This should be one of those highly productive air shows where
both DK Metcalf and Lockett crack triple-digits. Lockett has been
the less-effective of the two star receivers (13.7 FPts/G), his
lowest average since 2017 when he was the fourth option behind
Doug Baldwin, Jimmy Graham and Paul Richardson. Lockett was very
productive on just five targets last week, catching four for 115
yards. In this game he should see at least 10 targets.
Deebo Samuel is still the “big dog” in San Francisco, but Aiyuk
appears to be out of Kyle Shanahan’s early-season doghouse and
could produce solid numbers in Week 12 against a vulnerable Vikings
defense. For the season the Vikings rank 29th, allowing 41.3 FPts/G
to opposing wideouts, but since Week 7 they rank dead last allowing
48.8 FPts/G. Aiyuk averaged just 3.2 targets through Week 7, but
has averaged 6.5 targets in the four games since then and he’s
produce two 20+ point games.
I cut Moore in Week 6 when I needed a roster spot. Boy was that
dumb. Since his return from London he’s produced double-digit
points in every game including two games above 27 fantasy points.
He’s seen 7.4 targets per game and averaged 18.7 fantasy
points since Week 7. He faces a Texans’ defense which has
allowed 37.5 fantasy points for the season, but 47.4 fantasy points
per game since Week 7.
Sutton signed a big four-year contract this week, but he’s currently
in a slump having produced just 78 yards and no touchdowns over
his last three games. It’s probably not a coincidence that Jerry
Jeudy returned from his ankle injury three games ago. With Tim
Patrick and Noah Fant the Broncos have a lot of mouths to feed
and everyone gets a piece of the pie.
Golladay seemed off his game and disinterested Monday night against
Tampa Bay and it doesn’t get any easier this Sunday against
an Eagles’ pass defense ranked No. 3 against opposing wideouts.
Assuming Darius Slay plays (he left the Week 11 game in concussion
protocol) he’s shut down almost every receiver he’s
played against this season while ranking No. 5 of PFF’s
116 ranked cornerbacks. Also, quarterback Daniel Jones and the
offensive line are struggling, making Golladay a poor option.
With Julio Jones and Derrick Henry on IR, it’s pretty likely
that Bill Belichick will do his best to take Brown out of the
game with constant double teams. It’s what he does and he’s
pretty good at it. The Patriots have allowed only one receiver
to score more than 22 fantasy points all season (CeeDee Lamb).