Game Preview - Week 13: Atlanta Falcons at St. Louis Rams

Atlanta: Falcons continue to walk through their abysmal season with nothing to look forward to except the finish line. Head coach Bobby Petrino plans to "stick with" Joey Harrington at quarterback (whatever that means) but whether its Leftwich or Harrington, it doesn't really matter. Atlanta is 31st in league scoring (14.1 ppg) and has given up 31 points in both of their last two games. Plain and simple, the Falcons are one of the worst teams in the league and the end of the 2007 season can't come soon enough.

Start: WR Roddy White
Consider: RB Warrick Dunn, TE Alge Crumpler
Sit: RB Jerious Norwood, QB Joey Harrington, WR Joe Horn, WR Michael Jenkins

St. Louis: The Rams are bottom-feeding right along with Falcons but have won two of their last three games (NO, SF) and gave the Seahawks a tussle before succumbing late in the fourth quarter. Part of St. Louis' problems this season has been injuries, which came to bite them again last week. Quarterback Marc Bulger did not practice Wednesday and won't be cleared to do so until he passes a baseline test after suffering a concussion last Sunday. Gus Frerotte will start if Bulger can't play. While this game clearly favors the Rams even if Bulger sits, I do have to point out the Rams are 0-5 at home this year…. however the Falcons are only 1-4 on the road.

Start: QB Gus Frerotte, RB Steven Jackson, WR Torry Holt
Consider: WR Isaac Bruce
Sit: TE Randy McMichael, K Jeff Wilkins, WR Drew Bennett

Krueger's Rankings/Projections

Atlanta Falcons
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 26	Joey Harrington	Pass: 185, 1 Rush: 5, 0
RB 32	Warrick Dunn	Rush: 75, 0 Rec: 1-5, 0
RB 45	Jerious Norwood	Rush: 15, 0 Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 23	Roddy White	Rec: 6-75, 1
WR 68	Laurent Robinson	Rec: 2-30, 0
WR 69	Michael Jenkins	Rec: 2-30, 0
TE 18	Alge Crumpler	Rec: 3-40, 0

St. Louis Rams
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 13	Gus Frerotte	Pass: 240, 2 Rush: 0, 0
RB 6	Steven Jackson	Rush: 100, 1 Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 8	Torry Holt	Rec: 6-80, 1
WR 25	Isaac Bruce	Rec: 4-60, 1
WR 80	Drew Bennett	Rec: 2-30, 0
TE 29	Randy McMichael	Rec: 1-15, 0

View all Week 13 Rankings or Projections

Past Results and Remaining Schedule

Atlanta Falcons
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2007-09-09	MIN	A	L 3-24	-21
2	2007-09-16	JAC	A	L 7-13	-6
3	2007-09-23	CAR	H	L 20-27	-7
4	2007-09-30	HOU	H	W 26-16	+10
5	2007-10-07	TEN	A	L 13-20	-7
6	2007-10-15	NYG	H	L 10-31	-21
7	2007-10-21	NO	A	L 16-22	-6
8		Bye
9	2007-11-04	SF	H	W 20-16	+4
10	2007-11-11	CAR	A	W 20-13	+7
11	2007-11-18	TB	H	L 7-31	-24
12	2007-11-22	IND	H	L 13-31	-18
13	2007-12-02	STL	A	L 16-28	-12
14	2007-12-10	NO	H
15	2007-12-16	TB	A
16	2007-12-23	ARI	A
17	2007-12-30	SEA	H

St. Louis Rams
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2007-09-09	CAR	H	L 13-27	-14
2	2007-09-16	SF	H	L 16-17	-1
3	2007-09-23	TB	A	L 3-24	-21
4	2007-09-30	DAL	A	L 7-35	-28
5	2007-10-07	ARI	H	L 31-34	-3
6	2007-10-14	BAL	A	L 3-22	-19
7	2007-10-21	SEA	A	L 6-33	-27
8	2007-10-28	CLE	H	L 20-27	-7
9		Bye
10	2007-11-11	NO	A	W 37-29	+8
11	2007-11-18	SF	A	W 13-9	+4
12	2007-11-25	SEA	H	L 19-24	-5
13	2007-12-02	ATL	H	W 28-16	+12
14	2007-12-09	CIN	A
15	2007-12-16	GB	H
16	2007-12-20	PIT	H
17	2007-12-30	ARI	A

Offense Stats Comparison

	ATL Offense	STL Offense	NFL Average
Points for	16.3	17.3	21.7
Rushing yards	91.7	95.0	105.5
Rushing yards per attempt	3.42	3.49	3.89
Completion %	62.0%	64.8%	61.7%
Passing yards	184.3	201.7	217.2
Passing yards per completion	8.90	8.68	10.45
Passing yards per attempt	5.51	5.63	6.45
Interceptions	1.0	1.0	1.0
Fumbles lost	0.3	0.0	0.8
Sacked	2.3	4.7	2.2

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 7 to 12 of the 2007 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 7 to 12 with no adjustment.

Defense Stats Comparison

	ATL Defense	STL Defense	NFL Average
Points against	23.0	26.7	21.7
Rushing yards	108.3	76.7	105.5
Rushing yards per attempt	4.27	3.68	3.89
Completion %	55.2%	58.0%	61.7%
Passing yards	173.3	221.0	217.2
Passing yards per completion	10.61	10.95	10.45
Passing yards per attempt	5.86	6.35	6.45
INT return	1.0	1.3	1.0
Fumble recoveries	0.7	0.0	0.8
Sacks	1.7	2.0	2.2

Weather

Dome stadium

Team vs. Team History

Atlanta Falcons vs. St. Louis Rams
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2000	4	2000-09-24	STL	ATL	41-20	STL
2000	7	2000-10-15	ATL	STL	29-45	STL
2001	12	2001-12-02	STL	ATL	35-6	STL
2001	17	2002-01-06	ATL	STL	13-31	STL
2003	6	2003-10-13	ATL	STL	0-36	STL
2004	2	2004-09-19	STL	ATL	17-34	ATL
2004	DP	2005-01-15	STL	ATL	17-47	ATL

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2006 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.

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