Final Score Prediction
Patriots 31, Dolphins 17
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
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| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 4 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 22 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis  |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 46 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 3 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 10-110, 1 TD |
| WR 65 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| TE 6 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
| K 11 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
 Dolphins Club is 5-1 when scoring 20+ points this season... In past 3 on road, QB Matt Moore has completed 46 of 75 passes (61.3 pct.) for 749 yards with 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 121.5 passer rating... RB Reggie Bush leads NFL with 406 rush yards in Dec. Bush (973) needs 27 rush yards to reach 1,000 for 1st time. Bush aims for 4th consecutive game with 100+ rush yards. Has 6 rush TDs in past 7. Averages 5.8 yards per carry on road in '11 (102 att., 593 yards). Bush had 9 catches for 56 yards with TD catch in last game vs. NE. Rookie RB Daniel Thomas (2nd round, No. 62) leads AFC rookie RBs with 550 rush yards... WR Brandon Marshall (1,021) has reached 1,000+ rec. yards in 5 consecutive seasons. Marshall had 7 catches for 139 yards (19.9 avg.) in last meeting vs. Patriots... TE Anthony Fasano had season-high in catches (5) & rec. yards (82) in last game vs. NE... LB Jason Taylor has 13 career sacks vs. NE... DE Jared Odrick has career-high 5 sacks in '11... CB Vontae Davis had career-best 2 INTs last week.
 Patriots BILL BELICHICK is 42-7 (.857) in Dec. with NE, best record in Dec. among head coaches with 1 team in NFL history (min. 25 games). Aim for 11th consecutive win in Dec...Seek 7th consecutive game with 30+ points... QB Tom Brady aims for 11th consecutive win at home vs. AFC East. Brady (4,593) needs 214 passing yards to surpass career-best of 4,806 in '07. Brady seeks 7th straight game with 100+ rating... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has 3 rush TDs in past 3 vs. Mia... In 8 career games vs. Mia., WR Wes Welker averages 105.4 receiving yards per game. Welker has career-best in rec. yards (1,380) & TD catches (9) in '11... TE Rob Gronkowski (1,141) needs 34 rec. yards to surpass TE BEN COATES (1,174) for most rec. yards by TE in season in NE history. Has totaled 188 rec. yards in past 2 vs. Mia. TE Aaron Hernandez had 103 rec. yards with TD catch in last game vs. Mia. Hernandez had career-best in catches (9) & rec. yards (129) last week... LB Rob Ninkovich has 4 sacks in past 5 games.
Results and Schedule
| Miami Dolphins |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
NE |
H |
L 24-38 |
-14 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
HOU |
H |
L 13-23 |
-10 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
CLE |
A |
L 16-17 |
-1 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
SD |
A |
L 16-26 |
-10 |
| 5 |
|
Bye |
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|
| 6 |
2011-10-17 |
NYJ |
A |
L 6-24 |
-18 |
| 7 |
2011-10-23 |
DEN |
H |
L 15-18 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
NYG |
A |
L 17-20 |
-3 |
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
KC |
A |
W 31-3 |
+28 |
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
WAS |
H |
W 20-9 |
+11 |
| 11 |
2011-11-20 |
BUF |
H |
W 35-8 |
+27 |
| 12 |
2011-11-24 |
DAL |
A |
L 19-20 |
-1 |
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
OAK |
H |
W 34-14 |
+20 |
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
PHI |
H |
L 10-26 |
-16 |
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
BUF |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
NE |
A |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
NYJ |
H |
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| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-19 |
+12 |
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
| 6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
| 7 |
|
Bye |
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| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
L 17-25 |
-8 |
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
W 37-16 |
+21 |
| 11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
W 34-27 |
+7 |
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
W 41-23 |
+18 |
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
| |
MIA
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
25.8 |
35.8 |
21.8 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
129.0 |
99.3 |
116.9 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.27 |
3.43 |
4.17 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
60.0% |
66.5% |
59.9% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
173.5 |
321.0 |
222.3 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.31 |
13.38 |
11.23 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.79 |
8.90 |
6.72 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
37.5% |
42.3% |
36.7% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
60.0% |
40.4% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
31:14 |
29:03 |
30:14 |
MIA |
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Defense Stats Comparison
| |
MIA
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
16.5 |
20.8 |
21.8 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards |
60.8 |
126.0 |
116.9 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.20 |
5.02 |
4.17 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
57.0% |
60.4% |
59.9% |
MIA |
| Passing yards |
217.5 |
277.0 |
222.3 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.35 |
12.53 |
11.23 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.90 |
7.57 |
6.72 |
MIA |
| INT return |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
MIA |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
18.1% |
45.6% |
36.7% |
MIA |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
25.0% |
40.4% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
28:46 |
30:57 |
30:14 |
MIA |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
MIA |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.7 |
13.8 |
9.7 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
28.1 |
20.4 |
23.5 |
MIA |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
10.8 |
10.8 |
9.7 |
- |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
21.9 |
19.6 |
23.5 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
| |
MIA |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.0 |
3.5 |
6.4 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
62.8 |
29.3 |
53.8 |
NE |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
4 |
2000-09-24 |
NE |
MIA |
3-10 |
MIA |
| 2000 |
17 |
2000-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
27-24 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
4 |
2001-10-07 |
NE |
MIA |
10-30 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
15 |
2001-12-22 |
MIA |
NE |
13-20 |
NE |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
NE |
MIA |
13-26 |
MIA |
| 2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2003 |
7 |
2003-10-19 |
NE |
MIA |
19-13 |
NE |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
MIA |
NE |
0-12 |
NE |
| 2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
MIA |
NE |
10-24 |
NE |
| 2004 |
15 |
2004-12-20 |
NE |
MIA |
28-29 |
MIA |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
| 2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
MIA |
NE |
28-26 |
MIA |
| 2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
MIA |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
NE |
MIA |
0-21 |
MIA |
| 2007 |
7 |
2007-10-21 |
NE |
MIA |
49-28 |
NE |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
MIA |
NE |
7-28 |
NE |
| 2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
MIA |
NE |
38-13 |
MIA |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
NE |
MIA |
48-28 |
NE |
| 2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
| 2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
NE |
MIA |
21-22 |
MIA |
| 2010 |
4 |
2010-10-04 |
NE |
MIA |
41-14 |
NE |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
NE |
MIA |
38-24 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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