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Prediction: Giants 31, Falcons 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Atlanta Falcons
Rank  Player Projections
QB 4 Matt Ryan Pass: 305, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 34 Steven Jackson Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0
RB 53 Jacquizz Rodgers Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 2 Julio Jones Rec: 8-110, 1 TD
WR 10 Roddy White Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
 WR 47 Devin Hester Rec: 4-45, 0 TD
TE 23 Levine Toilolo Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 13 Matt Bryant FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 29 Defense / ST  
 
New York Giants
Rank  Player Projections
QB 12 Eli Manning Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0
RB 2 Rashad Jennings Rush: 110, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0
RB 58 Andre Williams Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 9 Victor Cruz Rec: 6-80, 1 TD
WR 41 Rueben Randle Rec: 5-65, 0 TD
TE 9 Larry Donnell Rec: 5-50, 1 TD
K 18 Josh Brown FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4
DEF 24 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Falcons In 2 starts vs. NYG, QB Matt Ryan has 110.1 rating. Had 142.6 rating in last meeting, incl. 82.1 comp. pct. (23 of 28) & 3 TDs. When Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 36-2 (.947)... In only game at NYG (10/2/05 with StL), RB Steven Jackson had rush TD & rec. TD, 1 of 4 such games in career. RB Antone Smith had 48-yard rush TD last week. Has 5 career TDs (4 rush, 1 rec.) & avg. 46.5 yards per TD... WR Julio Jones had 2 TDs in last meeting. Is 2nd in NFL with 447 rec. yards. WR Roddy White had TD last week. Since 2007, White ranks 4th in NFL with 640 rec. & 8,671 rec. yards. WR Harry Douglas had 3 catches for 83 yards (27.7 avg.) in last game vs. NYG. WR-PR-KR Devin Hester has 3 TDs (rush, rec., PR) in past 2... DE Osi Umenyiora played 9 seasons with NYG & ranks 4th in team history with 75 sacks, incl. 3 seasons with 10+ sacks. DE Kroy Biermann had sack in last meeting.

Giants Have won 2 in row, outscoring opp. 75-31... QB Eli Manning had 4 pass TDs & 1 rush TD last week with 300 yards & 117.5 rating. Has won 4 of past 5 starts vs. Atl. (incl. playoffs). Has started 155 consecutive games, longest active streak by QB... RB Rashad Jennings has rushed for 231 yards (115.5 per game) in past 2. Rookie RB Andre Williams had career-best 15 att. & 66 yards last week, incl. 1st TD... TE Larry Donnell had career-high 3 TDs in Week 4, 1st NYG TE to accomplish feat since 1962. Ties for 1st among NFC TE with 4 rec. TDs. Entered 2014 with 3 catches. WR Victor Cruz aims for 3rd 100-yard game in row. Has 11 catches for 215 yards (107.5 per game) & TD in past 2. WR Rueben Randle has 8 TDs in past 11 home games. Had 8 catches for 89 yards last week... Giants had 4 INTs last week: CB Prince Amukamara, S Quintin Demps, S Antrel Rolle & CB Trumaine McBride. McBride also had FF & FR. DE Mathias Kiwanuka had sack & FF in Week 4. DE Jason Pierre-Paul is only DE in NFL with 2 INT-TDs since 2012.


Results and Schedule

Atlanta Falcons
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 NO H W 37-34 +3
2 2014-09-14 CIN A L 10-24 -14
3 2014-09-18 TB H W 56-14 +42
4 2014-09-28 MIN A L 28-41 -13
5 2014-10-05 NYG A    
6 2014-10-12 CHI H    
7 2014-10-19 BAL A    
8 2014-10-26 DET H    
9   Bye      
10 2014-11-09 TB A    
11 2014-11-16 CAR A    
12 2014-11-23 CLE H    
13 2014-11-30 ARI H    
14 2014-12-08 GB A    
15 2014-12-14 PIT H    
16 2014-12-21 NO A    
17 2014-12-28 CAR H    
   

New York Giants
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-08 DET A L 14-35 -21
2 2014-09-14 ARI H L 14-25 -11
3 2014-09-21 HOU H W 30-17 +13
4 2014-09-25 WAS A W 45-14 +31
5 2014-10-05 ATL H    
6 2014-10-12 PHI A    
7 2014-10-19 DAL A    
8   Bye      
9 2014-11-03 IND H    
10 2014-11-09 SEA A    
11 2014-11-16 SF H    
12 2014-11-23 DAL H    
13 2014-11-30 JAC A    
14 2014-12-07 TEN A    
15 2014-12-14 WAS H    
16 2014-12-21 STL A    
17 2014-12-28 PHI H    

Injury Report

Atlanta Falcons
Out  WR Harry Douglas (foot)
Probable  WR Devin Hester (ankle)
 FS Kemal Ishmael (ankle)
 WR Julio Jones (ankle)
 ILB Prince Shembo (knee)
IR  SS William Moore (shoulder, 9/30/2014)
 OLB Marquis Spruill (knee, 8/24/2014)
PUP  WR Drew Davis (foot)
 SS Zeke Motta (neck)
   

New York Giants
Questionable  MLB Jon Beason (foot)
 WR Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring)
 SLB Devon Kennard (hamstring)
Probable  DB Jayron Hosley (other-excused)
IR  WR Jerrel Jernigan (foot, 9/16/2014)
 SS Cooper Taylor (foot, 8/26/2014)
 CB Walter Thurmond (pectoral, 9/16/2014)
 RB David Wilson (neck, 8/7/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Offense 
NYG
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 32.8 25.8 23.1 ATL
Rushing yards 121.8 120.3 113.5 ATL
Rushing yards per attempt 4.77 3.73 4.18 ATL
Completion % 66.7% 66.9% 64.4% NYG
Passing yards 322.3 231.3 241.7 ATL
Passing yards per completion 12.39 9.95 10.71 ATL
Passing yards per attempt 8.26 6.65 6.90 ATL
Interceptions 1.5 1.3 0.8 NYG
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.8 0.6 NYG
Sacks allowed 1.3 1.5 2.0 ATL
3rd down conversions 55.1% 45.3% 43.2% ATL
4th down conversions 50.0% 40.0% 46.2% ATL
Time of possession 29:31 31:34 30:06 NYG
  Defense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Defense 
NYG
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 28.3 22.8 23.1 NYG
Rushing yards 153.5 101.3 113.5 NYG
Rushing yards per attempt 4.55 4.05 4.18 NYG
Completion % 65.2% 58.9% 64.4% NYG
Passing yards 276.3 254.5 241.7 NYG
Passing yards per completion 12.85 13.39 10.71 ATL
Passing yards per attempt 8.37 7.89 6.90 NYG
INT return 0.5 1.8 0.8 NYG
Fumble recoveries 1.3 0.5 0.6 ATL
Sacks 0.8 2.3 2.0 NYG
3rd down conversions 43.4% 37.5% 43.2% NYG
4th down conversions 100.0% 50.0% 46.2% NYG
Time of possession 30:54 28:26 30:06 NYG

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   ATL   NYG  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 15.3 6.6 8.5 ATL
Yards per kick return 25.6 23.1 23.6 ATL
Yards allowed per punt return 12.3 15.0 8.5 ATL
Yards allowed per kick return 28.4 18.3 23.6 NYG
  Misc Stats Comparison

   ATL   NYG  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.8 6.0 6.9 NYG
Penalty yards 63.0 48.0 59.5 NYG

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 4 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the best and worst value from the data set.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 6 2000-10-08 NYG ATL 13-6 NYG
2002 6 2002-10-13 ATL NYG 17-10 ATL
2003 10 2003-11-09 ATL NYG 27-7 ATL
2004 11 2004-11-21 ATL NYG 14-10 ATL
2006 6 2006-10-15 NYG ATL 27-14 NYG
2007 6 2007-10-15 NYG ATL 31-10 NYG
2009 11 2009-11-22 ATL NYG 31-34 NYG
2011 WC 2012-01-08 ATL NYG 2-24 NYG
2012 15 2012-12-16 NYG ATL 0-34 ATL

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card