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Prediction: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Atlanta Falcons
Rank  Player Projections
QB 11 Matt Ryan Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 31 Steven Jackson Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0
RB 34 Jacquizz Rodgers Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 15 Harry Douglas Rec: 5-80, 1 TD
WR 43 Roddy White Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
WR 73 Drew Davis Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 6 Tony Gonzalez Rec: 6-60, 1 TD
K 12 Matt Bryant FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2
DEF 22 Defense / ST  
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 18 Mike Glennon Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 30 Brian Leonard Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
WR 11 Vincent Jackson Rec: 6-90, 1 TD
WR 63 Tiquan Underwood Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 10 Tim Wright Rec: 6-60, 0 TD
K 19 Rian Lindell FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 16 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 8 of past 10 starts vs. TB. In last meeting, completed 20 of 26 (76.9 pct.) for 273 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 148.4 rating. In career, when Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 34-2 (.944)... RB Steven Jackson leads active players with 10,289 rush yards. Aims for 4th in row vs. TB with 100+ rush yards or TD. RB Jacquizz Rodgers has 4 TDs (2 rush, 2 rec.) in past 5. Had 2 rec. TDs in last meeting... TE Tony Gonzalez has catch in 204 consecutive games, 2nd longest streak in NFL history. Needs 3 catches to reach 50 receptions for 16th consecutive year, longest streak in NFL history. Since 2007 (incl. playoffs), WR Roddy White has 612 receptions, 3rd most in NFC. WR Harry Douglas aims for 3rd in row vs. TB with TD. In last meeting, had 7 catches for 149 yards & TD. Rookie WR Darius Johnson caught 1st TD last week... Since 2011, S Thomas DeCoud has 10 INTs, tied for most in NFL by S. DE Osi Umenyiora is 1 of 3 in NFL with 4 sacks & INT-TD. Rookie LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 55 tackles.

Buccaneers Rookie QB Mike Glennon won 1st career game last week. Has 6 TDs & 1 INT in past 4. Passed for 256 yards with 2 TDs, 0 INTs & 90.7 rating in last meeting... RB Bobby Rainey had career-long 31-yard run & scored 1st career TD last week. RB Brian Leonard rushed for team-high 57 yards last week... WR Vincent Jackson had 10 catches for 138 yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. Among active players (min. 200 catches), has NFL-best 17.4 avg. (390 catches, 6,800 yards). Rookie TE Tim Wright has TD catch in 2 of past 3... T DONALD PENN had 1-yard TD catch last week, his 3rd career catch & 2nd TD... Defense allowed 2 rush yards last week, fewest in team history... LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 70+ tackles (77), 5+ sacks (5) & INT (1). Had safety last week. S Mark Barron is 2nd on club with 60 tackles. CB Darrelle Revis had INT vs. Mia. Incl. playoffs, when Revis has INT, his teams are 17-3. DE Adrian Clayborn aims for 3rd consecutive division home game with sack.


Results and Schedule

Atlanta Falcons
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NO A L 17-23 -6
2 2013-09-15 STL H W 31-24 +7
3 2013-09-22 MIA A L 23-27 -4
4 2013-09-29 NE H L 23-30 -7
5 2013-10-07 NYJ H L 28-30 -2
6   Bye      
7 2013-10-20 TB H W 31-23 +8
8 2013-10-27 ARI A L 13-27 -14
9 2013-11-03 CAR A L 10-34 -24
10 2013-11-10 SEA H L 10-33 -23
11 2013-11-17 TB A    
12 2013-11-21 NO H    
13 2013-12-01 BUF A    
14 2013-12-08 GB A    
15 2013-12-15 WAS H    
16 2013-12-23 SF A    
17 2013-12-29 CAR H    
   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2013-09-08 NYJ A L 17-18 -1
2 2013-09-15 NO H L 14-16 -2
3 2013-09-22 NE A L 3-23 -20
4 2013-09-29 ARI H L 10-13 -3
5   Bye      
6 2013-10-13 PHI H L 20-31 -11
7 2013-10-20 ATL A L 23-31 -8
8 2013-10-24 CAR H L 13-31 -18
9 2013-11-03 SEA A L 24-27 -3
10 2013-11-11 MIA H    
11 2013-11-17 ATL H    
12 2013-11-24 DET A    
13 2013-12-01 CAR A    
14 2013-12-08 BUF H    
15 2013-12-15 SF H    
16 2013-12-22 STL A    
17 2013-12-29 NO A    

Injury Report

Atlanta Falcons
Questionable  TE Tony Gonzalez (toe)
 DE Malliciah Goodman (calf)
 DT Corey Peters (knee)
 RB Jason Snelling (knee)
Probable  RB Steven Jackson (toe)
 DT Peria Jerry (toe)
 WLB Sean Weatherspoon (foot)
 WR Roddy White (shoulder)
IR  DE Kroy Biermann (achilles-tendon, 9/16/2013)
 FB Bradie Ewing (shoulder, 9/16/2013)
 WR Julio Jones (foot, 10/10/2013)
 QB Sean Renfree (undisclosed, 8/30/2013)
   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Out  K Connor Barth (achilles-tendon)
 K Lawrence Tynes (toe)
Questionable  CB Michael Adams (knee)
 SS Mark Barron (knee)
 DE Da'Quan Bowers (concussion)
Probable  WR Vincent Jackson (knee)
 DL Akeem Spence (wrist)
IR  TE Nate Byham (knee, 10/1/2013)
 CB Anthony Gaitor (knee, 8/26/2013)
 RB Mike James (ankle, 11/13/2013)
 RB Doug Martin (shoulder, 11/8/2013)
 RB Michael Smith (foot, 8/26/2013)
 TE Luke Stocker (hip, 9/23/2013)
 WR Mike Williams (hamstring, 10/28/2013)

Offense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Offense 
TB
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 17.0 21.5 23.6 TB
Rushing yards 51.7 102.5 113.9 TB
Rushing yards per attempt 2.79 4.53 4.16 TB
Completion % 68.4% 61.7% 60.9% ATL
Passing yards 249.7 237.5 232.6 ATL
Passing yards per completion 9.03 8.77 10.93 ATL
Passing yards per attempt 6.17 5.41 6.66 ATL
Interceptions 1.0 0.0 1.0 TB
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.5 0.6 TB
Sacks allowed 1.7 3.0 2.7 ATL
3rd down conversions 39.7% 37.7% 39.1% ATL
4th down conversions 60.0% 57.1% 49.0% ATL
Time of possession 27:21 35:20 50:34 TB
  Defense Stats Comparison

  ATL
 Defense 
TB
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 30.0 31.0 23.6 ATL
Rushing yards 150.0 133.5 113.9 TB
Rushing yards per attempt 4.98 4.27 4.16 TB
Completion % 66.9% 73.0% 60.9% ATL
Passing yards 212.7 245.0 232.6 ATL
Passing yards per completion 10.97 11.57 10.93 ATL
Passing yards per attempt 7.34 8.45 6.66 ATL
INT return 0.3 0.0 1.0 ATL
Fumble recoveries 0.0 1.0 0.6 TB
Sacks 2.3 0.5 2.7 ATL
3rd down conversions 46.3% 48.9% 39.1% ATL
4th down conversions 100.0% 100.0% 49.0% -
Time of possession 32:39 28:05 50:34 TB

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   ATL   TB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 10.8 8.7 10.0 ATL
Yards per kick return 24.6 24.2 23.6 ATL
Yards allowed per punt return 11.9 14.3 10.0 ATL
Yards allowed per kick return 26.4 20.8 23.6 TB
  Misc Stats Comparison

   ATL   TB  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.7 8.0 6.1 ATL
Penalty yards 53.3 85.5 53.0 ATL

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 10 2000-11-05 TB ATL 27-14 TB
2002 5 2002-10-06 TB ATL 20-6 TB
2002 14 2002-12-08 ATL TB 10-34 TB
2003 3 2003-09-21 TB ATL 31-10 TB
2003 16 2003-12-20 ATL TB 30-28 ATL
2004 10 2004-11-14 TB ATL 14-24 ATL
2004 13 2004-12-05 ATL TB 0-27 TB
2005 11 2005-11-20 TB ATL 30-27 TB
2005 16 2005-12-24 ATL TB 24-27 TB
2006 2 2006-09-17 TB ATL 3-14 ATL
2006 14 2006-12-10 ATL TB 17-6 ATL
2007 11 2007-11-18 TB ATL 31-7 TB
2007 15 2007-12-16 ATL TB 3-37 TB
2008 2 2008-09-14 ATL TB 9-24 TB
2008 15 2008-12-14 TB ATL 10-13 ATL
2009 12 2009-11-29 TB ATL 17-20 ATL
2009 17 2010-01-03 ATL TB 20-10 ATL
2010 9 2010-11-07 TB ATL 21-27 ATL
2010 13 2010-12-05 ATL TB 28-24 ATL
2011 3 2011-09-25 ATL TB 13-16 TB
2011 17 2012-01-01 TB ATL 24-45 ATL
2012 12 2012-11-25 ATL TB 24-23 ATL
2012 17 2012-12-30 TB ATL 22-17 TB
2013 7 2013-10-20 TB ATL 23-31 ATL

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.