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Prediction: Chargers 27, Chiefs 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Kansas City Chiefs
Rank  Player Projections
QB 20 Alex Smith Pass: 255, 1 TD Rush: 25, 0
RB 5 Jamaal Charles Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
RB 43 Knile Davis Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0
WR 40 Dwayne Bowe Rec: 4-65, 0 TD
WR 71 Junior Hemingway Rec: 3-35, 0 TD
WR 85 A.J. Jenkins Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 8 Travis Kelce Rec: 6-55, 1 TD
TE 26 Anthony Fasano Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 25 Cairo Santos FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 27 Defense / ST  
 
San Diego Chargers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 3 Philip Rivers Pass: 300, 3 TD Rush: 5, 0
RB 17 Branden Oliver Rush: 75, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
WR 24 Malcom Floyd Rec: 4-65, 1 TD
 WR 37 Eddie Royal Rec: 4-55, 0 TD
WR 45 Keenan Allen Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
TE 5 Antonio Gates Rec: 5-55, 1 TD
TE 27 Ladarius Green Rec: 2-25, 0 TD
K 3 Nick Novak FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 6 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Chiefs In past 3, QB Alex Smith has completed 55 of 81 passes (67.9 pct.) for 592 yards & 7 TDs vs. 1 INT with 112.8 rating. Passed for 294 yards & 3 TDs for 106.7 rating in last meeting. Smith's teams are 19-2-1 (.886) when he has 100+ rating... In past 6 vs. SD, RB Jamaal Charles has 6 total TDs (5 rush, 1 rec.), including 115 rush yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. Since entering NFL in 2008, leads league with 5.6 rush avg. average (min. 600 att.). RB Knile Davis rushed for 81 yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. Has 100+ rush yards in 2 of past 3. In Wk. 5 vs. SF, rookie RB DE' ANTHONY THOMAS (Round 4, No. 124 overall) scored 17-yard TD on 1st career carry... WR Dwayne Bowe (486) needs 14 catches to join TONY GONZALEZ (916) as only players in club history with 500 career. In past 3 vs. SD, has 20 catches for 238 yards & 2 TDs. TE Travis Kelce had 2-yard TD catch vs. SF & aims for 4th in row with TD catch... LB Justin Houston has 4 sacks & FF in past 3. Since 2013, ranks 3rd in AFC with 17 sacks. DE Allen Bailey had career-high 1.5 sacks vs. SF. LB Tamba Hali has sack in 3 of past 4.

Chargers In past 5, QB Philip Rivers has completed 117 of 163 passes (71.8 pct.) for 1,518 yards with 14 TDs vs. 1 INT for 126.8 rating. Aims for 6th in row with 120+ rating. Chargers are 35-3 (.921) when Rivers starts & has 120+ rating, including last week (313 yards with 3 TDs & 0 INTs for 123.8 rating)... In last meeting (12/22/13 with Ind.), RB Donald Brown had 110 scrimmage yards (79 rush, 31 rec.) & 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 rec.). RB Branden Oliver (undrafted) is 1st rookie Chargers RB with 100+ rush yards & rush TD in back-to-back games since LA DAINIAN TOMLINSON (2001)... TE Antonio Gates has 14 career TDs vs. Chiefs, most vs. any opponent, including TD in last meeting. WR Eddie Royal has 5 TDs in past 4. Has 298 catches & needs 2 to reach 300 career. In 2 career meetings, WR Keenan Allen has 14 catches for 213 yards (106.5 per game)... DE Corey Liuget aims for 3rd in row with sack vs. KC. In past 2 vs. KC (w/ Ind.), DE Dwight Freeney has 2.5 sacks. S Eric Weddle has 4 career INTs vs. KC, most vs. any opponent. Has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC.


Results and Schedule

Kansas City Chiefs
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 TEN H L 10-26 -16
2 2014-09-14 DEN A L 17-24 -7
3 2014-09-21 MIA A W 34-15 +19
4 2014-09-29 NE H W 41-14 +27
5 2014-10-05 SF A L 17-22 -5
6   Bye      
7 2014-10-19 SD A    
8 2014-10-26 STL H    
9 2014-11-02 NYJ H    
10 2014-11-09 BUF A    
11 2014-11-16 SEA H    
12 2014-11-20 OAK A    
13 2014-11-30 DEN H    
14 2014-12-07 ARI A    
15 2014-12-14 OAK H    
16 2014-12-21 PIT A    
17 2014-12-28 SD H    
   

San Diego Chargers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-08 ARI A L 17-18 -1
2 2014-09-14 SEA H W 30-21 +9
3 2014-09-21 BUF A W 22-10 +12
4 2014-09-28 JAC H W 33-14 +19
5 2014-10-05 NYJ H W 31-0 +31
6 2014-10-12 OAK A W 31-28 +3
7 2014-10-19 KC H    
8 2014-10-23 DEN A    
9 2014-11-02 MIA A    
10   Bye      
11 2014-11-16 OAK H    
12 2014-11-23 STL H    
13 2014-11-30 BAL A    
14 2014-12-07 NE H    
15 2014-12-14 DEN H    
16 2014-12-20 SF A    
17 2014-12-28 KC A    

Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs
Out  WR Donnie Avery (sports-hernia)
 SS Eric Berry (ankle)
 CB Christopher Owens (knee)
Questionable  RB Cyrus Gray (hand)
 CB Sean Smith (groin)
Probable  CB Phillip Gaines (concussion)
IR  QB Tyler Bray (knee, 8/30/2014)
 DE Mike Catapano (other-illness, 9/25/2014)
 DE Mike Devito (achilles-tendon, 9/9/2014)
 ILB Derrick Johnson (achilles-tendon, 9/9/2014)
 ILB Joe Mays (wrist, 9/2/2014)
 RB Joe McKnight (achilles-tendon, 9/26/2014)
   

San Diego Chargers
Out  RB Donald Brown (concussion)
 RB Ryan Mathews (leg)
 ILB Manti Te'o (foot)
Doubtful  OLB Jeremiah Attaochu (hamstring)
Questionable  CB Brandon Flowers (groin)
 OLB Dwight Freeney (knee)
 DE Cordarro Law (ankle)
 CB Jason Verrett (shoulder)
Probable  WR Eddie Royal (elbow)
 ILB Reggie Walker (ankle)
 CB Shareece Wright (knee)
IR  DE Kwame Geathers (knee, 8/26/2014)
 OLB Melvin Ingram (hip, 9/20/2014)
 RB Danny Woodhead (ankle, 9/22/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  KC
 Offense 
SD
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 22.7 28.5 23.4 SD
Rushing yards 138.0 88.5 112.8 KC
Rushing yards per attempt 4.68 2.92 4.17 KC
Completion % 63.3% 69.0% 63.3% SD
Passing yards 194.0 277.8 243.8 SD
Passing yards per completion 9.87 12.42 10.89 SD
Passing yards per attempt 6.25 8.57 6.89 SD
Interceptions 0.3 0.3 0.8 -
Fumbles lost 0.0 0.0 0.6 -
Sacks allowed 2.7 1.3 2.1 SD
3rd down conversions 50.7% 53.8% 41.8% SD
4th down conversions 50.0% 0.0% 42.2% KC
Time of possession 31:12 34:06 30:13 SD
  Defense Stats Comparison

  KC
 Defense 
SD
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 20.3 15.8 23.4 SD
Rushing yards 130.3 98.8 112.8 SD
Rushing yards per attempt 4.79 4.68 4.17 SD
Completion % 61.6% 60.3% 63.3% SD
Passing yards 214.3 225.3 243.8 KC
Passing yards per completion 10.94 10.20 10.89 SD
Passing yards per attempt 6.74 6.15 6.89 SD
INT return 0.0 0.5 0.8 SD
Fumble recoveries 0.0 0.8 0.6 SD
Sacks 3.3 2.3 2.1 KC
3rd down conversions 34.4% 44.6% 41.8% KC
4th down conversions 50.0% 0.0% 42.2% SD
Time of possession 28:48 25:55 30:13 SD

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   KC   SD  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 12.7 7.2 8.4 KC
Yards per kick return 22.4 11.0 23.5 KC
Yards allowed per punt return 3.2 5.8 8.4 KC
Yards allowed per kick return 29.4 20.9 23.5 SD
  Misc Stats Comparison

   KC   SD  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 4.0 6.3 6.9 KC
Penalty yards 29.7 54.3 58.9 KC

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 6 of the 2014 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 1 to 6 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 3 2000-09-17 SD KC 10-42 KC
2000 13 2000-11-26 KC SD 16-17 SD
2001 8 2001-11-04 KC SD 25-20 KC
2001 15 2001-12-23 SD KC 17-20 KC
2002 6 2002-10-13 KC SD 34-35 SD
2002 16 2002-12-22 SD KC 22-24 KC
2003 1 2003-09-07 SD KC 14-27 KC
2003 13 2003-11-30 KC SD 28-24 KC
2004 12 2004-11-28 SD KC 34-31 SD
2004 17 2005-01-02 KC SD 17-24 SD
2005 8 2005-10-30 KC SD 20-28 SD
2005 16 2005-12-24 SD KC 7-20 KC
2006 7 2006-10-22 SD KC 27-30 KC
2006 15 2006-12-17 KC SD 9-20 SD
2007 4 2007-09-30 KC SD 30-16 KC
2007 13 2007-12-02 SD KC 24-10 SD
2008 10 2008-11-09 KC SD 19-20 SD
2008 15 2008-12-14 SD KC 22-21 SD
2009 7 2009-10-25 SD KC 37-7 SD
2009 12 2009-11-29 KC SD 14-43 SD
2010 1 2010-09-13 SD KC 14-21 KC
2010 14 2010-12-12 KC SD 0-31 SD
2011 3 2011-09-25 KC SD 17-20 SD
2011 8 2011-10-31 SD KC 20-23 KC
2012 4 2012-09-30 SD KC 37-20 SD
2012 9 2012-11-01 KC SD 13-31 SD
2013 12 2013-11-24 SD KC 41-38 SD
2013 17 2013-12-29 KC SD 24-27 SD

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.