Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Broncos 20
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 33 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 47 |
Danny Woodhead  |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 7 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
| WR 72 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 7-90, 1 TD |
| TE 7 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
| K 5 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 15 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Denver Broncos |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 6 |
Tim Tebow |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 50, 1 |
| RB 20 |
Willis McGahee |
Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 48 |
Lance Ball |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 15 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
| WR 27 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 91 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 31 |
Daniel Fells |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 16 |
Matt Prater |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Became 3rd team in NFL history to win at least 10 games in 9 consecutive seasons, joining 49ers (1983-1998, 16) & Colts (2002-2010, 9)... Aim for 10th consecutive win in Dec...Seek 6th consecutive game with 30+ points... QB Tom Brady (294) surpassed HOFer WARREN MOON (291) for 6th-most TD passes in NFL history last week. Brady seeks 6th straight game with 100+ rating... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has 21 rush TDs since '10, tied for 3rd-most in NFL... WR Wes Welker (100) joined HOFer JERRY RICE & MARVIN HARRISON as only players to have 4 100-catch seasons. Welker has career-best in TD catches (9) in '11. Welker (1,339) needs 10 rec. yards to surpass career-high of 1,348 in '09... TE Rob Gronkowski has 15 TD rec., most ever by TE in single season in NFL history. Gronkowski (1,088) needs 87 rec. yards to surpass TE BEN COATES (1,174) for most rec. yards by TE in season in Patriots history. Aims for 7th straight game with TD catch... LB Jerod Mayo has 2 INTs in past 2... DE Andre Carter (10) reached double-digit sacks for 4th time in career... CB Kyle Arrington is tied for NFL-best with 7 INTs in '11.
 Broncos Aim for 7th consecutive win... Den. became 3rd team ever to win 6 consecutive games after starting season 2-5 or worse... Incl. postseason, Den. has won 6 of past 9 vs. NE... QB Tim Tebow is 7-1 as starter in '11 with 12 TDs (10 TD passes, 2 rush TDs). Has AFC-best 111 4th quarter passer rating... Club averages NFL-best 156.2 rush yards per game... RB Willis McGahee (920) needs 80 rush yards to reach 1,000-yard mark for 4th time in career. McGahee has 6 100-yard rush games in '11, tied for most in NFL (FRED JACKSON)... WR Demaryius Thomas has totaled 222 rec. yards with 11 catches & 3 TDs in past 2. Aims for 3rd straight game with TD catch. In 2 career games vs. NE, WR Eddie Royal has 19 catches for 161 yards... Rookie LB Von Miller (11.5) needs 1 sack to tie LESLIE O'NEAL (12.5 in '86) & SIMEON RICE (12.5 in '96) for 3rd-most sacks by rookie since '82... LB Elvis Dumervil aims for 7th straight game with at least 0.5 sack... Incl. postseason, CB Champ Bailey has 2 INTs vs. Patriots.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-19 |
+12 |
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
| 6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
L 17-25 |
-8 |
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
W 37-16 |
+21 |
| 11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
W 34-27 |
+7 |
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
W 41-23 |
+18 |
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denver Broncos |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
OAK |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
CIN |
H |
W 24-22 |
+2 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
TEN |
A |
L 14-17 |
-3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
GB |
A |
L 23-49 |
-26 |
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
SD |
H |
L 24-29 |
-5 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2011-10-23 |
MIA |
A |
W 18-15 |
+3 |
| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
DET |
H |
L 10-45 |
-35 |
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
OAK |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
KC |
A |
W 17-10 |
+7 |
| 11 |
2011-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
W 17-13 |
+4 |
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
SD |
A |
W 16-13 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
MIN |
A |
W 35-32 |
+3 |
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
CHI |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
NE |
H |
L 23-41 |
-18 |
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
KC |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
DEN
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
34.0 |
21.3 |
21.6 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
90.5 |
181.8 |
116.8 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.47 |
4.69 |
4.17 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
64.3% |
49.2% |
59.4% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
326.5 |
136.0 |
223.6 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
13.07 |
13.67 |
11.30 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.40 |
6.73 |
6.71 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
DEN |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
- |
| 3rd down conversions |
40.5% |
28.9% |
36.9% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
75.0% |
0.0% |
44.4% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
28:19 |
31:48 |
30:14 |
DEN |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
DEN
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
21.0 |
15.0 |
21.6 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards |
111.3 |
130.5 |
116.8 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.22 |
4.34 |
4.17 |
NE |
| Completion % |
60.1% |
57.5% |
59.4% |
DEN |
| Passing yards |
287.3 |
208.5 |
223.6 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.51 |
10.49 |
11.30 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.52 |
6.04 |
6.71 |
DEN |
| INT return |
1.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
DEN |
| 3rd down conversions |
43.4% |
27.4% |
36.9% |
DEN |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
33.3% |
44.4% |
- |
| Time of possession |
31:41 |
32:26 |
30:14 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.4 |
12.2 |
9.9 |
DEN |
| Yards per kick return |
20.1 |
27.0 |
23.3 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.6 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
19.2 |
22.1 |
23.3 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.3 |
7.8 |
6.4 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
41.8 |
63.0 |
54.5 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
5 |
2000-10-01 |
NE |
DEN |
28-19 |
NE |
| 2001 |
7 |
2001-10-28 |
NE |
DEN |
20-31 |
DEN |
| 2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
DEN |
NE |
24-16 |
DEN |
| 2003 |
9 |
2003-11-03 |
NE |
DEN |
30-26 |
NE |
| 2005 |
6 |
2005-10-16 |
NE |
DEN |
20-28 |
DEN |
| 2005 |
DP |
2006-01-14 |
NE |
DEN |
13-27 |
DEN |
| 2006 |
3 |
2006-09-24 |
DEN |
NE |
17-7 |
DEN |
| 2008 |
7 |
2008-10-20 |
DEN |
NE |
7-41 |
NE |
| 2009 |
5 |
2009-10-11 |
NE |
DEN |
17-20 |
DEN |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
|
