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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Week 6
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

IND
HOU		 33
 28
PrePost
PIT
CLE		 10
 31
PrePost
NE
BUF		 37
 22
PrePost
JAC
TEN		 14
 16
PrePost
BAL
TB		 48
 17
PrePost
GB
MIA		 27
 24
PrePost
DET
MIN		 17
 3
PrePost
DEN
NYJ		 31
 17
PrePost
CHI
ATL		 27
 13
PrePost
CAR
CIN		 37
 37
PrePost
SD
OAK		 31
 28
PrePost
DAL
SEA		 30
 23
PrePost
WAS
ARI		 20
 30
PrePost
NYG
PHI		 0
 27
PrePost
SF
STL		 31
 17
PrePost
  

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Prediction: Bills 24, Patriots 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 13 Tom Brady Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 21 Shane Vereen Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 6-40, 0
RB 30 Stevan Ridley Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0
WR 13 Julian Edelman Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
WR 63 Brandon LaFell Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
WR 88 Danny Amendola Rec: 1-10, 0 TD
TE 2 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 6-60, 1 TD
TE 34 Tim Wright Rec: 1-15, 0 TD
K 3 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2
DEF 10 Defense / ST  
 
Buffalo Bills
Rank  Player Projections
QB 29 Kyle Orton Pass: 285, 0 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 15 Fred Jackson Rush: 40, 1 TD Rec: 6-40, 0
RB 22 C.J. Spiller Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 31 Sammy Watkins Rec: 6-75, 0 TD
WR 61 Robert Woods Rec: 3-45, 0 TD
WR 69 Mike Williams Rec: 3-35, 0 TD
TE 27 Scott Chandler Rec: 2-25, 0 TD
K 19 Dan Carpenter FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3
DEF 5 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Patriots Last week, QB Tom Brady passed for 292 yards & 2 TDs, becoming 6th player in NFL history with 50,000 career passing yards (50,232). Has 22-2 (.917) career record vs. Buf., passing for 5,817 yards & 54 TDs vs. 19 INTs for 100.1 rating... RB Stevan Ridley led team with 113 rush yards & TD last week. Since 2012, ranks 1st in AFC with 21 rush TDs. Averages 4.4 yards/att. (2,794 yards, 639 att.), highest avg. in club history (min. 500 att.). RB Shane Vereen rushed for career-high 101 yards on 14 att. (7.2 avg.) vs. Bills on 9/8/13... WR Julian Edelman aims for 12th in row with 4+ catches. TE Rob Gronkowski had season-high 100 rec. yards on 6 catches (16.7 avg.) & TD vs. Cin. Has TD catch in 8 of past 10. Last week, TE Tim Wright had 5 catches for 85 yards & TD, 1st since joining NE... Defense is tied for 1st in AFC with 6 INTs... DT Chris Jones has 1.5 sacks in past 2. LB Jerod Mayo leads team with 48 tackles, including team-high 8 last week. In 10 career games vs. Buf., CB Darrelle Revis has 5 INTs, 2 sacks, 2 FF & FR...

Bills Last week in Bills debut, QB Kyle Orton completed 30 of 43 passes (69.8 pct.) with 308 yards & 1 TD for 88.1 rating. In only career meeting (10/11/09 with Den.), completed 35 of 48 passes (72.9 pct.) for 330 yards & 2 TDs for 96.7 rating... RB C.J. Spiller had 133 scrimmage yards in last meeting (105 rush, 28 rec.). RB Fred Jackson (28) needs 2 rush TDs to surpass WRAY CARLTON (29) for 4th in club history. Led team with 107 scrimmage yards last week (49 rush, 58 rec.). Has 4 rush TDs in past 5 vs. NE... WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) had 8 rec. for 87 yards vs. Det. & leads AFC rookies in catches (24) & yards (284) with 2 TDs... Defense is tied for 1st in AFC with 6 INTs... DT Marcell Dareus has 5 sacks in past 3, including career-high 3 last week. Since joining NFL in 2011, ranks 2nd among DTs with 23.5 sacks (GENO ATKINS). Rookie LB Preston Brown (Rd. 3, No. 73 overall) leads team with 43 tackles.


Results and Schedule

New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 MIA A L 20-33 -13
2 2014-09-14 MIN A W 30-7 +23
3 2014-09-21 OAK H W 16-9 +7
4 2014-09-29 KC A L 14-41 -27
5 2014-10-05 CIN H W 43-17 +26
6 2014-10-12 BUF A    
7 2014-10-16 NYJ H    
8 2014-10-26 CHI H    
9 2014-11-02 DEN H    
10   Bye      
11 2014-11-16 IND A    
12 2014-11-23 DET H    
13 2014-11-30 GB A    
14 2014-12-07 SD A    
15 2014-12-14 MIA H    
16 2014-12-21 NYJ A    
17 2014-12-28 BUF H    
   

Buffalo Bills
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 CHI A W 23-20 +3
2 2014-09-14 MIA H W 29-10 +19
3 2014-09-21 SD H L 10-22 -12
4 2014-09-28 HOU A L 17-23 -6
5 2014-10-05 DET A W 17-14 +3
6 2014-10-12 NE H    
7 2014-10-19 MIN H    
8 2014-10-26 NYJ A    
9   Bye      
10 2014-11-09 KC H    
11 2014-11-13 MIA A    
12 2014-11-23 NYJ H    
13 2014-11-30 CLE H    
14 2014-12-07 DEN A    
15 2014-12-14 GB H    
16 2014-12-21 OAK A    
17 2014-12-28 NE A    

Injury Report

New England Patriots
Out  SS Nate Ebner (fingers)
Questionable  QB Tom Brady (ankle)
 CB Brandon Browner (ankle)
 WLB Jamie Collins (thigh)
 DE Dominique Easley (shoulder)
 SLB Dont'a Hightower (knee)
 WR Matt Slater (shoulder)
Probable  DE Chandler Jones (shoulder)
 FS Devin McCourty (ribs)
IR  DT Sealver Siliga (foot, 9/27/2014)
   

Buffalo Bills
Out  WLB Kiko Alonso (knee)
 WR Marcus Easley (knee)
Questionable  WLB Nigel Bradham (knee)
 CB Ron Brooks (neck)
 RB Fred Jackson (ankle)
 SS Da'Norris Searcy (knee)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (ribs)
 FS Aaron Williams (wrist)
 DT Kyle Williams (knee)
IR  SS Jonathan Meeks (neck, 9/16/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Offense 		 BUF
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 22.0 19.0 23.2 NE
Rushing yards 105.0 98.7 114.0 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 4.04 4.05 4.21 BUF
Completion % 61.7% 60.6% 63.8% NE
Passing yards 220.7 209.0 241.9 NE
Passing yards per completion 9.81 10.26 10.77 BUF
Passing yards per attempt 6.05 6.22 6.87 BUF
Interceptions 0.0 0.7 0.8 NE
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.0 0.6 BUF
Sacks allowed 2.0 1.7 2.0 BUF
3rd down conversions 36.5% 34.2% 42.1% NE
4th down conversions 42.9% 0.0% 45.1% NE
Time of possession 31:04 29:21 30:10 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Defense 		 BUF
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 19.7 18.7 23.2 BUF
Rushing yards 112.3 78.0 114.0 BUF
Rushing yards per attempt 4.43 2.98 4.21 BUF
Completion % 61.1% 66.0% 63.8% NE
Passing yards 193.0 241.7 241.9 NE
Passing yards per completion 10.24 10.00 10.77 BUF
Passing yards per attempt 6.26 6.60 6.87 NE
INT return 0.7 1.3 0.8 BUF
Fumble recoveries 0.7 1.0 0.6 BUF
Sacks 1.3 2.7 2.0 BUF
3rd down conversions 41.1% 31.8% 42.1% BUF
4th down conversions 0.0% 25.0% 45.1% NE
Time of possession 28:56 31:23 30:10 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   NE   BUF  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 9.2 6.8 8.6 NE
Yards per kick return 23.4 27.5 23.0 BUF
Yards allowed per punt return 10.6 6.5 8.6 BUF
Yards allowed per kick return 20.1 23.8 23.0 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison

   NE   BUF  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 9.0 9.3 6.9 NE
Penalty yards 91.0 71.7 59.2 BUF

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 5 of the 2014 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 1 to 5 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 10 2000-11-05 BUF NE 16-13 BUF
2000 16 2000-12-17 NE BUF 13-10 NE
2001 9 2001-11-11 BUF NE 11-21 NE
2001 14 2001-12-16 NE BUF 12-9 NE
2002 9 2002-11-03 NE BUF 38-7 NE
2002 14 2002-12-08 BUF NE 17-27 NE
2003 1 2003-09-07 NE BUF 0-31 BUF
2003 17 2003-12-27 BUF NE 0-31 NE
2004 4 2004-10-03 NE BUF 31-17 NE
2004 10 2004-11-14 BUF NE 6-29 NE
2005 8 2005-10-30 BUF NE 16-21 NE
2005 14 2005-12-11 NE BUF 35-7 NE
2006 1 2006-09-10 BUF NE 17-19 NE
2006 7 2006-10-22 NE BUF 28-6 NE
2007 3 2007-09-23 BUF NE 7-38 NE
2007 11 2007-11-18 NE BUF 56-10 NE
2008 10 2008-11-09 BUF NE 10-20 NE
2008 17 2008-12-28 NE BUF 13-0 NE
2009 1 2009-09-14 BUF NE 24-25 NE
2009 15 2009-12-20 NE BUF 17-10 NE
2010 3 2010-09-26 BUF NE 30-38 NE
2010 16 2010-12-26 NE BUF 34-3 NE
2011 3 2011-09-25 NE BUF 31-34 BUF
2011 17 2012-01-01 BUF NE 21-49 NE
2012 4 2012-09-30 NE BUF 52-28 NE
2012 10 2012-11-11 BUF NE 31-37 NE
2013 1 2013-09-08 NE BUF 23-21 NE
2013 17 2013-12-29 BUF NE 20-34 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.