Notes: - All games will be available Friday
- Green highlight indicates plus matchup (top eight)
- Red highlight indicates negative matchup (bottom eight)
- Injury notes, Lines and Totals updated Sunday morning
Tyreek Hill enters Week 3 against Buffalo with both upside and
concern. While his elite speed remains, Miami’s sputtering
offense and a stingy Bills defense make this a tricky matchup.
Hill bounced back in Week 2 versus Tennessee, catching six of
seven targets for 109 yards -- including a 47-yard grab -- after
being held to just 40 yards in Week 1. His expanded slot usage
suggests Miami is working him into shorter, higher-percentage
looks. That raises his floor but potentially caps his ceiling.
History also isn’t on his side. Since joining Miami, Hill
has yet to eclipse 82 yards in seven games against Buffalo, including
a combined 116 yards on 11 targets in 2024. With the Bills’
secondary rebounding after a shaky opener, Hill feels more like
a volatile WR2 than the locked-in WR1 he’s drafted to be.
Injuries and matchup woes make Waddle a risky start in Week 3.
He salvaged his Week 2 performance against New England with an
18-yard touchdown but finished with just 68 yards on six targets
while dealing with a shoulder injury. Week 1 was even worse, as
he managed just 30 yards.
The Bills’ defense is a tough draw, allowing a mere 45.5%
completion rate against the Jets in Week 2. Waddle also struggles
historically against Buffalo, averaging just 54 yards per game
with two total touchdowns in seven career meetings. With his health
in question and Miami projected as heavy underdogs, Waddle profiles
best as a WR3/flex in deeper leagues.
MIA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
MIA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.14
MIA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.20
MIA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11
Dalton Kincaid has earned steady involvement early in the season,
but his fantasy ceiling remains capped. He scored in Week 1 (4-48-1)
and saw a team-high six targets in Week 2, though that only translated
to 37 yards. His 17% target share is encouraging, but he’s
not yet breaking out as a top-tier fantasy tight end.
Miami’s defense has been inconsistent against the position
-- rookie Tyler Warren torched them for 7-76 in Week 1, but they
shut down Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry in Week 2. Kincaid should
see volume, but expectations should be tempered in what could
be a lower-scoring passing day for Buffalo.
Fade: All Bills WRs
Buffalo’s receivers are tough to trust in Week 3. The offense
is leaning on James Cook and the run game, while Josh Allen spreads
targets too thin for consistency.
Rookie Keon Coleman (24% tgt share) flashed in Week 1 (8-112-1)
but fell flat in Week 2 (3-26-0) as Buffalo went run-heavy and
blew out the Jets 30-10. Khalil Shakir has a modest PPR floor
in deep leagues but minimal upside, especially if game script
tilts toward the ground again. His underneath role limits his
upside, especially in a game where the Bills are double-digit
favorites.
This unit lacks clarity and reliable volume, making them fades
outside of desperation starts.
