Prediction: Dolphins 27, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Miami Dolphins |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 16 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 27 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 49 |
Daniel Thomas |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 17 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 5-80, 1 TD |
| WR 39 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 71 |
Rishard Matthews |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 12 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 12 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 11 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 25 |
EJ Manuel  |
Pass: 200, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 17 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 34 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 30 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
| WR 47 |
Steve Johnson  |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 78 |
Marquise Goodwin |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 24 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 16 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Dolphins Seek 3rd straight win at Buf. in Dec... QB Ryan Tannehill (3,627) needs 373 pass yards to join HOFer DAN MARINO as only Dolphins to register 4,000-yard season. In past 3 wins, Tannehill has 8 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 103.2 rating. Has thrown game-winning TD passes in consecutive games...RB MARCUS THIGPEN had game-winning 14-yard TD rec. vs. NE... WR Mike Wallace needs 133 rec. yards to record 3rd 1,000-yard season of career. WR Brian Hartline (925) needs 75 rec. yards to reach 1,000 in 2 straight seasons... TE Charles Clay (61) has 3rd-most rec. by TE in season in team history (RANDY MC MICHAEL, 73 in 2004; 62 in 2006). Clay (684) needs 107 rec. yards to surpass McMichael (791 in 2004) for most rec. yards by TE in season in Dolphins annals... LB Olivier Vernon has career-best 11.5 sacks in 2013... DE Cameron Wake needs 1.5 sacks to register 3rd 10+ sack season.
 Bills Rookie QB EJ Manuel (11) has most TD passes by Bills rookie in franchise history. Has 2 rush TDs in past 3 games. Has 1,282 passing yards with 9 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 83.4 rating vs. AFC opponents... Bills avg. 138.2 rush yards per game, best in AFC in 2013... RB C.J. Spiller averages 82.7 rush yards per game in past 4 vs. Dolphins. RB Fred Jackson (4,956) needs 44 rush yards to join HOFers THURMAN THOMAS & O.J. SIMPSON as only Bills to reach 5,000 rush yards... WR Steve Johnson (301) needs 2 rec. for 6th most in franchise history (PETE METZELAARS, 302). Rookie WRs Marquise Goodwin (3) & Robert Woods (3) have combined for 6 TD rec... DE Mario Williams (12) needs 2.5 sacks to surpass career best of 14 in '07. Had 2 sacks & FF in last game vs. Mia... Defense has NFL-best 49 sacks... Club has 4 players with at least 8 sacks, most in NFL (Marcell Dareus, Jerry Hughes, Kyle Williams, Mario Williams)... CB Stephon Gilmore has INT in each of past 2 games.
Results and Schedule
| Miami Dolphins |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-10 |
+13 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
IND |
A |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
ATL |
H |
W 27-23 |
+4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-30 |
NO |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
BAL |
H |
L 23-26 |
-3 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
NE |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
| 9 |
2013-10-31 |
CIN |
H |
W 22-20 |
+2 |
| 10 |
2013-11-11 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
SD |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
CAR |
H |
L 16-20 |
-4 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
PIT |
A |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
NE |
H |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
CAR |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-03 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-37 |
-13 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
CIN |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
MIA |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
NO |
A |
L 17-35 |
-18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
H |
L 13-23 |
-10 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
PIT |
A |
L 10-23 |
-13 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
W 37-14 |
+23 |
| 12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
ATL |
H |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
TB |
A |
L 6-27 |
-21 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
JAC |
A |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
MIA
Offense |
BUF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
22.3 |
22.7 |
24.3 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
106.0 |
119.3 |
115.7 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.63 |
3.97 |
4.22 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
64.7% |
60.9% |
61.2% |
MIA |
| Passing yards |
269.3 |
175.0 |
234.4 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.69 |
9.49 |
10.93 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.92 |
5.78 |
6.68 |
MIA |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
BUF |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
MIA |
| Sacks allowed |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
34.3% |
31.9% |
38.3% |
MIA |
| 4th down conversions |
25.0% |
100.0% |
50.6% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
29:17 |
28:41 |
30:22 |
MIA |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
MIA
Defense |
BUF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
18.7 |
23.3 |
24.3 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards |
110.3 |
148.7 |
115.7 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.74 |
4.87 |
4.22 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
57.2% |
52.7% |
61.2% |
BUF |
| Passing yards |
256.0 |
164.0 |
234.4 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.84 |
9.60 |
10.93 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.20 |
5.06 |
6.68 |
BUF |
| INT return |
1.0 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
BUF |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
BUF |
| Sacks |
2.7 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
39.2% |
42.1% |
38.3% |
MIA |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
50.6% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
30:43 |
31:19 |
30:22 |
MIA |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
MIA |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
8.9 |
5.5 |
9.6 |
MIA |
| Yards per kick return |
21.8 |
19.3 |
22.6 |
MIA |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
10.7 |
12.1 |
9.6 |
MIA |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
22.7 |
22.3 |
22.6 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
MIA |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.0 |
7.0 |
6.2 |
MIA |
| Penalty yards |
28.3 |
60.0 |
52.2 |
MIA |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
BUF |
MIA |
13-22 |
MIA |
| 2000 |
14 |
2000-12-03 |
MIA |
BUF |
33-6 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
11 |
2001-11-25 |
MIA |
BUF |
34-27 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
17 |
2002-01-06 |
BUF |
MIA |
7-34 |
MIA |
| 2002 |
7 |
2002-10-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-10 |
BUF |
| 2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
MIA |
BUF |
21-38 |
BUF |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
BUF |
MIA |
7-17 |
MIA |
| 2003 |
16 |
2003-12-21 |
MIA |
BUF |
20-3 |
MIA |
| 2004 |
6 |
2004-10-17 |
MIA |
BUF |
13-20 |
BUF |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
BUF |
MIA |
42-32 |
BUF |
| 2005 |
5 |
2005-10-09 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-20 |
BUF |
| 2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-24 |
MIA |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
BUF |
MIA |
16-6 |
BUF |
| 2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
MIA |
BUF |
0-21 |
BUF |
| 2007 |
10 |
2007-11-11 |
BUF |
MIA |
13-10 |
BUF |
| 2007 |
14 |
2007-12-09 |
MIA |
BUF |
17-38 |
BUF |
| 2008 |
8 |
2008-10-26 |
BUF |
MIA |
16-25 |
MIA |
| 2008 |
14 |
2008-12-07 |
MIA |
BUF |
16-3 |
MIA |
| 2009 |
4 |
2009-10-04 |
BUF |
MIA |
10-38 |
MIA |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-31 |
BUF |
| 2010 |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
MIA |
BUF |
15-10 |
MIA |
| 2010 |
15 |
2010-12-19 |
BUF |
MIA |
17-14 |
BUF |
| 2011 |
11 |
2011-11-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
8-35 |
MIA |
| 2011 |
15 |
2011-12-18 |
MIA |
BUF |
30-23 |
MIA |
| 2012 |
11 |
2012-11-15 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-19 |
BUF |
| 2012 |
16 |
2012-12-23 |
BUF |
MIA |
10-24 |
MIA |
| 2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-21 |
BUF |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
