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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Preview for Week 11
11/17/17

Antonio Brown reminded the football world last night that he is one of the best wide receivers of all time with an impressive 10/144/3 performance on Thursday Night Football versus the Titans. Brown matched his season total to date with three touchdown receptions, highlighted by a circus catch in the fourth quarter in which he used his helmet to help secure a one-handed grab.

Brown is the first wide receiver to top 1,000 yards in 2017 and is the only player to reach at least 1,000 yards in each of the past five seasons. An often overlooked aspect of his eventual hall of fame career is his ability to stay healthy, with the former Central Michigan star missing only four regular season games since 2011.

Finding a similar performance in the player pool for this upcoming slate of weekend games will not be an easy task, as Brown is the first WR to achieve a three-touchdown game in 2017. But that doesnít mean we wonít be treated to some impressive performances on Sunday and Monday Night.

Here are a few DFS plays that I am targeting for Week 11 of the NFL season, including an Alex Smith/Travis Kelce stack against the Giants.

Alex Smith

Coming off a bye, Alex Smith gets the Giants who are giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to QBs.


Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Alex Smith @ NY Giants ($6,700 on DraftKings)

After scoring at least 27 points in Weeks 4, 5, and 7, Alex Smith cooled off with two sub-20 point games in his last two contests, including a disappointing 14.38 point performance at home against Denver in Week 8.

I anticipate that Smith and the offense will get back on track against a Giants team that has essentially quit on lame-duck coach Ben McAdoo. If C.J. Beathard and Jared Goff can torch the G-men for 25 points, I think Smith and the Chiefs will follow suit.

Other options to consider - Tom Brady @ Oakland (Mexico City) & Derek Carr vs. New England

GPP - Jay Cutler vs. Tampa Bay ($5,400 on DraftKings)

It takes a certain amount of intestinal fortitude to start smokiní Jay Cutler in fantasy, as the spectrum of outcomes ranges from an interception-laden single digit dud to a 30-point bonanza. While I donít anticipate Cutler having a monster game, you have to like his matchup against the Bucs at home.

Other options to consider - Blake Bortles @ Cleveland & Case Keenum vs. LA Rams

Fade - Jared Goff @ Minnesota ($6,600 on DraftKings)

It is tough to recommend avoiding a player like Goff who has been excellent with back-to-back 30 point games, but he has too many question marks this week with the Rams heading north to take on the Vikings. If Everson Griffen can play and put pressure on Goff in the pocket, the second year quarterback will likely struggle and revert somewhat to his 2016 form.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Melvin Gordon vs. Buffalo ($6,700 on DraftKings)

Many people may consider Gordon more of a cash game play this week based on the fact that he has been quite volatile in his production this season. It seems as if he scores either 20-plus points or a single digit turd, and not much in the middle.

I like him in all formats this week against a Bills team that has vaulted to No.2 in fantasy points allowed to RBís after trading away Marcell Dareus to the Jags back in October. The emergence of Ekeler taking touches away from Gordon is a concern, but this matchup has the makings of being a get-right game for Gordon.

Other options to consider - Kareem Hunt @ NY Giants & Mark Ingram vs. Washington

GPP - Rex Burkhead @ Oakland ($3,600 on DraftKings)

In somewhat of a head-scratcher, Rex Burkheadís salary on DK has not adjusted from his current price of $3,600 after consecutive 15.3 point games. With Chris Hogan out and Danny Amendola limited with a knee injury, Burkhead might be the most valuable receiving option for Tom Brady and is a steal at his current price.

Other options to consider - Alvin Kamara vs. Washington & Samaje Perine @ New Orleans

Fade - Leonard Fournette @ Cleveland ($8,200 on DraftKings)

I was not a fan of starting Fournette against the Browns rush defense prior to the news of him missing practice on Friday with an ankle injury. With his health for the game in doubt, I am fading Fournette in all formats.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Jarvis Landry vs. Tampa Bay ($6,400 on DraftKings)

Landry continues to be a target monster for Jay Cutler, with double-digit targets in six of his last seven games. Donít expect huge yardage totals from Landry, as the former LSU Tiger has yet to post a triple-digit yardage game in 2017. But with a floor of at least five catches and touchdown upside (already tied career high of five), Landry is an excellent mid-level WR for cash players against the 30th ranked Tampa pass defense.

Other options to consider - Michael Crabtree vs. New England & Mike Evans @ Miami

GPP - Jamison Crowder @ New Orleans ($3,600 on DraftKings)

Terrelle Pryor and Jordan Reed have already been ruled out vs. the Saints, opening the door for Crowder to continue his recent increase in target share (24 targets in the last two games). The Saints pass defense is much improved this season, and I like New Orleans to win this game, but Crowder will be an excellent GPP play with a floor of at least five catches and a ceiling of 20-plus fantasy points.

Other options to consider - Dede Westbrook @ Cleveland & Brandin Cooks @ Oakland (Mexico City)

Fade Ė A.J. Green @ Denver ($7,000 on DraftKings)

Green had a nice post-ejection bounce back game last week against Tennessee, with seven catches for 115 yards and a score. I donít expect him to have similar success this week against a Denver defense on the road.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Vernon Davis @ New Orleans ($4,600 on DraftKings)

Travis Kelce against a Giants defense that has allowed a touchdown in every game this season is a no-brainer play in cash games. For those not looking to break the bank with a $7,300 tight end, Vernon Davis against the Saints is a nice inexpensive source of targets in what could be a high scoring game.

Other options to consider - Travis Kelce @ N.Y. Giants & Jared Cook vs. New England (Mexico City)

GPP - Marcedes Lewis @ Cleveland ($2,700 on DraftKings)

Lewis is the perfect inexpensive touchdown dependent touchdown with No.1 TE upside this week against the Browns. Cleveland allows the third most points to opposing tight ends, and the Jacksonville wide receiving corps is dealing with various injuries.

Other options to consider - Tyler Kroft @ Denver & Cameron Brate @ Miami

Fade - Ben Watson @ Green Bay ($2,800 on DraftKings)

Although he enters Week 11 on the heels of a ten-target game against the Titans, the Packers allow the fewest points to opposing tight ends, and the road matchup against Green Bay looks to be a low scoring game to avoid.

D/ST

Jacksonville @ Cleveland

I don’t typically like to pay up for defenses, but when a unit like Jacksonville is paired up against a turnover happy team like Cleveland in bad weather conditions, I can’t help but pay the premium.