Prediction: Packers 30, Lions 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Detroit Lions |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 16 |
Matthew Stafford |
Pass: 270, 1 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
RB 9 |
Joique Bell |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
RB 39 |
Reggie Bush |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
WR 6 |
Calvin Johnson |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
WR 21 |
Golden Tate |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 87 |
Jeremy Ross |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 27 |
Eric Ebron |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
K 13 |
Matt Prater |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 23 |
Defense / ST |
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Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 8 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
RB 57 |
James Starks |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 4 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
WR 8 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 7-85, 1 TD |
WR 71 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 30 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 33 |
Richard Rodgers |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
K 1 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
WINNER IS NFC NORTH CHAMPION & EARNS BYE... Lions QB Matthew Stafford has 4,040 pass yards, 4th consecutive 4,000-yard seasons. Has won past 2 starts vs. GB. In 1/1/12 meeting, had career-high 520 pass yards with 5 TDs... RB Reggie Bush aims for 3rd meeting in row with rush TD. RB Joique Bell has career-high 800 rush yards & reached 1,000 scrimmage yards (1,122) for 2nd year in row... WR Calvin Johnson has 36 catches for 550 yards (137.5 per game) & 5 TDs in past 4 at GB. Has 1,038 yards, 5th consecutive 1,000-yard season. Since 2011, leads NFL with 6,175 rec. yards & 106.5 rec. yards per game. WR Golden Tate has career-high 96 catches & 1,286 yards... LB DeAndre Levy leads team with 140 tackles. Has 7 INTs since 2013, most by NFL LB. DT Ndamukong Suh has 4 sacks in past 3. DE EZEKIEL ANSAH has 2.5 sacks & FF in 3 meetings. S Glover Quin (7) & James Ihedigbo (4) have combined for 11 INTs, most by S duo in NFL.
Packers Are 7-0 at home, outscoring opp. 288-143. GB is 1st team in NFL history to score 23+ 1st half points in 6 home games in row... QB Aaron Rodgers has 396 consecutive att. & 34 TDs at home in row w/out INT, both NFL records. Can be 1st ever with 6 consecutive seasons with 100+ rating. In past 11 at home (min. 10 att.), has 34 TDs, 0 INTs & 130.1 rating (GB is 11-0). Is 5-0 vs. Det. at home with 111 rating...
RB Eddie Lacy is 1st Packer with 1,000+ rush yards (1,039) & 10+ scrimmage TDs (13) in each of 1st 2 seasons. Has 8 TDs (5 rush, 3 rec.) in past 6 at home... WR Jordy Nelson has 34 catches for 815 yards (116.4 per game) & 9 TDs at home. Has TD in all 7 home games. Nelson (13), Lacy (13) & WR Randall Cobb (10) are 1st GB trio with 10+ TDs in season. Nelson (1,433) & Cobb (1,207) both have career-highs in rec. yards... LB Clay Matthews has 4 sacks in 3 home meetings. Has 5.5 sacks in past 3. LB Julius Peppers is only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks (125.5) & 10+ INTs (11). Has 13 sacks, 7 FFs & 3 FRs in 13 games vs. Det. CB Sam Shields has INT in 3 of past 5 vs. Det.
Results and Schedule
Detroit Lions |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-08 |
NYG |
H |
W 35-14 |
+21 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CAR |
A |
L 7-24 |
-17 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
GB |
H |
W 19-7 |
+12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
NYJ |
A |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
BUF |
H |
L 14-17 |
-3 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIN |
A |
W 17-3 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
NO |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
ATL |
A |
W 22-21 |
+1 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
MIA |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
ARI |
A |
L 6-14 |
-8 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
NE |
A |
L 9-34 |
-25 |
13 |
2014-11-27 |
CHI |
H |
W 34-17 |
+17 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
TB |
H |
W 34-17 |
+17 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIN |
H |
W 16-14 |
+2 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
CHI |
A |
W 20-14 |
+6 |
17 |
2014-12-28 |
GB |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
WC |
2015-01-04 |
DAL |
A |
|
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|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
DET Offense |
GB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
19.8 |
28.3 |
21.7 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
98.3 |
141.0 |
111.9 |
GB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.18 |
4.96 |
4.21 |
GB |
Completion % |
60.8% |
62.3% |
62.5% |
GB |
Passing yards |
232.8 |
297.0 |
230.2 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.87 |
12.43 |
10.67 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.61 |
7.75 |
6.67 |
GB |
Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
GB |
Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks allowed |
3.0 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
34.9% |
50.6% |
39.0% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
46.3% |
DET |
Time of possession |
31:10 |
33:26 |
30:03 |
GB |
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
DET Defense |
GB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
15.5 |
20.8 |
21.7 |
DET |
Rushing yards |
53.0 |
99.0 |
111.9 |
DET |
Rushing yards per attempt |
2.84 |
3.62 |
4.21 |
DET |
Completion % |
65.1% |
57.2% |
62.5% |
GB |
Passing yards |
263.3 |
223.0 |
230.2 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
9.59 |
11.42 |
10.67 |
DET |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.24 |
6.53 |
6.67 |
DET |
INT return |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
DET |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
40.0% |
34.2% |
39.0% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
42.9% |
88.9% |
46.3% |
DET |
Time of possession |
28:50 |
26:34 |
30:03 |
GB |
|
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
DET |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
6.3 |
9.8 |
8.7 |
GB |
Yards per kick return |
23.7 |
16.3 |
23.1 |
DET |
Yards allowed per punt return |
8.1 |
14.8 |
8.7 |
DET |
Yards allowed per kick return |
33.0 |
22.5 |
23.1 |
GB |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
DET |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
7.5 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
GB |
Penalty yards |
58.0 |
50.5 |
54.8 |
GB |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
GB |
DET |
24-31 |
DET |
2000 |
15 |
2000-12-10 |
DET |
GB |
13-26 |
GB |
2001 |
1 |
2001-09-09 |
DET |
GB |
6-28 |
GB |
2001 |
11 |
2001-11-22 |
GB |
DET |
29-27 |
GB |
2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
GB |
DET |
37-31 |
GB |
2002 |
10 |
2002-11-10 |
DET |
GB |
14-40 |
GB |
2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
DET |
GB |
6-31 |
GB |
2003 |
13 |
2003-11-27 |
GB |
DET |
14-22 |
DET |
2004 |
6 |
2004-10-17 |
GB |
DET |
38-10 |
GB |
2004 |
14 |
2004-12-12 |
DET |
GB |
13-16 |
GB |
2005 |
1 |
2005-09-11 |
GB |
DET |
3-17 |
DET |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
DET |
GB |
13-16 |
GB |
2006 |
3 |
2006-09-24 |
GB |
DET |
31-24 |
GB |
2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
DET |
GB |
9-17 |
GB |
2007 |
12 |
2007-11-22 |
GB |
DET |
37-26 |
GB |
2007 |
17 |
2007-12-30 |
DET |
GB |
13-34 |
GB |
2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
GB |
DET |
48-25 |
GB |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
DET |
GB |
21-31 |
GB |
2009 |
6 |
2009-10-18 |
DET |
GB |
0-26 |
GB |
2009 |
12 |
2009-11-26 |
GB |
DET |
34-12 |
GB |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
DET |
GB |
26-28 |
GB |
2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
GB |
DET |
3-7 |
DET |
2011 |
12 |
2011-11-24 |
GB |
DET |
27-15 |
GB |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
DET |
GB |
41-45 |
GB |
2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
GB |
DET |
24-20 |
GB |
2012 |
14 |
2012-12-09 |
DET |
GB |
20-27 |
GB |
2013 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
DET |
GB |
9-22 |
GB |
2013 |
13 |
2013-11-28 |
GB |
DET |
10-40 |
DET |
2014 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
GB |
DET |
7-19 |
DET |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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