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If Russell Wilson's incredible efficiency wasn't unsustainable enough for you, there was actually a player on Seattle's roster who was even more unsustainably efficient than Wilson was - that player is wide receiver Tyler Lockett.
With Doug Baldwin dealing with various injuries throughout the season that eventually led to him retiring, Lockett took over as Seattle's defacto WR1 in 2018 as he led the team in receptions, yards and touchdowns. But with only 70 targets on the season, he did it with the type of efficiency that we've never seen before out of a wide receiver. His impressive 16.9 yards per reception were sixth in the league among all pass catchers, but the touchdown efficiency was really where he turned heads as he caught a ridiculous 10 touchdowns. That's one touchdown for every seven passes that went his way. To give that number some context, Antonio Brown led the league with 15 touchdown receptions on the season - a number that on its own is probably unsustainable - but if he was scoring at Lockett's rate per target, he would've finished with 24 touchdown receptions. That's how crazy Lockett's numbers were.
So unless we're making the argument that Lockett is suddenly the most effective wide receiver in the history of football, then we have to understand that he's likely in for some regression in the efficiency department this season. But that doesn't necessarily mean that he's going to take a step back in production. In fact, he could actually end up out-producing his 2018 numbers if he's simply given a larger share of the targets in Seattle. With Baldwin, the team's leader in targets in 2018, now out of the picture, it seems likely that Lockett could see significantly more targets coming his way.
If Lockett can see a two target per game increase this season, it would not be at all surprising to see him surpass his yardage totals from 2018 while also having a chance to approach similar touchdown totals. He's a physically gifted player with big play ability that is nearly unmatched throughout the league and he has the opportunity to catch passes from one of the most accurate passers in the league. Considering that he's being drafted in the mid-20s at the position, it's safe to say that Lockett is being selected closer to his floor than he is his ceiling, which could make him a screaming value in drafts this season.
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