Prediction: Panthers 24, Falcons 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 10 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 27 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 30 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 8 |
Harry Douglas  |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
| WR 26 |
Drew Davis |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
 WR 68 |
Roddy White   |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 9 |
Tony Gonzalez |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| K 23 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Carolina Panthers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 5 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 30, 1 |
| RB 25 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 28 |
Mike Tolbert |
Rush: 10, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 40 |
Jonathan Stewart |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 23 |
Steve Smith |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
| WR 38 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 69 |
Ted Ginn Jr. |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 11 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| K 20 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 2 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 5 of past 6 vs. Car., completing 137 of 215 (63.7 pct.) for 1,657 yards with 13 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 101.6 rating. In career, when Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 34-2 (.944)... RB Steven Jackson leads active players with 10,221 rush yards. RB Jacquizz Rodgers has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 3... TE Tony Gonzalez has catch in 202 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. Has 20 catches in past 3 meetings. Since 2007 (incl. playoffs), WR Roddy White has 611 receptions, 3rd most in NFC & only 1 behind leaders. Aims for 4th in row vs. Car. with TD catch (4 TDs in past 3). In 2 games vs. Car. last year, had 17 catches for 286 yards (143 per game) & 3 TDs. WR Harry Douglas has 19 catches for 270 yards (135 per game) & TD in past 2. Aims for 3rd in row with 100+ yards. Had career-best 12 catches last week... Since 2011, S Thomas DeCoud has 10 INTs, tied for most in NFL by S. DE Osi Umenyiora is only NFC player with 4 sacks & INT-TD. CB Asante Samuel had INT in his last game at Car.
 Panthers Aim for 4th win in row... In past 2 vs. Atl., QB Cam Newton had 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 113.8 rating with 202 rush yards (101 per game) & 2 TDs. Aims for 3rd in row vs. Atl. with 2+ pass TDs, 0 INTs with 110+ rating & 85+ rush yards with TD. In past 3, has 77.3 comp. pct., 6 TDs, 0 INTs & 130.3 rating with 2 rush TDs... RB DeAngelo Williams aims for 4th in row vs. Atl. with TD. Had career-long 53-yard TD catch in last meeting. When Williams has 18+ att., team is 18-4. RB Mike Tolbert has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 3... In past 2 home meetings, WR Steve Smith has 13 catches for 234 yards (117 per game). WR Brandon LaFell has 11 career rec. TDs & averages 29.7 yards per TD (327 yards). TE Greg Olsen aims for 4th in row vs. Atl. with TD. Has TD in past 3 & 4 of past 5 meetings... Since 2010, CB Captain Munnerlyn has 4 INT-TDs, tied for 2nd in NFL. DE Greg Hardy has 14 sacks in past 16. Aims for 3rd meeting in row with sack. Since entering NFL in 2012, LB Luke Kuechly leads NFL with 220 tackles. In past 20, DE Charles Johnson has 18.5 sacks & 7 FFs. Has 5 sacks in past 4 meetings.
Results and Schedule
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NO |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
STL |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
MIA |
A |
L 23-27 |
-4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
NE |
H |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-07 |
NYJ |
H |
L 28-30 |
-2 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
H |
W 31-23 |
+8 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
ARI |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SEA |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-21 |
NO |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-23 |
SF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Carolina Panthers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
SEA |
H |
L 7-12 |
-5 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
BUF |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYG |
H |
W 38-0 |
+38 |
| 4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
ARI |
A |
L 6-22 |
-16 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
MIN |
A |
W 35-10 |
+25 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
STL |
H |
W 30-15 |
+15 |
| 8 |
2013-10-24 |
TB |
A |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SF |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TB |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
NO |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
NO |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Offense |
CAR
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
24.7 |
32.0 |
23.4 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards |
49.7 |
120.7 |
110.4 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.16 |
3.83 |
4.11 |
CAR |
| Completion % |
65.8% |
66.7% |
61.3% |
CAR |
| Passing yards |
279.0 |
213.0 |
235.8 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.91 |
11.46 |
10.86 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.52 |
7.64 |
6.65 |
CAR |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
CAR |
| Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
CAR |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
42.4% |
45.8% |
38.0% |
CAR |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
66.7% |
45.4% |
CAR |
| Time of possession |
32:49 |
34:44 |
49:18 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Defense |
CAR
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
28.0 |
12.7 |
23.4 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards |
120.3 |
66.0 |
110.4 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.17 |
3.65 |
4.11 |
CAR |
| Completion % |
66.9% |
64.1% |
61.3% |
CAR |
| Passing yards |
197.0 |
208.0 |
235.8 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.65 |
8.20 |
10.86 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.12 |
5.26 |
6.65 |
CAR |
| INT return |
0.3 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
CAR |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
CAR |
| Sacks |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
- |
| 3rd down conversions |
44.4% |
32.3% |
38.0% |
CAR |
| 4th down conversions |
75.0% |
14.3% |
45.4% |
CAR |
| Time of possession |
27:11 |
25:16 |
49:18 |
CAR |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
CAR |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.6 |
5.1 |
9.0 |
ATL |
| Yards per kick return |
25.4 |
24.0 |
24.2 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.4 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
CAR |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
26.3 |
22.5 |
24.2 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
CAR |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.3 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
CAR |
| Penalty yards |
56.3 |
52.7 |
55.8 |
CAR |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
3 |
2000-09-17 |
ATL |
CAR |
15-10 |
ATL |
| 2000 |
9 |
2000-10-29 |
CAR |
ATL |
12-13 |
ATL |
| 2001 |
2 |
2001-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
16-24 |
ATL |
| 2001 |
11 |
2001-11-25 |
ATL |
CAR |
10-7 |
ATL |
| 2002 |
7 |
2002-10-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
0-30 |
ATL |
| 2002 |
12 |
2002-11-24 |
ATL |
CAR |
41-0 |
ATL |
| 2003 |
4 |
2003-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
3-23 |
CAR |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
CAR |
ATL |
14-20 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
ATL |
CAR |
27-10 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
15 |
2004-12-18 |
CAR |
ATL |
31-34 |
ATL |
| 2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
ATL |
CAR |
6-24 |
CAR |
| 2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
CAR |
ATL |
44-11 |
CAR |
| 2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-6 |
ATL |
| 2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-3 |
CAR |
| 2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
27-20 |
CAR |
| 2007 |
10 |
2007-11-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-13 |
ATL |
| 2008 |
4 |
2008-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
9-24 |
CAR |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-45 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
2 |
2009-09-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
20-28 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
ATL |
CAR |
19-28 |
CAR |
| 2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-31 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
CAR |
ATL |
17-31 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
14 |
2011-12-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-23 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-30 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
14 |
2012-12-09 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-30 |
CAR |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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