Mahomes has not been the same dominant performer he was last
season. After starting 2019 with three consecutive 30-point games,
the reigning MVP has just one big game since Week 3, as the dislocated
knee injury suffered against the Broncos has limited his mobility
and hampered his production. With other cash game mainstays like
Lamar Jackson taking on a tough 49er defense and three games already
in the book on Thanksgiving, I am going to pay a premium at quarterback
in cash and nab Mahomes at home against a Raiders team that gives
up a ton of big plays.
My favorite cheap GPP play at quarterback this week is Ryan Fitzmagic
at home against the Eagles in what could be a sneaky, high scoring
game. It is quite challenging to run on the Eagles, and the Dolphins
don’t have much to speak of with regards to a running game,
so I anticipate Fitzpatrick will sling the ball around a ton on
Sunday against an Eagles team that has given up 17 passing touchdowns
on the year. The Eagles have been far better against the pass
over the last two weeks at home, but I think they will give up
a few touchdowns to Fitzpatrick and DeVante Parker this week.
Baker has been red hot as of late with an average of 25 fantasy
points in his last two games, including 27 points last week against
Miami. I plan on using Mayfield in future matchups, just not this
one against a Steelers team that will have revenge on the mind
for the embarrassing loss they suffered in Cleveland back in Week
11.
Bell has been one of the most disappointing early round picks
over the past two seasons. First with the full-season holdout
in 2018, and now with an underwhelming first season with the Jets
in which he has just three games of over 20 fantasy points. Bell
has been frustrating, but I anticipate he will get a large volume
share this week in a road matchup against a Bengals team that
gives up the sixth-most points to opposing running backs.
Jones has a score in three of his last four games, including
a 23-point performance against Arizona back in Week 10. There
is always a concern that game flow could limit his volume, but
the Titans proved last week that the Jags defense is a far cry
from what it was in previous seasons. I don’t expect a monster
game like Derrick Henry posted last week, but Jones could be an
excellent low-cost option this week in GPP.
The Ravens face their most difficult matchup of the season with
the 10-1 49ers coming to town. While I think Baltimore will come
out on top in this game, I don’t think Ingram will produce
enough fantasy points to justify his 6k salary. San Francisco
has allowed just three total touchdowns to running backs this
season, and their run defense is one of the best in the NFL.
When playing against teams who struggle to stop the pass like
the Jets and Titans, Chark received a massive target share and
delivered monster fantasy performances. No other team gives up
more points to wide receivers than the Buccaneers, leading me
to believe that Chark will once again get at least 10 targets
in what could be a high scoring game. I also love Tyreek Hill
against the Raiders, but if you do not want to pay an 8k salary,
Chark is a great mid-priced option.
In keeping with the theme of former fantasy studs who have been
disappointing this season, I am firing up Adams in both GPP and
cash this week against the Giants secondary that has given up
seven games of over 100 yards and a score this season and a whopping
15 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers. I anticipate this will
be a get-right game for the Packers passing game similar to what
they did to Oakland back in Week 7.
Allen continues to be the favorite receiving threat for Philip
Rivers and gives his owners an average of 11 targets over the
past two games. While I do like Allen as a talent and his salary
is attractive, I anticipate Chris Harris will be covering him
most of the day, and this game could be a low-scoring field goal
game.
Waller has been relatively quiet over the past few weeks and
has not scored a touchdown since Week 8 against Houston. I anticipate
the Chiefs will jump out to a big early lead and will force Derek
Carr and the Raiders offense to throw the ball more than they
would like. Now that Hunter Renfrow is out with a rib injury,
look for Waller to once again get a massive target share against
the Chiefs.
Other options to consider - Travis
Kelce vs. Oakland
Goedert has an average of six targets over the past three weeks,
and Zach Ertz has a hamstring injury that could flare up in the
Miami heat. I like Goedert even if Ertz plays, and if Ertz is
out, Goedert could be in line for a top-5 week with a massive
ceiling.
Other options to consider - Ryan
Griffin @ Cincinnati
The Niners give up the fewest points to opposing tight ends,
and this game could be a low-scoring slugfest between two of the
league’s top defenses. The way to beat the Niners is with
speed deep, not on passes in the middle of the field to tight
ends.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Panthers
($3,800) @ Redskins
Well Priced with Upside: Packers ($3,600) @ Giants
