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2024 Rookie Draft Results

By Bill Anderson | 5/8/24 |

With the NFL draft in the books, it is officially time to start the 2024 Dynasty season! Anyone who plays dynasty knows, one of the most important things you can do is hit on rookie draft picks. Hitting, or missing big on rookies can easily give you a big boost or hold you back in leagues so doing complete research before your draft is vital.

This year’s draft is a fun one, especially if you are in any kind of 2QB or Superflex league, where quarterback value is given a boost. The first round of the 2024 NFL Draft was historic, with six quarterbacks selected and the first 14 picks all being on the offensive side of the ball. This kind of action should translate well for fantasy managers and make rookie drafts as fun as ever.

One of my longer run dynasty leagues just did our rookie drafts on May 5th, so I wanted to share the results so you could use the information as a barometer to see how players are currently being valued. Our league is 12 team, Superflex with half-ppr and 4-point passing TDs. Hopefully this example of a recent draft can help get you ahead of your leaguemates and plan accordingly.

Brock Bowers

1.01 - QB Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears)
1.02 - WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (Arizona Cardinals)
1.03 - QB Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders)
1.04 - WR Malik Nabers (New York Giants)
1.05 - QB Drake Maye (New England Patriots)
1.06 - QB J.J. McCarthy (Minnesota Vikings)
1.07 - TE Brock Bowers (Las Vegas Raiders)
1.08 - WR Rome Odunze (Chicago Bears)
1.09 - WR Xavier Worthy (Kansas City Chiefs)
1.10 - WR Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars)
1.11 - WR Keon Coleman (Buffalo Bills)
1.12 - WR Ladd McConkey (Los Angeles Chargers)

Round 1 Analysis

This year’s first round is jam-packed full of potential studs at nearly every position. There is a clear tier drop after pick 8 and I have seen the first eight picks go in many different orders in SuperFlex leagues, with the same eight guys going 95% of the time.

After pick 8, there is another tier of four-to-six guys, depending on how you value Bo Nix. With the depth of talent this year, there is a case to be made to both trade up and/or trade down within the first 13 picks, depending on the value you may get.

Also important to note is some of these guys may fit a rebuilding team more, while some may help a win-now team. For example, I think Odunze will eventually be a stud but is unlikely to break out in a crowded WR room until a year or two down the road. Same with a guy like Maye who is a bit of a project and has limited weapons around him. My personal favorites from this first round include Bowers, Worthy and McConkey.

2.01 - RB Jonathon Brooks (Carolina Panthers)
2.02 - QB Bo Nix (Denver Broncos)
2.03 - RB Trey Benson (Arizona Cardinals)
2.04 - WR Xavier Legette (Carolina Panthers)
2.05 - WR Ja'Lynn Polk (New England Patriots)
2.06 - WR Ricky Pearsall (San Fransisco 49ers)
2.07 - RB Blake Corum (Los Angeles Rams)
2.08 - WR Adonai Mitchell (Indianapolis Colts)
2.09 - WR Malachi Corley (New York Jets)
2.10 - WR Troy Franklin (Denver Broncos)
2.11 - WR Roman Wilson (Pittsburgh Steelers)
2.12 - WR Javon Baker (New England Patriots)

Round 2 Analysis

Round 2 is strong on paper, especially at the wide receiver position, where some talented guys fell a bit in the NFL Draft but land in spots where they could make immediate impacts. As mentioned before, I think Brooks and Nix fall into a higher tier than the rest of the round, but the next group of guys I could see going in any order.

If I had a late 1st-round pick I would not hate trading back and picking up a few picks in this round, as the names are not quite as sexy but the opportunities are not much different, and in some cases, better. Mitchell, Corley, Franklin, and Baker all stand out to me as players that have clear opportunities and decent enough draft capital to make their shot legitimate.

Other than Brooks, the running backs in this class as mediocre, but considering the lack of talented RBs in the NFL right now, taking a stab at Benson or Corum at this stage is worth the pick.

3.01 - TE Ben Sinnott (Washington Commanders)
3.02 - QB Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons)
3.03 - RB Jaylen Wright (Miami Dolphins)
3.04 - RB Bucky Irving (Tampa Bay Bucs)
3.05 - RB MarShawn Lloyd (Green Bay Packers)
3.06 - RB Kimani Vidal (Los Angeles Chargers)
3.07 - WR Jermaine Burton (Cincinnati Bengals)
3.08 - TE Ja'Tavion Sanders (Carolina Panthers)
3.09 - WR Luke McCaffrey (Washington Commanders)
3.10 - RB Audric Estime (Denver Broncos)
3.11 - RB Ray Davis (Buffalo Bills)
3.12 - RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. (New York Giants)

Round 3 Analysis

Round 3 is always a dice roll/lotto ticket but I see more talent here than in year’s past. A very RB-heavy round for sure, but none of these guys project as starters from day 1 but all could see extensive action with any sort of injury to the players ahead of them on the depth chart.

Other than Bowers, this is not a strong TE class but you see a few selected here as both Sinnott and Sanders have the opportunity to start in their rookie year.

Tracy is a personal favorite of mine as a converted WR that looked great in his one year playing RB for Purdue. McCaffrey will get the attention because of his name but is also in a sneaky good landing spot (Washington) with a new QB and no proven threats outside of Terry McLaurin.

Final Thoughts

You never know how good a rookie draft is right away, as last year’s class looked average at best on paper but then exploded with a handful of great, and in some cases, historically good rookie seasons.

This class appears better than last year’s, but we won’t know for some time. Overall, I’d love to be in position to have a top 8 pick or trade back if I got an absolute haul in return. Whether you are competing now or looking down the road, this draft class has a lot to offer and it is one that I want to have my hand in, even if it means trading away future picks to get in.

Bottom line is do your research, and once you have your sights set on your guys, have a plan to get in the realistic positions to be able to draft them.