Prediction: Bills 24, Chiefs 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 21 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 230, 1 TD Rush: 25, 0 |
| RB 7 |
Jamaal Charles |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
| RB 33 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
| RB 46 |
De'Anthony Thomas |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| WR 35 |
Dwayne Bowe |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 71 |
A.J. Jenkins |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| TE 6 |
Travis Kelce  |
Rec: 6-55, 1 TD |
| TE 24 |
Anthony Fasano |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 6 |
Cairo Santos |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 11 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 20 |
Kyle Orton |
Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
| RB 21 |
Anthony Dixon |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 32 |
Bryce Brown |
Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
 WR 23 |
Sammy Watkins  |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
| WR 54 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
 WR 57 |
Mike Williams |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
| TE 15 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
| K 12 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 10 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Chiefs Have won 5 of past 6... In past 6, QB Alex Smith has completed 120 of 169 (71.0 pct.) for 1,235 yards & 10 TDs vs. 1 INT with 109 rating, incl. 4 games with 100+ rating. Smith's teams are 21-1-1 (.934) when he starts & has 100+ rating... RB Jamaal Charles led team with 78 yards & TD last week. Has 7 TDs in past 5 overall (5 rush, 2 receiving). Since entering NFL in 2008, leads league with 5.5 rush avg. (min. 600 att.). RB-KR-PR DE' ANTHONY THOMAS had 139 total yards last week, incl. 78-yard KR & 26-yard run, both career-longs, & 2 PR for 35 yards (17.5 avg.)... WR Dwayne Bowe had 6 catches for 55 yards last week, joining TONY GONZALEZ (916) as only players in club history with 500 career receptions (503). Has 4 TD catches in 5 career meetings. TE Travis Kelce had 67 receiving yards & TD vs. NYJ. Has TD catch in 4 of past 6. TE Anthony Fasano had TD catch last week. Has 4 career TDs vs. Buf... LB Justin Houston has 10 sacks & FF in past 6, incl. 2 last week, & aims for 7th in row with sack. Has 4 games with 2+ sacks this season, most in NFL. In past 5 vs. Bills, LB Tamba Hali has 3.5 sacks & FR.
 Bills In last home game vs. KC (11/14/10 with Broncos), QB Kyle Orton passed for 296 yards & 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 131.5 rating. Has won 3 of 4 starts with Bills, completing 95 of 141 (67.4 pct.) for 1,128 yards with 9 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 104 rating. Aims for 5th in row with 88+ rating & 4th in row with 2+ TD passes... RB Bryce Brown has 2 rush TD in past 3, dating back to 2013 with Eagles... Rookie WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) had 157 yards on 3 catches against NYJ in Week 8, setting club record for single-game receiving avg. (52.3). Leads NFL rookies in receiving yards (590) on 38 catches & is tied for 1st in TD catches among rookies (5). WR Robert Woods has TD catch in 2 of past 3, incl. 22-yarder vs. Jets. TE Scott Chandler has 3 TD receptions in 3 career games vs. Chiefs. In Week 8 vs. NYJ, TE Lee Smith had 1st TD catch since 2012... DE Mario Williams aims for 6th in row with at least half sack. DT Marcell Dareus leads NFL DTs with 7 sacks. Rookie LB Preston Brown (Round 3, No. 73 overall) leads team with 59 tackles.
Results and Schedule
| Kansas City Chiefs |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
TEN |
H |
L 10-26 |
-16 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
DEN |
A |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
MIA |
A |
W 34-15 |
+19 |
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
NE |
H |
W 41-14 |
+27 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
SF |
A |
L 17-22 |
-5 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
SD |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
STL |
H |
W 34-7 |
+27 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
NYJ |
H |
W 24-10 |
+14 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
SEA |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-20 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
ARI |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
SD |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CHI |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 29-10 |
+19 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
SD |
H |
L 10-22 |
-12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
HOU |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
DET |
A |
W 17-14 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
NE |
H |
L 22-37 |
-15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIN |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NYJ |
A |
W 43-23 |
+20 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
KC |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-13 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Offense |
BUF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
27.0 |
18.7 |
24.0 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
136.7 |
77.0 |
109.3 |
KC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.67 |
3.34 |
4.12 |
KC |
| Completion % |
69.9% |
62.7% |
62.5% |
KC |
| Passing yards |
208.3 |
247.7 |
248.8 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.19 |
10.78 |
11.20 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.13 |
6.76 |
7.00 |
KC |
| Interceptions |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
KC |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
KC |
| Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
KC |
| 3rd down conversions |
54.8% |
35.2% |
40.7% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
66.7% |
46.4% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
33:29 |
28:48 |
30:12 |
KC |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
KC
Defense |
BUF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
14.7 |
20.7 |
24.0 |
KC |
| Rushing yards |
99.3 |
92.3 |
109.3 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.45 |
3.68 |
4.12 |
BUF |
| Completion % |
60.4% |
60.0% |
62.5% |
BUF |
| Passing yards |
194.3 |
198.3 |
248.8 |
KC |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.27 |
10.09 |
11.20 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.20 |
6.05 |
7.00 |
BUF |
| INT return |
0.7 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
BUF |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
BUF |
| Sacks |
3.0 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
31.0% |
36.0% |
40.7% |
KC |
| 4th down conversions |
42.9% |
100.0% |
46.4% |
KC |
| Time of possession |
26:11 |
31:12 |
30:12 |
KC |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.5 |
9.4 |
9.1 |
KC |
| Yards per kick return |
30.1 |
20.7 |
24.0 |
KC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.0 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
BUF |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
24.8 |
19.2 |
24.0 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
KC |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.0 |
8.0 |
6.8 |
KC |
| Penalty yards |
38.3 |
57.0 |
56.0 |
KC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 4 to 9 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 4 to 9 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
BUF |
KC |
21-17 |
BUF |
| 2002 |
11 |
2002-11-17 |
BUF |
KC |
16-17 |
KC |
| 2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
BUF |
KC |
5-38 |
KC |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
KC |
BUF |
3-14 |
BUF |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
BUF |
KC |
54-31 |
BUF |
| 2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
BUF |
KC |
16-10 |
BUF |
| 2010 |
8 |
2010-10-31 |
BUF |
KC |
10-13 |
KC |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
BUF |
KC |
41-7 |
BUF |
| 2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
KC |
BUF |
17-35 |
BUF |
| 2013 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
BUF |
23-13 |
KC |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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