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The Shot Caller's Report - Wk 12 Quarterbacks



By Steve Schwarz | 11/26/20
Bye Weeks: N/A
QBs | RBs | WRs

Derek Carr

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1) Derek Carr at Atlanta

The Falcons’ pass defense has been improved, statistically, over the past four games, but that was more a reflection of the weakness of the opposing quarterbacks, it doesn’t mean they were a better pass defense. They faced Matthew Stafford, Teddy Bridgewater, Drew Lock and Taysom Hill. For the season they still rank dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks (30.4 FPts/G) and even the improvement since Week 7 has them ranked 24th. Carr is coming off a solid 23-of-31 for 275 yards and three touchdowns against Kansas City. He’s playing sound, fundamental football and that will continue.

2) Tua Tagovailoa at New York Jets

Sure, Tagovailoa was benched in the second half of the game in Denver, but that might have been more for his protection than his poor play. The Broncos sacked him six times and have 28 for the season. The Jets defense isn’t nearly as good as Denver at sacking the quarterback with just 14 in 10 games. So Tua should have plenty of time to throw this weekend. The Jets rank 29th on the season (26.6 FPts/G) and worse the past four games (30.5). It’s bounce back time for Tagovailoa and his receiving corps.

3) Cam Newton vs. Arizona

The Cardinals’ pass defense has been going in the wrong direction the past month, dropping from 24th overall (23.5 FPts/G) to 29th over the past four games (27.9). But the Cardinals are still successful because their offense is potent. Which means the Patriots will have to score and in the three games this season where Newton threw at least 35 passes, he’s averaged 30.3 fantasy points. He’s only failed to throw or run for a touchdown once this season (San Francisco), so his floor is high enough that it’s not a big gamble to install him in your lineup.

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1) Carson Wentz vs. Seattle

Carson Wentz has been flat out brutal of late. But he’s not alone. His OL has been horrible and the Doug Pederson play-calling a disaster. So, despite the horrible defense the Seahawks secondary has been playing all season, I can’t expect the Eagles to turn it around Monday night. The more likely scenario is the Eagles try to run the ball behind Miles Sanders to shorten the game and keep the ball away from Russell Wilson & Company. Wentz will struggle early, but partially redeem himself with fourth-quarter garbage-time production after DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have put the game out of reach. It won’t be enough. There are better options than a hesitant and slumping Wentz.

2) Nick Mullens at Los Angeles Rams

Mullens has thrown for at least 200 yards in each game since being installed as a starter, but has been mostly hampered by injuries to his receiving corps. That may change and he might get both Deebo Samuels and Brandon Aiyuk back, but the Rams defense is just too good to challenge. They are allowing just 18.9 FPts/G and just held both Wilson and Tom Brady under 19 points.

3) Lamar Jackson at Pittsburgh

Yes, Jackson is still the defending NFL MVP, but he’s also been struggling this season down from 30.9 FPts/G in 2019 to 23.3 points in 2020. He’s also averaged just 22 points in his last two games against the Steelers, including five interceptions. Add in the Covid-19 issues the Ravens are dealing with and the strength of the Pittsburgh defense and Jackson isn’t a great option.

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers