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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 16
12/20/19


Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Russell Wilson vs. Arizona - $7,000

Wilson is due for a high ceiling game after failing to top 20 fantasy points in any matchup since Week 9. While there is always the worry of a negative game script when playing against a subpar team like the Cardinals, this game has the makings of a get-right game for Seattle passing game against an Arizona defense that gives up the most points to opposing quarterbacks. I like Wilson this week in cash with the pairing of Tyler Lockett or Jacob Hollister.

Other options to consider - Lamar Jackson @ Cleveland & Drew Brees @ Tennessee

GPP - Daniel Jones @ Washington- $5,900

If you are looking for a boom-bust GPP play with a salary below 6K, you may want to consider Daniel Jones going against the Redskins. In games this season against subpar pass defenses like the Jets and the Lions, Jones has put up monster 30-point games. Washington just got torched at home by Carson Wentz to the tune of three passing touchdowns and 266 yards. I don’t have the guts to start Jones in my season-long leagues this week, but I am open to playing him in GPP and pairing him with Darius Slayton.

Other options to consider - Andy Dalton @ Miami & Ryan Tannehill vs. New Orleans

Fade - Kyler Murray @ Seattle - $6,100

Murray has just five passing touchdowns in his last four games and has not topped 20 fantasy points since his Week 11 matchup against the 49ers. He is not producing enough points with his legs to cover the deficiencies with his passing numbers, making him a questionable start this week on the road at Seattle.


Joe Mixon

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Joe Mixon @ Miami - $6,600

Mixon has been a beast over the past month with 69 fantasy points in his last three games. Despite playing for one of the worst teams in the league, he continues to be solid down the stretch, putting up solid performances against some of the best run defenses, including the Patriots and the Jets.

This week Mixon is my top cash game play of the week with the Bengals heading to South Beach to take on a Dolphins defense that gives up the most points to opposing running backs. The weather looks to be windy and rainy, giving Mixon even more of a chance to run the ball in dicey passing conditions. His questionable tag with a calf injury does give me pause, but if he is active, Mixon will be a beast.

Other options to consider - Chris Carson vs. Arizona & Marlon Mack vs. Carolina

GPP - Phillip Lindsay vs. Detroit - $5,300

How on Earth can someone recommend starting a running back like Phillip Lindsay, who has three games out of his last four with fewer than ten fantasy points, including last week’s 3.2 point turd against the Chiefs? The answer is simple, the Lions are awful against the pass, the Denver defense is going to create more than a few short fields, and Lindsay will take advantage of these two factors to produce one of the best games of his young career.

Other options to consider - Giovani Bernard (If Mixon is out) @ Miami & Gus Edwards @ Cleveland

Fade - Leonard Fournette @ Atlanta - $7,200

Fournette’s price does not mesh well with how he has played over the past few weeks. He has not scored since Week 12, and his receiving yards of late have not been able to make up for the fact that he does not reach the endzone. Atlanta is playing better defense than people think, making Fournette an easy player to avoid at 7.2K.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Terry McLaurin vs. NY Giants - $6,200

There are not a ton of wide receivers I am excited about this week with three games on Saturday and injuries/roster moves affecting the Cowboys and Panthers receivers. One guy that I do like is Terry McLaurin at home against the Giants, a secondary that gives up the 6th-most points to wide receivers. F1 continues to shine in his rookie season and should have a solid game this week against the GMen.

Other options to consider - DeVante Parker vs. Cincinnati & Courtland Sutton vs. Detroit

GPP - Tyler Boyd @ Miami - $5,800

A sloppy track and rainy conditions are the only things that will make me look to other options this week with regards to players playing in the toilet bowl in South Beach. The Dolphins are one of the most giving secondaries in football, and this game could be a sneaky shootout between two teams competing for the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft. Mark down Boyd for 100 yards and a score this week, making him one of the best values in his price range.

Other options to consider - D.K. Metcalf vs. Arizona & Chris Conley @ Atlanta

Fade – D.J. Moore @ Indianapolis - $6,900

Moore owners in season-long leagues will likely be forced to play him even though there is a ton of uncertainty with rookie Will Grier making his first NFL start. In the case of David Blough going against the Bears in his first start, Blough shined, and both Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones had solid games. The uncertainty makes him a risk - a risk you can avoid in DFS until we know more about Grier.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Jacob Hollister vs. Arizona - $4,200

Death, taxes, and the Cardinals giving up points to tight ends are three things all football fans are guaranteed in life. Will Dissly had a pair of touchdowns when the Cardinals played host to the Seahawks earlier this season, and a similar outcome is not out of the question for Hollister this week at home.

Other options to consider - Jared Cook @ Tennessee

GPP - Noah Fant vs. Detroit - $3,700

Fant burned me last week with 56 yards and no touchdowns against the Chiefs, with the snowy conditions in Kansas City putting a damper on fantasy production across the board in that game. The weather looks to be excellent in Denver this weekend, and the Lions have given up big games to Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and Kyle Rudolph. I think Fant is a monster play this week and could be the top TE on the board.

Other options to consider - Mark Andrews @ Cleveland

Fade - Hunter Henry vs. Oakland - $4,700

Henry returned to the lineup Week 6 for the Chargers and posted seven double-digit performances in his last nine games. But he burned owners with three points last week and could burn them once again in a game where the Chargers will be able to run at will on the Raiders.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Broncos ($3,500) vs. Lions

Well Priced with Upside: Colts ($3,200) vs. Panthers