Prediction: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 11 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 31 |
Steven Jackson  |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 34 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 15 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 5-80, 1 TD |
| WR 43 |
Roddy White  |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 73 |
Drew Davis |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 6 |
Tony Gonzalez |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
| K 12 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 22 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
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Game Notes
 Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 8 of past 10 starts vs. TB. In last meeting, completed 20 of 26 (76.9 pct.) for 273 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 148.4 rating. In career, when Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 34-2 (.944)... RB Steven Jackson leads active players with 10,289 rush yards. Aims for 4th in row vs. TB with 100+ rush yards or TD. RB Jacquizz Rodgers has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 5. Had 2 rec. TDs in last meeting... TE Tony Gonzalez has catch in 204 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. Needs 3 catches to reach 50 receptions for 16th consecutive year, longest streak in NFL history. Since 2007 (incl. playoffs), WR Roddy White has 612 receptions, 3rd most in NFC. WR Harry Douglas aims for 3rd in row vs. TB with TD. In last meeting, had 7 catches for 149 yards & TD. Rookie WR Darius Johnson caught 1st TD last week... Since 2011, S Thomas DeCoud has 10 INTs, tied for most in NFL by S. DE Osi Umenyiora is 1 of 3 in NFL with 4 sacks & INT-TD. Rookie LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 55 tackles.
 Buccaneers Rookie QB Mike Glennon won 1st career game last week. Has 6 TDs & 1 INT in past 4. Passed for 256 yards with 2 TDs, 0 INTs & 90.7 rating in last meeting... RB Bobby Rainey had career-long 31-yard run & scored 1st career TD last week. RB Brian Leonard rushed for team-high 57 yards last week... WR Vincent Jackson had 10 catches for 138 yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. Among active players (min. 200 catches), has NFL-best 17.4 avg. (390 catches, 6,800 yards). Rookie TE Tim Wright has TD catch in 2 of past 3... T DONALD PENN had 1-yard TD catch last week, his 3rd career catch & 2nd TD... Defense allowed 2 rush yards last week, fewest in team history... LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 70+ tackles (77), 5+ sacks (5) & INT (1). Had safety last week. S Mark Barron is 2nd on club with 60 tackles. CB Darrelle Revis had INT vs. Mia. Incl. playoffs, when Revis has INT, his teams are 17-3. DE Adrian Clayborn aims for 3rd consecutive division home game with sack.
Results and Schedule
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NO |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
STL |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
MIA |
A |
L 23-27 |
-4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
NE |
H |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-07 |
NYJ |
H |
L 28-30 |
-2 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
H |
W 31-23 |
+8 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
ARI |
A |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
CAR |
A |
L 10-34 |
-24 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
SEA |
H |
L 10-33 |
-23 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-21 |
NO |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-23 |
SF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NYJ |
A |
L 17-18 |
-1 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
NO |
H |
L 14-16 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NE |
A |
L 3-23 |
-20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ARI |
H |
L 10-13 |
-3 |
| 5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
PHI |
H |
L 20-31 |
-11 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
ATL |
A |
L 23-31 |
-8 |
| 8 |
2013-10-24 |
CAR |
H |
L 13-31 |
-18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
SEA |
A |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 10 |
2013-11-11 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
SF |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
STL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NO |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Offense |
TB
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
17.0 |
21.5 |
23.6 |
TB |
| Rushing yards |
51.7 |
102.5 |
113.9 |
TB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
2.79 |
4.53 |
4.16 |
TB |
| Completion % |
68.4% |
61.7% |
60.9% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
249.7 |
237.5 |
232.6 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.03 |
8.77 |
10.93 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.17 |
5.41 |
6.66 |
ATL |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
TB |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
TB |
| Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
39.7% |
37.7% |
39.1% |
ATL |
| 4th down conversions |
60.0% |
57.1% |
49.0% |
ATL |
| Time of possession |
27:21 |
35:20 |
50:34 |
TB |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Defense |
TB
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
30.0 |
31.0 |
23.6 |
ATL |
| Rushing yards |
150.0 |
133.5 |
113.9 |
TB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.98 |
4.27 |
4.16 |
TB |
| Completion % |
66.9% |
73.0% |
60.9% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
212.7 |
245.0 |
232.6 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.97 |
11.57 |
10.93 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.34 |
8.45 |
6.66 |
ATL |
| INT return |
0.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
ATL |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
TB |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
46.3% |
48.9% |
39.1% |
ATL |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
100.0% |
49.0% |
- |
| Time of possession |
32:39 |
28:05 |
50:34 |
TB |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
TB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
10.8 |
8.7 |
10.0 |
ATL |
| Yards per kick return |
24.6 |
24.2 |
23.6 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.9 |
14.3 |
10.0 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
26.4 |
20.8 |
23.6 |
TB |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
TB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.7 |
8.0 |
6.1 |
ATL |
| Penalty yards |
53.3 |
85.5 |
53.0 |
ATL |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
TB |
ATL |
27-14 |
TB |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
TB |
ATL |
20-6 |
TB |
| 2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
ATL |
TB |
10-34 |
TB |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
TB |
ATL |
31-10 |
TB |
| 2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
ATL |
TB |
30-28 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
TB |
ATL |
14-24 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
0-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
11 |
2005-11-20 |
TB |
ATL |
30-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
ATL |
TB |
24-27 |
TB |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
TB |
ATL |
3-14 |
ATL |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
ATL |
TB |
17-6 |
ATL |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
TB |
ATL |
31-7 |
TB |
| 2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
ATL |
TB |
3-37 |
TB |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
ATL |
TB |
9-24 |
TB |
| 2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
TB |
ATL |
10-13 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
TB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
ATL |
TB |
20-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
TB |
ATL |
21-27 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
28-24 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
ATL |
TB |
13-16 |
TB |
| 2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
TB |
ATL |
24-45 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
12 |
2012-11-25 |
ATL |
TB |
24-23 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
TB |
ATL |
22-17 |
TB |
| 2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
ATL |
23-31 |
ATL |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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