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NFL Draft Fantasy Recap: Day 2

By Doug Orth | 4/29/24 |

Round 2

Keon Coleman

2.01 - WR Keon Coleman, Bills

Team Fit: Were it not for a slow 40 time (4.61), the likelihood is that 6-3 and 213-pound Florida State product would have gone within the first 20 or so picks. There just are not a lot of receivers who can block, possess his size with 32-plus inch arms and the ability to post a 38-inch vertical jump. Consider him the new-and-improved Gabe Davis. Coleman's age (21 in May) also gives him a theoretical upside that not many other receivers in this class have. Along with his poor time in the 40, another knock on his profile might have been his lack of success on contested catches in 2023 (10-for-30), although that may have been an indictment on QB Jordan Travis since Coleman was very good in two years at Michigan State (12-for-18) before his transfer. In Buffalo, he probably only needs to beat out Mack Hollins and Justin Shorter to be featured in three-wide sets with Khalil Shakir and Curtis Samuel. The likelihood is that OC Joe Brady anticipates Coleman to assume the same kind of role that Gabe Davis had in 2023. Along with TEs Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox, Coleman should eventually emerge as a favorite target of Josh Allen's in the red zone and the team's primary vertical threat.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? It is hard to imagine Coleman enjoying more relevancy as a rookie than a four-year veteran like Davis did last year. Considering it is not a given that he beats out Hollins to be a Week 1 starter (especially on early downs since Hollins is a good blocker himself), Coleman should be considered a late-round, high-upside stash at best.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? In superflex leagues, Coleman will probably come off the board in the middle part of the second round. In one-quarterback leagues, he may be selected within the top 15 picks.

2.02 - WR Ladd McConkey, Chargers (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: McConkey's biggest crime may be that he looks like an average-sized receiver at 6-0 and 186 pounds. It is a shame because he plays the receiver position about as well as one could hope for from a college receiver. His selection suggests new HC Jim Harbaugh will likely be content heading into the 2024 season with a three-wide set of Quentin Johnston and Josh Palmer on the outside and McConkey in the slot. The question becomes whether Johnston and Palmer are valuable enough as blockers to keep McConkey off the field on early downs. If one of them is not up to the task in the run game (Johnston would be the most likely candidate to fall short there), then McConkey will probably serve as Justin Herbert's favorite target right away.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Preseason reports about any improvement Johnston has made figure to have the biggest effect on McConkey's immediate fantasy viability. He should be considered the favorite to lead the team in catches as a rookie, but what that means in this overhauled run-heavy offense is another story. Consider him a decent WR4 option in early drafts.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? It would be a bit much to suggest McConkey will be Herbert's new Keenan Allen, but the possibility does exist. McConkey warrants a late first-round pick in superflex leagues and deserves consideration as high as the 1.08 in one-quarterback leagues.

2.05 - WR Ja'Lynn Polk, Patriots

Team Fit: Polk is the kind of receiver that most teams need, as he is a tough and strong player who can block and will sacrifice his body to make the play downfield. He tracks the ball exceedingly well and makes the quarterback look good with his full-extension adjustments to the ball in flight despite his "average" athletic profile. In other words, it is not a surprise he was appealing to New England. However, the Patriots' receiving corps desperately needs a player who could one day emerge as Drake Maye's clear top option and Polk is highly unlikely to be that guy, if only because he lacks a special quality. The Patriots likely view Polk initially as a third or fourth receiver whose value will lie in the ability to play all three receiver spots.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? It will be difficult for any New England wideout not named Kendrick Bourne or Demario Douglas to be relevant in fantasy this year, and even that might be expecting too much. Polk can be avoided in most redraft leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Draft capital (oh, how I despise the term) will likely make Polk a player who is selected in the first three rounds of superflex or one-quarterback leagues. In a better situation, that might be a decent play since Polk could be a solid complementary receiver. With Jacoby Brissett likely starting most of this year and Maye expected to take some lumps for a rebuilding team in 2025, Polk is probably not worth waiting on outside of the deepest formats.

2.14 - RB Jonathon Brooks, Panthers (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: New HC Dave Canales must have seen what I saw on tape, as one of my comps for Brooks was the running back he just coached to a banner year (Rachaad White). The 20-year-old, who was one of Bijan Robinson's backups at Texas, is a more complete back than White. Not only does he possess the same kind of receiving skills, but Brooks also offers more power and contact balance than the Bucs' breakout running back. The second-team All-Big 12 selection would have likely been a first-round pick were it not for the torn right ACL he suffered in November. The Panthers will almost certainly start Brooks off in a committee with Chuba Hubbard, but the rookie - assuming he can fully trust his knee around midseason - may not need much time before he takes over the backfield. At worst, the two will split duties most of the year before Brooks emerges as the clear lead back in 2025.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Brooks may end up being the only rookie running back that has a real chance to be named as a Week 1 starter, although the timing of his injury - and the subsequent timeline for a return to form - casts much doubt on that possibility. It also seems unlikely we will see the best he has to offer until 2025 given the timing of his injury and long recovery. Nevertheless, the Texas product should have RB2 upside as a rookie if he gets the expected volume and warrants a selection in the fourth or fifth round of drafts as long as his recovery stays on track.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? In superflex leagues, Brooks should be considered the clear RB1 and is worthy of a pick in the 1.06-1.10 range. In one-quarterback leagues, he could come off the board as early as 1.04 if there is a team in desperate need of help at running back.

2.20 - WR Adonai Mitchell, Colts (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: The Colts do not mind taking risks in the draft, especially if they possess elite traits. Mitchell has elite traits (4.34 speed, 39.5-inch vertical and 11' 4" broad jump at 6-2 and 205 pounds, which makes him one of the most athletic wide receiver prospects in NFL Combine history). Not only does his selection likely mean the beginning of the end for Alec Pierce, but it should also loosen up the middle of the field for Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs AND allow Anthony Richardson to show off his big arm. Mitchell has alpha receiver upside and showed up in big games for Georgia and Texas, but he largely disappointed with his few run-after-catch opportunities, did not do much in contested-catch situations and was too much of a hit-or-miss producer when the lights were not as bright. As a player who will only be 21 years of age when the season starts, he will have plenty of time to prove some of the red flags that came up over the last couple of months (such as interviewing poorly with teams) and his overall inconsistency were the result of circumstance and not immaturity.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? As long as Mitchell beats out Pierce as expected, the rookie should be considered a high-celling, low-floor fantasy WR5 option.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? In superflex leagues, Mitchell's athleticism alone probably warrants a selection in the early second round - even though it will likely take some time for fantasy managers to receive a consistent payoff for their patience. In one-quarterback leagues, Mitchell will probably come off the board late in the first.

2.21 - TE Ben Sinnott, Commanders

Team Fit: Adam Peters worked with the 49ers for seven years before taking the general manager job in Washington this offseason. Over that time, he saw how much value a Swiss Army knife like Kyle Juszczyk had on their offense. It is expected Sinnott will play a similar role, although that kind of role has never truly existed before in a Kliff Kingsbury-led offense. There is also a distinct possibility Peters or Kingsbury simply believes Sinnott will as the successor to Zach Ertz, who was added in free agency this spring. The latter is a possibility as the Iowa native led all tight ends at the NFL Scouting Combine in the three-cone, vertical and broad jump.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? He will go undrafted in most leagues. As long as Ertz does not completely fall off a cliff in his age-33 season, Sinnott's pass-catching role will probably be minimal in 2024.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? This is where it gets a bit interesting. If he is the true successor to Ertz, then he could have significant value in 2025. If he is the next Juszczyk, then he will not be worth much in fantasy. As such, he probably is not worth considering until the fourth round of superflex or one-quarterback leagues.

Round 3

3.01 - WR Malachi Corley, Jets

Team Fit: Corley may not be a prototypical receiver at 5-11 and 215 pounds, but that does not mean he lacks upside. "The YAC King" lived up to his nickname by forcing a ridiculous 40 missed tackles en route to rewriting several parts of Western Kentucky's record book. He spent the majority of his time in the slot with the Hilltoppers and figures to do the same for at least the 2024 season in New York with Garrett Wilson and Mike Williams handling the majority of perimeter work. It is just as well since Corley played 91.6 percent of his college snaps from the slot and was not asked to run anything close to a full route tree. It is unclear if New York has any plans of developing him as a receiver or likes the idea of using him solely for his run-after-catch skills, but there is not a lot of room for opportunity for him right away outside of manufactured touches with Wilson, Williams and Breece Hall all more deserving of regular targets.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Corley does enough after the catch that he could provide the occasional spike performance, but his role figures to be too unpredictable from week to week to be worthy of a roster spot in most leagues with 18-man rosters.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Since Williams is on a one-year contract, Corley could theoretically emerge as Wilson's long-term complement in 2025. That possibility is enough to make him worth a selection in the middle part of the second round in superflex leagues and the early part of the second in one-quarterback leagues.

3.02 - RB Trey Benson, Cardinals (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: With James Conner entering the final year of his contract, Arizona likely felt the need to either find his long-term replacement or protect itself against another one of his injury-related absences. Considering how glowingly Arizona talks about Conner, it is unclear at this time what the team's plans are. At the very least, Benson gives the team someone who can handle a few touches to give Conner a breather from time to time without experiencing much of a drop-off. One thing is for sure, however: Benson gives the offense more big-play ability than Conner without sacrificing much power. What is less clear is why the Florida State product handled 16 or more carries in a game only seven times in 26 games with the Seminoles. He also has much work to do in pass pro, which may be what limits his role as a rookie.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Conner's durability issues make his likely handcuff a potentially valuable asset, and Benson should win that job this summer. While he is unlikely to get enough work to be a flex option in 2024, he could easily have RB1 upside if/when Conner is sidelined. That alone makes him a solid upside pick in the later rounds of drafts.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? The uncertainty of Conner's long-term status with the team (considering he could sign a short extension) should allow Benson to come at a slight discount. Expect Benson to be drafted in the early second round of most superflex and one-quarterback leagues.

3.16 - WR Jermaine Burton, Bengals

Team Fit: The likelihood is that Tee Higgins will be gone at the end of the 2024 season, if not before. Cincinnati might already have his long-term replacement ready in Andrei Iosivas, but the void left behind by the departure of long-term slot Tyler Boyd opens another avenue to playing time - although Burton played inside only about a quarter of his snaps at Georgia and Alabama. It is also quite possible that the Bengals also just want to give Burton and Iosivas a full year to prove one of them can emerge as the field-stretching complement to Ja’Marr Chase.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Assuming Higgins is not traded, the only way Burton has value in 2024 is if he surprisingly emerges as the primary slot. That seems unlikely.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? This feels more like a high-upside pick by the Bengals and less like a player they expect to take over eventually for Higgins. Burton will likely come off the board in the third round at the earliest in most superflex and one-quarterback leagues.

3.19 - RB Blake Corum, Rams (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: Los Angeles must have seen the same things on film as I did since my high-end comp for Corum was Kyren Williams. The Rams would probably like to avoid having Williams average 23-plus touches for a second straight season, so expect the Big Ten Running Back of the Year to have a meaningful role in this offense early in the season. Corum may not be an elite runner despite his gaudy production at Michigan, but he runs with more power than one would expect for a 205-pounder. That fact alone could lead to the rookie emerging as the primary option at the goal line. In a worst-case scenario for Williams, Corum could turn this into a split backfield, although HC Sean McVay tends to prefer riding one back. Williams did more than enough to earn the right to keep last season's role, so Corum may have to settle for a pure backup job to begin the year.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Corum should quickly emerge as one of the most valuable handcuffs in fantasy in an offense that proved it wanted to run the ball last year. As such, Corum is worth considering as a RB3 and possesses low-end RB1 if Williams is sidelined for any length of time.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Corum probably has a better chance to see regular playing time more quickly than Trey Benson and plays in a better offense, so the case can be made for Corum to be an early second-round pick in superflex. In one-quarterback leagues, he could sneak into the bottom third of the first round.

3.20 - WR Roman Wilson, Steelers

Team Fit: Receivers with sub-4.4 speed, good hands and the ability to change direction quickly without needing to slow down will likely always be in demand in the league. One part of his game that becomes clear almost immediately is his ability to find the soft spot in zone coverage, which gives him a chance to be something more than just another deep threat. These qualities should come in handy for an offense that wants to run the ball as much as the program Wilson is leaving (Michigan). He could not ask for a better spot in terms of his hopes of finding immediate playing time, since the Steelers’ best options at receiver after George Pickens are Van Jefferson and Quez Watkins. Wilson may not start Week 1, but it should not take him to change that.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Jefferson and Watkins do not present much of a hurdle for Wilson, but the Steelers' desire to add a veteran free-agent receiver could change that. For now, Wilson should have some WR5 appeal simply because he should be the second-most involved receiver in Pittsburgh.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Wilson should be considered somewhere between the eighth- and 10th-best fantasy receiver in this draft class, so he should begin receiving strong consideration in the middle part of the second round in superflex and one-quarterback leagues.

3.25 - RB MarShawn Lloyd, Packers (Draft Profile)

Team Fit: The value of Lloyd in the late third round was probably too much for Green Bay to resist, but it could be a while before the team finds a role for him after inking Josh Jacobs to a big free-agent contract in March (four years, $48 million). Lloyd’s arrival suggests this year will be the beginning of the end for AJ Dillon, however. The problem with the fit is that the former South Carolina and USC running back relies more on quickness and speed, which means he is essentially a 220-pound scatback right now playing behind a running back who is unlikely to come off the field very often. Lloyd also never handled more than 129 touches in any season and did not see much work in the passing game, making him a poor complement to a player like Jacobs.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? There is a distinct possibility Lloyd makes Dillon expendable. However, Jacobs was paid very well to handle most of the work in Green Bay. Therefore, Lloyd's fantasy appeal in 2024 figures to hinge on his ability to win the backup job and serve as Jacobs' handcuff.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? Lloyd probably should not come off the board before the last part of the second round in superflex leagues and the middle part of the second round in one-quarterback leagues.

3.29 - WR Jalen McMillan, Buccaneers

Team Fit: While Tampa Bay is not the only team to do such a thing, it makes little sense for the team to burn a third-round pick at a position where it already has Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Trey Palmer. This selection was likely made solely for depth purposes. The most likely outcome is McMillan will play special teams and share field-stretching duties with Palmer for the foreseeable future. Considering how well Palmer played as a rookie in 2023, McMillan may be limited to the former in his first pro season.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? As a likely fourth receiver on an offense that struggled to support two at times in 2023 and will be working under new OC Liam Coen in 2024, McMillan will not be drafted in most leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? McMillan may have some appeal in rookie drafts that last more than three rounds, but the odds are stacked against him being a major contributor any time before 2026.

3.37 - WR Luke McCaffrey, Commanders

Team Fit: The Commanders have a screaming need for a slot receiver and McCaffrey should be able to answer it. Better yet, new OC Kliff Kingsbury has not been shy about using his slot throughout most of his college and pro stops. McCaffrey possesses the athleticism that one would expect with his family name (his 4.02-second short shuttle and 6.70 three-cone both ranked top three among all participants at the 2024 NFL Scouting Combine) and immediately offers some trick-play ability after spending the first three years of his college career at quarterback. Not only does his arrival assure Jahan Dotson will remain a starter, but it also gives new QB Jayden Daniels a reliable target over the middle of the field.

What does it mean in redraft (12 teams)? Slot receivers have typically been more involved - from a playing time perspective - in Kingsbury's offenses than they are in most offenses, but that does not always translate to more catches. That figures to be the case here as well. It is uncertain if an injury to Terry McLaurin or Dotson would change much for him. As such, McCaffrey will not be drafted in most leagues.

Where should I expect him to go in my rookie drafts? McCaffrey will likely be locked into slot duties for the foreseeable future and is not a great bet to challenge McLaurin or Dotson for targets very often. McCaffrey may have some appeal in rookie drafts that last more than three rounds, but the odds are stacked against him pushing for more than 50 catches anytime soon.

I did not discuss the following Day 2 prospect due to how unlikely it is that he will be useful in fantasy at any point in his early career:

3.18 TE Tip Reiman, Cardinals - The No. 82 overall pick was one of the best blocking tight ends available in the draft and will likely serve in the same role for Arizona.

Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today's Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today's hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM's "Fantasy Drive". Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.