Prediction: Dolphins 24, Jets 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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New York Jets |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 28 |
Geno Smith |
Pass: 195, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 24 |
Chris Ivory |
Rush: 55, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 34 |
Chris Johnson |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 20 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 5-75, 1 TD |
WR 70 |
Jeremy Kerley |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 28 |
Jace Amaro |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 36 |
Jeff Cumberland |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
K 18 |
Nick Folk |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 26 |
Defense / ST |
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Miami Dolphins |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 10 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 255, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 22 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 61 |
Williams Damien |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 22 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 28 |
Jarvis Landry |
Rec: 5-65, 1 TD |
WR 80 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
WR 89 |
Brandon Gibson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 13 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
K 22 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Jets QB Geno Smith won only career start at Mia., posting 234 total yards (190 pass, 44 rush) with rush TD. Since entering NFL in 2013, has 7 rush TDs, tied for 1st among AFC QBs (ANDREW LUCK)... Jets lead AFC & rank 3rd in NFL in rushing (145.1 yards/game)... RB Chris Johnson had season-high 105 rush yards on 17 att. (6.2 avg.) in last meeting. Since entering NFL in 2008, leads AFC & ranks 2nd in NFL with 8,608 rush yards. RB Chris Ivory leads team with 792 rushing yards & needs 42 to surpass career-high 833 in 2013. RB John Conner had career-long 26-yard catch last week... WR Percy Harvin is 1 of 2 active NFL players with 20+ rec. TDs (21) & 5+ rush TDs (5). WR Eric Decker posted season-high 100 rec. yards on 7 catches in last road game (Week 15 vs. Ten). Aims for 7th in row on road with 60+ rec. yards. Jace Amaro (Round 2, No. 49 overall) leads NFL rookie TEs in catches (35) & rec. yards (311)... LB David Harris leads team with 115 tackles. Since 2007, Harris is 1 of 4 NFL players with 25+ sacks (27.5) & 6+ INTs (6).
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill (3,786) needs 214 pass yards to join HOFer DAN MARINO as only Dolphins with 4,000-yard season. Last week, completed 35 of 47 (74.5 pct.) for season-high 396 yards & 4 TDs vs. 1 INT for 118.8 rating. 1st Dolphins QB with 4 TD passes in game since Marino (12/21/98 vs. Den.). Club is 17-3 (.850) when Tannehill has 90+ rating. Has 70+ comp. pct. in 6 of past 8 overall... In past 7 at home, RB Lamar Miller has 697 scrimmage yards (500 rush, 197 rec.) with 4 total TDs (3 rush, 1 rec.)... WR Mike Wallace had 5 catches for 58 yards & 2 TDs last week. Since entering NFL in 2009, leads AFC WRs with 47 TD catches. WR-KR Jarvis Landry (Round 2, No. 63 overall) leads AFC rookies with club-rookie record 79 catches & has 703 rec. yards with 5 TDs. Leads NFL rookies in KR avg. (28.2)... In past 12 at home, DE Cameron Wake has 11.5 sacks, 3 FF & FR. Since joining Dolphins in 2013, CB Brent Grimes has 9 INTs, most among AFC CBs. LB Jelani Jenkins leads team with 103 tackles.
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NYJ Offense |
MIA Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
15.0 |
21.8 |
21.7 |
MIA |
Rushing yards |
132.7 |
90.8 |
111.9 |
NYJ |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.49 |
4.24 |
4.21 |
NYJ |
Completion % |
58.6% |
70.7% |
62.5% |
MIA |
Passing yards |
160.0 |
236.5 |
230.2 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
10.28 |
9.20 |
10.67 |
NYJ |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.02 |
6.50 |
6.67 |
MIA |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
MIA |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NYJ |
Sacks allowed |
2.7 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
NYJ |
3rd down conversions |
34.2% |
40.8% |
39.0% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
57.1% |
46.3% |
NYJ |
Time of possession |
31:39 |
30:46 |
30:03 |
NYJ |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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NYJ Defense |
MIA Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
21.0 |
28.8 |
21.7 |
NYJ |
Rushing yards |
96.0 |
152.8 |
111.9 |
NYJ |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.76 |
4.93 |
4.21 |
NYJ |
Completion % |
65.2% |
67.4% |
62.5% |
NYJ |
Passing yards |
230.0 |
233.5 |
230.2 |
NYJ |
Passing yards per completion |
10.59 |
10.41 |
10.67 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.91 |
7.02 |
6.67 |
NYJ |
INT return |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
MIA |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
NYJ |
Sacks |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
NYJ |
3rd down conversions |
44.8% |
52.5% |
39.0% |
NYJ |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
50.0% |
46.3% |
NYJ |
Time of possession |
28:54 |
29:14 |
30:03 |
NYJ |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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NYJ |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
9.1 |
7.9 |
8.7 |
NYJ |
Yards per kick return |
18.9 |
20.8 |
23.1 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
11.6 |
6.3 |
8.7 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per kick return |
18.7 |
21.6 |
23.1 |
NYJ |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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NYJ |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
47.7 |
36.3 |
54.8 |
MIA |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
8 |
2000-10-23 |
MIA |
NYJ |
37-40 |
NYJ |
2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
NYJ |
MIA |
20-3 |
NYJ |
2001 |
5 |
2001-10-14 |
MIA |
NYJ |
17-21 |
NYJ |
2001 |
10 |
2001-11-18 |
NYJ |
MIA |
24-0 |
NYJ |
2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
NYJ |
MIA |
3-30 |
MIA |
2002 |
10 |
2002-11-10 |
MIA |
NYJ |
10-13 |
NYJ |
2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
MIA |
NYJ |
21-10 |
MIA |
2003 |
17 |
2003-12-28 |
NYJ |
MIA |
21-23 |
MIA |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
NYJ |
MIA |
17-9 |
NYJ |
2004 |
8 |
2004-11-01 |
MIA |
NYJ |
14-41 |
NYJ |
2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
MIA |
NYJ |
7-17 |
NYJ |
2005 |
15 |
2005-12-18 |
NYJ |
MIA |
20-24 |
MIA |
2006 |
6 |
2006-10-15 |
MIA |
NYJ |
17-20 |
NYJ |
2006 |
16 |
2006-12-25 |
NYJ |
MIA |
13-10 |
NYJ |
2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
MIA |
NYJ |
28-31 |
NYJ |
2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
NYJ |
MIA |
40-13 |
NYJ |
2008 |
1 |
2008-09-07 |
NYJ |
MIA |
20-14 |
NYJ |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
MIA |
NYJ |
24-17 |
MIA |
2009 |
5 |
2009-10-12 |
NYJ |
MIA |
27-31 |
MIA |
2009 |
8 |
2009-11-01 |
MIA |
NYJ |
30-25 |
MIA |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
NYJ |
MIA |
31-23 |
NYJ |
2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
MIA |
NYJ |
10-6 |
MIA |
2011 |
6 |
2011-10-17 |
MIA |
NYJ |
6-24 |
NYJ |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
NYJ |
MIA |
17-19 |
MIA |
2012 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
NYJ |
MIA |
23-20 |
NYJ |
2012 |
8 |
2012-10-28 |
MIA |
NYJ |
30-9 |
MIA |
2013 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
MIA |
NYJ |
23-3 |
MIA |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
NYJ |
MIA |
20-7 |
NYJ |
2014 |
13 |
2014-12-01 |
MIA |
NYJ |
16-13 |
MIA |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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