Prediction: Jaguars 27, Bills 26
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 31 |
EJ Manuel |
Pass: 200, 0 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 14 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 24 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 39 |
Steve Johnson |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
| WR 59 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 83 |
Marquise Goodwin |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 21 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 3 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 4/4 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 28 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
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| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 25 |
Chad Henne |
Pass: 240, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 23 |
Jordan Todman  |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 48 |
Maurice Jones-Drew  |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 24 |
Cecil Shorts |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 50 |
Ace Sanders |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 55 |
Mike Brown |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| TE 27 |
Marcedes Lewis |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 19 |
Josh Scobee |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 29 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
 Bills Rookie QB EJ Manuel (9) needs 2 TD passes for most by Bills rookie (DENNIS SHAW, 10 in 1970). Has 1,089 passing yards with 7 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 80.5 rating vs. AFC... Bills avg. 133.6 rush yards per game, 2nd-best in AFC... RB C.J. Spiller averages 5.7 yards per carry in 2 career games vs. Jax. RB Fred Jackson (4,876) needs 124 rush yards to join HOFers THURMAN THOMAS & O.J. SIMPSON as only Bills to reach 5,000 rush yards... WR Steve Johnson (300) needs 3 catches for 6th most in franchise history (PETE METZELAARS, 302). Has 3 TD catches in 2 career games vs. Jaguars. Rookie WR Marquise Goodwin has 3 TDs of 40+ yards (40, 59, 43)... Defense has NFL-best 44 sacks... DE Mario Williams (12) needs 2.5 sacks to surpass career best of 14 in '07. DTs Marcell Dareus & Kyle Williams have career-best 7 sacks apiece in 2013... Since entering NFL in 2009, S Jairus Byrd has 22 INTs, 2nd-most in NFL.
 Jaguars Club has won 4 of past 5 games... In past 3 wins, QB Chad Henne has 4 TDs vs. 1 INT & 82.5 passer rating. Is 1-1 with 88.6 rating in 2 starts at home vs. Bills... RB Maurice Jones-Drew has 4 rush TDs in 5 career games against Buf. Jones-Drew rushed for at least 100 yards (103) for 27th time last week & Jaguars are 19-8 (.704) in such games. Is averaging 88 rush yards per game in past 3. Has 68 rush TDs, most in club annals & 2nd-most among active players (ADRIAN PETERSON, 86). Has 81 total TDs (68 rush, 11 rec. 2 return), most in Jaguars history... WR Cecil Shorts aims for 3rd straight game with TD rec. Shorts (777) needs 223 receiving yards to become 1st Jaguar to reach 1,000-yard mark since 2005 (JIMMY SMITH, 1,023). Rookie WR Ace Sanders caught 21-yard TD last week... TE Marcedes Lewis aims for 3rd consecutive game with TD reception... LB Paul Posluszny (126) has reached 100+ tackles for 6th consecutive season... DEs Jason Babin (3.5) & Andre Branch (3) have totaled 6.5 sacks in past 4... CB Alan Ball & LB Geno Hayes posted 1st INTs of season last week.
Results and Schedule
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
CAR |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 5 |
2013-10-03 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-37 |
-13 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
CIN |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
MIA |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
NO |
A |
L 17-35 |
-18 |
| 9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
H |
L 13-23 |
-10 |
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
PIT |
A |
L 10-23 |
-13 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
W 37-14 |
+23 |
| 12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
ATL |
H |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 14 |
2013-12-08 |
TB |
A |
L 6-27 |
-21 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2013-09-08 |
KC |
H |
L 2-28 |
-26 |
| 2 |
2013-09-15 |
OAK |
A |
L 9-19 |
-10 |
| 3 |
2013-09-22 |
SEA |
A |
L 17-45 |
-28 |
| 4 |
2013-09-29 |
IND |
H |
L 3-37 |
-34 |
| 5 |
2013-10-06 |
STL |
A |
L 20-34 |
-14 |
| 6 |
2013-10-13 |
DEN |
A |
L 19-35 |
-16 |
| 7 |
2013-10-20 |
SD |
H |
L 6-24 |
-18 |
| 8 |
2013-10-27 |
SF |
H |
L 10-42 |
-32 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2013-11-10 |
TEN |
A |
W 29-27 |
+2 |
| 11 |
2013-11-17 |
ARI |
H |
L 14-27 |
-13 |
| 12 |
2013-11-24 |
HOU |
A |
W 13-6 |
+7 |
| 13 |
2013-12-01 |
CLE |
A |
W 32-28 |
+4 |
| 14 |
2013-12-05 |
HOU |
H |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
| 15 |
2013-12-15 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2013-12-22 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2013-12-29 |
IND |
A |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
| |
BUF
Offense |
JAC
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
18.0 |
23.3 |
24.2 |
JAC |
| Rushing yards |
119.3 |
94.7 |
120.6 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.41 |
3.55 |
4.36 |
BUF |
| Completion % |
56.1% |
59.9% |
60.8% |
JAC |
| Passing yards |
195.3 |
192.3 |
235.2 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.03 |
9.51 |
11.04 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.63 |
5.69 |
6.71 |
JAC |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
JAC |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
30.6% |
31.5% |
38.3% |
JAC |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
75.0% |
50.0% |
JAC |
| Time of possession |
27:54 |
28:09 |
30:28 |
JAC |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
BUF
Defense |
JAC
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
24.3 |
24.7 |
24.2 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
140.3 |
81.0 |
120.6 |
JAC |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.70 |
2.93 |
4.36 |
JAC |
| Completion % |
53.8% |
60.6% |
60.8% |
BUF |
| Passing yards |
137.3 |
314.7 |
235.2 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.90 |
11.35 |
11.04 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
4.78 |
6.88 |
6.71 |
BUF |
| INT return |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
JAC |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
36.5% |
41.8% |
38.3% |
BUF |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
50.0% |
50.0% |
- |
| Time of possession |
32:06 |
31:51 |
30:28 |
JAC |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
BUF |
JAC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.4 |
7.2 |
10.0 |
JAC |
| Yards per kick return |
19.9 |
30.0 |
22.7 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
13.5 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
22.3 |
17.4 |
22.7 |
JAC |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
BUF |
JAC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.7 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
JAC |
| Penalty yards |
53.7 |
44.0 |
51.5 |
JAC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2001 |
6 |
2001-10-18 |
BUF |
JAC |
13-10 |
BUF |
| 2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
BUF |
JAC |
37-17 |
BUF |
| 2004 |
1 |
2004-09-12 |
JAC |
BUF |
13-10 |
JAC |
| 2006 |
12 |
2006-11-26 |
JAC |
BUF |
24-27 |
BUF |
| 2007 |
12 |
2007-11-25 |
BUF |
JAC |
14-36 |
JAC |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
BUF |
JAC |
20-16 |
BUF |
| 2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
BUF |
JAC |
15-18 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
5 |
2010-10-10 |
JAC |
BUF |
36-26 |
JAC |
| 2012 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
JAC |
BUF |
18-34 |
BUF |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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