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Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

                       


Final Score Prediction

Patriots 31, Broncos 17

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
Denver Broncos
Rank  Player Projections
QB 4 Tim Tebow Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 40, 1
RB 5 Willis McGahee Rush: 80, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 11 Lance Ball Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 6 Demaryius Thomas Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 15 Eddie Royal Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 9 Daniel Fells Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 8 Matt Prater FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 7 Defense / ST  
 
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 3 Tom Brady Pass: 340, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 7 Stevan Ridley Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0
RB 15 BenJarvus Green-Ellis Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0
WR 5 Wes Welker Rec: 8-90, 1 TD
WR 16 Deion Branch Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
TE 1 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 6-80, 1 TD
TE 3 Aaron Hernandez Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
K 6 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4
DEF 2 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Teams meet for third time in postseason. Broncos are 2-0 vs. Patriots in playoffs. Clubs met in Week 15 (New England 41-23).

Broncos Denver aims for 1st postseason road win since AFC Championship Game at Pit. on 1/11/98... Club won AFC West title for 11th time in franchise history... Incl. postseason, Broncos have 4-0 record in OT games this season... QB Tim Tebow threw game-winning 80-yard touchdown pass to WR Demaryius Thomas on 1st play from scrimmage in overtime last week, longest TD ever scored in OT of NFL postseason game. Tebow completed 10 passes for 316 yards last week & became 1st player to average at least 30 yards per completion in postseason game (min: 5 completions) in NFL history. Tebow's 316 passing yards last week were 3rd-most in postseason game in franchise history (HOFer JOHN ELWAY, 385 & 336). Posted 125.6 passer rating last week, highest rating in playoff game in Broncos history. Rushed for 93 yards in last game vs. Patriots. Incl. postseason, Tebow is 8-4 as starter in '11... Club averaged NFL-best 164.5 rushing yards per game in '11 & totaled single-season franchise record with 2,632 rush yards... RB Willis McGahee has 4 rush TDs in past 5 road playoff games. Rushed for 70 yards on 7 att. (10 avg.) last game vs. NE. McGahee (1,199) posted 4th career 1,000-yard rushing season in '11. Tied NFL-best in '11 with 7 100-yard rushing games (ARIAN FOSTER). RB Lance Ball had 32-yard rush TD in only game vs. Patriots... WR Demaryius Thomas set franchise postseason record last week with 204 receiving yards & became 7th player in NFL history to reach 200 receiving yards in game. Thomas had 7 catches for 116 yards (16.6 avg.) in last game vs. NE. WR Eddie Royal had 30-yard TD catch in postseason debut last week... TE Daniel Fells tied career-high with 3 TD catches in '11 (3 in '09 w/ StL)... Rookie LB Von Miller led AFC rookies & ranked 2nd among NFL rookies with 11.5 sacks (ALDON SMITH, 14). Registered most sacks by Denver rookie since '82... LB Elvis Dumervil has 3 sacks in 3 career regular season games vs. NE. LB D.J. Williams led club with 90 tackles. Robert Ayers posted 2 sacks in playoff debut... CB Champ Bailey has 2 career postseason INTs, incl. 100-yard INT-TD return on 1/14/06 vs. NE (tied for 2nd-longest return in postseason history)... Rookie S Quinton Carter (4th round, No. 108) had INT in postseason debut... Club had 3 players selected to 2012 Pro Bowl (CB Bailey, LB Dumervil, LB Miller).

Patriots Since 2000, NE has won NFL-best 9 division titles... Patriots became 3rd team in NFL history to win at least 10 games in 9 consecutive seasons (SF, 1983-1998, 16 consecutive seasons; Ind., 2002-2010, 9)... With win in Divisional Playoffs, BILL BELICHICK (15) will tie Pro Football HOFer CHUCK NOLL (16) for 4th-most playoff wins by head coach in NFL history... NE averaged AFC-best 32.1 points per game in regular season... QB Tom Brady (4,407) needs 104 passing yards to surpass HOFer DAN MARINO (4,510) for 5th-most postseason passing yards in NFL history. Brady (30) needs 3 TD passes to surpass HOFer TERRY BRADSHAW (30), KURT WARNER (31), & Marino (32) for 3rd-most postseason TD passes all-time. Has 14-5 (.737) playoff record, tied with HOFer TERRY BRADSHAW for best postseason record as starting QB in NFL history (min. 15 starts). Has 8-2 record at home in playoffs. Brady had 5,235 passing yards in '11, 2nd-most passing yards in season in NFL history, trailing only DREW BREES (5,476). In last game vs. Den. (12/18/11), Brady completed 23 of 34 passes (67.6 pct.) for 320 yards with 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 117.3 passer rating... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis reached 10+ rush TDs in consecutive seasons (13 in '10; 11 in '11). RB Danny Woodhead totaled 98 scrimmage yards (46 rushing, 52 receiving) in only career postseason game (1/16/11 vs. NYJ)... WR Wes Welker joined CRIS CARTER (122 in '94 & '95) this season as only players to have 120+ receptions twice in career (123 in '09; 122 in '11). Joined HOFer JERRY RICE & MARVIN HARRISON as only players to have 4 100-catch seasons. Has 2 TD catches in past 3 regular season games vs. Broncos. WR Deion Branch (784) needs 16 receiving yards to become 22nd player in NFL history to reach 800 in postseason career. WR Chad Ochocinco had 33-yard TD reception in last regular-season meeting vs. Broncos... TE Rob Gronkowski set single-season record for TEs in receiving yards (1,327) & TD receptions (17) in '11. Became 1st TE in NFL history to lead league in TD catches. TE Aaron Hernandez had career-best 9 catches for 129 yards (14.3 avg.) with 1 TD in only game against Den. Had career-best in catches (79), receiving yards (910) & TDs (7) in '11... LB Jerod Mayo led club with 95 tackles... LB Rob Ninkovich had career-best 6.5 sacks this season... DE Mark Anderson had 2 sacks in last game vs. Den... CB Kyle Arrington tied for NFL-best with 7 INTs. Patriots tied for NFL-best with 8 Pro Bowl players (Brady, DE Andre Carter, TE Gronkowski, G Logan Mankins, ST MATTHEW SLATER, G Brian Waters, WR Welker & DT Vince Wilfork.)


Results and Schedule
Denver Broncos
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2011-09-12 OAK H L 20-23 -3
2 2011-09-18 CIN H W 24-22 +2
3 2011-09-25 TEN A L 14-17 -3
4 2011-10-02 GB A L 23-49 -26
5 2011-10-09 SD H L 24-29 -5
6   Bye      
7 2011-10-23 MIA A W 18-15 +3
8 2011-10-30 DET H L 10-45 -35
9 2011-11-06 OAK A W 38-24 +14
10 2011-11-13 KC A W 17-10 +7
11 2011-11-17 NYJ H W 17-13 +4
12 2011-11-27 SD A W 16-13 +3
13 2011-12-04 MIN A W 35-32 +3
14 2011-12-11 CHI H W 13-10 +3
15 2011-12-18 NE H L 23-41 -18
16 2011-12-24 BUF A L 14-40 -26
17 2012-01-01 KC H L 3-7 -4
WC 2012-01-08 PIT H W 29-23 +6
DP 2012-01-14 NE A L 10-45 -35
   
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2011-09-12 MIA A W 38-24 +14
2 2011-09-18 SD H W 35-21 +14
3 2011-09-25 BUF A L 31-34 -3
4 2011-10-02 OAK A W 31-19 +12
5 2011-10-09 NYJ H W 30-21 +9
6 2011-10-16 DAL H W 20-16 +4
7   Bye      
8 2011-10-30 PIT A L 17-25 -8
9 2011-11-06 NYG H L 20-24 -4
10 2011-11-13 NYJ A W 37-16 +21
11 2011-11-21 KC H W 34-3 +31
12 2011-11-27 PHI A W 38-20 +18
13 2011-12-04 IND H W 31-24 +7
14 2011-12-11 WAS A W 34-27 +7
15 2011-12-18 DEN A W 41-23 +18
16 2011-12-24 MIA H W 27-24 +3
17 2012-01-01 BUF H W 49-21 +28
WC   Bye      
DP 2012-01-14 DEN H W 45-10 +35
CC 2012-01-22 BAL H    

Injury Report
Denver Broncos
Out  WR Eric Decker (Knee)
 LS Lonie Paxton (Not Injury Related)
Doubtful  SS Brian Dawkins (Neck)
Probable  SS David Bruton (Achilles)
 DE Elvis Dumervil (Ankle)
 TE Daniel Fells (Ankle)
 OLB Von Miller (Thumb)
IR  RB Knowshon Moreno (Torn Right ACL)
 CB Syd'quan Thompson (Achilles)
 CB Cassius Vaughn (Fractured Left Fibula)
 DT Kevin Vickerson (Ankle)
 DT Ty Warren (Triceps)
   
New England Patriots
Questionable  CB Kyle Arrington (Foot)
 OG Marcus Cannon (Ankle)
 SS Patrick Chung (Knee)
 OG Dan Connolly (Groin)
 ILB Dane Fletcher (Thumb)
 FS James Ihedigbo (Shoulder)
 OG Logan Mankins (Knee)
 OLB Rob Ninkovich (Hip)
 ILB Brandon Spikes (Knee)
 OT Sebastian Vollmer (Back)
 WR Wes Welker (Knee)
 OLB Tracy White (Abdomen)
IR  SS Josh Barrett (Calf)
 DE Andre Carter (Left Quadriceps)
 OLB Jermaine Cunningham (Hamstring)
 CB Ras-I Dowling (Hip)
 OC Dan Koppen (Fibula)
 OG Rich Ohrnberger (Head)
 NT Myron Pryor (Shoulder)
 DE Mike Wright (Concussion)

Offense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Offense 
NE
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 16.5 36.0 22.4 NE
Rushing yards 176.8 110.0 121.7 DEN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.71 3.72 4.37 DEN
Completion % 47.6% 66.2% 60.0% NE
Passing yards 155.0 324.3 225.9 NE
Passing yards per completion 12.73 12.96 11.25 NE
Passing yards per attempt 6.06 8.58 6.75 NE
Interceptions 0.5 0.3 0.9 NE
Fumbles lost 1.3 0.0 0.6 NE
Sacks allowed 3.0 2.0 2.4 NE
3rd down conversions 28.2% 48.6% 37.1% NE
4th down conversions 33.3% 66.7% 40.2% NE
Time of possession 30:56 29:33 30:12 DEN
  Defense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Defense 
NE
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 23.8 23.0 22.4 NE
Rushing yards 147.3 124.0 121.7 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 4.44 5.10 4.37 DEN
Completion % 59.1% 60.3% 60.0% DEN
Passing yards 208.8 295.0 225.9 DEN
Passing yards per completion 11.24 12.98 11.25 DEN
Passing yards per attempt 6.64 7.83 6.75 DEN
INT return 0.0 1.0 0.9 NE
Fumble recoveries 0.5 0.8 0.6 NE
Sacks 2.3 2.5 2.4 NE
3rd down conversions 30.2% 43.1% 37.1% DEN
4th down conversions 50.0% 42.9% 40.2% NE
Time of possession 33:03 30:27 30:12 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   DEN   NE  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 8.8 6.8 9.2 DEN
Yards per kick return 22.7 21.6 23.6 DEN
Yards allowed per punt return 14.7 9.2 9.2 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 25.8 19.8 23.6 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison
   DEN   NE  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 7.0 3.8 6.1 NE
Penalty yards 52.3 36.8 51.9 NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2011 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 5 2000-10-01 NE DEN 28-19 NE
2001 7 2001-10-28 NE DEN 20-31 DEN
2002 8 2002-10-27 DEN NE 24-16 DEN
2003 9 2003-11-03 NE DEN 30-26 NE
2005 6 2005-10-16 NE DEN 20-28 DEN
2005 DP 2006-01-14 NE DEN 13-27 DEN
2006 3 2006-09-24 DEN NE 17-7 DEN
2008 7 2008-10-20 DEN NE 7-41 NE
2009 5 2009-10-11 NE DEN 17-20 DEN
2011 15 2011-12-18 NE DEN 41-23 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff