Prediction: Bears 27, Buccaneers 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 9 |
Josh McCown  |
Pass: 275, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
 RB 28 |
Charles Sims   |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 38 |
Bobby Rainey |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
| WR 13 |
Mike Evans |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
| WR 23 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
| WR 73 |
Louis Murphy |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 13 |
Austin Seferian-Jenkins |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 23 |
Patrick Murray |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 22 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
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Game Notes
 Buccaneers QB Josh McCown played in 8 games (5 starts) for Chi. last year & set franchise record with 109 rating, incl. 13 TDs & 1 INT, topping HOFer Sid Luckman's mark (107.5 in 1943)... Rookie RB Charles Sims had career-high 13 carries & 16 touches last week... Rookie WR Mike Evans had 7 catches for 209 yards & 2 TDs last week, youngest in NFL history with 200-yard rec. game. Is only rookie in NFL history with 7+ catches, 100+ rec. yards & TD catch in 3 consecutive games. Leads NFL with 458 rec. yards & 5 rec. TDs in Nov. In last game vs. Chi. (11/20/11 with SD), WR Vincent Jackson had 7 catches for 165 yards (23.6 avg.) & TD... Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 250+ tackles (259), 5+ sacks (7) & 5+ INTs (5). DE JACQUIES SMITH had career-high 2 sacks & FF last week. DT Gerald McCoy has 4.5 sacks in past 4 & 14 sacks in past 17. S Dashon Goldson has INT in both career meetings vs. Chi. S Major Wright played 1st 4 seasons with Chi. (2010-13) & had 9 INTs, incl. 3 TDs. CB Johnthan Banks had INT-TD last week...
 Bears QB Jay Cutler has won both career starts vs. TB... RB Matt Forte has 338 scrimmage yards (169 per game), 234 rushing yards (117 per game) & 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 rec.) in 2 career meetings. In past 7 at home, has 1,081 scrimmage yards (154.4 per game), 665 rush yards (95 per game) & 7 TDs (4 rec., 3 rush)... WR Brandon Marshall has 12 rec. TDs in past 12 at home. Since 2012, has 31 rec. TDs, 3rd in NFL. Had 2 TDs last week. WR Alshon Jeffery had 11 catches for 135 yards & TD last week. TE Martellus Bennett had 5 catches for 72 yards & TD in last game vs. TB (9/16/12 with NYG)... DE Willie Young ranks 3rd in NFC with 8 sacks. Had sack last week. LB Lance Briggs aims for 4th in row vs. TB with INT or FF. DE Jared Allen aims for 3rd in row vs. TB with sack. Since entering NFL in 2004, leads league with 131 sacks. CB Tim Jennings has 11 INTs in past 19 at home. Since 2012, is 2nd in NFL with 13 INTs & ties for 3rd with 3 INT-TDs.
Results and Schedule
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 14-20 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
STL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2014-09-18 |
ATL |
A |
L 14-56 |
-42 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
PIT |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NO |
A |
L 31-37 |
-6 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BAL |
H |
L 17-48 |
-31 |
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIN |
H |
L 13-19 |
-6 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
CLE |
A |
L 17-22 |
-5 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
ATL |
H |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
WAS |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NO |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Chicago Bears |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
BUF |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
SF |
A |
W 28-20 |
+8 |
| 3 |
2014-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
W 27-19 |
+8 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
GB |
H |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CAR |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
ATL |
A |
W 27-13 |
+14 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIA |
H |
L 14-27 |
-13 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NE |
A |
L 23-51 |
-28 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
GB |
A |
L 14-55 |
-41 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
MIN |
H |
W 21-13 |
+8 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
TB |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-27 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-04 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-15 |
NO |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
DET |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
TB
Offense |
CHI
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
17.0 |
19.3 |
22.7 |
CHI |
| Rushing yards |
81.7 |
101.0 |
107.4 |
CHI |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.66 |
4.13 |
4.04 |
CHI |
| Completion % |
59.6% |
64.2% |
62.1% |
CHI |
| Passing yards |
270.0 |
272.3 |
242.1 |
CHI |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.25 |
11.12 |
11.04 |
TB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.31 |
7.14 |
6.85 |
TB |
| Interceptions |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
CHI |
| 3rd down conversions |
34.9% |
43.3% |
39.6% |
CHI |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
38.5% |
46.3% |
CHI |
| Time of possession |
29:21 |
31:22 |
30:11 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
TB
Defense |
CHI
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
22.7 |
30.3 |
22.7 |
TB |
| Rushing yards |
120.7 |
116.7 |
107.4 |
CHI |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.03 |
4.20 |
4.04 |
TB |
| Completion % |
64.9% |
68.3% |
62.1% |
TB |
| Passing yards |
242.3 |
273.3 |
242.1 |
TB |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.01 |
11.68 |
11.04 |
TB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.14 |
7.98 |
6.85 |
TB |
| INT return |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
TB |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
TB |
| Sacks |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
CHI |
| 3rd down conversions |
41.8% |
39.0% |
39.6% |
CHI |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
71.4% |
46.3% |
TB |
| Time of possession |
30:45 |
28:38 |
30:11 |
CHI |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
TB |
CHI |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
15.4 |
4.9 |
8.8 |
TB |
| Yards per kick return |
22.2 |
24.0 |
24.1 |
CHI |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
5.2 |
11.7 |
8.8 |
TB |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
27.0 |
17.0 |
24.1 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
TB |
CHI |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.7 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
CHI |
| Penalty yards |
58.0 |
49.3 |
53.5 |
CHI |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
2 |
2000-09-10 |
CHI |
TB |
0-41 |
TB |
| 2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
TB |
CHI |
10-13 |
CHI |
| 2001 |
10 |
2001-11-18 |
CHI |
TB |
27-24 |
CHI |
| 2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
TB |
CHI |
3-27 |
CHI |
| 2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
TB |
CHI |
15-0 |
TB |
| 2004 |
7 |
2004-10-24 |
CHI |
TB |
7-19 |
TB |
| 2005 |
12 |
2005-11-27 |
CHI |
TB |
13-10 |
CHI |
| 2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
TB |
CHI |
31-34 |
CHI |
| 2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
TB |
CHI |
27-24 |
TB |
| 2011 |
7 |
2011-10-23 |
CHI |
TB |
24-18 |
CHI |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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