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Touchdown totals are oftentimes fluky, but it's hard not to look at 2022 rookie wide receiver Jahan Dotson's seven touchdowns in 12 games and dream about what a healthy full-season total might look like. Dotson somehow managed to catch a touchdown on one out of every five receptions - a percentage that will almost certainly be unsustainable going forward - but one that makes him an intriguing compliment to teammate Terry McLaurin.
While McLaurin has been a perennial 1000-yard receiver as a pro, he is yet to score more than seven touchdowns in any of his four professional seasons. He's a downfield playmaker with impressive hands, but his usage in the red zone simply hasn't been great even when you account for the bad quarterback play he's had to deal with. Dotson, however, caught 12 touchdowns as a senior at Penn State, on a team that threw for just 25 total touchdowns on the year. Then as an NFL rookie, he managed to score seven touchdowns in just 12 games, on a team that threw for just 24 total touchdowns. Needless to say, he's proven himself to be red zone weapon both at the collegiate and professional level, so the upside is there for him to become a double-digit touchdown scorer if he has decent quarterback play.
Unfortunately, he's dealing with Sam Howell or Jacoby Brissett, so the true breakout year for Dotson isn't likely to happen here in 2023, but his price also doesn't necessitate a breakout to pay dividends. If he can simply stay healthy and score at even half of the rate he did in 2022, Dotson will be a value in the middle rounds in fantasy drafts, particularly in best ball formats where you don't have to try to guess the weeks that he gets into the end zone.
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