The Broncos have improved against the run since that ugly day
against Miami, but they still rank 32nd against opposing RBs by
a large margin, yielding 32 fantasy points a game. Since Week
6, the backfield workload has been split pretty evenly. Ford has
99 touches and two scores and Hunt has 79 touches and six scores.
Both should thrive as the team tries to take the pressure off
quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson. who is making his third
career start.
The Titans will exploit the Panthers’ weakness which is
stopping the run. As posted above, they rank 31st against opposing
running backs. After a solid string of work from Week 4-9, Henry
was horrible the past two games, both blowout losses. Henry is
game-script dependent these days, but the Titans should probably
win this one against the lowly 1-9 Panthers.
Williams is expected to return from the IR after serving his
mandatory four games to heal an ankle. On Tuesday, the Rams waived
running back Darrell Henderson making it even more likely Williams
comes back as scheduled. Williams was a workhorse early this season
(110 touches over six games) and while he may be eased into the
workhorse role again it still should be enough against the porous
Cardinals’ run defense (26.8 FPts/G to opposing backs).
Kamara averaged just 10 fantasy points in two games against the
Falcons last season and has scored one touchdown against them
in his last four meetings. Meanwhile, the Atlanta run defense
has yet to surrender a rushing touchdown to a back this season,
yielding a second-best 16 fantasy points per game to opposing
backfields. They have allowed three receiving touchdowns, so there
is some hope, but beware here.
In Week 10, Robinson finally saw a full workload (22 rushes,
one reception), but can we depend on the head coach Arthur Smith
to continue to call his number? Only one other time all season
have we seen Bijan get more than 14 carries. The Saints rank No.3
against opposing backs and don’t give up much to backs through
the air (243 yards and zero touchdowns all season).
In case you haven’t been paying attention, Zack Moss no
longer has a viable role in the Colts’ offense, except as
an insurance policy for Jonathan Taylor. So, despite the fact
Moss ranks 15th in FPts/G), his eight total touches over the past
two games should make it obvious. Moss will be an unrestricted
free agent after the season and his early season work should earn
him a starting job somewhere in 2024.
