Prediction: Patriots 31, Chargers 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Tom Brady  |
Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 21 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 55, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 26 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| WR 19 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-75, 1 TD |
| WR 25 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 6-65, 0 TD |
| WR 87 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-75, 1 TD |
| TE 26 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 5 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| San Diego Chargers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 11 |
Philip Rivers |
Pass: 285, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 27 |
Ryan Mathews |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 51 |
Branden Oliver |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| WR 15 |
Keenan Allen |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 58 |
Malcom Floyd |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
| WR 61 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
| TE 7 |
Antonio Gates |
Rec: 5-55, 1 TD |
| K 10 |
Nick Novak |
FG: 3/3 XP: 1/1 |
| DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Needs win to join SF (1983-98) as only NFL teams to win 10+ games in 12 consec. seasons. Have won 7 of past 8... In past 8, QB Tom Brady has 2,452 pass yards (306.5/game) with 24 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 110.7 rating. In last meeting, passed for 423 yards & 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs with 135.7 rating. Pats are 24-0 when Brady posts 130+ rating (incl. playoffs)... RB LeGarrette Blount led team with 58 rush yards on 10 att. (5.8 avg.) last week. In past 6 with Pats (incl. playoffs), has rushed for 573 yards & 10 TDs... TE Rob Gronkowski had 86 rec. yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. In past 8 overall, has 52 catches for 763 yards & 6 TDs. Has 5 TDs in past 5. Since entering NFL in 2010, leads NFL with 51 rec. TD. WR Brandon LaFell had 2 TDs last week & has career-high 7 in 2014. TE Tim Wright has 6 TDs in past 8... DT Vince Wilfork had 1st career INT in last meeting. In past 7, LB Rob Ninkovich has 5 sacks, INT & FR. Had sack in last meeting. LB Jamie Collins posted 1st career sack last week.
 Chargers In past 3 vs. NE, QB Philip Rivers has completed 81 of 117 (69.2 pct.) for 1,020 yards with 6 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 102.5 rating. Has 2+ TDs in 8 of past 11. Has 246 pass TDs & needs 4 to join HOFer DAN FOUTS (254) as only Chargers to reach 250 career... In last meeting, RB Ryan Mathews had 126 scrimmage yards (64 rush, 62 rec.) with rush TD... TE Antonio Gates ranks 10th all-time with 96 TD catches & needs 3 to tie HOFer DON HUTSON (99). Needs 1 TD to become 1st TE in NFL history with 4 career 10+ TD seasons. Has TD catch in 3 of past 4 vs. NE. WR Keenan Allen had career-high 11 catches for 121 yards & 2 TDs vs. Bal. WR Eddie Royal has 9+ catches in 2 of 3 career meetings... S Eric Weddle leads team with 76 tackles. Has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC. LB Donald Butler had sack in last meeting.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
W 42-20 |
+22 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
W 34-9 |
+25 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
L 21-26 |
-5 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| San Diego Chargers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-08 |
ARI |
A |
L 17-18 |
-1 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
SEA |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
BUF |
A |
W 22-10 |
+12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
JAC |
H |
W 33-14 |
+19 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-0 |
+31 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
KC |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2014-10-23 |
DEN |
A |
L 21-35 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
MIA |
A |
L 0-37 |
-37 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
OAK |
H |
W 13-6 |
+7 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
STL |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
BAL |
A |
W 34-33 |
+1 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-20 |
SF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
KC |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
SD
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
39.7 |
20.3 |
22.9 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
98.7 |
81.7 |
109.7 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.37 |
3.99 |
4.13 |
NE |
| Completion % |
69.4% |
70.7% |
62.5% |
SD |
| Passing yards |
312.7 |
235.7 |
239.0 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.61 |
9.46 |
10.86 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.36 |
6.69 |
6.79 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
0.7 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
51.6% |
40.7% |
40.2% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
50.0% |
50.0% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:35 |
30:17 |
30:06 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
SD
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
21.3 |
30.7 |
22.9 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
88.0 |
121.3 |
109.7 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.82 |
4.10 |
4.13 |
NE |
| Completion % |
55.8% |
60.0% |
62.5% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
298.3 |
240.3 |
239.0 |
SD |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.96 |
11.35 |
10.86 |
SD |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.23 |
6.81 |
6.79 |
SD |
| INT return |
1.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
SD |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
39.1% |
47.1% |
40.2% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
30.8% |
66.7% |
50.0% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
29:25 |
29:43 |
30:06 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
SD |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
13.8 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
28.6 |
25.8 |
24.1 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
4.8 |
11.2 |
8.6 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
19.2 |
24.4 |
24.1 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
SD |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.0 |
7.3 |
6.4 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
54.0 |
73.0 |
52.8 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2001 |
5 |
2001-10-14 |
SD |
NE |
26-29 |
NE |
| 2002 |
4 |
2002-09-29 |
NE |
SD |
14-21 |
SD |
| 2005 |
4 |
2005-10-02 |
SD |
NE |
41-17 |
SD |
| 2006 |
DP |
2007-01-14 |
NE |
SD |
24-21 |
NE |
| 2007 |
2 |
2007-09-16 |
SD |
NE |
14-38 |
NE |
| 2007 |
CF |
2008-01-20 |
SD |
NE |
12-21 |
NE |
| 2008 |
6 |
2008-10-12 |
NE |
SD |
10-30 |
SD |
| 2010 |
7 |
2010-10-24 |
NE |
SD |
23-20 |
NE |
| 2011 |
2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
NE |
21-35 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
|
