johnson – 85 yards receiving / 2 TDs
Kevin Walter – 60 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Jacoby Jones – 75 yards receiving / 1 TD
Owen Daniels – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Prediction: Dallas 27, Houston 24 ^ Top
Steelers @ Buccaneers
- (Kilroy)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Despite starting the season without Ben
Roethlisberger the Steelers find themselves undefeated at 2-0.
Dennis Dixon performed admirably during the opener against the
Atlanta Falcons as he completed 69.2% of his passes for 236 yards,
but was injured early in last week’s contest against the
Titans and will now be out for anywhere from 3-5 weeks. Charlie
Batch now steps into the starting role for the Steelers as they
prepare to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday.
Batch hasn’t started a game since the final week of the
2007 season, but even if he had it wouldn’t make a difference
in what to expect from him against the Buccaneers.
The Steelers passing attack currently ranks 31st in the league
and Batch’s presence gives no reason to expect a quick turnaround.
Combine that with the fact he’s going against a Tampa Bay secondary
that has held opponents to under 200 passing yards per game, has
allowed just 2 touchdown passes, and recorded 4 interceptions
and you quickly realize there’s no reason to expect much out of
Hines Ward, Mike Wallace, Heath Miller, or Batch himself.
Running Game Thoughts: Mendenhall’s had a decent start
to the season this year carrying the ball 45 times for 189 yards
and a score, but he’s yet to post a performance that has
really “wowed” anybody. In Week 1 he finished with
22 carries for 150 yards, but prior to his game winning 50 yard
touchdown run in overtime he had just 70 yards on 21 carries.
Last week he had another mundane outing, this time against the
Titans, as he carried the ball 23 times for 69 yards without any
touchdowns. If he’s bound to have a big game soon in which
he performs well from start to finish, however, than this week’s
contest against the Buccaneers figures to be it.
Tampa Bay’s defense ranked worst in the NFL against the run last
season, and while they haven’t allowed any single running back
to have a big day against them yet in 2010 they have allowed Peyton
Hillis to average more than 4.5 yards per carry against them,
and Jerome Harrison and Jonathan Stewart to average more than
5.0 yards per carry.
With Rashard Mendenhall being the first back they are about to
face that handles virtually all of his team’s carries there
is a pretty good chance he’ll rush for anywhere from 90-110
yards while coming away with a touchdown. Considering the state
of the Steelers current QB situation they just might need a big
performance from Mendenhall in order to walk away with the win.
Then again, their defense will likely be enough to beat the Bucs
on its own.
Projections:
Charlie Batch – 170 yards passing / 0 TDs / 0 INTs
Rashard Mendenhall – 115 yards rushing / 2 TDs / 15 yards
receiving
Hines Ward – 70 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Mike Wallace – 40 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Heath Miller – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: Even though Tampa Bay is yet to play all
that formidable an opponent credit should be given to second year
quarterback Josh Freeman in guiding the Buccaneers to a 2-0 record.
He hasn’t thrown for all that many yards (an average of 180 per
game to be exact), but he has thrown 2 touchdown passes in each
of his outings while only being picked off once. He’s also proven
to be a threat when he scrambles having taken off 6 times this
year and gaining 77 yards on the ground. If it weren’t for Freeman’s
production on the field the Buccaneers would more than likely
be 0-2 rather than 2-0.
Now with that said this Sunday’s contest against the Pittsburgh
Steelers will be his most difficult challenge yet and as a result
Freeman’s statistics are likely to be pretty ugly. Through
two games Pittsburgh has allowed opponents an average of 214.5
passing yards per game, but they’ve only allowed 1 touchdown
and have come away with 4 interceptions. Considering the Buccaneers
are only averaging 180 passing yards per game to begin, the Steelers
should no trouble in holding Freeman under 200 yard mark. Their
also likely to come away with an interception or two and it wouldn’t
be a shock if they Steelers limited the Bucs to nothing better
than field goal attempts in this contest.
Needless to say, despite Freeman’s success in his first
two outings of the 2010 season, this is not a game in which you
will want to start him. Anything more than 180 passing yards and
a touchdown from him would be unlikely.
Running Game Thoughts: Cadillac
Williams has been getting plenty of carries the last two weeks,
but his level of production has been dreadful. So far he has toted
the rock 49 times, but is averaging just 2.6 yards per carry with
zero touchdowns. The Steelers defense, as is usually the case,
is holding opponents to just under 90 rushing yards per game at
a rate of 3.9 yards per carry. To think Williams will suddenly
have a strong outing against them is foolish. He’ll have
hard time producing any more than 60-70 yards on the ground.
Projections:
Josh Freeman – 180 yards passing / 0 TDs / 2 INTs / 25 yards
rushing
Cadillac Williams – 70 yards rushing
/ 0 TDs / 10 yards receiving
Mike Williams – 50 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Sammie Stroughter – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Kellen Winslow – 75 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Prediction: Pittsburgh 20, Tampa Bay 9 ^ Top
Eagles @ Jaguars
- (Kilroy)
Passing
Game Thoughts: Michael Vick’s performance in six quarters
of play this season has been so impressive that head coach Andy
Reid has named him the starter throughout the remainder of the
year. Kevin Kolb was supposed to be the future of this franchise
at the quarterback position, but following last week’s developments
some are wondering if he’ll even get the chance again to take
another snap as an Eagle. Nonetheless, Vick is under center now
and that’s who we should be focused on.
During Vick’s days with the Falcons many called his accuracy
into question and wondered if he’d ever develop into a quarterback
capable of operating within the pocket rather than relying on
his legs to make things happen. While it’s still apparent
that Vick is a dangerous threat when he takes off (18 carries
for 140 yards this season) he has also shown improvement as a
passer. He is currently completing 63.8% of his passes while throwing
for 459 yards and 3 touchdowns with zero interceptions. To quote
Andy Reid, Vick is “playing out of his mind right now.”
Against the Jaguars this week Vick stands to have another productive
outing. Jacksonville has allowed opponents an average of 300 passing
yards per game during these first 2 weeks of the season along
with 4 touchdowns. With threats such as DeSean Jackson and Jeremy
Maclin at the wide-out positions, and guys like Brent Celek and
Jason Avant operating underneath, Vick has far more weapons at
his disposal than he ever did as a Falcon. Expect him to put them
to good use this week in a match-up that should allow him to post
250 or more yards through the air along with a touchdown pass
or two.
Running Game Thoughts: LeSean McCoy
had a very impressive outing last week against the Detroit Lions
as he carried the ball 16 times for 120 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He’s also been a viable option out of the backfield through two
games with his 9 receptions for 55 yards. Against the Jaguars,
a defensive unit that is currently yielding 120 rushing yards
per contest, McCoy stands a good chance of surpassing the 100-yard
mark again. There’s also good reason to believe he’ll score his
fifth touchdown of the year as the Eagles offense has moved the
ball up and down the field very well with Vick running the offense.
Projections:
Michael Vick – 250 yards passing / 2 TDs / 40 yards rushing
LeSean McCoy – 90 yards rushing / 1 TD / 25 yards receiving
DeSean Jackson – 90 yards receiving / 1 TD
Jeremy Maclin – 60 yards receiving / 1 TD
Jason Avant – 35 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Brent Celek – 40 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Passing
Game Thoughts: David Garrard had such a terrible outing
last week that he eventually found himself on the bench in favor
of back-up Luke McCown. In fact, he played so poorly in a game
the Jaguars eventually lost 38-13 against the San Diego Chargers
that some felt McCown would have got the start this week had it
not been for a season ending knee injury he suffered after being
substituted in for Garrard.
Nonetheless, Garrard will get the start this week against an
Eagles unit that just allowed Shaun Hill to throw for 335 yards
and 2 touchdowns. It should be noted however that most of those
yards came from rookie tailback Jahvid Best (9 receptions, 154
yards receiving, 1 touchdown reception) and tight end Brandon
Pettigrew (7 receptions, 108 yards receiving) as opposed to any
of the Lions receivers.
While we all know Maurice Jones-Drew is a talented receiver out
of the backfield it’s doubtful he’ll have anything near the type
of performance Best had last week against the Birds. And while
Marcedes Lewis has had a surprisingly good start to the season
it would be a bit shocking if he managed more than 50 yards receiving
against Philadelphia. All things considered Garrard stands a good
chance of throwing for more than 200 yards for the first time
this year, but he should only be considered as a starter in fantasy
leagues if you find yourself without any other obvious options.
Running Game Thoughts: Jones-Drew is yet to score a touchdown
this season and is coming off a performance in which he carried
the ball just 12 times for 31 yards before being forced to the
sidelines with an ankle injury. The ankle injury isn’t believed
to be serious however and Jacksonville’s offensive coordinator,
Dirk Koetter, has assured us he will play in this week’s
game against Philadelphia. How he’ll perform on the other
hand is an entirely different matter.
The Eagles have shown themselves to be vulnerable against the
run however with the Green Bay Packers duo of Ryan Grant and Brandon
Jackson recording 108 yards rushing against them on 26 carries
(John Kuhn contributed another 15 yards and a touchdown on 2 carries)
and Jahvid Best having gained 78 yards on 17 carries (4.6 ypc)
against them with 2 touchdowns. It stands to reason Maurice Jones-Drew
will post solid numbers of his own against the Eagles, but if
his ankle injury hinders him during the game it may leave his
owners disappointed once again.
Projections:
David Garrard – 190 yards passing / 1 TD / 1 INT / 15 yards
rushing
Maurice Jones-Drew – 75 yards rushing / 1 TD / 30 yards
receiving
Mike Sims-Walker – 70 yards receiving / 1 TD
Mike Thomas – 40 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Marcedes
Lewis – 30 yards receiving / 0 TDs
Prediction: Philadelphia 27, Jacksonville 14 ^
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