Prediction: Ravens 24, Patriots 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 14 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 22 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 8-60, 0 |
| RB 42 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 52 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 16 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 9-80, 1 TD |
| WR 18 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 8-80, 1 TD |
| TE 36 |
Michael Hoomanawanui |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 3 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 17 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Baltimore Ravens |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 20 |
Joe Flacco |
Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 30 |
Ray Rice |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 46 |
Bernard Pierce |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 14 |
Torrey Smith |
Rec: 5-80, 1 TD |
| WR 57 |
Marlon Brown |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 63 |
Jacoby Jones |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 8 |
Dennis Pitta |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 8 |
Justin Tucker |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Have won 17 of past 19 in Dec... Patriots have 10+ wins for 11 consecutive seasons, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (1983-98 49ers, 16)... With win, QB Tom Brady (146) would tie HOFer DAN MARINO (147) for 4th-most on all-time wins list among starting QBs. Brady's 146 wins are 5th-most all-time by starting QB in regular season. Brady has 43-7 (.860) career record in Dec., highest among SB-era QBs (min. 10 starts). In past 4 in 2nd half/OT, Brady has completed 87 of 126 passes (69 pct.) for 1,083 yards with 7 TDs vs. 1 INT & 110.6 rating. Has reached 4,000 pass yards for 6th time in career, tied for 3rd-most such seasons in NFL history... RB Shane Vereen has 36 catches in past 5 games... WR Julian Edelman (89) needs 11 catches to join TROY BROWN & WES WELKER as only Patriots to have 100 rec. in season. WR Danny Amendola (131) posted 3rd 100-yard receiving game of season last week. DE Chandler Jones has career-high 11.5 sacks in 2013... LB DON'T'A HIGHTOWER has team-best 85 tackles...
 Ravens Have won 4 consecutive games, tied for longest active streak in NFL (49ers)... In past 4 vs. NE (incl. 2 AFC Championship Games), QB Joe Flacco has completed 98 of 146 passes (67.1 pct.) for 1,213 yards with 10 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 109.8 rating. Needs 40 pass yards to become 1st Raven with 5 consecutive 3,500-yard seasons... RB Ray Rice has 3 100-yard rush games in 6 contests vs. NE (incl. postseason)... WR Torrey Smith (1,032) has reached 1,000 rec. yards in season for 1st time in career. Averages 21.4 yards per catch with 3 TDs in 3 career games vs. NE (incl. playoffs)... Incl. postseason, TE Dennis Pitta aims for 4th straight with TD rec. vs. NE... LB Terrell Suggs (9) needs sack to reach 10+ sacks for 5th time. LB Daryl Smith is 1 of 3 players in AFC with at least 4.5 sacks & 3 INTs in 2013... Rookie S Matt Elam posted 1st INT of career last week... K Justin Tucker has made 33 consecutive FGs, longest active streak in NFL. Is 1st player in NFL history to make at least 15 FGs over 4 consecutive games in 1 season (all wins)... Since 2012, KR Jacoby Jones has 4 kick return TDs (3 KR, 1 PR), tied for most in NFL.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
W 27-26 |
+1 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Baltimore Ravens |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-05 |
DEN |
A |
L 27-49 |
-22 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
CLE |
H |
W 14-6 |
+8 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
HOU |
H |
W 30-9 |
+21 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
BUF |
A |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
MIA |
A |
W 26-23 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
GB |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
PIT |
A |
L 16-19 |
-3 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
CLE |
A |
L 18-24 |
-6 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
CIN |
H |
W 20-17 |
+3 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
CHI |
A |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
NYJ |
H |
W 19-3 |
+16 |
| 13 |
2013-11-28 |
PIT |
H |
W 22-20 |
+2 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
MIN |
H |
W 29-26 |
+3 |
| 15 |
2013-12-16 |
DET |
A |
W 18-16 |
+2 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
BAL
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
27.0 |
20.3 |
24.3 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
97.0 |
86.5 |
115.7 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.92 |
3.35 |
4.22 |
NE |
| Completion % |
66.4% |
58.1% |
61.2% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
348.7 |
205.8 |
234.4 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.92 |
9.30 |
10.93 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.25 |
5.40 |
6.68 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
BAL |
| Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
45.6% |
36.2% |
38.3% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
60.0% |
40.0% |
50.6% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
31:46 |
32:01 |
30:22 |
BAL |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
BAL
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
27.0 |
19.0 |
24.3 |
BAL |
| Rushing yards |
110.7 |
109.8 |
115.7 |
BAL |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.77 |
4.04 |
4.22 |
BAL |
| Completion % |
61.1% |
52.3% |
61.2% |
BAL |
| Passing yards |
250.0 |
236.5 |
234.4 |
BAL |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.85 |
11.46 |
10.93 |
BAL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.25 |
5.99 |
6.68 |
BAL |
| INT return |
0.3 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
BAL |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
50.0% |
31.0% |
38.3% |
BAL |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
62.5% |
50.6% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
29:55 |
30:27 |
30:22 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
BAL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
10.0 |
12.9 |
9.6 |
BAL |
| Yards per kick return |
20.4 |
26.5 |
22.6 |
BAL |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
3.4 |
9.1 |
9.6 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
19.0 |
21.7 |
22.6 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
BAL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
3.7 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
26.3 |
51.5 |
52.2 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2004 |
12 |
2004-11-28 |
BAL |
NE |
3-24 |
NE |
| 2007 |
13 |
2007-12-03 |
NE |
BAL |
27-24 |
NE |
| 2009 |
4 |
2009-10-04 |
BAL |
NE |
21-27 |
NE |
| 2009 |
WC |
2010-01-10 |
BAL |
NE |
33-14 |
BAL |
| 2010 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
BAL |
NE |
20-23 |
NE |
| 2011 |
CF |
2012-01-22 |
BAL |
NE |
20-23 |
NE |
| 2012 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
NE |
BAL |
30-31 |
BAL |
| 2012 |
CF |
2013-01-20 |
BAL |
NE |
28-13 |
BAL |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card CF = Conference Final
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