Prediction: Panthers 24, Patriots 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 20 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 250, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 20 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 36 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| WR 41 |
Danny Amendola  |
Rec: 6-60, 0 TD |
| WR 44 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 70 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-80, 1 TD |
| K 7 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Carolina Panthers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 30, 1 |
| RB 32 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 35 |
Jonathan Stewart |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 37 |
Mike Tolbert |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 28 |
Steve Smith |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
| WR 47 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 79 |
Ted Ginn Jr. |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 11 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
| K 27 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Aim for 8th win in row in Nov... QB Tom Brady had season-best in pass yards (432), TDs (4) & rating (151.8) in Week 9 vs. Pit. Has 15 career games w/ 4+ TDs vs. 0 INTs, tied for most in NFL history. Has 347 TD passes, 5th-most in NFL history. Has 34-10 (.773) record as starter in Nov., 4th-best in SB era (min. 20 starts). Is 3-1 vs. Car., incl. win in SB XXXVIII. Has 13-4 record (.765) on MNF... RB Stevan Ridley posted 5th career game with 100+ rush yards vs. Pit. & NE is 5-0... .TE Rob Gronkowski had season-best in catches (9) & rec. yards (143) last game. Since 2011, has 29 TD rec., tied for 3rd-most in NFL. WR Danny Amendola posted 4th 100-yard rec. game of career last game (122), 2nd w/ NE... Defense has takeaway in 36 straight games, longest active streak in NFL... DE Chandler Jones has 5 sacks in past 4... Rookie S Duron Harmon aims for 3rd in row w/ INT.
 Panthers Aim for 6th win in row... QB Cam Newton is only player with 50+ pass (53) & 25+ rush (26) TDs in 1st 3 NFL seasons... RB DeAngelo Williams had 27-yard rush TD last week. RB Mike Tolbert has 5 TDs (3 rush, 2 rec.) in past 5. Has 11 TDs (9 rush, 2 rec.) in past 12... WR Steve Smith had 41-yard TD in last meeting. Had 39-yard TD in SB XXXVIII vs. NE. WR Brandon LaFell has 11 career rec. TDs & averages 29.7 yards per TD (327 yards). TE Greg Olsen has 4 TDs in past 5 vs. AFC... Only team in NFL to rank in top 5 in total (2nd), rush (2nd) & pass (tied 4th) defense. DE Greg Hardy has 15 sacks in past 18. Since entering NFL in 2012, LB Luke Kuechly leads NFL with 239 tackles. In past 22, DE Charles Johnson has 21 sacks & 7 FFs. Aims for 5th in row with sack. Since 2010, is only NFC player with 40+ sacks (41.5) & 10+ FFs (10). S Mike Mitchell is only player in NFL with 3+ INTs (3), 2+ sacks (2.5) & 2+ FFs (2).
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Carolina Panthers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
SEA |
H |
L 7-12 |
-5 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
BUF |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYG |
H |
W 38-0 |
+38 |
| 4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
ARI |
A |
L 6-22 |
-16 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
MIN |
A |
W 35-10 |
+25 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
STL |
H |
W 30-15 |
+15 |
| 8 |
2013-10-24 |
TB |
A |
W 31-13 |
+18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
ATL |
H |
W 34-10 |
+24 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SF |
A |
W 10-9 |
+1 |
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
TB |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
NO |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
NO |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
CAR
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
28.0 |
26.3 |
23.6 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
127.7 |
118.3 |
113.9 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.57 |
3.74 |
4.16 |
NE |
| Completion % |
55.5% |
64.5% |
60.9% |
CAR |
| Passing yards |
202.0 |
213.3 |
232.6 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.08 |
10.59 |
10.93 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.15 |
6.83 |
6.66 |
CAR |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
CAR |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
3.7 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
CAR |
| 3rd down conversions |
26.2% |
44.7% |
39.1% |
CAR |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
80.0% |
49.0% |
CAR |
| Time of possession |
26:41 |
33:58 |
50:34 |
CAR |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
CAR
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
24.7 |
12.0 |
23.6 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards |
149.7 |
76.5 |
113.9 |
CAR |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.37 |
3.83 |
4.16 |
CAR |
| Completion % |
55.9% |
65.5% |
60.9% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
205.0 |
208.8 |
232.6 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.88 |
8.41 |
10.93 |
CAR |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.08 |
5.51 |
6.66 |
CAR |
| INT return |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
CAR |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
43.8% |
31.6% |
39.1% |
CAR |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
16.7% |
49.0% |
CAR |
| Time of possession |
33:16 |
26:02 |
50:34 |
CAR |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
CAR |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.1 |
9.5 |
10.0 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
22.1 |
23.4 |
23.6 |
CAR |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
10.2 |
8.6 |
10.0 |
CAR |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
20.0 |
23.3 |
23.6 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
CAR |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.0 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
32.7 |
45.8 |
53.0 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Carolina Panthers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2001 |
17 |
2002-01-06 |
NE |
CAR |
38-6 |
NE |
| 2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
NE |
CAR |
17-27 |
CAR |
| 2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
CAR |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
