Prediction: Panthers 24, Saints 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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New Orleans Saints |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 7 |
Drew Brees |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 25 |
Pierre Thomas |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
RB 33 |
Darren Sproles |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
RB 55 |
Mark Ingram |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 22 |
Marques Colston |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 65 |
Kenny Stills |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 86 |
Lance Moore |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Jimmy Graham |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
K 18 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 250, 1 TD Rush: 40, 1 |
RB 20 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 38 |
Mike Tolbert |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 34 |
Steve Smith |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 48 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
WR 79 |
Ted Ginn Jr. |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 6 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 6-60, 0 TD |
K 27 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 9 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
Clinch NFC South with win... In past 4 vs. Car., QB Drew Brees has passed for 1,423 yards (355.8 per game), 14 TDs & 113.1 rating. Has 50,419 pass yards, 1 of 5 in NFL history with 50,000. Has 4,500 yards, his 8th consecutive 4,000-yard season. Has 34 TDs, his 6th 30-TD season in row. Since joining NO in 2006, leads NFL with 38,071 pass yards & 278 TDs... In his last game at Car., RB Pierre Thomas rushed for 110 yards (12.2 avg.). Since 2011, RB Darren Sproles leads NFL RBs with 227 catches, 1,933 rec. yards & 16 rec. TDs... TE Jimmy Graham has 6 100-yard games, tied for most ever in season by TE. Has 5 TDs in past 4 vs. Car. & aims for 5th in row with TD. Since 2011 (incl. playoffs), leads NFL TEs with 272 catches, 3,521 yards & 37 TDs. WR Marques Colston has 6 TDs in past 4 meetings. Had 9 catches for 125 yards & 2 TDs in Week 14... DE Cameron Jordan has 11.5 sacks in past 13. Has 4 sacks in past 4 vs. Car. LB Junior Galette had career-high 3 sacks in Week 14.
Panthers QB Cam Newton is only player with 50+ pass (61) & 25+ rush (28) TDs in 1st 3 NFL seasons... In past 8 vs. NO, RB DeAngelo Williams has rushed for 912 yards (114 per game) & 7 TDs. Had 87 rec. & 81 rush yards last week, 1st Panther with 80+ rush & rec. yards in game. RB Mike Tolbert has 4 TDs in past 3 vs. NO. Has 6 TDs (4 rush, 2 rec.) in past 10... WR Steve Smith has 1,449 rec. yards & 10 rec. TDs vs. NO, his most vs. opp. WR Brandon LaFell has 13 career rec. TDs & averages 27.1 yards per TD (352 yards). TE Greg Olsen aims for 6th in row with 5+ catches... CB Captain Munnerlyn had 2 sacks & INT-TD last week. Has 4 INT-TDs since 2012, most in NFL. DE Greg Hardy has 17 sacks in past 23. Since entering NFL in 2012, LB Luke Kuechly leads NFL with 286 tackles. LB Thomas Davis is 2nd on team with 103 tackles (Kuechly, 122). Since 2010, DE Charles Johnson is 1 of 2 in NFC with 40+ sacks (42) & 10+ FFs (10). S Mike Mitchell is 1 of 2 in NFL w/ 4+ INTs (4), 2+ sacks (2.5) & 2+ FFs (2).
Results and Schedule
New Orleans Saints |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
ATL |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
TB |
A |
W 16-14 |
+2 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
ARI |
H |
W 31-7 |
+24 |
4 |
2013-09-30 |
MIA |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
CHI |
A |
W 26-18 |
+8 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
NE |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2013-10-27 |
BUF |
H |
W 35-17 |
+18 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
NYJ |
A |
L 20-26 |
-6 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DAL |
H |
W 49-17 |
+32 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
SF |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
12 |
2013-11-21 |
ATL |
A |
W 17-13 |
+4 |
13 |
2013-12-02 |
SEA |
A |
L 7-34 |
-27 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CAR |
H |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
STL |
A |
L 16-27 |
-11 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
TB |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
SEA |
H |
L 7-12 |
-5 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
BUF |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYG |
H |
W 38-0 |
+38 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2013-10-06 |
ARI |
A |
L 6-22 |
-16 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
MIN |
A |
W 35-10 |
+25 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
STL |
H |
W 30-15 |
+15 |
8 |
2013-10-24 |
TB |
A |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
ATL |
H |
W 34-10 |
+24 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
SF |
A |
W 10-9 |
+1 |
11 |
2013-11-18 |
NE |
H |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
MIA |
A |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
TB |
H |
W 27-6 |
+21 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
NO |
A |
L 13-31 |
-18 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-20 |
+10 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
NO |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NO Offense |
CAR Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
21.8 |
21.0 |
24.3 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
81.3 |
126.5 |
115.7 |
CAR |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.36 |
4.41 |
4.22 |
CAR |
Completion % |
70.8% |
59.5% |
61.2% |
NO |
Passing yards |
310.3 |
189.0 |
234.4 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
9.88 |
10.27 |
10.93 |
CAR |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.99 |
6.11 |
6.68 |
NO |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
NO |
Fumbles lost |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
CAR |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
49.4% |
44.0% |
38.3% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
55.6% |
83.3% |
50.6% |
CAR |
Time of possession |
30:08 |
31:50 |
30:22 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NO Defense |
CAR Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
19.3 |
16.3 |
24.3 |
CAR |
Rushing yards |
108.8 |
86.8 |
115.7 |
CAR |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.26 |
4.24 |
4.22 |
CAR |
Completion % |
64.6% |
65.1% |
61.2% |
NO |
Passing yards |
162.0 |
210.8 |
234.4 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
9.17 |
9.39 |
10.93 |
NO |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.92 |
6.12 |
6.68 |
NO |
INT return |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
CAR |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
CAR |
Sacks |
3.0 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
CAR |
3rd down conversions |
40.5% |
35.5% |
38.3% |
CAR |
4th down conversions |
66.7% |
50.0% |
50.6% |
CAR |
Time of possession |
29:52 |
28:10 |
30:22 |
CAR |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NO |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
3.6 |
14.8 |
9.6 |
CAR |
Yards per kick return |
29.7 |
20.6 |
22.6 |
NO |
Yards allowed per punt return |
8.9 |
9.7 |
9.6 |
NO |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.8 |
21.0 |
22.6 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NO |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.8 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
CAR |
Penalty yards |
52.8 |
40.8 |
52.2 |
CAR |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
7 |
2000-10-15 |
CAR |
NO |
6-24 |
NO |
2000 |
11 |
2000-11-12 |
NO |
CAR |
20-10 |
NO |
2001 |
5 |
2001-10-14 |
NO |
CAR |
27-25 |
NO |
2001 |
12 |
2001-12-02 |
CAR |
NO |
23-27 |
NO |
2002 |
10 |
2002-11-10 |
NO |
CAR |
34-24 |
NO |
2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
CAR |
NO |
10-6 |
CAR |
2003 |
5 |
2003-10-05 |
NO |
CAR |
13-19 |
CAR |
2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
CAR |
NO |
23-20 |
CAR |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
CAR |
NO |
32-21 |
CAR |
2004 |
17 |
2005-01-02 |
NO |
CAR |
21-18 |
NO |
2005 |
1 |
2005-09-11 |
NO |
CAR |
23-20 |
NO |
2005 |
15 |
2005-12-18 |
CAR |
NO |
27-10 |
CAR |
2006 |
4 |
2006-10-01 |
NO |
CAR |
18-21 |
CAR |
2006 |
17 |
2006-12-31 |
CAR |
NO |
31-21 |
CAR |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
CAR |
NO |
16-13 |
CAR |
2007 |
12 |
2007-11-25 |
NO |
CAR |
31-6 |
NO |
2008 |
7 |
2008-10-19 |
NO |
CAR |
7-30 |
CAR |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
CAR |
NO |
33-31 |
CAR |
2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
CAR |
NO |
20-30 |
NO |
2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
NO |
CAR |
10-23 |
CAR |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
CAR |
NO |
14-16 |
NO |
2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
NO |
CAR |
34-3 |
NO |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NO |
CAR |
30-27 |
NO |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
CAR |
NO |
17-45 |
NO |
2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
NO |
CAR |
27-35 |
CAR |
2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
CAR |
NO |
44-38 |
CAR |
2013 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CAR |
NO |
13-31 |
NO |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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