Ezekiel Elliott played on more snaps than Tony Pollard
(64% to 40%), but Pollard once again looked like the better
back. Pollard went 7-71-1 on the ground, while Elliott went
13-45. As long as Elliott is playing more than half the snaps
he can be started, but it seems like the Cowboys might rest
him soon, since his limp looked pronounced on Thursday. Keep
your eye on the practice reports.
In what could be a sign of things to come for the
Saints, Taysom Hill had the most rushes on the team (11),
while Mark Ingram went only 10-28. Even when Alvin Kamara
returns, his rushing upside will be reduced, if Hill remains
under center. Kamara is likely in your lineups regardless;
if he’s active, but his upside will be more limited
if Hill starts.
In a surprise move, Mike Davis got more snaps than
Cordarrelle Patterson in Week 13, playing on 54%. Patterson
played on 48%. Still, Patterson got 16 touches and Davis only
got 8. Those who roster Patterson would like to see him get
more snaps, but it doesn’t look like they are going
to let him be a true workhorse. Still, he is a nice starting
option the rest of the way since he’s getting the most
high-value touches and has been excellent this season.
James Conner played on 91% of snaps on Sunday, and
finished with 20-75 on the ground, as well as 2-36-1 through
the air. He has become a three-down workhorse for the Cardinals,
and you should continue starting him the rest of the way.
Chase Edmonds may return this coming week, but Conner is locked
into valuable touches on this good offense, as he’s
been the goal-line back all season. Keep an eye on the reports
related to Edmonds, to see if he could also be a potential
flex for the playoff run.
David Montgomery looked great on Sunday, playing
on 70% of snaps. He finished with 21-90-1 on the ground, and
also led all Bears in targets and receptions (8-51 on 9 targets).
He could be a top back for the playoff weeks if this usage
continues, even if the Bears continue to disappoint in the
Justin Jackson worked in on 25% of snaps, and was
the only back involved besides Austin Ekeler for the Chargers.
He got 6 carries and 2 targets. This is good to know, and
Jackson should be rostered in case Ekeler gets injured in
the next few weeks.
Without Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison was a three-down
workhorse for the Vikings, playing on 86% of snaps and getting
25 touches. He finished with 124 yards and a score. If Cook
remains out in Week 14, which seems likely, Mattison should
once again have a very big opportunity.
Jonathan Taylor continues to dominate snaps and touches
for the Colts. Even with sitting out much of the fourth quarter,
Taylor finished with 76% of snaps and 32 carries (143 yards
and two scores). He gets a bye in Week 14, so hopefully he
will be fresh for the final few weeks of the fantasy season.
Nyheim Hines has been relegated to very few touches each week
and is not a starting option.
Miles Sanders finally got a big role in an Eagles
game! He played on 58% of snaps and got 24 carries (120 yards)
and 3 targets (3-22). While he did not find the end zone,
the usage was very encouraging. Boston Scott was active but
only got 3 snaps, and it was instead Kenneth Gainwell who
worked into the rotation, getting 38% of snaps and 17 touches
(12-54-1 on the ground, 5-33 through the air). The Eagles
insist on having multiple backs very involved, but with all
the injuries it is very likely that you will need to start
Sanders for the playoffs, if you made it.
Sony Michel stepped in for Darrell Henderson and
was very effective (24-121-1 on the ground). He played on
97% of snaps. If Henderson is out again for Week 14, Michel
will be a very nice starting option again. Pay attention to
the practice reports to see if Henderson is likely to play
Antonio Gibson played on 82% of snaps, the 8th-highest
among backs in Week 13 and his highest of the season by far.
Without J.D. McKissic, Washington really committed to him.
He got 23 carries and a team-leading 6 targets on those snaps,
finishing with 111 yards and a score. For as long as McKissic
remains out, Gibson will be a top play.
It hasn’t helped in the win-loss column, but
Josh Jacobs is finally getting his chance to be a three-down
workhorse for the Raiders. He played on 85% of snaps and got
22 touches (13-52-1 on the ground and 9-38 through the air).
It was Jacobs who seemed to soak up the targets that normally
go to Darren Waller, not Foster Moreau. Meanwhile, Kenyan Drake (ankle) got only 7 snaps. He can be dropped.
Devonta Freeman is looking stronger each game he
plays, and on Sunday got a season-high 69% of snaps. He got
14 carries and 8 targets, finished with 97 total yards and
a score. He is the clear-cut starter the rest of the way,
over Latavius Murray, assuming he stays healthy.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Darrel Williams split snaps
on Sunday night (51% to 46%). Edwards-Helaire got more carries
(14-5) but they both had 3 targets. Williams went 3-60 on
his targets while CEH went 3-28. I would prefer not to start
either player going forward, since they are both sharing the
opportunities and the ceilings of both players are very limited.
With Damien Harris suffering an injury fairly early
in the game, he ended up playing on only 25% of snaps, with
Rhamondre Stevenson playing on 63%. If Harris misses time,
Stevenson could have huge value over the next week or two.
Watch the practice reports.
Zack Moss was active again for Week 13, and played
ahead of Matt Breida (fumble). Moss finished with 41% of snaps
and Breida with only 12%. But it was still Devin Singletary
leading the way with 48%. None of these backs should be trusted
unless you have no other options.
CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup both played around
90% of snaps on Thursday, with Amari Cooper still not feeling
well (Cooper played on 34%). Lamb got 13 targets and Gallup
got 8. The targets of each will come down some when Cooper is
playing full snaps, likely in Week 14.
Deonte Harris played on only 40% of snaps for the
Saints but led the team in targets (8), which was a 20% target
share. He finished with 4-96-1, but most of that came on a
garbage-time 70-yard touchdown. Harris begins a 3-game suspension
this week making him droppable.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both played over 90%
of snaps, and both had double-digit targets. With Antonio Brown out for a few weeks, and possibly beyond, both are must-starts
It was a huge week for Russell Gage, who has established
himself as the top option in the Falcons passing game. He
finished with 11-130 on 12 targets, a 29% target share. It
is hard to recommend any players on the Falcons for these
most important weeks, but if he is your best option, I think
you can start him confidently.
Mike Williams played on 88% of snaps, the most among
skill players for the Chargers, and finished with 7 targets
(25% target share). He finished with 5-110, but failed to
score. Williams has been up and down this season, but on the
whole it is clear the Chargers want him very involved, and
his ability down the field at the catch point is elite. He
will lay eggs sometimes, but he needs to be in most lineups
for the playoffs.
Jalen Guyton played on 53% of snaps and caught all
4 of his targets, for 90 yards and a score. Guyton’s
productivity will depend on catching a deep shot when he gets
one, but with Herbert clicking right now, that’s not
a bad bet. For those desperate at receiver, you could do a
looks like the top receiver for the Bengals the past couple
weeks, and he finished Week 13 with a whopping 14 targets (a
35% target share). He caught 9 of them for 138 yards and a score.
Chase got only 8 targets (20% target share), and finished
5-52. Chase dropped what would have been a long touchdown, and
also had another drop. It would not be too surprising if Joe
Burrow starts leaning more toward Higgins the rest of the way.
With Adam Thielen getting injured in the first quarter,
Justin Jefferson had himself a game in Week 13, catching 11
of 14 targets for 182 yards and a score. He played on all
but 7 snaps as well (91%). Whether Thielen can play in Week
14 or not (doubtful), Jefferson should see a bunch more targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown had a bit of a breakout in Week
13, playing on 96% of snaps and getting 12 targets (29% target
share). He caught 10 for 86 yards and the game-winning touchdown.
If he is on your wire and you lost a player like Thielen to
injury, St. Brown could be a nice addition to your roster.
Michael Pittman Jr. didn’t do much in Week
13 (6-77 on 8 targets), but the 8 targets were a 36% target
share! The Colts simply didn’t need to throw the ball,
so don’t miss the fact that Pittman is still the centerpiece
of the passing offense. When the Colts get into more challenging
games, Pittman’s upside will increase.
Jaylen Waddle played on 77% of snaps on Sunday, and
DeVante Parker played on 71%. But Waddle continued operating
as the No. 1 option in the passing game, garnering 11 targets
(27% target share). He caught 9 for 90 yards. Waddle looks
like he will be a huge factor in the NFL for many years, based
on how his rookie season has played out. As for Parker, he
is a fine flex option for the rest of the season, since he
is getting snaps and targets (5 on Sunday).
DeVonta Smith is one of the few Eagles who may be
hoping for a return to Jalen Hurts after the bye. With Gardner
Minshew under center, Smith faded into the background, getting
only 4 targets (2-15). No matter who the QB is in Week 15,
this was in many ways a lost season for Smith with the poor
quarterbacking in Philadelphia. Those who roster Smith are
hoping the Eagles find a better QB option in the draft or
Elijah Moore played on 86% of snaps, the most of
all skill players for the Jets. He got a remarkable 12 targets
(32% target share). While he only caught 6 of them (6-77-1),
his involvement and status as the best offensive player for
the Jets makes him intriguing for the rest of the season and
Laquon Treadwell played the most snaps of the Jaguars
receivers, 93%. He finished with 4-62 on 5 targets, well ahead
of the production of Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones. That
he can step onto this team from a practice squad and be their
best receiver says a lot. Still, he is playing fairly well
and can be started if you are totally desperate for a receiver.
It could have been due to Odell Beckham Jr.’s
injury, but Van Jefferson played on more snaps on Sunday (78%
to 53%). He also got more targets (8 to 5). Both scored, with
Jefferson going 6-41-1 and Beckham going 2-28-1. Pay attention
to Week 14 when Beckham is likely to be healthier. Whoever
takes over more of Robert Woods’ role the rest of the
way will certainly have more value.
Despite playing on 93% of snaps, Terry McLaurin only
got 5 targets. He finished with 3 catches for 22 yards. This
is simply not what you expect from a wide receiver with elite
potential, and it is unclear if McLaurin is struggling or
if Heinicke is simply not finding him when he’s open.
Either way, you should avoid him for the playoffs if at all
Diontae Johnson dropped a wide-open touchdown on
Sunday and still finished with 8-105-2 on 11 targets. He has
become one of the most highly-targeted receivers in the league
and deserves to be in starting lineups every week, no matter
With Adam Trautman out, Nick Vannett seemed to take
over his role, playing on 60% of snaps and getting 4 targets
(3-48). He is a potential desperation play at tight end for
those who lost Dan Arnold or Trautman, but he is a very low-ceiling
option due to the poor quality of the Saints passing game.
Rob Gronkowski continues his throwback campaign,
looking like a top tight end option for the rest of the season.
He played on 83% of snaps and got 8 targets, finishing 4-58-2.
He needs to be started everywhere the rest of the way.
Kyle Pitts played on 94% of snaps but only got 7
targets (17% target share). Those are still good numbers for
a rookie tight end, but his talent is obvious and you wish
they’d work to get him more involved. You likely need
to continue starting him the rest of the way, though.
Thielen being out also helped Tyler Conklin, who
finished the week with 9 targets (23% target share). He caught
7 for 56 yards. He should be a nice option for Week 14.
Mike Gesicki got a prominent role in the Dolphins
passing attack in Week 13, as he got 11 targets (27% target
share). He played on 67% of snaps, which was only nominally
more than Durham Smythe (61%). But the roles were not close
this week, with Smythe only getting one target. Gesicki only
turned his 11 targets into 7-46, but the involvement is very
appealing for the fantasy playoffs. Be aware that the Dolphins
are on bye in Week 14, so you’ll have to find another
option for one week.
It seems all Dallas Goedert needed to thrive was
a new quarterback. With Gardner Minshew under center, Goedert
got 6 targets, a 24% target share. He caught them all for
105 yards and two scores. If Minshew remains under center
after the Eagles bye, Goedert makes an intriguing start for
the playoffs. If the Eagles go back to Hurts, I’d avoid
him if possible.
There isn’t much you can say in a positive light about any
Jaguars offensive player today, but one thing to note from their
blowout loss to the Rams was that James
O’Shaughnessy led the team in targets with 6. He only caught
2 for 13 yards, but Trevor Lawrence continues to love to target
the tight end. If you need a tight end for Week 14, O’Shaughnessy
should at least get a few targets against the Titans.
With Logan Thomas likely done for the season, keep
an eye on whether Ricky Seals-Jones will play in Week 14.
If not, John Bates needs to be considered for a roster spot.
Taylor Heinicke loves to throw to the tight end, and whoever
starts will likely play almost every snap.
Those who roster George Kittle have been waiting
for this kind of output all season, and he finally provided
it. He had 9 receptions for 181 yards and two scores, on 12
targets (a 40% target share). If Deebo Samuel is out again
in Week 14, that raises the ceiling for Kittle.
Noah Fant played on 75% of snaps but only got 4 targets
(4-33). Albert Okwuegbunam played on 43% of snaps but also
got 4 targets. When both players are active, I think you should
avoid them both in your lineups if possible. They are sapping
the potential from each other. You may not have another option
to play other than Fant, but if you do, go that route.
Dawson Knox played on 97% of snaps. There wasn’t
much passing able to be done in the wind of Buffalo, but the
fact that he is playing virtually every snap on a very good
offense makes him a top weekly tight end play.
Kevin Scott is a fantasy pro who has made over $100,000 playing
fantasy football. Catch his podcast "Grinding the Data"
and you can follow him on Twitter @kevinscottff.