Prediction: Chiefs 24, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 15 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 30, 0 |
| RB 1 |
Jamaal Charles  |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 5-40, 0 |
| RB 49 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 34 |
Dwayne Bowe |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 39 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 43 |
Dexter McCluster |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 18 |
Anthony Fasano |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 31 |
Sean McGrath |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
| K 18 |
Ryan Succop |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 4 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
 QB 20 |
Jeff Tuel  |
Pass: 200, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 13 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| RB 32 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
 WR 28 |
Steve Johnson |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 57 |
Marquise Goodwin |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 61 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 71 |
T.J. Graham |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 12 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-40, 1 TD |
| K 6 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 14 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Chiefs Aim for 1st 9-0 start since 2003 (9-0). Chiefs are 1st team in NFL history to start 8-0 after posting worst record in league previous season... KC (+12) has best turnover ratio in NFL... Since 2011, QB Alex Smith is 27-5-1 (.833) as starter, tied for highest win pct. in NFL during span (min. 10 starts). With win last week, Smith became 1st QB since 1970 to win 1st 8 games to start season with new team... RB Jamaal Charles has 100+ scrimmage yards in each of 1st 8 games this season. Averages 127.3 scrim. yards per game in '13, best in NFL. Charles has 2 career games with 100+ rush yards vs. Buf. (143, 177)... WR Dwayne Bowe had 8 rec. for 102 yards with 2 TDs in last game vs. Buf. WR Dexter McCluster tied career-high with 7 rec. last week, incl. 28-yard TD rec... Defense has NFL-best 36 sacks in 2013... Became 4th team since 1970 to allow 17 points or fewer in each of their 1st 8 games of season... LB Justin Houston (11) & LB Tamba Hali (9) have combined for 20 sacks, most by NFL duo in 2013. Hali has 71.5 career sacks, 3rd-most by Chief since '82. Has 3.5 sacks in past 4 vs. Buf. LB Derrick Johnson leads team with 61 tackles.
 Bills In 1 career start at home with Bills, QB THAD LEWIS had 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 100.5 passer rating. Has 83.2 4th quarter passer rating in 2013... Bills avg. 133.9 rush yards per game, 2nd-best in AFC... RB C.J. Spiller rushed for 123 yards on 15 att. (8.2 avg.) with 2 TDs in last game vs. KC (9/16/12). RB Fred Jackson has 5 rush TDs in past 6. Rushed for 112 yards on 20 att. in last game vs. KC (9/11/11)... WR Steve Johnson aims for 4th straight game with TD catch vs. KC. Registered 3rd TD reception of season last week... Since 2011, TE Scott Chandler has 14 TD catches, 2nd-most on team... Defense 12 INTs in 2013, tied for 3rd-most in NFL... S JIM LEONHARD & Aaron Williams have career-best 3 INTs apiece in 2013... DE Mario Williams (11) has most sacks through 1st 8 games of season by Bill since 1982. Has reached 10+ sacks for 4th time in career (14, 12, 10.5, 11). Needs 3 sacks to tie career-best of 14 in 2007... Rookie LB Kiko Alonso leads team with 81 tackles... DT Kyle Williams has 2 sacks in past 3.
Results and Schedule
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
JAC |
A |
W 28-2 |
+26 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
DAL |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-19 |
PHI |
A |
W 26-16 |
+10 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
NYG |
H |
W 31-7 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
TEN |
A |
W 26-17 |
+9 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
OAK |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
HOU |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
CLE |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
SD |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
IND |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
SD |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
CAR |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-03 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-37 |
-13 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
CIN |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
MIA |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
NO |
A |
L 17-35 |
-18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Offense |
BUF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
24.8 |
22.5 |
23.4 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
123.3 |
123.8 |
110.4 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.15 |
3.97 |
4.11 |
KC |
| Completion % |
58.8% |
53.1% |
61.3% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
226.8 |
191.5 |
235.8 |
KC |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.24 |
10.22 |
10.86 |
KC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.02 |
5.43 |
6.65 |
KC |
| Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
KC |
| Fumbles lost |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
BUF |
| Sacks allowed |
3.0 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
KC |
| 3rd down conversions |
39.4% |
35.6% |
38.0% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
28.6% |
45.4% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
33:39 |
27:44 |
49:18 |
KC |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Defense |
BUF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
14.0 |
27.5 |
23.4 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
100.3 |
113.3 |
110.4 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.24 |
3.79 |
4.11 |
BUF |
| Completion % |
52.7% |
58.3% |
61.3% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
206.5 |
286.8 |
235.8 |
KC |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.76 |
13.00 |
10.86 |
KC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.20 |
7.57 |
6.65 |
KC |
| INT return |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
- |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
KC |
| Sacks |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
KC |
| 3rd down conversions |
24.7% |
34.4% |
38.0% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
55.6% |
60.0% |
45.4% |
KC |
| Time of possession |
26:06 |
32:20 |
49:18 |
KC |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
10.2 |
7.7 |
9.0 |
KC |
| Yards per kick return |
29.9 |
20.5 |
24.2 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
6.6 |
12.4 |
9.0 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
24.3 |
22.5 |
24.2 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
- |
| Penalty yards |
44.5 |
60.3 |
55.8 |
KC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
BUF |
KC |
21-17 |
BUF |
| 2002 |
11 |
2002-11-17 |
BUF |
KC |
16-17 |
KC |
| 2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
BUF |
KC |
5-38 |
KC |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
KC |
BUF |
3-14 |
BUF |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
BUF |
KC |
54-31 |
BUF |
| 2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
BUF |
KC |
16-10 |
BUF |
| 2010 |
8 |
2010-10-31 |
BUF |
KC |
10-13 |
KC |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
BUF |
KC |
41-7 |
BUF |
| 2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
KC |
BUF |
17-35 |
BUF |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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