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Doug Orth | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Top 150 Big Board, FFPC High-Stakes League
Preseason Matchup Analysis
8/21/17

TFC | FPPC

A few days ago, I released my first Big Board for The Fantasy Championship (TFC). Today, the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) gets the special treatment.

The TFC uses scoring that is very similar to the PPR scoring I used in last week’s Big Boards. The main differences: The TFC awards four points (instead of six) for passing touchdowns, penalizes one point for interceptions (instead of two) and hands out a point for every 20 yards passing (instead of 25). The FFPC uses the same scoring as I just laid out for the TFC but awards tight ends 1.5 points for every catch and one point per reception for every other position.

I realize that 150 players probably won’t be enough for you this week (both sites use a 20-round draft) and I apologize for that. Fear not, however, as next week’s 200-player Big Boards should be deep enough for the majority of you. (And honestly, shouldn’t most of us be drafting our most important teams next week anyway?)

For all of those unfamiliar with the Big Boards, allow me to explain the color-coding system before we start:

Red – A very difficult matchup. For lower-level players, a red matchup means they should not be used in fantasy that week. For a second- or third-tier player, drop your expectations for them at least one grade that week (i.e. from WR2 to WR3). For elite players, expect them to perform one level lower than their usual status (i.e. RB1 performs like a RB2).

Yellow – Keep expectations fairly low in this matchup. For lower-level players, a yellow matchup is a borderline start at best. For a second- or third-tier player, they can probably overcome the matchup if things fall right. For the elite players, expect slightly better than average production.

White – Basically, this matchup is one that could go either way. In some cases, I just don’t feel like I have a good feel yet for this defense. Generally speaking, these matchups are winnable matchups for all levels of players.

Green – It doesn’t get much better than this. For non-elite players, the stage is basically set for said player to exploit the matchup. For the elite player, this matchup should produce special numbers.

Success Score Index (SSI) - This score is an apples-to-oranges number I reach after meticulously grading and assigning certain weights to several unique attributes to that position that I feel are critical to fantasy success.

Note: In the final set of Big Boards over the following two weeks, I will rank 200 players and present my final rankings for kickers and defense/special teams.

Here is the scoring system that I used to rank the players in the FFPC format:

 PPR Big Board - Top 150
Rank Pos Player Tm Age SSI 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 RB David Johnson ARI 25 1097.5
2 WR Antonio Brown PIT 29 1094.4
3 RB Le'Veon Bell PIT 25 1093.8
4 WR Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 24 1090.0
5 WR Julio Jones ATL 28 1078.1
6 RB Devonta Freeman ATL 25 1076.0
7 WR Jordy Nelson GB 32 1059.0
8 WR Mike Evans TB 23 1053.8
9 TE Rob Gronkowski NE 28 1041.3
10 RB DeMarco Murray TEN 29 1040.3
11 RB LeSean McCoy BUF 29 1037.3
12 WR A.J. Green CIN 29 1033.8
13 WR Michael Thomas NO 23 1032.6
14 RB Melvin Gordon LAC 24 1032.3
15 RB Jay Ajayi MIA 24 1029.5
16 RB Jordan Howard CHI 22 1025.5
17 RB Todd Gurley LAR 23 1021.3
18 WR Brandin Cooks NE 23 1010.4
19 WR Doug Baldwin SEA 28 988.3
20 RB Leonard Fournette JAC 22 985.8
21 RB Dalvin Cook MIN 22 980.3
22 RB Lamar Miller HOU 26 977.5
23 RB Isaiah Crowell CLE 24 973.3
24 WR Michael Crabtree OAK 29 970.0
25 RB Christian McCaffrey CAR 21 967.5
26 RB Ezekiel Elliott DAL 22 965.8
27 WR Amari Cooper OAK 23 963.8
28 WR DeAndre Hopkins HOU 25 961.5
29 WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR 26 956.9
30 QB Tom Brady NE 40 955.0
31 TE Jimmy Graham SEA 30 953.8
32 WR T.Y. Hilton IND 27 952.5
33 WR Dez Bryant DAL 28 952.5
34 WR Allen Robinson JAC 23 951.9
35 WR Demaryius Thomas DEN 29 951.3
36 TE Travis Kelce KC 27 945.0
37 RB Joe Mixon CIN 21 941.8
38 WR Larry Fitzgerald ARI 33 937.8
39 QB Aaron Rodgers GB 33 936.5
40 WR Martavis Bryant PIT 25 936.3
41 WR Keenan Allen LAC 25 935.5
42 WR Tyreek Hill KC 23 935.0
43 RB Mark Ingram NO 27 933.0
44 TE Greg Olsen CAR 32 925.0
45 WR Terrelle Pryor WAS 28 924.4
46 WR Emmanuel Sanders DEN 30 922.5
47 RB Danny Woodhead BAL 32 920.8
48 RB Carlos Hyde SF 25 919.8
49 TE Jordan Reed WAS 27 919.2
50 RB Marshawn Lynch OAK 31 919.0
51 WR Jeremy Maclin BAL 29 917.5
52 WR Stefon Diggs MIN 23 917.5
53 RB Doug Martin TB 28 917.0
54 RB Ameer Abdullah DET 24 915.5
55 WR Davante Adams GB 24 915.0
56 WR Golden Tate DET 29 915.0
57 TE Kyle Rudolph MIN 27 913.8
58 WR DeVante Parker MIA 24 913.1
59 RB Jonathan Stewart CAR 30 911.8
60 WR Jamison Crowder WAS 24 905.0
61 RB Adrian Peterson NO 32 904.5
62 RB Ty Montgomery GB 24 903.3
63 RB Tevin Coleman ATL 24 903.0
64 RB Rob Kelley WAS 24 902.5
65 QB Drew Brees NO 38 897.5
66 WR Willie Snead NO 24 897.5
67 WR Brandon Marshall NYG 33 896.6
68 WR Cameron Meredith CHI 24 896.3
69 WR Julian Edelman NE 31 895.0
70 RB Frank Gore IND 34 893.8
71 RB Bilal Powell NYJ 28 893.0
72 RB Mike Gillislee NE 26 892.0
73 RB Duke Johnson CLE 23 891.3
74 TE Tyler Eifert CIN 26 887.9
75 TE Hunter Henry LAC 22 887.5
76 WR Jarvis Landry MIA 24 880.0
77 WR Pierre Garcon SF 31 877.8
78 WR Alshon Jeffery PHI 27 876.4
79 RB Kareem Hunt KC 22 874.3
80 WR Sammy Watkins LAR 24 870.2
81 RB Derrick Henry TEN 23 864.8
82 RB Theo Riddick DET 26 863.8
83 WR Donte Moncrief IND 24 862.5
84 RB LeGarrette Blount PHI 30 860.0
85 TE Martellus Bennett GB 30 860.0
86 RB Spencer Ware KC 25 858.8
87 WR John Brown ARI 27 855.8
88 WR DeSean Jackson TB 30 854.5
89 RB Darren McFadden DAL 29 851.5
90 RB C.J. Anderson DEN 26 851.3
91 QB Russell Wilson SEA 28 851.0
92 QB Matt Ryan ATL 32 850.5
93 WR Randall Cobb GB 26 847.0
94 RB Terrance West BAL 26 846.8
95 WR Mike Wallace BAL 31 844.0
96 QB Cam Newton CAR 28 843.5
97 WR Adam Thielen MIN 26 833.8
98 WR Corey Coleman CLE 23 833.5
99 QB Andrew Luck IND 27 832.5
100 QB Jameis Winston TB 23 831.5
101 QB Philip Rivers LAC 35 831.5
102 RB Darren Sproles PHI 34 830.5
103 QB Kirk Cousins WAS 29 827.0
104 WR Tyrell Williams LAC 25 826.9
105 RB Jamaal Williams GB 22 826.3
106 WR Kenny Britt CLE 28 826.0
107 QB Marcus Mariota TEN 23 822.0
108 WR Cole Beasley DAL 28 819.4
109 WR Kevin White CHI 25 815.0
110 RB Matt Forte NYJ 31 811.0
111 RB DeAndre Washington OAK 24 810.3
112 QB Dak Prescott DAL 24 808.5
113 TE Delanie Walker TEN 33 807.5
114 WR Eric Decker TEN 30 806.3
115 TE Zach Ertz PHI 26 806.3
116 TE Eric Ebron DET 24 806.3
117 RB James White NE 25 805.3
118 RB Chris Thompson WAS 26 805.0
119 TE Jack Doyle IND 27 805.0
120 QB Matthew Stafford DET 29 804.5
121 RB Jalen Richard OAK 23 801.3
122 RB Jonathan Williams BUF 23 798.5
123 TE Austin Hooper ATL 22 797.5
124 TE Julius Thomas MIA 29 795.0
125 WR Marvin Jones DET 27 793.1
126 WR Rishard Matthews TEN 27 792.5
127 WR Ted Ginn Jr. NO 32 791.9
128 QB Derek Carr OAK 26 790.0
129 QB Ben Roethlisberger PIT 35 786.5
130 QB Andy Dalton CIN 29 786.5
131 RB C.J. Prosise SEA 23 781.3
132 WR Sterling Shepard NYG 24 781.3
133 WR Kenny Stills MIA 25 780.6
134 RB Thomas Rawls SEA 24 779.5
135 WR Corey Davis TEN 22 778.8
136 QB Carson Palmer ARI 37 778.0
137 QB Eli Manning NYG 36 777.5
138 WR Devin Funchess CAR 23 777.5
139 RB James Conner PIT 22 776.5
140 RB Eddie Lacy SEA 27 776.0
141 TE Cameron Brate TB 26 775.0
142 RB Rex Burkhead NE 27 773.5
143 RB D'Onta Foreman HOU 21 769.5
144 QB Carson Wentz PHI 24 767.0
145 RB Jeremy Hill CIN 24 766.8
146 WR Zay Jones BUF 22 766.3
147 RB Alvin Kamara NO 31 766.0
148 WR Robby Anderson NYJ 24 765.1
149 RB Samaje Perine WAS 21 764.5
150 WR Kenny Golladay DET 23 764.4

A few items of note:

- Even though Le'Veon Bell has shown an ability to perform well after long layoffs, I can no longer in good conscience rank him ahead of Antonio Brown. While the motivation to prove he is worth $15 million/season may be enough to keep him on the field for all 16 games, history suggests this long of absence will lead him to miss some games.

- I'm assuming above Elliott's suspension will be reduced to four games. While I haven't done the math on it yet, I would imagine the current six-game suspension for Elliott would send him back into the 45-50 range for the purposes of this board.

- How you view upside is ultimately up to you. I can't assign a number to one player's upside without tipping the apple cart over for several other players. For example, I prefer Dak Prescott over DeAndre Washington. Another good example would be James Conner and Jeremy Hill. The SSI is only a value I have assigned for the player - and not a draft grade per se - and another way to tier within a position as well as across positions. I cannot assume to know whether a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 or high-upside RB5 is more important to you after the 10th round, nor can I assume if you need someone who is going to get some touches out of the gate (Hill) or if you value a back who have huge upside if the starter in front of him gets hurt (Conner). I personally value Conner's upside more. That is why I emphasize year after year this is a "value board" more than it is "take the next guy on the list" board.

- There are several players on the outside looking in due to current injury situations or some other factor I am waiting (hoping) for more information on. Once those get resolved (if they do), I am confident a few of them will slide inside the top 150. They are (in no particular order):


Next: TFC


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.