Prediction: Broncos 27, 49ers 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
San Francisco 49ers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Colin Kaepernick |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 35, 0 |
RB 19 |
Frank Gore |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
RB 42 |
Carlos Hyde |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 20 |
Anquan Boldin |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 28 |
Michael Crabtree |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
WR 76 |
Steve Johnson |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 6 |
Vernon Davis |
Rec: 5-55, 1 TD |
K 8 |
Phil Dawson |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Denver Broncos |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 340, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 21 |
Ronnie Hillman |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 55 |
Juwan Thompson |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 65 |
C.J. Anderson |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 1 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 7-105, 1 TD |
WR 11 |
Emmanuel Sanders |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
WR 49 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Julius Thomas |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
K 9 |
Brandon McManus |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 10 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
49ers QB Colin Kaepernick has won 6 of 7 starts vs. AFC. Had 343 yards, 3 TDs & 120.5 rating last week. When he starts & has 100+ rating (inc. playoffs), team is 15-1 (.938)... RB Frank Gore has rushed for 271 yards (135.5 per game) & TD in 2 meetings. Has 9 rush TDs in past 10 vs. AFC... WR Anquan Boldin had 7 catches for 94 yards & TD last week. Leads team with 32 catches & 397 yards. WR Michael Crabtree had 28-yard TD in last meeting. Has TD in 3 of past 5. Since 2009 (incl. playoffs), TE Vernon Davis is 2nd in NFL with 53 rec. TDs. WR Brandon Lloyd had 80-yard TD catch last week. Spent 2009-11 with Den. & had career-best 77 catches, 1,448 yards & 11 TDs in 2010... DT Justin Smith has 4 sacks & FF in past 3 vs. Den. LBs Ahmad Brooks & Dan Skuta each had 2 sacks last week. Since entering NFL in 2007, LB Patrick Willis is only player with 20+ sacks (20.5), 15+ FF (16) & 8+ INTs (8).
Broncos QB Peyton Manning (506) had 3 TD passes last week & needs 3 to surpass BRETT FAVRE (508) for most in NFL history. In past 9 vs. NFC, has 3,032 passing yards (336.9 per game) & 27 TDs with 111.4 rating... RB Ronnie Hillman made 1st career NFL start last week, rushing for 100 yards on 24 att... In past 12 vs. NFC, WR Demaryius Thomas has 81 catches for 1,198 yards & 12 TDs. Since 2012, leads AFC with 28 TD catches. WR Wes Welker has 5 TD catches in past 6 vs. NFC. WR Emmanuel Sanders has 100+ rec. yards in 3 of past 4. TE Julius Thomas leads all NFL players with 9 TDs, tied for most TD catches of any NFL player in 1st 5 games of season (CALVIN JOHNSON, 2011). Needs 1 TD to become 1st TE in Broncos history with 10+ TDs in consecutive seasons... LB Von Miller has 6 sacks in past 4, including 2 vs. NYJ. Since entering NFL in 2011, leads AFC with 41 sacks.
Results and Schedule
San Francisco 49ers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
DAL |
A |
W 28-17 |
+11 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CHI |
H |
L 20-28 |
-8 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
ARI |
A |
L 14-23 |
-9 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
PHI |
H |
W 26-21 |
+5 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
KC |
H |
W 22-17 |
+5 |
6 |
2014-10-13 |
STL |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
8 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
STL |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
NO |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-27 |
SEA |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
SEA |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-20 |
SD |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Denver Broncos |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
KC |
H |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
SEA |
A |
L 20-26 |
-6 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
ARI |
H |
W 41-20 |
+21 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
NYJ |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
SF |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-23 |
SD |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
NE |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
STL |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
KC |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
SD |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-22 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
SF Offense |
DEN Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
24.0 |
28.7 |
23.4 |
DEN |
Rushing yards |
128.3 |
94.0 |
112.8 |
SF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.21 |
3.45 |
4.17 |
SF |
Completion % |
63.6% |
66.5% |
63.3% |
DEN |
Passing yards |
212.3 |
264.0 |
243.8 |
DEN |
Passing yards per completion |
11.58 |
11.72 |
10.89 |
DEN |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.37 |
7.80 |
6.89 |
DEN |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
- |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
DEN |
Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
46.0% |
42.9% |
41.8% |
SF |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
100.0% |
42.2% |
DEN |
Time of possession |
32:42 |
31:14 |
30:13 |
SF |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
SF Defense |
DEN Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
19.5 |
20.3 |
23.4 |
SF |
Rushing yards |
82.5 |
73.3 |
112.8 |
DEN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.89 |
3.31 |
4.17 |
DEN |
Completion % |
55.9% |
58.5% |
63.3% |
SF |
Passing yards |
207.8 |
226.7 |
243.8 |
SF |
Passing yards per completion |
10.11 |
9.98 |
10.89 |
DEN |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.65 |
5.83 |
6.89 |
SF |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
SF |
Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
SF |
Sacks |
1.3 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
46.4% |
39.5% |
41.8% |
DEN |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
40.0% |
42.2% |
DEN |
Time of possession |
27:19 |
30:01 |
30:13 |
SF |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
SF |
DEN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.1 |
5.2 |
8.4 |
SF |
Yards per kick return |
23.1 |
27.0 |
23.5 |
DEN |
Yards allowed per punt return |
13.2 |
4.8 |
8.4 |
DEN |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.4 |
25.4 |
23.5 |
SF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
SF |
DEN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
8.8 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
DEN |
Penalty yards |
72.5 |
69.3 |
58.9 |
DEN |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 6 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 1 to 6 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
17 |
2000-12-23 |
SF |
DEN |
9-38 |
DEN |
2002 |
2 |
2002-09-15 |
DEN |
SF |
24-14 |
DEN |
2006 |
17 |
2006-12-31 |
SF |
DEN |
26-23 |
SF |
2010 |
8 |
2010-10-31 |
DEN |
SF |
16-24 |
SF |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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