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Kevin Scott | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer

Usage Notes - Week 1
9/9/19

While it is a bad idea to overreact to the statistics from one week, a playerís snap count and target count do tell us something about how he will be used going forward. In some cases, the information is irrelevant. For example, the Vikings only threw 10 passes on Sunday because they had control of the game and their defense was dominant. That will not happen regularly, if ever again this season, so it should not be given too much weight.

However, some usage information can help us, and begin to paint a picture about how a team will use a player. Here are a few pieces of data that are interesting and potentially actionable:

Christian McCaffrey

  • Christian McCaffrey played 100% of snaps. For all the talk about giving him more breathers, it is just hard to take the guy off the field.

  • Including McCaffrey, there were only 8 running backs who played 75% or more of their teamís offensive snaps: McCaffrey (100%), LeíVeon Bell (100%), David Johnson (87%), Leonard Fournette (86%), Saquon Barkley (80%), Chris Carson (77%), Marlon Mack (76%), and Austin Ekeler (75%). Those are players to target if possible, as opportunity is king.

  • Kerryon Johnson played 57% of snaps and Derrick Henry played 59% of snaps. That should scare folks away from Johnson and encourage owners of Henry to sell high. Neither has RB1 potential with that percentage of snap count, on offenses that are not dynamic.

  • Devonta Freeman and Ito Smith each played 50% of the snaps (39).That is terrible news for Freemanís stock.

  • The Tampa Bay backfield was basically a three-way split between Peyton Barber, Ronald Jones, and Dare Ogunbowale. All should be avoided unless one gets to 50% or more of snaps.

  • Mark Ingram played in only 32% of the snaps, likely because the Ravens were so far ahead. The fact that he still put up over 100 yards and two touchdowns suggests some serious upside in closer matchups.

  • Trey Quinn played 97% of the snaps for the Redskins, and Terry McLaurin played in 93%. They are the two receivers to keep an eye on, for a team who will be behind on a weekly basis.

  • Brandin Cooks did not do much this week, but he played in 92% of the Ramsí snaps. Better days are ahead.

  • Donte Moncrief played 90% of the snaps and did nothing with them, dropping multiple catchable passes. Bench him, maybe forever.

  • Mecole Hardman played 60 snaps for the Chiefs (78%). He did not have a catch, but that is telling that he was on the field for virtually every snap once Tyreek Hill left with injury. They were not prepared to use him in Week 1, but he is next on the depth chart and is a great pick up this week.

  • It is unclear who will replace Devin Funchess in the lineup after his collarbone injury. Several Colts played a similar percentage of snaps (Deon Cain 17%, Parris Campbell 29%, Zach Pascal 37%, Chester Rogers 40%). Ironically Cain has the most potential as an outside threat, but keep an eye on snap percentages in Week 2.

  • Albert Wilson is apparently not healthy; he only played 6 snaps.

  • A.J. Brown put up 100 receiving yards in only 22 snaps (43%). He is one to keep an eye on, even in a run-first offense.

  • Kyle Rudolph played in 100% of the Vikings snaps, but put up no stats. That is a function of the Vikings only throwing 10 passes, and dominating the game thoroughly. They simply didnít need to throw the ball, and wanted to control the clock instead. Rudolph will rebound!

  • T.J Hockenson played in only 73% of snaps and still dominated. I do not believe his Week 1 was a fluke. He is the next big thing at tight end.

  • David Njoku and Hunter Henry both played in over 90% of snaps, which is a great sign for their season-long upside.

  • Eric Ebron was in for 25 snaps; Jack Doyle was in for 43. Ebronís value is capped without Luck on the field.

  • Blake Bell, the number two tight end for the Chiefs, was in on 47 snaps. He could have value this season in the right matchup or situation, or if you are desperate for tight end help.

  • Mark Andrews put up a monster game (8 receptions, 108 yards, and a touchdown) and was in the game for only 43 snaps (42%). When he is on the field, he is the first place Lamar Jackson looks on many plays.

  • Likewise, Delanie Walker had a huge game but only played on 29 snaps (48%)! He is also the first read for Mariota much of the time.