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Prediction: Chargers 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

San Diego Chargers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 8 Philip Rivers Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 18 Danny Woodhead Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 7-50, 1
RB 21 Ryan Mathews Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 8 Keenan Allen Rec: 6-90, 1 TD
WR 57 Eddie Royal Rec: 3-50, 0 TD
WR 76 Vincent Brown Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 8 Antonio Gates Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
K 13 Nick Novak FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 13 Defense / ST  
 
Miami Dolphins
Rank  Player Projections
QB 22 Ryan Tannehill Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 29 Lamar Miller Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 46 Daniel Thomas Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 30 Mike Wallace Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 37 Brian Hartline Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
TE 14 Charles Clay Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 18 Caleb Sturgis FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 26 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Chargers QB Philip Rivers averages 328 pass yards per game on road this season, 2nd-best in NFL (PEYTON MANNING, 359.3). Has completed 20+ passes while completing at least 80 pct. of passes in 3 games this season, tying for most such games in season in NFL history (BRETT FAVRE in 2009; DREW BREES in 2011). Has passed for 300+ yards in past 2 vs. Dolphins (303, 307)... In 1 career game vs. Dolphins (10/2/11), RB Ryan Mathews totaled 149 scrimmage yards (81 rush, 68 receiving). Has rush TD in 2 of past 3. RB Danny Woodhead has career-best 53 catches in 2013, most among NFL RBs... TE Antonio Gates (694 rec; 8,933 rec. yards) needs 6 catches & 67 receiving yards to become 4th TE in NFL history to have at least 700 catches & 9,000 receiving yards. Since entering NFL in 2003, Gates has 85 TD catches, most among NFL TEs... WR Eddie Royal has career-best 7 TD rec. in '13. Rookie WR Keenan Allen leads NFL rookies in rec. yards (568)... S Eric Weddle leads team with 63 tackles. Has INT in each of past 2 vs. Mia.

Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has 6 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 85.6 passer rating at home in 2013. For career, Tannehill is 7-5 as starter at home. Team is 9-2 (.818) when he has 90+ rating...RB Lamar Miller had career-best 105 rush yards on 16 att. (6.6 avg.) in last home game. Miller averages 5.6 yards per carry at home this season (40 att., 225 yards)... In last meeting vs. Chargers (w/ Pit. on 12/9/12), WR Mike Wallace had 7 receptions for 112 yards (16 avg.) with 2 TDs. WR Rishard Matthews had career-best in catches (21), receiving yards (237) & TD receptions (2) last week... TE Charles Clay has career-best in catches (36) & rec. yards (384) in '13... DT Randy Starks has 25 sacks w/ Mia., most by Dolphins DT... LB Olivier Vernon has career-best 4.5 sacks this season. LB Dannell Ellerbe lead team with 66 tackles... CB Dimitri Patterson has 4 INTs in 5 games in 2013... S Jimmy Wilson posted 2nd INT of season last week... DE Cameron Wake had 3 sacks in last home game.


Results and Schedule

San Diego Chargers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-09 HOU H L 28-31 -3
2 2013-09-15 PHI A W 33-30 +3
3 2013-09-22 TEN A L 17-20 -3
4 2013-09-29 DAL H W 30-21 +9
5 2013-10-06 OAK A L 17-27 -10
6 2013-10-14 IND H W 19-9 +10
7 2013-10-20 JAC A W 24-6 +18
8   Bye      
9 2013-11-03 WAS A L 24-30 -6
10 2013-11-10 DEN H L 20-28 -8
11 2013-11-17 MIA A    
12 2013-11-24 KC A    
13 2013-12-01 CIN H    
14 2013-12-08 NYG H    
15 2013-12-12 DEN A    
16 2013-12-22 OAK H    
17 2013-12-29 KC H    
   

Miami Dolphins
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 CLE A W 23-10 +13
2 2013-09-15 IND A W 24-20 +4
3 2013-09-22 ATL H W 27-23 +4
4 2013-09-30 NO A L 17-38 -21
5 2013-10-06 BAL H L 23-26 -3
6   Bye      
7 2013-10-20 BUF H L 21-23 -2
8 2013-10-27 NE A L 17-27 -10
9 2013-10-31 CIN H W 22-20 +2
10 2013-11-11 TB A    
11 2013-11-17 SD H    
12 2013-11-24 CAR H    
13 2013-12-01 NYJ A    
14 2013-12-08 PIT A    
15 2013-12-15 NE H    
16 2013-12-22 BUF A    
17 2013-12-29 NYJ H    

Injury Report

San Diego Chargers
Questionable  OLB Jarret Johnson (hamstring)
 RB Le'Ron McClain (ankle)
 WR Eddie Royal (toe)
IR  OLB Larry English (biceps, 11/12/2013)
 WR Malcom Floyd (head, 10/1/2013)
 OLB Dwight Freeney (quadriceps, 10/1/2013)
 ILB Jonas Mouton (knee, 7/28/2013)
 CB Steve Williams (pectoral, 8/26/2013)
PUP  OLB Melvin Ingram (knee)
   

Miami Dolphins
Questionable  FS Chris Clemons (knee)
 WLB Jelani Jenkins (foot)
 SS Reshad Jones (groin)
 WLB Koa Misi (knee)
 CB Dimitri Patterson (groin)
 K Caleb Sturgis (groin)
 RB Daniel Thomas (ankle)
Probable  TE Michael Egnew (neck)
IR  WR Brandon Gibson (knee, 10/29/2013)
 TE Dustin Keller (knee, 8/20/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  SD
 Offense 
MIA
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 21.0 21.5 23.6 MIA
Rushing yards 115.7 138.0 113.9 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 3.65 4.69 4.16 MIA
Completion % 69.9% 55.8% 60.9% SD
Passing yards 281.3 180.5 232.6 SD
Passing yards per completion 11.20 9.49 10.93 SD
Passing yards per attempt 7.83 5.29 6.66 SD
Interceptions 0.7 1.0 1.0 SD
Fumbles lost 0.0 1.0 0.6 SD
Sacks allowed 1.7 4.5 2.7 SD
3rd down conversions 45.2% 28.3% 39.1% SD
4th down conversions 66.7% 50.0% 49.0% SD
Time of possession 35:39 29:26 50:34 SD
  Defense Stats Comparison

  SD
 Defense 
MIA
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 21.3 24.5 23.6 SD
Rushing yards 88.7 142.5 113.9 SD
Rushing yards per attempt 4.43 3.79 4.16 MIA
Completion % 68.2% 61.2% 60.9% MIA
Passing yards 253.7 214.5 232.6 MIA
Passing yards per completion 11.84 9.78 10.93 MIA
Passing yards per attempt 8.07 5.98 6.66 MIA
INT return 0.7 1.0 1.0 MIA
Fumble recoveries 0.0 0.5 0.6 MIA
Sacks 2.3 3.5 2.7 MIA
3rd down conversions 41.4% 41.5% 39.1% SD
4th down conversions 33.3% 100.0% 49.0% SD
Time of possession 24:21 32:46 50:34 SD

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   SD   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 10.7 6.3 10.0 SD
Yards per kick return 22.4 23.9 23.6 MIA
Yards allowed per punt return 3.7 8.4 10.0 SD
Yards allowed per kick return 24.2 24.4 23.6 SD
  Misc Stats Comparison

   SD   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.0 4.0 6.1 MIA
Penalty yards 43.7 46.5 53.0 SD

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 11 2000-11-12 MIA SD 17-7 MIA
2002 12 2002-11-24 SD MIA 3-30 MIA
2003 8 2003-10-27 MIA SD 26-10 MIA
2005 14 2005-12-11 MIA SD 23-21 MIA
2008 5 2008-10-05 SD MIA 10-17 MIA
2009 3 2009-09-27 MIA SD 13-23 SD
2011 4 2011-10-02 MIA SD 16-26 SD

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.