Prediction: Chargers 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
San Diego Chargers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 8 |
Philip Rivers |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 18 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 7-50, 1 |
RB 21 |
Ryan Mathews |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 8 |
Keenan Allen |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
WR 57 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
WR 76 |
Vincent Brown |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 8 |
Antonio Gates |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
K 13 |
Nick Novak |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
|
Game Notes
Chargers QB Philip Rivers averages 328 pass yards per game on road this season, 2nd-best in NFL (PEYTON MANNING, 359.3). Has completed 20+ passes while completing at least 80 pct. of passes in 3 games this season, tying for most such games in season in NFL history (BRETT FAVRE in 2009; DREW BREES in 2011). Has passed for 300+ yards in past 2 vs. Dolphins (303, 307)... In 1 career game vs. Dolphins (10/2/11), RB Ryan Mathews totaled 149 scrimmage yards (81 rush, 68 receiving). Has rush TD in 2 of past 3. RB Danny Woodhead has career-best 53 catches in 2013, most among NFL RBs... TE Antonio Gates (694 rec; 8,933 rec. yards) needs 6 catches & 67 receiving yards to become 4th TE in NFL history to have at least 700 catches & 9,000 receiving yards. Since entering NFL in 2003, Gates has 85 TD catches, most among NFL TEs... WR Eddie Royal has career-best 7 TD rec. in '13. Rookie WR Keenan Allen leads NFL rookies in rec. yards (568)... S Eric Weddle leads team with 63 tackles. Has INT in each of past 2 vs. Mia.
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has 6 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 85.6 passer rating at home in 2013. For career, Tannehill is 7-5 as starter at home. Team is 9-2 (.818) when he has 90+ rating...RB Lamar Miller had career-best 105 rush yards on 16 att. (6.6 avg.) in last home game. Miller averages 5.6 yards per carry at home this season (40 att., 225 yards)... In last meeting vs. Chargers (w/ Pit. on 12/9/12), WR Mike Wallace had 7 receptions for 112 yards (16 avg.) with 2 TDs. WR Rishard Matthews had career-best in catches (21), receiving yards (237) & TD receptions (2) last week... TE Charles Clay has career-best in catches (36) & rec. yards (384) in '13... DT Randy Starks has 25 sacks w/ Mia., most by Dolphins DT... LB Olivier Vernon has career-best 4.5 sacks this season. LB Dannell Ellerbe lead team with 66 tackles... CB Dimitri Patterson has 4 INTs in 5 games in 2013... S Jimmy Wilson posted 2nd INT of season last week... DE Cameron Wake had 3 sacks in last home game.
Results and Schedule
San Diego Chargers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-09 |
HOU |
H |
L 28-31 |
-3 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
PHI |
A |
W 33-30 |
+3 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TEN |
A |
L 17-20 |
-3 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
DAL |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
OAK |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
6 |
2013-10-14 |
IND |
H |
W 19-9 |
+10 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
JAC |
A |
W 24-6 |
+18 |
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
WAS |
A |
L 24-30 |
-6 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
H |
L 20-28 |
-8 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
12 |
2013-11-24 |
KC |
A |
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-12 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
KC |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Miami Dolphins |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-10 |
+13 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
IND |
A |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
ATL |
H |
W 27-23 |
+4 |
4 |
2013-09-30 |
NO |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
BAL |
H |
L 23-26 |
-3 |
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
NE |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
9 |
2013-10-31 |
CIN |
H |
W 22-20 |
+2 |
10 |
2013-11-11 |
TB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2013-11-17 |
SD |
H |
|
|
12 |
2013-11-24 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
NE |
H |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
SD Offense |
MIA Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
21.0 |
21.5 |
23.6 |
MIA |
Rushing yards |
115.7 |
138.0 |
113.9 |
MIA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.65 |
4.69 |
4.16 |
MIA |
Completion % |
69.9% |
55.8% |
60.9% |
SD |
Passing yards |
281.3 |
180.5 |
232.6 |
SD |
Passing yards per completion |
11.20 |
9.49 |
10.93 |
SD |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.83 |
5.29 |
6.66 |
SD |
Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
SD |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
SD |
Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
SD |
3rd down conversions |
45.2% |
28.3% |
39.1% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
66.7% |
50.0% |
49.0% |
SD |
Time of possession |
35:39 |
29:26 |
50:34 |
SD |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
SD Defense |
MIA Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
21.3 |
24.5 |
23.6 |
SD |
Rushing yards |
88.7 |
142.5 |
113.9 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.43 |
3.79 |
4.16 |
MIA |
Completion % |
68.2% |
61.2% |
60.9% |
MIA |
Passing yards |
253.7 |
214.5 |
232.6 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
11.84 |
9.78 |
10.93 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.07 |
5.98 |
6.66 |
MIA |
INT return |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
MIA |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
MIA |
Sacks |
2.3 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
MIA |
3rd down conversions |
41.4% |
41.5% |
39.1% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
100.0% |
49.0% |
SD |
Time of possession |
24:21 |
32:46 |
50:34 |
SD |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
SD |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
10.7 |
6.3 |
10.0 |
SD |
Yards per kick return |
22.4 |
23.9 |
23.6 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
3.7 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
SD |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.2 |
24.4 |
23.6 |
SD |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
SD |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
4.0 |
6.1 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
43.7 |
46.5 |
53.0 |
SD |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
11 |
2000-11-12 |
MIA |
SD |
17-7 |
MIA |
2002 |
12 |
2002-11-24 |
SD |
MIA |
3-30 |
MIA |
2003 |
8 |
2003-10-27 |
MIA |
SD |
26-10 |
MIA |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
MIA |
SD |
23-21 |
MIA |
2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
SD |
MIA |
10-17 |
MIA |
2009 |
3 |
2009-09-27 |
MIA |
SD |
13-23 |
SD |
2011 |
4 |
2011-10-02 |
MIA |
SD |
16-26 |
SD |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|