Prediction: Colts 26, Texans 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 13 |
Andrew Luck  |
Pass: 240, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 14 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
| RB 29 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 13 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 35 |
Darrius Heyward-Bey  |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 60 |
LaVon Brazill |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 17 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 1 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 4/4 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 15 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Houston Texans |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 16 |
Case Keenum |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
 RB 22 |
Ben Tate |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 37 |
Arian Foster |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 41 |
Deji Karim  |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 15 |
Andre Johnson |
Rec: 6-80, 0 TD |
| WR 20 |
DeAndre Hopkins |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| TE 16 |
Garrett Graham |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 22 |
Randy Bullock |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Colts In 2 career games vs. Hou., QB Andrew Luck has 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 95.8 rating. Luck is tied with JAKE PLUMMER for most game-winning drives in 4th quarter or OT in 1st 2 seasons of career since 1970 (9). Since 2012, has 8 rush TDs, most by AFC QB... Since '12, RB Trent Richardson has 13 rush TDs, 3rd-most in AFC. RB Donald Brown is averaging 5.9 yards per carry in ‘13... In 2 career games vs. Hou., WR T.Y. Hilton has 7 rec. for 189 yards (27 avg.) w/ 2 TDs (61, 70). WR Darrius Heyward-Bey had 7 rec. for 99 yards, incl. 34-yard TD rec. in last game vs. Hou. (w/ Oak. on 10/9/11)... TE Coby Fleener has career-best 3 TD rec. in '13... LB Robert Mathis has at least 1 sack in 6 of 7 in '13. Mathis (11.5) needs half sack to surpass career-high (11.5 in '05 & '08). Has 15.5 career sacks vs. Hou., most vs. any team...LB Pat Angerer registered 1st INT since 12/18/11 last game.
 Texans In NFL debut vs. KC in Week 7, QB Case Keenum completed 15 of 25 passes (60 pct.) for 271 yards w/ TD & 110.6 rating. Keenum will make 1st career start at home. Keenum attended Univ. of Hou. & finished college career as NCAA all-time leader in total passing yards (19,217) and TD passes (155)... RB Arian Foster averages 150.4 rush yards per game in 5 career meetings vs. Ind... WR Andre Johnson averages 81.6 rec. yards per game, best in NFL history (min. 100 games). Johnson (48) needs 2 rec. to record 10th career season with 50+. Has 100+ receiving yards in past 2 against Colts (141, 151). WR DeAndre Hopkins leads AFC rookies in rec. yards (416). Posted 2nd TD of career last game... Defense allows NFL-low 267.7 yards per game...S Ed Reed leads active players with 61 INTs. Has 4 career INTs vs. Colts (incl. postseason)... DE J.J. Watt had 3 sacks in last home game vs. Ind. Since '12, Watt leads NFL w/ 25 sacks.
Results and Schedule
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
OAK |
H |
W 21-17 |
+4 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
MIA |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SF |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
JAC |
A |
W 37-3 |
+34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SEA |
H |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 6 |
2013-10-14 |
SD |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
DEN |
H |
W 39-33 |
+6 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
STL |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-14 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
ARI |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Houston Texans |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-09 |
SD |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
TEN |
H |
W 30-24 |
+6 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
BAL |
A |
L 9-30 |
-21 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
SEA |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
SF |
A |
L 3-34 |
-31 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
STL |
H |
L 13-38 |
-25 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
KC |
A |
L 16-17 |
-1 |
| 8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
IND |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
ARI |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-05 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Offense |
HOU
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
32.7 |
12.7 |
23.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
128.0 |
125.3 |
110.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.39 |
4.24 |
4.11 |
IND |
| Completion % |
59.5% |
64.2% |
61.3% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
204.7 |
223.3 |
235.8 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.87 |
9.71 |
10.86 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.47 |
6.23 |
6.65 |
IND |
| Interceptions |
0.3 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
IND |
| Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
39.1% |
35.2% |
38.0% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
57.1% |
45.4% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
32:19 |
33:26 |
49:18 |
HOU |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Defense |
HOU
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
18.0 |
29.0 |
23.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
108.7 |
134.0 |
110.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.42 |
4.26 |
4.11 |
HOU |
| Completion % |
55.8% |
61.6% |
61.3% |
IND |
| Passing yards |
199.0 |
128.3 |
235.8 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.47 |
10.25 |
10.86 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.40 |
6.31 |
6.65 |
HOU |
| INT return |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
IND |
| Sacks |
3.0 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
29.2% |
39.7% |
38.0% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
45.4% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
27:41 |
29:07 |
49:18 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
HOU |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.7 |
5.7 |
9.0 |
IND |
| Yards per kick return |
25.3 |
24.4 |
24.2 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.7 |
17.8 |
9.0 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
22.1 |
24.9 |
24.2 |
IND |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
HOU |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.7 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
38.3 |
77.7 |
55.8 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
| Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
IND |
HOU |
23-3 |
IND |
| 2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
HOU |
IND |
3-19 |
IND |
| 2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
HOU |
IND |
21-30 |
IND |
| 2003 |
17 |
2003-12-28 |
IND |
HOU |
20-17 |
IND |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
HOU |
IND |
14-49 |
IND |
| 2004 |
14 |
2004-12-12 |
IND |
HOU |
23-14 |
IND |
| 2005 |
7 |
2005-10-23 |
IND |
HOU |
38-20 |
IND |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
HOU |
IND |
17-31 |
IND |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
HOU |
IND |
24-43 |
IND |
| 2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
IND |
HOU |
24-27 |
HOU |
| 2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
IND |
HOU |
30-24 |
IND |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
HOU |
IND |
15-38 |
IND |
| 2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
IND |
HOU |
31-27 |
IND |
| 2008 |
11 |
2008-11-16 |
HOU |
IND |
27-33 |
IND |
| 2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
HOU |
IND |
17-20 |
IND |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
IND |
HOU |
35-27 |
IND |
| 2010 |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
IND |
HOU |
24-34 |
HOU |
| 2010 |
8 |
2010-11-01 |
HOU |
IND |
17-30 |
IND |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
IND |
HOU |
7-34 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
16 |
2011-12-22 |
HOU |
IND |
16-19 |
IND |
| 2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
IND |
HOU |
17-29 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
HOU |
IND |
16-28 |
IND |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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