Prediction: Dolphins 24, Patriots 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 23 |
Tom Brady   |
Pass: 250, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 10 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 8-60, 1 |
| RB 28 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 49 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 21 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 9-80, 0 TD |
| WR 35 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 6-60, 0 TD |
| WR 70 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 8 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Miami Dolphins |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 21 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 37 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 43 |
Daniel Thomas |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 34 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 38 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
| WR 51 |
Rishard Matthews |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| TE 9 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
| K 31 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Have won 17 of past 18 in Dec... NE is 1st team since 2000 Chiefs to win 3 in row by overcoming 10+ point deficit in each game... Patriots have 10+ wins for 11 consecutive seasons, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (1983-98 49ers, 16)... For career, QB Tom Brady is 17-6 vs. Dolphins & has 40 TDs vs. 19 INTs & 90.2 rating. In past 5 at Mia., Brady has 14 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 118.4 rating. Brady's 146 wins are 5th-most all-time by starting QB in regular season. Brady has 43-6 (.878) career record in Dec., highest in SB era among QBs (min. 10 starts). In past 3 in 2nd half/OT, Brady has completed 67 of 89 passes (75.8 pct.) for 849 yards with 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 127 rating... Last week, RB Shane Vereen had single-game best among RBs in franchise history in catches (12) & rec. yards (153)... WR Julian Edelman is averaging 91.7 rec. yards per game in past 3. DE Chandler Jones has career-high 10.5 sacks in 2013... LBs Rob Ninkovich & Brandon Spikes are tied for team-best with 78 tackles... S Devin McCourty has 2 career INTs vs. Mia.
 Dolphins Club needs win to surpass last year's win total of 7... QB Ryan Tannehill (3,315) needs 185 passing yards to join HOFer DAN MARINO & CHAD PENNINGTON as only QBs in Dolphins history to reach 3,500. Is 1st Dolphin QB to pass for 3,000 yards in 1st 2 seasons of career...RB Daniel Thomas had season-best 105 rush yards on 16 att. (6.6 avg.) with TD last week. RB Lamar Miller totaled 112 scrimmage yards (89 rush, 23 receiving) in last game vs. NE... WR Mike Wallace has 1 career 100-yard rec. game vs. NE (w/ Pit. on 11/14/10). WR BRAIN HARTLINE (67) needs 8 catches to surpass career-high of 74 in 2012... TE Charles Clay had game-winning 12-yard TD rec. vs. Pit. Clay (60) is tied for 3rd-most catches by Dolphins TE in club annals... LB Olivier Vernon has career-best 11.5 sacks in 2013. Aims for 5th straight game with sack... Last week, DE Cameron Wake (50.5) joined JASON TAYLOR, JEFF CROSS & TRACE ARMSTRONG as only Dolphins to reach 50 career sacks since 1982.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
W 27-26 |
+1 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Miami Dolphins |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-10 |
+13 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
IND |
A |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
ATL |
H |
W 27-23 |
+4 |
| 4 |
2013-09-30 |
NO |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
BAL |
H |
L 23-26 |
-3 |
| 6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
NE |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
| 9 |
2013-10-31 |
CIN |
H |
W 22-20 |
+2 |
| 10 |
2013-11-11 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
SD |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
CAR |
H |
L 16-20 |
-4 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
PIT |
A |
W 34-28 |
+6 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
MIA
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
31.7 |
21.7 |
24.2 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
103.7 |
128.7 |
120.6 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.28 |
4.91 |
4.36 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
68.1% |
65.2% |
60.8% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
362.0 |
235.7 |
235.2 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.12 |
10.29 |
11.04 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.25 |
6.71 |
6.71 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
MIA |
| Sacks allowed |
2.7 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
46.0% |
31.4% |
38.3% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
50.0% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:55 |
29:10 |
30:28 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
MIA
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
29.3 |
18.7 |
24.2 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards |
112.3 |
129.7 |
120.6 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.00 |
4.78 |
4.36 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
59.1% |
56.8% |
60.8% |
MIA |
| Passing yards |
277.3 |
247.3 |
235.2 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.27 |
10.53 |
11.04 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.26 |
5.98 |
6.71 |
MIA |
| INT return |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
MIA |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
MIA |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
MIA |
| 3rd down conversions |
50.0% |
39.0% |
38.3% |
MIA |
| 4th down conversions |
25.0% |
57.1% |
50.0% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:46 |
30:37 |
30:28 |
MIA |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
MIA |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
12.6 |
9.5 |
10.0 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
19.7 |
24.1 |
22.7 |
MIA |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
6.0 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
20.6 |
21.5 |
22.7 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
MIA |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.3 |
3.7 |
6.0 |
MIA |
| Penalty yards |
35.7 |
29.7 |
51.5 |
MIA |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
4 |
2000-09-24 |
NE |
MIA |
3-10 |
MIA |
| 2000 |
17 |
2000-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
27-24 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
4 |
2001-10-07 |
NE |
MIA |
10-30 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
15 |
2001-12-22 |
MIA |
NE |
13-20 |
NE |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
NE |
MIA |
13-26 |
MIA |
| 2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2003 |
7 |
2003-10-19 |
NE |
MIA |
19-13 |
NE |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
MIA |
NE |
0-12 |
NE |
| 2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
MIA |
NE |
10-24 |
NE |
| 2004 |
15 |
2004-12-20 |
NE |
MIA |
28-29 |
MIA |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
| 2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
MIA |
NE |
28-26 |
MIA |
| 2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
MIA |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
NE |
MIA |
0-21 |
MIA |
| 2007 |
7 |
2007-10-21 |
NE |
MIA |
49-28 |
NE |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
MIA |
NE |
7-28 |
NE |
| 2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
MIA |
NE |
38-13 |
MIA |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
NE |
MIA |
48-28 |
NE |
| 2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
| 2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
NE |
MIA |
21-22 |
MIA |
| 2010 |
4 |
2010-10-04 |
NE |
MIA |
41-14 |
NE |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
NE |
MIA |
38-24 |
NE |
| 2011 |
16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2012 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
MIA |
NE |
0-28 |
NE |
| 2013 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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