Prediction: 49ers 31, Falcons 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 17 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 26 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 51 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 23 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| WR 43 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
| WR 90 |
Darius Johnson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 4 |
Tony Gonzalez  |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 15 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 31 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 10 |
Colin Kaepernick |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 21 |
Frank Gore |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 45 |
Kendall Hunter |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 19 |
Michael Crabtree |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| WR 37 |
Anquan Boldin |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
| WR 92 |
Mario Manningham |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 2 |
Vernon Davis |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
| K 19 |
Phil Dawson |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
REMATCH of 2012 NFC Championship Game...  Falcons QB Matt Ryan completed 30 of 42 (71.4 pct.) for 396 yards with 3 TDs vs. 1 INT for 114.8 rating in NFC Champ. Is 2-0 in reg. season vs. SF... RB Steven Jackson has 335 scrimmage yards (111.7 per game) & TD in past 3 meetings. Rushed for 2 TDs last week... TE Tony Gonzalez is 5th in NFL history with 15,000+ rec. yards (15,008). Has catch in 209 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. In past 3 meetings (incl. NFC Champ), WR Roddy White has 22 catches for 414 yards (138 per game) & 2 TDs. In last game at SF, had 8 catches for 210 yards & 2 TDs. WR Harry Douglas had TD in last reg.-season meeting... Rookie LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 109 tackles. Rookie CB Desmond Trufant (16) leads team in PD. DT Corey Peters had sack in NFC Champ. S William Moore had INT last week.
 49ers Last reg. season game at Candlestick... In NFC Champ, QB Colin Kaepernick had 127.7 rating. Incl. playoffs, when Kaepernick starts & has 100+ rating, 49ers are 11-0... RB Frank Gore rushed for 90 yards & 2 TDs in NFC Champ. Has 1,017 rush yards, his 7th 1,000-yard season... Since 2009 (incl. playoffs), TE Vernon Davis leads NFL TEs with 48 TDs. Has 10 TDs in past 11. Aims for 6th in row with TD. WR Anquan Boldin needs 42 rec. yards for 6th 1,000-yard season. WR Michael Crabtree had TD catch last week... LB NA VORRO BOWMAN leads team with 122 tackles. LB Patrick Willis had 12 tackles & 2 FFs in last home meeting vs. Atl. Since entering NFL in 2007, is only player with 20+ sacks (20.5), 15+ FF (16) & 7+ INTs (7). LB Ahmad Brooks has 5 sacks in past 6. DT Justin Smith has 3 sacks in past 4 games. Rookie S Eric Reid is only NFC player with 4 INTs & 2 FR. LB Aldon Smith has 4 sacks in past 4 games.
Results and Schedule
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NO |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
STL |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
MIA |
A |
L 23-27 |
-4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
NE |
H |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-07 |
NYJ |
H |
L 28-30 |
-2 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
H |
W 31-23 |
+8 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
ARI |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
CAR |
A |
L 10-34 |
-24 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SEA |
H |
L 10-33 |
-23 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
TB |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
| 12 |
2013-11-21 |
NO |
H |
L 13-17 |
-4 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
BUF |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
GB |
A |
L 21-22 |
-1 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
WAS |
H |
W 27-26 |
+1 |
| 16 |
2013-12-23 |
SF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| San Francisco 49ers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
GB |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
SEA |
A |
L 3-29 |
-26 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
IND |
H |
L 7-27 |
-20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-26 |
STL |
A |
W 35-11 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
HOU |
H |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
ARI |
H |
W 32-20 |
+12 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
TEN |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
JAC |
A |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
CAR |
H |
L 9-10 |
-1 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
NO |
A |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-25 |
WAS |
A |
W 27-6 |
+21 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
STL |
H |
W 23-13 |
+10 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
SEA |
H |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
TB |
A |
W 33-14 |
+19 |
| 16 |
2013-12-23 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
ARI |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Offense |
SF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
22.3 |
22.3 |
24.3 |
- |
| Rushing yards |
97.3 |
108.0 |
115.7 |
SF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.51 |
3.82 |
4.22 |
ATL |
| Completion % |
64.7% |
58.9% |
61.2% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
230.8 |
171.8 |
234.4 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.81 |
10.29 |
10.93 |
SF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.70 |
6.06 |
6.68 |
SF |
| Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
SF |
| Sacks allowed |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
SF |
| 3rd down conversions |
42.1% |
32.9% |
38.3% |
ATL |
| 4th down conversions |
40.0% |
50.0% |
50.6% |
SF |
| Time of possession |
30:08 |
31:16 |
30:22 |
SF |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Defense |
SF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
28.0 |
13.5 |
24.3 |
SF |
| Rushing yards |
149.0 |
97.3 |
115.7 |
SF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.79 |
3.84 |
4.22 |
SF |
| Completion % |
68.9% |
57.8% |
61.2% |
SF |
| Passing yards |
249.0 |
164.8 |
234.4 |
SF |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.87 |
9.08 |
10.93 |
SF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.18 |
5.25 |
6.68 |
SF |
| INT return |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
SF |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
ATL |
| Sacks |
1.3 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
SF |
| 3rd down conversions |
46.8% |
33.3% |
38.3% |
SF |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
0.0% |
50.6% |
SF |
| Time of possession |
29:52 |
28:44 |
30:22 |
SF |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
SF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
7.5 |
10.3 |
9.6 |
SF |
| Yards per kick return |
22.5 |
22.8 |
22.6 |
SF |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
9.1 |
10.8 |
9.6 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
19.6 |
20.7 |
22.6 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
SF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.0 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
ATL |
| Penalty yards |
39.5 |
50.5 |
52.2 |
ATL |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Atlanta Falcons vs. San Francisco 49ers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
1 |
2000-09-03 |
SF |
ATL |
28-36 |
ATL |
| 2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
ATL |
SF |
6-16 |
SF |
| 2001 |
1 |
2001-09-09 |
ATL |
SF |
13-16 |
SF |
| 2001 |
5 |
2001-10-14 |
SF |
ATL |
37-31 |
SF |
| 2004 |
1 |
2004-09-12 |
ATL |
SF |
21-19 |
ATL |
| 2007 |
9 |
2007-11-04 |
SF |
ATL |
16-20 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
5 |
2009-10-11 |
ATL |
SF |
45-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
SF |
ATL |
14-16 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
CF |
2013-01-20 |
SF |
ATL |
28-24 |
SF |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. CF = Conference Final
|
