Prediction: Chiefs 27, Colts 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 19 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 36 |
Trent Richardson  |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| RB 39 |
Donald Brown   |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 20 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 26 |
Da'Rick Rogers |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 88 |
LaVon Brazill |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 15 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 28 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 23 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 15 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 2 |
Jamaal Charles |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
| RB 50 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 28 |
Dwayne Bowe |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
| WR 60 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 85 |
Dexter McCluster |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 19 |
Sean McGrath |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 10 |
Ryan Succop |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 2 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Colts Have won 4 of past 5 at KC... Last week, QB Andrew Luck (7,673) joined CAM NEWTON (7,920) & PEYTON MANNING (7,874) as only QBs with at least 7,500 passing yards in 1st 2 seasons of career in NFL history. Luck (10) has most game-winning drives by QB in 4th qtr./OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since '70. Is 1-0 vs. KC... RB Donald Brown is averaging career-best 5.3 yards per carry in 2013. RB Trent Richardson had 2 rush TDs in only meeting vs. KC (w/ Cle. on 12/9/12). Totaled season-best 102 scrimmage yards last week, incl. 9-yard TD rec... WR T.Y. Hilton has career-best in catches (66) & rec. yards (861) in 2013. Has 4 100-yard rec. games in '13. WR Griff Whalen posted 1st TD rec. of career last week. Had career-long 51-yard PR vs. Hou... TE Coby Fleener has career-best in catches (49), rec. yards (575) & TDs (4) in 2013... Last week, LB Robert Mathis (108 career; 16.5 in 2013) surpassed DWIGHT FREENEY (107.5 career; 16 in 2004) for most sacks in career by Colt in single-season since 1982.
 Chiefs KC (11) is tied with 2008 Dolphins & 2012 Colts for most wins by team that won 2 or fewer games in previous season... Chiefs (+21) have best turnover ratio in NFL... QB Alex Smith had career-high 5 TD passes last week, tied for 2nd-most in game in Chiefs history. Has career-high 3,160 passing yards in 2013. Smith (384) needs 3 rush yards for most in season by Chiefs QB... RB Jamaal Charles scored 5 TDs last week vs. Raiders & became 1st player in NFL history with at least 4 TD rec. & 1 rush TD in single game. Rushed for 226 yards, incl. 86-yard rush TD, in last game vs. Ind. Is 1st Chief ever with 4 career 1,000-yard rush seasons. Has NFL-best 18 total TDs (11 rush, 7 rec.). Averages 131.1 scrimmage yards per game in '13, best in AFC... WR Dwayne Bowe (6,355) needs 6 rec. yards to surpass CARLOS CARSON (6,360) for 4th-most in club history... Allow AFC-low 18.2 points per game in 2013... Have 11 return TDs in 2013, most in NFL... LB Tamba Hali (11) has registered at least 10 sacks for 3rd time in career... S Eric Berry had 2 INTs vs. Oak., incl. 47-yard INT-return TD. Berry has 3.5 sacks this season, most among NFL DBs.
Results and Schedule
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
OAK |
H |
W 21-17 |
+4 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIA |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SF |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
JAC |
A |
W 37-3 |
+34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SEA |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 6 |
2013-10-14 |
SD |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
DEN |
H |
W 39-33 |
+6 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
HOU |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
STL |
H |
L 8-38 |
-30 |
| 11 |
2013-11-14 |
TEN |
A |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
ARI |
A |
L 11-40 |
-29 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TEN |
H |
W 22-14 |
+8 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CIN |
A |
L 28-42 |
-14 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
HOU |
H |
W 25-3 |
+22 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
JAC |
A |
W 28-2 |
+26 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
DAL |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-19 |
PHI |
A |
W 26-16 |
+10 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
NYG |
H |
W 31-7 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
TEN |
A |
W 26-17 |
+9 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
OAK |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
HOU |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
CLE |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-13 |
+10 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
DEN |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
SD |
H |
L 38-41 |
-3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
DEN |
H |
L 28-35 |
-7 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
WAS |
A |
W 45-10 |
+35 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
OAK |
A |
W 56-31 |
+25 |
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
IND |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
SD |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Offense |
KC
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
21.5 |
37.0 |
24.3 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
96.0 |
139.0 |
115.7 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.13 |
5.29 |
4.22 |
KC |
| Completion % |
58.6% |
62.4% |
61.2% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
223.5 |
258.0 |
234.4 |
KC |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.37 |
11.43 |
10.93 |
KC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.08 |
7.13 |
6.68 |
KC |
| Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
KC |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
IND |
| Sacks allowed |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
29.9% |
32.7% |
38.3% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
16.7% |
50.0% |
50.6% |
KC |
| Time of possession |
27:37 |
30:23 |
30:22 |
KC |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Defense |
KC
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
29.8 |
31.0 |
24.3 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
134.3 |
112.7 |
115.7 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.31 |
3.72 |
4.22 |
KC |
| Completion % |
63.8% |
56.9% |
61.2% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
227.5 |
347.0 |
234.4 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.10 |
14.61 |
10.93 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.09 |
8.30 |
6.68 |
IND |
| INT return |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
KC |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
KC |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
45.1% |
41.9% |
38.3% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
50.0% |
50.6% |
- |
| Time of possession |
32:23 |
29:37 |
30:22 |
KC |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
KC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.3 |
14.1 |
9.6 |
KC |
| Yards per kick return |
21.1 |
34.1 |
22.6 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
18.7 |
4.1 |
9.6 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.9 |
24.1 |
22.6 |
KC |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
KC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.3 |
8.0 |
6.2 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
46.0 |
68.7 |
52.2 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
1 |
2000-09-03 |
IND |
KC |
27-14 |
IND |
| 2001 |
7 |
2001-10-28 |
IND |
KC |
35-28 |
IND |
| 2004 |
8 |
2004-10-31 |
IND |
KC |
35-45 |
KC |
| 2006 |
WC |
2007-01-06 |
KC |
IND |
8-23 |
IND |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
KC |
IND |
10-13 |
IND |
| 2010 |
5 |
2010-10-10 |
KC |
IND |
9-19 |
IND |
| 2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
KC |
IND |
28-24 |
KC |
| 2012 |
16 |
2012-12-23 |
IND |
KC |
20-13 |
IND |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card
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