Savvy fantasy managers knew that the Jets’ 2025 offensive output
was likely going to be rocky at best, so it should come as no
surprise that running back Breece Hall has been a difficult-to-predict
fantasy option this season. However, with back-to-back elite fantasy
performances, Hall seems like a much safer option heading into
this contest than he has through the first half of the season.
He’s scored three times over the past two weeks and amassed at
least 20 touches in each of those contests, making him the focal
point of the offense, especially with WR Garrett Wilson ruled
out for Thursday’s contest.
The biggest concern with Hall right now is that this matchup
against an elite Patriots run defense caps his ceiling. New England
hadn’t allowed a running back to reach even 50 yards on
the ground against them prior to the Buccaneers’ Sean Tucker
barely cracking that number this past week. New England likely
being ahead on the scoreboard for much if not most of the game
could lead to Hall’s carries being reduced, but he’s
the kind of back who is capable of contributing in the passing
game as well, so there’s still reason to believe that Hall
can come through with a solid fantasy day despite the difficult
matchup.
Rookie tight end Mason Taylor has shown glimpses of the talent
that made him an early-second-round pick in this year’s
draft, but inconsistency stemming largely from the quarterback
position has made him and really every other pass-catcher in New
York a risky start. Taylor’s floor has been practically
invisible so far, as he’s caught one or fewer passes in
four of his nine games, and perhaps most concerning is that he
was essentially completely uninvolved against the Browns this
past week.
Taylor is a talented player who may eventually break out, but
aside from the outlier performance this past week, the Jets’
offense has just been too poor for us to truly trust anyone for
fantasy, let alone a rookie tight end who’s had a rocky
start to his career.
The frustrating 2025 season continued for Justin Fields this
past week as, despite the Jets scoring 27 points, their quarterback
was held to just 54 passing yards on the day. Yes, you read that
correctly — that was the fourth time this season that Fields
has started a game and finished with fewer than 60 passing yards.
To make matters worse, Fields is now on an extended stretch of
not contributing anything meaningful with his legs, either, as
he has now failed to rush for even 35 yards or score a touchdown
on the ground since Week 4.
Whether it’s Fields himself being completely incompetent
or the coaching staff not putting him in the right positions to
make plays, the reality is that Fields simply cannot be trusted
for fantasy purposes at the moment.
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.13
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.16
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.19
NYJ FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.13
The breakout for running back TreVeyon Henderson finally took
place this past week as the rookie exploded with over 10 yards
per carry on the ground, compiling 147 yards and scoring two touchdowns
this past week as the Patriots went into Tampa and knocked off
the Buccaneers. There may have been injuries to multiple other
backs which led to his opportunity, but Henderson took advantage,
delivering the best performance that any Patriots’ running
back has had all season. This leads us to having much more confidence
in him as we head into this Week 11 divisional matchup against
the Jets.
New York has been a relatively solid run defense this season
as only two backs (Javonte Williams and James Cook) have reached
100 yards on the ground against them, but they have still managed
to allow five different backs to reach 16 or more PPR fantasy
points in a game against them through their first nine games.
With the Patriots being viewed as double-digit favorites, look
for them to get out ahead on the scoreboard early, potentially
leading to a heavy workload for Henderson.
The Patriots offense has been on fire this season as the breakout
season for second-year quarterback Drake Maye continues, but one
player in New England who has fallen almost completely out of
the fantasy conversation is tight end Hunter Henry. The veteran
has now failed to reach double-digit PPR fantasy points in six
straight games, including this past week when he caught just one
pass for nine yards, matching his previous identical stat line
from Week 2.
It’s not that Henry is a terrible player in his advanced
age, it’s just that the Patriots have been successfully
able to operate in deeper areas of the field where Henry typically
doesn’t get much action. He’s still a threat to score
anytime New England is in the red zone, but it feels unlikely
that we’re going to see another multi-touchdown game from
him again this season like the one we saw back in Week 3. He’s
not the worst option as a bye week fill-in if he’s all that’s
available, but there are probably options on the waiver wire who
have higher potential than Henry does against this Jets’
defense that has not allowed a single tight end to reach even
50 yards receiving against them in a game so far this season.
Veteran QB Marcus Mariota will draw another start in Week 11,
and there’s reason to feel optimistic about his chances
of delivering a usable fantasy performance again. Mariota completed
16 of 22 passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns against Detroit
last week, while continuing to chip in some production with his
legs. He’s never going to suddenly evolve into an elite
fantasy asset, but in a season filled with injuries and struggling
starters, Mariota offers an intriguing upside path—especially
in a road matchup against a Dolphins defense that has surrendered
multiple passing touchdowns in six of nine games.
Zach Ertz has produced multiple usable fantasy weeks, but at
this point in his career he’s largely become a touchdown-or-bust
option. He’s been held to single-digit fantasy points in
every game he hasn’t scored, including three straight entering
this matchup.
Normally that profile would put Ertz firmly in “fade”
territory, but the matchup keeps him in play. Miami has allowed
the third-most fantasy points to tight ends and has already given
up seven touchdowns to the position—second only to Cincinnati.
The on-paper matchup gives Ertz a reasonable chance to find the
end zone and land inside the TE1 range, though the downside of
another low-output game certainly remains.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt’s early-season breakout feels like
a distant memory. He’s failed to reach six fantasy points
in five straight games, and with Marcus Mariota now under center,
it’s hard to see that trend reversing in the near future.
The Dolphins have struggled defensively against running backs,
but this feels like a classic trap situation where fantasy managers
focus too heavily on the matchup and not enough on what we’re
seeing week to week. Until Croskey-Merritt shows signs of life,
he belongs on fantasy benches.
WAS FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.4
WAS FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.8
WAS FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.2
WAS FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.8
Jaylen Waddle’s fantasy value spiked after Tyreek Hill suffered
a season-ending injury, but the bump hasn’t come from a major
jump in volume. Waddle is still seeing roughly five to eight targets
per game and has yet to hit double digits in any outing. The difference
has come in usage: after averaging under 10 yards per reception
alongside Hill, Waddle’s YPR has jumped to 16.7 since Week 4.
That shift in deployment has pushed him into consistent low-end
WR1 status, even without a true “featured” volume
game. If Miami ever funnels double-digit targets his way, his
ceiling climbs into borderline elite territory.
While Miami’s passing-game adjustments have boosted Waddle,
Tua Tagovailoa continues trending in the wrong direction. He has
delivered four subpar—or flat-out bad—fantasy performances
in his last five games, and there are even rumblings about whether
the team might consider moving on if his struggles persist.
A surprising divisional win over Buffalo may buy him some organizational
patience, but fantasy concerns remain valid. Washington has been
one of the worst defenses in the league against opposing quarterbacks,
so a multi-touchdown rebound game is possible—but his floor
is among the lowest of any starting QB right now.
Kimani Vidal is a bit of a mystery. Two of the past three weeks,
he has rushed for 95 yards or more while only rushing for 30 yards
on twelve carries against the second worst run defense in the
league (Titans). This week, he comes up against another solid
defense that limits yardage to opposing RBs and those are the
match-ups he has thrived in so far. Plus, he has very little competition
for carries and played 93.2% of the snaps last week. Start him
with confidence.
Moving to Johnston, Keenan Allen appears to be the odd man out
since Oronde Gadsden arrived on the scene while Johnston remains
cemented in a starting role. With his targets back on the rise
(10 last week) and with Nico Collins having burned the Jags over
the top last Sunday (7-136-0), I think Johnston is a terrific
play.
Gadsden is on fence because of a bruised knee. He’ll likely
play on Sunday, but it’s fair to question how effective
he’ll be given that there are plenty of other mouths to
feed in Los Angeles. As such, he’s more recommend as a TE2
than a TE1 for fantasy purposes in this game.
Allen got his “feel good” moment last week when he
became the Chargers’ all-time leader in receptions and he
still carries significant real-world value as a member of the
team. But, if we’re talking fantasy football, the early
season shine has worn off with McConkey re-emerging as the WR1
and Gadsden carving out a significant role at the tight end position.
Reduced snaps (50.7%) and five targets or less in three straight
games spells F-A-D-E for me.
LAC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.30
LAC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.20
LAC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.31
LAC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.27
It’s easy to forget that the Jags have a winning record
as they’re sort of a mess offensively. Etienne has 18 and
27 touches the past two weeks but the Jaguars don’t appear
to be using him effectively in their passing game as 31 yards
receiving is his high-water mark this year despite having an obvious
skill set out of the backfield.
With Washington and Meyers, it’s all about opportunity. If Brian
Thomas Jr. (ankle) ends up playing, target distribution probably
makes all three WRs a risky play, but if Thomas sits out another
game, there should be an increase from the combined 10 targets
received last week. Also, watch for whether or not TE Brenton
Strange returns this week as he could cut into the target share
as well.
Trevor Lawrence has thrown for zero touchdowns in a game this
season as frequently as he has multiple touchdowns. In fact, when
Lawrence isn’t running for multiple touchdowns in a game (he actually
done that twice this season), his average in terms of weekly fantasy
points is 13.5 per game. The Chargers neutralized Aaron Rodgers
and the Pittsburgh passing game last Sunday and I expect something
similar here.
It’s looking increasingly likely that the Buccaneers will again
be without Bucky Irving this week, so we should expect to continue
seeing about the same backfield split that Tampa has implemented
in recent weeks. The primary beneficiary of this split has been
Rachaad White, who continues to make an impact particularly in
the passing game. While his fantasy production has been lackluster
in recent weeks, he’s still seen at least 14 touches in five straight
contests, making him a strong bet to produce usable fantasy numbers
this week against a Buffalo defense that has conceded the sixth-most
fantasy points per game to opposing running backs so far this
season.
Baker Mayfield got back into fantasy managers’ good graces
as he matched a season-high with three touchdown passes in Tampa’s
loss to New England this past week. The Buccaneers’ signal-caller
has now thrown multiple touchdowns in six of his nine games and
sits just outside of QB1 range in fantasy points per game even
after down performances in his previous two outings.
The Bucs are still expected to be without top wide receivers
Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, but rookie Emeka Egbuka has taken
strides to become essentially a must-start player in all formats,
thus giving Mayfield at least one consistent pass-catching weapon.
He does have a difficult on-paper matchup against a good Bills
defense, however. Buffalo has allowed just three multi-touchdown
games to opposing quarterbacks so far this season, so Mayfield
is a low-end QB1 option this week.
The star of the Buccaneers’ passing attack has certainly
been Emeka Egbuka, but one player who’s contributed more
than most might realize in recent weeks has been tight end Cade
Otton. Otton started the season off completely cold, but has picked
things up over his past five games where he’s averaged over
12 fantasy points despite having been blanked in the touchdown
column thus far in 2025.
Otton is coming off of a season-high in catches (nine) and yards
(82), which would indicate that fantasy managers should be on
board with him heading into Week 11. Unfortunately, Otton is facing
a Buffalo defense that has been the stingiest in the league at
defending against tight ends. Otton isn’t a must-bench player,
but his upside is limited in this matchup.
TB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.12
TB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.10
TB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.14
TB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.22
Khalil Shakir has been one of the most consistent point producers
in the league this season. He’s delivered double-digit points
in all but two games. Unfortunately, the ceiling just hasn’t
been there for him to ascend to be anything more than a WR3/Flex
option for fantasy managers. Shakir has just one game over 18
fantasy points for the season and that was a 20.8-point outing
against the Panthers back in Week 8.
If you’re a manager in need of a low-end startable option
who isn’t likely to hurt you and you don’t need him
to produce a big game then Shakir is your guy, especially in a
matchup against a Buccaneers team that has allowed at least one
wide receiver to catch five or more passes against them in eight
of their nine games so far this season.
Tight end Dalton Kincaid suffered a hamstring injury during the
Bills’ Week 10 loss to the Dolphins and his status for Sunday’s
game is very much in question at the moment. He did not practice
on Wednesday or Thursday and while he hasn’t been ruled
out yet, fantasy managers would be wise to look elsewhere for
production at the position here in Week 11 whether Kincaid is
active or not.
Teammate Dawson Knox could be an interesting option if Kincaid
is indeed inactive. Knox caught his only touchdown of the season
back in Week 6, which happened to be the only game that Kincaid
has missed so far this season.
Nine games into his partnership with Ben Johnson, Williams remains
an enigma. To date, he’s only had two really impactful games statistically,
versus Dallas and Cincinnati, teams that currently rank 29th and
30th, respectively, against the pass. He’s an elusive presence
and a capable runner, but it’s a painfully clear that’s not what
Johnson wants from him, so the running tends to only show up in
desperation time -- to that end, he’s run for 116 yards the past
two weeks in games where Chicago scored in the final two minutes
to win; prior to that, he’d run for 72 yards in the previous six
games. Back in Week 1, Williams threw for 210 yards and a TD against
Minnesota and also added 58 yards and another score on the ground.
The Vikings did a good job of limiting Lamar Jackson’s running
last Sunday, holding him to 36 yards, and they’ve generally looked
better the past two weeks after getting some players back from
injury. Still, this figures to be a desperate Minnesota squad,
which could push Williams into that place where he shows off his
dual-threat capability. He boasts QB1 upside.
A pair of rookies that have flashed in recent weeks, Monangai
and Loveland dwell in similar territory. Both look like they might
be the best option at their respective positions, but both are
currently stuck in time-share arrangements. Monangai is working
behind Swift, who had 18 touches a week ago to seven for the rookie,
while Loveland is splitting snaps with Cole Kmet. Loveland has
seen his numbers tick up recently, though that was due in no small
part to Kmet battling injuries. Still, last week should be seen
as encouraging on that front with Loveland (4-55-0) far outpacing
Kmet (1-5-0) in a game where both tight ends were available. Heading
into Week 11, Monangai is the more playable option as he could
function as a flex. Loveland, meanwhile, still feels like he’d
be a stretch as a TE1.
A disappointment throughout September and most of October, Moore
showed signs of breaking out of his slump, posting back-to-back
games with over 70 yards. He even scored his first touchdown of
2025 on a 17-yard run in Week 9. All those good feelings went
out the window last Sunday, though, as Moore finished without
a catch while being targeted four times against the Giants. He
did deal with a shoulder issue that has kept him out of practice
this week, but it only sidelined him briefly during the game.
Moore was solid in Week 1 against the Vikings, posting 76 total
yards, but his lack of consistent involvement offensively makes
him a prime candidate for a spot on your bench. At best, you can
try him as a volatile flex.
CHI FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.2
CHI FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.12
CHI FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.5
CHI FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.11
We haven’t seen much chemistry to date with Addison and J.J.
McCarthy. In their two games together, the USC alum has just five
receptions for 83 yards. He was targeted 11 times against the
Ravens, though, and you figure that long-term it’ll be Addison
and Jefferson that put up the numbers rather than Jalen Nailor,
who had a 5-124-1 line last Sunday. Chicago ranks 26th in pass
defense on the year, and it’s not as though they’ve played a murderer’s
row of quarterbacks -- McCarthy will be the first Week 1 starter
the Bears have faced since Spencer Rattler (who has since been
benched) in Week 7. The duo of Darius Slayton (4-89-0) and Wan’Dale
Robinson (6-62-0) both had solid days against this secondary last
week, giving Addison some appeal as a WR3.
Without question, the individual high point of McCarthy’s
season has been his fourth quarter performance against the Bears
in Week 1, leading the Vikings on three scoring drives and finishing
with two passing TDs and one on the ground. He was uneven that
night, as he has been since returning from injury, but you see
the flashes. A hand injury is bothering him this week, though
there’s no indication he’s in danger of missing the
game. McCarthy has the athleticism to make plays with his legs,
and as noted, the Bears are one of the NFL’s worst pass
defenses. That makes this a plus matchup. If you’re in a
gambling mood, you might want to take a chance on McCarthy.
It felt redundant to put T.J. Hockenson here yet again, though
rest assured he still fits the designation and should not be in
your lineup. Mason was an offseason pickup from San Francisco,
and he was decent in holding down the fort while Jones was sidelined.
In three games since Jones returned, however, Mason has averaged
seven combined touches for 25 yards per game. That’s not going
to cut it. Even though he was the more effective runner in Week
1, Jones has shown some juice since returning, and with a lot
on the line this Sunday, this feels like a game where they’ll
want to get him on the field as much as possible. Mason is a weak
flex play and could easily be kept on your bench depending on
your alternatives.
He’s been the best amongst a group of underachievers, but Romeo
Doubs might also be the last man left standing in the Packers’
wide receiver room heading into this week’s game against the Giants.
Doubs himself is dealing with a chest injury, but he’s practiced
in full throughout the week, unlike teammates Matthew Golden (shoulder),
Christian Watson (knee), and Dontavion Wicks (calf) who have all
been limited or missed practice entirely.
While we do expect at least a couple of the others to play, Doubs
has shown himself to be the most consistent producer of the group
this season and while he’s coming off of his worst game
of the season in Week 10, there’s a big bounce-back opportunity
for him this week as he faces a Giants defense that has given
up the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers
so far this season.
Ugly output in back-to-back games has Jordan Love managers questioning
what they have at quarterback–and for good reason. Love
has now thrown either one or zero touchdown passes in five of
his nine games and that makes it difficult to feel confident starting
him, especially considering he’s not much of a contributor
with his legs.
Love does have a great on-paper matchup against a Giants defense
that has been bad at defending opposing quarterbacks as they’ve
given up the seventh-most fantasy points to the position, but
this looks like a trap waiting for unsuspecting fantasy managers.
Love is working with a banged-up group of pass-catchers and the
Packers’ offense has been struggling as of late, so try
to find another option who can give you a bit more upside this
week.
GB FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.27
GB FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.28
GB FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.21
GB FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.14
The Giants are without starting QB Jaxson Dart, RB Cam Skattebo,
and WR Malik Nabers, leaving a tough situation for potential fantasy
production. One player who has been stepping up, though, is second-year
tight end Theo Johnson. Johnson has now delivered double-digit
fantasy points in five of his past seven games, including this
past week when he produced career highs in both receptions (seven)
and yards (75) against the Bears.
Johnson faces a Packers’ defense that has been fairly good against
opposing passing games overall, but they’ve quietly been a top-12
matchup specifically for tight ends. Johnson will be working with
a new quarterback in Jameis Winston and he’s still an unreliable
option, but managers who are looking for a bye-week fill-in or
a mid-season replacement for another tight end who’s injured could
do worse than Johnson.
With a whopping 38 targets over his past four games, it’s
almost impressive that Wan’Dale Robinson has only managed
to produce borderline flex-worthy stats during this stretch. Sure,
he hasn’t been the reason that anyone’s lost their
fantasy games, but he’s also failed to exceed expectations
in any contest. Now he’ll be dealing with the rollercoaster
ride that is Jameis Wilson, while facing a Packers defense that
has been solid against opposing passing games this season. Robinson’s
recent target shares make him a player who’s probably difficult
to bench in deeper leagues, but understand that his upside is
quite limited in this matchup.
When Cam Skattebo went down many assumed that Tracy would return
to something resembling the role that made him a solid RB2 for
fantasy in 2024, but that simply hasn’t happened—at
least not yet. Instead, Tracy has indeed been the lead back, but
he’s been conceding a surprisingly high number of touches
to veteran RB Devin Singletary.
This dreaded backfield split in an offense that’s already
struggling just doesn’t scream “fantasy value”
for either of these backs. Tracy is the better option at the moment
as he at least touched the ball 15 times this past week, but it’s
entirely possible that he’s held to single-digit touches
here in Week 11, especially if Singletary looks good or the team
falls behind by a significant margin on the scoreboard.
There’s a lot to like about how the Texans closed their
game vs. Jacksonville last weekend and about the divisional opponent
they face this week. Without the ability to chew up yardage on
the ground, the Texans have discovered their identity via the
pass with Mills attempting 45 throws last week. That makes Woody
Marks the more valuable Texan back to have and even playing from
ahead in this game as they should, he will be valuable. Schultz
was targeted 11 times in the passing game last week also and since
the Texans’ bye week, he’s gobbled up an average of
8 targets per game. He’s missed practice this week due to
a shoulder injury so keep watch on his status over the weekend.
Stroud is set to miss again due to a concussion but even with
Mills under center, Schultz’s role as a trusted outlet seems
to be growing.
Chubb is a Fade at this point against nearly any opponent, but
the fact that we’re talking Titans as that opponent raises
him up to “On the Fence” territory. As a player who
has yet to fumble all season, his role in chewing up clock late
could put him in the flex range as the Titans have allowed the
most rushing TDs (12) to the position.
Davis Mills threw 45 passes last weekend vs. the Jaguars. That
was noted above. Of those 45 passes, zero were thrown Hutchinson’s
way. I know logic says that someone has to step up as the WR2
in Houston behind Nico Collins, but in reality, the WR2 in Houston
is a Woody Marks-Dalton Schultz hybrid. Hutchinson may have one
more good fantasy game left in him this season, but the risk of
getting little to no production from him is too great to consider
him an option this week, even in good match-up.
HOU FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.32
HOU FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.22
HOU FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.30
HOU FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.28
So, coaches game plan by stating first and foremost what the
overreaching goal for the week needs to be in order for the team
to have a chance to win. In the Titans’ case, putting the game
in the hands of Cam Ward hasn’t worked, so look for a steady dose
of Pollard and Spears to try to keep things close. Spears has
more upside (5.0 yards per carry, out-targeted Pollard 14-12 over
the past four games), but Pollard has the better floor. Both are
low-end flex options, but shouldn’t be faded altogether in lineups
where there are holes to be filled.
The Texans’ ferocious pass rush and Ward seem like a match
made in a darker place. As such, anything Ward does in the passing
game will be rooted in check downs to his RBs primarily. I doubt
you are considering using a Titan QB, WR, or TE in your lineup
this week or any week going forward, but in case you were, you
can remove that thought from your mind. It’s a bad idea.
Carolina has not been good on offense the past four weeks, but
McMillan continues to get opportunities in their limited passing
game to the point that he’s still a solid WR2 week in and week
out from my perspective. Atlanta has a top-10 pass defense, but
they surrendered 100+ yards to Demario Douglas two weeks ago and
183 last week to Alec Pierce and Tyler Warren, so there’s hope
here for Carolina. Considering McMillan is averaging 8 targets
per game, he’s the guy I choose to hang that hope on.
It’s hard to get excited about an offense that has averaged
11 points per game the past four weeks and that includes Bryce
Young first and foremost. I cannot imagine a scenario where he
would be one’s choice for starter, even in a Superflex league.
As for Hubbard and Coker, two touches a piece last week vs. the
lowly Saints is all you need to know. The Panthers only have one
elite offensive weapon right now and they know it (Dowdle). Expect
an offense that tries to limit mistakes and win through Dowdle
on the ground.
CAR FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.23
CAR FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.17
CAR FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.27
CAR FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.7
Fantasy managers with Bijan Robinson in their weekly lineups
don’t have nice things to say about Tyler Allgeier’s
role in the offense after Allgeier scored two more rushing TDs
on Sunday. Allgeier remains a risky play from week-to-week, but
you could do worse as a boom or bust flex pick than him, particularly
in a non-PPR setting. Turning to Pitts, it feels like we’re
watching the same season over and over again. Some teasing of
greatness (7 catches or more in three games this season), but
also the reality of only one touchdown. If ever there was a player
made for this category, Pitts would be that guy.
It is difficult to trust Penix even though he’s had a few
solid games this season (Wk1, Wk4, Wk9). In this instance, Carolina
has been sneaky good as a defense more weeks than not and ranks
top-10 in fewest fantasy points given up to the opposing QBs.
Penix finished as the QB31 when these two teams met back in Week
3. I am not certain that Darnell Mooney has ever gotten healthy
this season as it’s hard to explain why he’s so detached
from the flow of the offense. Penix is a better desperation start
this week than Bryce Young, but for the sake of avoiding disappointment,
he and Mooney are best left on the bench.
After a very slow start, Brown has dialed things up. In his last
three games before the bye, he averaged 106 combined yards and
scored twice. That included a season-high 108 yards on 11 carries
during Cincinnati’s Thursday night upset of the Steelers.
Brown teeters on the cusp of must-play status, though the one
drawback is that we haven’t seen a full return to heavy
usage. To that end, he logged 13, 15, and 19 touches, respectively,
during those last three games, and in the most recent game Samaje
Perine (ankle) sustained a high-ankle sprain. Perine missed practice
on Wednesday, and if he’s out in Week 11, that should be
a boost to Brown -- in that previous Steelers game, Perine ran
seven times for 31 yards. You can consider using Brown as a low-end
RB2 with a little upside.
Flacco (shoulder) has been a revelation since joining the Bengals.
In four starts, he’s averaged 314 yards, 2.75 TDs, and 0.5
INTs per game. Included in that excellent run is his 342-yard,
3-touchdown evisceration of the Steelers back in Week 7. His last
outing was even more impressive as he battled through a balky
throwing shoulder to put up 470 yards and four TDs against the
Bears. Despite his recent success, there are some reasons for
concern. Flacco remains limited in practice due to his shoulder
injury, and the Steelers will be getting a second look at the
veteran. Pittsburgh is also a high-variance defense, equally capable
of locking down the explosive Colts as giving up 32 points to
the Jets. Given his recent level of play, Flacco has earned a
QB1 spot, just be aware there is some tangible downside.
Fade: N/A
CIN FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.6
CIN FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.1
CIN FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.17
CIN FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.1
Rodgers was not good on Sunday night against the Chargers, completing
just over half of his 31 passes for 161 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs.
Even those modest numbers were aided heavily by a 65-yard touchdown
drive in the game’s final minutes with the outcome already
decided. He’ll look to rebound this week. As it happens,
he draws the ideal opponent to get things headed in the right
direction. The Bengals rank 30th in pass defense, and they’ve
allowed an NFL-high 23 touchdown passes (despite just coming off
a bye). Four of those TD strikes came courtesy of Rodgers in their
Thursday night shootout with the 41-year-old finishing with 249
yards and a pair of INTs as well. The Steelers have a way of flipping
the script, following strong performances with shaky ones and
vice versa, and we know Rodgers will have extra motivation coming
out of last week’s stinker. He has matchup-based QB1 potential.
Ever since opening the season with a 4-70-1 line versus the Jets,
Austin has averaged a paltry 2.8 catches and 28 yards over his
other six games. He saw a season-high seven targets on Sunday
night, though, and it feels like a safe bet that DJ Turner will
be covering Metcalf in Week 11, meaning Austin could get a healthy
number of looks this week. To see that phenomenon in action, one
need only rewind to Week 9 when the Bears scored 47 points while
top wideout Rome Odunze went without a catch. Meanwhile, DJ Moore
and Olamide Zaccheus combined for 10 catches, 130 yards, and a
score. If you’re looking for a flex with a pathway to value,
Austin might deliver.
Ricky Pearsall is back at practice and trending toward a return
against Arizona. Pearsall started the year hot, topping 100 receiving
yards twice in the first month before going down with a knee injury.
There’s now a bit more competition for targets with George Kittle
healthy and Jauan Jennings looking better, but Pearsall can still
be viewed as a Flex with WR2 upside this weekend.
Brock Purdy is also set to return after practicing in full on
Thursday. How much rust he’ll need to shake off remains
to be seen, and the Cardinals won’t make life easy—they’ve
allowed the 7th-fewest points to opposing QBs and just 10 touchdown
passes all season.
Purdy’s limited 2025 action has been a mixed bag. In Week
1, he threw for 309 yards and two touchdowns but also had two
interceptions and a fumble. Three weeks later, in his attempted
return, he again paired two scores with two picks. While he gets
reacclimated, Purdy profiles as a high-end QB2.
Jauan Jennings is coming off his best game since Week 2, posting
a 6-71-1 line on nine targets—his second straight week with
a touchdown. But with Pearsall returning, the target hierarchy
likely shifts again. Jennings still has Flex appeal, but his upside
is more limited than Pearsall’s.
Brian Robinson production over the last two weeks has been notable
(94 total yards and two touchdowns), but it likely says more about
him siphoning a few touches off Christian McCaffrey’s massive
workload than earning a meaningful standalone role. Robinson has
logged just 23 snaps over the last two weeks and has not created
anything close to a committee. He remains a pure handcuff.
SF FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.11
SF FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.15
SF FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.12
SF FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.15
With Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined due to appendicitis, Michael
Wilson becomes the next man up in a thin WR room. His 38 targets
rank third on the team behind Harrison (62) and Trey McBride (88).
After that, the next closest pass-catcher is Greg Dortch with
18, and Zay Jones (achilles) is now on IR.
By default, Wilson is positioned to be Jacoby Brissett’s No.
2 option against a 49ers secondary that has been more vulnerable
this year (12th-most FPts/G allowed to WRs). He’s maintained at
least a modest floor with Brissett (5.4+ FPts in four straight
games) and now carries additional upside without Harrison. He’s
a WR4 with upside in standard formats and a stronger play in deeper
leagues.
Jacoby Brissett’s Week 10 opened in disastrous fashion
with two lost fumbles—both returned for touchdowns by DeMarcus
Lawrence. To his credit, Brissett settled in and threw for 258
yards and two scores while adding 31 rushing yards. Even so, he
remains a volatile QB2, and heading into Week 11 without Harrison,
he’s too risky to trust.
The Cardinals backfield continues to be a weekly guessing game.
Emari Demercado produced 104 total yards in Week 10, but on only
seven touches. Zonovan “Bam” Knight led the team with
11 touches but managed just 33 yards. That makes five straight
weeks where a different RB has led the team in touches. With Arizona
depleted at wide receiver, the 49ers can comfortably stack the
box, further increasing the risk. It’s best to avoid this
backfield entirely.
Sam Darnold managed just 10.9 fantasy points against the Cardinals
last week, but he wasn’t asked to do much in a 44–22
blowout. He’ll likely be called on for more in what should
be a far more competitive game on the road against a Rams offense
that has scored 34 or more points in three straight contests.
The matchup isn’t particularly friendly—Los Angeles
has allowed the 11th-fewest points to opposing QBs—but with
a new weapon entering the fold (see below), Darnold remains a
fringe QB1 with some upside if Seattle ends up playing from behind.
Rashid Shaheed played only 21 offensive snaps in his Seahawks
debut, drawing just one target (a three-yard catch) but also handling
two rushes for 20 yards as Seattle worked quickly to get him involved
while he learns the system. His low target total was also a byproduct
of Seattle throwing just 12 passes in a game that got out of hand
early. This matchup should be much closer, and Shaheed’s
snap rate should begin climbing, but he remains volatile while
we wait to see how he integrates into the offense. He’s
a classic boom/bust Flex option in Week 11.
Kenneth Walker has now gone five straight games with fewer than
10 fantasy points and hasn’t scored since Zach Charbonnet
returned from injury in Week 4.
Charbonnet, meanwhile, has averaged 10.8 FPts/G since Week 4
on the strength of five total touchdowns. But against a Rams defense
allowing the fewest points to opposing running backs—and
just one rushing touchdown all season—volume may be the
only path to fantasy success, and neither Walker nor Charbonnet
has that right now.
SEA FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.15
SEA FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.25
SEA FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.24
SEA FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.5
Matthew Stafford continued his scorching stretch with four touchdowns
and 280 yards against the 49ers. The Stafford–Nacua–Adams
trio looks overwhelming in Sean McVay’s offense, and while
Seattle’s defense is better than most, they’ve been
merely middle-of-the-pack against opposing QBs. There isn’t
enough resistance here to knock Stafford out of must-start territory.
Davante Adams has similarly kept rolling, finding the end zone
again last week while catching six passes for 77 yards on eight
targets. Seattle has been strong against opposing WRs (9th-fewest
FPts/G allowed), but that isn’t enough to worry about Adams.
He’s at worst a high-end WR2.
For the third straight game, Blake Corum handled 13 touches.
And while the Rams were again in control throughout, this game
featured less garbage time, providing a bit more evidence that
Corum may be carving out a role. Still, he hasn’t surpassed
a 40% snap share, and if the Rams aren’t playing from ahead,
his involvement could shrink. It’s not time to consider
him in lineups—especially against Seattle—but he’s
inching closer to relevance.
Denver has made life difficult for quarterbacks overall — they’re
allowing the 2nd-fewest fantasy points per game to the position
— but there’s at least a small comfort for Mahomes managers: the
five most fantasy-relevant QBs to face Denver this season (Daniel
Jones, Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts, Jaxson Dart, and Dak Prescott)
have averaged 20 FPts against them. Expectations should still
be tempered, but with his full receiver group available, Mahomes
remains a QB1 play.
Travis Kelce has benefited from Kansas City’s improving
health at receiver, creating more room for him to operate. He
currently sits 9th among tight ends in FPts/G (10.3).
The matchup is less than ideal, though, with LB Dre Greenlaw back
at full strength and the Broncos ranking as the league’s
8th-toughest defense against tight ends. Kelce stays in the TE1
mix, but more as a borderline option this week.
Xavier Worthy remains heavily involved — 7 targets in each
of his last two games — but hasn’t topped 53 total
yards since Week 4 and hasn’t cleared 9.6 fantasy points
since Week 5. With Denver allowing the fewest points to opposing
WRs, this isn’t the spot to expect a rebound. He’s
a sit candidate.
Kareem Hunt continues to find work (11 carries and a TD last
week), but Denver is a much tougher assignment than Buffalo or
Washington, ranking 7th-hardest against opposing backs. As a touchdown-dependent
RB on a team facing a defense allowing just 17 PPG, Hunt profiles
as an RB4.
KC FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.19
KC FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.27
KC FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.29
KC FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.26
With J.K. Dobbins suffering yet another foot injury and likely
headed to IR, Harvey finally appears to have a clear path to lead
the backfield. It’s not the friendliest matchup — Kansas City
allows the 6th-fewest points to RBs — but Harvey’s dual-threat
ability (including 4 receiving TDs) gives him more weekly upside
than Dobbins. The matchup may cap efficiency, but he still belongs
in the RB2 discussion.
Bo Nix has thrown an interception in three straight games and
is coming off a season-low 9.8 fantasy points in an unexpectedly
sluggish 10–7 win over the Raiders. He’s also posted
negative rushing totals in two of his last three outings. Perhaps
the Chiefs force Denver into a more aggressive offensive script,
but Nix remains what he’s been: a volatile, fringe QB1.
Courtland Sutton is averaging 59 yards per game and has taken
a step back after his career-best 2024 season. He ranks 33rd in
WR FPts/G and draws a Chiefs defense allowing the 4th-fewest points
to the position. He’s a borderline WR3.
Bo Nix continues to pepper his former college teammate Troy Franklin
with targets, but the results remain uneven — Nix has just
a 73 passer rating when targeting Franklin dating back to last
season. Franklin’s 5-40-1 line last week masked ongoing
inefficiency, and things could get rough against a strong Chiefs
secondary. He carries a very low floor.
Evan Engram has just two receptions for 12 yards over his last
two games and has yet to top 42 yards in a contest this season.
The chemistry with Nix simply hasn’t materialized, and Kansas
City (7th-fewest FPts/G allowed to TEs) won’t help. He belongs
on benches.
There doesn’t seem to much weekly intrigue with the Ravens offense.
You have the three primary contributors (Jackson, Henry, and Flowers),
followed by Mark Andrews, and then everyone else. If there’s one
player that offers a bit of intrigue due to his breakaway speed
it’s Mitchell, who returned from a torn ACL in early October and
has flashed that big-play ability in recent weeks. Granted, it’s
been in extremely limited touches (13 combined in the last three
games), but maybe there’s an opportunity for an expanded role
here. The Browns struggled with the one-dimensional Jets last
week, specifically Breece Hall, and Mitchell is probably the closest
approximation the Ravens have to Hall’s speed and elusiveness.
Baltimore struggled to run the ball in their Week 2 matchup utilizing
Henry’s power, opening the door slightly for Mitchell as a risky
flex option in deeper leagues.
Although Andrews has scored three TDs in two games since Jackson’s
return, he continues to do almost all his work close to the line
of scrimmage. If you throw out his 91-yard effort versus the Lions
in Week 3, Andrews is averaging just 19 yards per game, and that
includes one catch for two yards in the earlier meeting with Cleveland.
His red-zone prowess at least keeps him in the conversation in
terms of playable fantasy value, but right now you’re basically
trying to thread a needle to get him there. That’s a lot
of downside for what has been a mostly modest return.
BAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.9
BAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.7
BAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.4
BAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.23
At this early stage of his career, Dillon Gabriel is doing the
vast majority of his passing near the line of scrimmage, averaging
just 5.0 yards per attempt -- that ranks dead last among qualified
QBs with Bryce Young next at 5.6. That means lots of checkdowns,
which leans into Fannin’s wheelhouse. Over the last four games,
the rookie has been targeted 30 times. David Njoku, who missed
one of those games due to injury, has seen 13 targets. The numbers
aren’t eye popping for Fannin, but he’s averaging a respectable
5.3 receptions and 56 yards during that stretch with one touchdown.
While Baltimore has been much better in pass defense since the
bye, Fannin is doing enough to be viewed as a low-end TE1 candidate
this Sunday.
By any statistical measure, it has been a season to forget for
Jeudy. A year ago, the former first-round pick put together a
90-1,229-4 campaign. Through nine games this season, he’s
on a 53-633-2 pace; that’s basically half the production.
He’s coming off his best game of the season, though, catching
six passes for 78 yards and his first TD of the year versus the
Jets. It was also his second double-digit target game in the last
four weeks. Jeudy led the team in receiving (4-51-0) back in Week
2 against the Ravens, and Baltimore’s secondary, despite
some improvement, is far from airtight. If you’ve been carrying
Jeudy on your roster and looking for a chance to use him, the
veteran could fill a WR3 role in this AFC North rematch.
Players like Jameson Williams are always going to give you face-melting
highs and soul-crushing lows. You just have to be willing to endure
the variance from week to week and understand that the juice will
be worth the squeeze by the end of the season.
Williams’ zero in Week 7 now feels like a distant time
ago as he has since delivered over 40 total fantasy points over
his past two games, including a touchdown in each contest. Williams’
explosiveness makes him a threat to do damage even with a low
target share, but if he continues to see six or more passes come
his way each game then he can truly establish himself as a must-start
option in all formats.
The Eagles have been a solid pass defense this season, but they’re
not one that should have Williams’ managers concerned. Fire
him up and hope that this is one of the “boom” games.
While the Lions’ backfield has clearly become the Jahmyr
Gibbs show here in 2025, there’s still something to be said
for the work that David Montgomery sees in just about every game.
The veteran has carried the ball at least 10 times in seven of
the Lions’ first nine games, including three-straight games
heading into this week’s contest with the Eagles.
This could end up being a high-scoring game and Montgomery is
one of the few RB2s who can actually be relied upon to punch the
ball in at the goal line. He’s still seeing a nearly even
split of touches with Gibbs, so don’t be surprised if he
gets some opportunities to produce fantasy points by getting into
the end zone this week. The Eagles have been a top-12 matchup
for opposing running backs so far this season, so there’s
some opportunity for production here.
Tight end Sam LaPorta would normally be a “favorite”
or even a “no-brainer,” but a back injury gives him
an uncertain status heading into this big Sunday night matchup
against the Eagles. This means that managers will likely be left
without a guarantee that LaPorta will play during both the early-afternoon
and late-afternoon games, making it exceptionally important to
have a backup plan if you’re a LaPorta manager.
This is more of a caution: be careful and take early precautions.
If he plays, of course, LaPorta should be in your lineup. But
if not, make sure you can pivot to another tight end like Theo
Johnson from the Giants or possibly Michael Mayer from the Raiders
who plays on Monday night.
DET FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.10
DET FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.29
DET FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.8
DET FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.18
A shockingly low-scoring matchup against the Packers this past
Monday night meant that the Eagles’ normal fantasy producers were
held in check for the most part, but one player who broke that
trend was wide receiver DeVonta Smith. Smith continues to produce
at a high level each week and has now produced 14 or more fantasy
points in five of his past seven games, including three-straight
such performances. He’s been quietly out-producing teammate A.J.
Brown most weeks and has truly re-established himself as a solid
fantasy WR2 after his early-season struggles had that status in
question.
The Lions’ defense has only given up two 100-yard games
to opposing wide receivers so far this season, but they’ve
conceded 13 touchdowns to the position, so it wouldn’t be
surprising to see Smith make another house call on Sunday night.
There’s no question that Saquon Barkley remains one of
the league’s most talented backs. He’s produced back-to-back
100-yard-from-scrimmage performances, including this past week
despite the Eagles’ overall offensive struggles against
the Packers. Unfortunately, Barkley has rushed for a touchdown
just one time over his past five games. He’s had his fantasy
days saved with two receiving touchdowns which is always a possibility
with a player of his caliber, but Jalen Hurts typically doesn’t
target his backs much in the passing game, so relying on that
is risky for fantasy purposes.
This isn’t a “consider benching Barkley” notice,
but more of a warning to temper your expectations for him in what
could be a difficult matchup against a Lions defense that has
given up the third-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing
running backs so far this season.
When a wide receiver comes out and suggests that fantasy managers
should, “bench me,” we should take that seriously.
That’s exactly what A.J. Brown did during a recent live
stream following his two-catch, 13-yard performance against the
Packers on Monday night. The Eagles won a low-scoring contest,
but Brown’s frustrations with the offense are getting louder
and the “squeaky wheel” narrative can only make us
believe for so long that things will return back to normal.
Brown has now been held to single-digit PPR fantasy points in
five of the eight games he’s played in this season, so the
boom-or-bust nature has made him a difficult player to predict
anyway—the additional direct message to fantasy managers
just makes things clearer.
Brown isn’t a must-bench, but he’s a player who has
to be looked at as more of a low-end WR2/Flex play, which is certainly
not what managers had in mind when they clicked the “Draft”
button.
Dak Prescott was scorching hot for a month—throwing 3+
touchdowns in four straight games—but the run has cooled
over the past two weeks. First, he ran into Denver’s suffocating
pass defense, and then last week the offense sabotaged itself
with four fumbles (two lost), stalling multiple scoring chances.
Against the Raiders, the offense should stabilize, giving Prescott
a strong rebound opportunity and keeping him firmly in the QB1
mix.
Since CeeDee Lamb’s return, George Pickens has remained
highly productive, clearing 78 yards in all three games. He now
gets a Raiders defense allowing the 6th-most FPts/G to opposing
wideouts, setting the stage for his strong production to continue.
Pickens is a confident WR2 in Week 11.
Jake Ferguson’s first seven games defied logic—six
touchdowns and a team target lead despite averaging under 7 yards
per reception. That outlier run appears to have ended. Over the
past two weeks, he’s produced just 5 catches for 50 yards
on 8 targets and has drifted back into a more modest offensive
role.
There will be useful weeks ahead, but probably not this one.
The Raiders have allowed only 33 receptions and two touchdowns
to tight ends all season. Ferguson is no longer a must-start and
falls into the TE2 range.
DAL FPts Allowed vs. QBs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. RBs: No.2
DAL FPts Allowed vs. WRs: No.1
DAL FPts Allowed vs. TEs: No.19
Geno Smith’s bumpy season resumed last week against Denver’s
defense, but a home matchup with Dallas presents a major bounce-back
opportunity. The Cowboys have now surrendered 20+ FPts to opposing
quarterbacks in every game this season, including Jacoby Brissett
in Week 9. With Dallas struggling to stop any passing game, Geno
once again slides into the back-end QB1 conversation—perhaps
for the final time this year.
Tre Tucker may not naturally profile as a true WR1, but he’s
getting the usage and the matchup is ideal. His 4 touchdowns and
9.9 yards per target make him the Raider wideout best suited to
exploit Dallas’ self-destructing pass defense. Outside of
Brock Bowers, Tucker is the Raider most likely to break a big
play and is a viable Flex play on Monday night.
Ashton Jeanty was bottled up by Denver (63 yards on 22 touches),
but he still scored his fourth touchdown and continues to see
RB1-level volume. That workload has delivered RB2 returns so far
(15th in FPts/G), but against a Cowboys defense giving up the
second-most points to opposing RBs, Jeanty’s usage should
translate into genuine RB1 production. He’s a top-10 play
this week.
Tyler Lockett posted season highs across the board last week
(6 targets, 5 catches, 44 yards), but the broader picture remains
bleak. He has yet to produce even a WR4-level week, hasn’t
averaged 10 yards per catch in any game, and despite 65 career
touchdowns, hasn’t scored in his last 17 NFL contests. Still,
with his long-standing chemistry with Geno Smith and a broken
Dallas secondary on deck, there’s at least a glimmer of
deep-league dart-throw appeal.
