Prediction: Colts 31, Jaguars 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Indianapolis Colts |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 3 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 19 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
RB 40 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 16 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 5-80, 1 TD |
WR 27 |
Reggie Wayne |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 70 |
Hakeem Nicks |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 23 |
Dwayne Allen |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
TE 33 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 12 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 5 |
Defense / ST |
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Jacksonville Jaguars |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 19 |
Chad Henne |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 31 |
Toby Gerhart |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 63 |
Denard Robinson |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 43 |
Cecil Shorts |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 44 |
Marqise Lee |
Rec: 3-45, 1 TD |
WR 45 |
Allen Hurns |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
TE 37 |
Clay Harbor |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 32 |
Josh Scobee |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 32 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Colts Have won 5 of past 6 on road vs. AFC South... In 4 career games vs. Jax., QB Andrew Luck has 7 total TDs (5 pass, 2 rush) with 1,079 pass yards. Has 13 TD passes in past 6 overall. Since entering NFL in 2012, leads AFC QBs with 10 rush TDs... RB Trent Richardson had 95 scrimmage yards last week (79 rush, 16 rec.). Aims for 3rd in row with rush TD vs. Jax. Last week vs. Phi., RB Ahmad Bradshaw had career-high 2 TD catches & rushed for 70 yards on 13 att. (5.4 avg.)... WR Reggie Wayne (1,018 catches; 13,692 yards) needs 7 receptions to surpass ISAAC BRUCE (1,024) for 7th all-time & 86 yards to move past HENRY ELLARD (13,777) for 10th all-time. In past 8 on road vs. Jaguars, has 65 catches for 946 yards (14.6 avg.) & 3 TDs, including 6 100-yard games. Since 2001, has NFL-best 13,692 receiving yards. In last meeting, WR T.Y. Hilton had career-highs in catches (11) & rec. yards (155). TE JACK DOYLE had 1st career TD catch last week... LB Jerrell Freeman had sack & FF in last meeting. S LaRon Landry leads team with 15 tackles.
Jaguars QB Chad Henne passed for 331 yards & TD in only career start vs. Colts. Has 5 TDs in past 3 vs. AFC South. Had 63-yard TD pass last week, 2nd-longest of career... In 8 career starts, RB Toby Gerhart averages 77.8 scrimmage yards per game (622 total; 455 rush, 167 receiving)... Jags are only NFL team this season with 3 rookies with 70+ receiving yards each (WRs Allen Hurns, Allen Robinson & Marqise Lee). Robinson led team in catches (4) & rec. yards (75) last week. In 3 career games vs. Colts, WR Cecil Shorts III has 14 catches for 246 yards (17.6 avg.) & 2 TDs, including career-long 80-yarder on 9/23/12... Defense has 8 sacks in 2014, tied for most in AFC (Tennessee)... LB Paul Posluszny has team-high 19 tackles. In 2 career games vs. Ind., DE Chris Clemons has 2 sacks & FF. DE Ryan Davis aims for 3rd in row with sack. Rookie LB Telvin Smith (Round 5, No. 144 overall) posted 1st career sack last week vs. Texans. S Winston Guy JR. recorded 2nd career sack last week.
Results and Schedule
Indianapolis Colts |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
DEN |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
2 |
2014-09-15 |
PHI |
H |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
4 |
2014-09-28 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-09 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-03 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
NE |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
Jacksonville Jaguars |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
PHI |
A |
L 17-34 |
-17 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
WAS |
A |
L 10-41 |
-31 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
IND |
H |
|
|
4 |
2014-09-28 |
SD |
A |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
IND |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-18 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
IND Offense |
JAC Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
25.5 |
13.5 |
21.8 |
IND |
Rushing yards |
111.5 |
44.5 |
116.3 |
IND |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.29 |
2.54 |
4.31 |
IND |
Completion % |
63.2% |
53.5% |
63.5% |
IND |
Passing yards |
263.0 |
182.5 |
228.5 |
IND |
Passing yards per completion |
9.56 |
9.61 |
10.27 |
JAC |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.05 |
5.14 |
6.52 |
IND |
Interceptions |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
JAC |
Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
1.5 |
6.5 |
2.2 |
IND |
3rd down conversions |
32.0% |
18.5% |
40.9% |
IND |
4th down conversions |
60.0% |
0.0% |
50.9% |
IND |
Time of possession |
31:56 |
25:07 |
30:07 |
IND |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
IND Defense |
JAC Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
30.5 |
37.5 |
21.8 |
IND |
Rushing yards |
114.5 |
168.0 |
116.3 |
IND |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.82 |
4.54 |
4.31 |
IND |
Completion % |
58.9% |
63.0% |
63.5% |
IND |
Passing yards |
295.0 |
266.5 |
228.5 |
JAC |
Passing yards per completion |
13.72 |
10.45 |
10.27 |
JAC |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.08 |
6.58 |
6.52 |
JAC |
INT return |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
JAC |
Sacks |
0.5 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
JAC |
3rd down conversions |
46.2% |
42.4% |
40.9% |
JAC |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
66.7% |
50.9% |
IND |
Time of possession |
28:04 |
34:53 |
30:07 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
IND |
JAC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.6 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
IND |
Yards per kick return |
27.0 |
24.7 |
22.5 |
IND |
Yards allowed per punt return |
4.1 |
11.0 |
8.5 |
IND |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.0 |
24.0 |
22.5 |
IND |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
IND |
JAC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
- |
Penalty yards |
57.5 |
49.5 |
59.8 |
JAC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 2 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
4 |
2000-09-25 |
JAC |
IND |
14-43 |
IND |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
IND |
JAC |
28-25 |
IND |
2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
JAC |
IND |
13-20 |
IND |
2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
JAC |
IND |
13-23 |
IND |
2003 |
10 |
2003-11-09 |
IND |
JAC |
23-28 |
JAC |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
IND |
JAC |
24-17 |
IND |
2004 |
7 |
2004-10-24 |
JAC |
IND |
27-24 |
JAC |
2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
JAC |
IND |
3-10 |
IND |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
IND |
JAC |
26-18 |
IND |
2006 |
3 |
2006-09-24 |
JAC |
IND |
14-21 |
IND |
2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
IND |
JAC |
17-44 |
JAC |
2007 |
7 |
2007-10-22 |
IND |
JAC |
29-7 |
IND |
2007 |
13 |
2007-12-02 |
JAC |
IND |
25-28 |
IND |
2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
JAC |
IND |
23-21 |
JAC |
2008 |
16 |
2008-12-18 |
IND |
JAC |
31-24 |
IND |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-13 |
JAC |
IND |
12-14 |
IND |
2009 |
15 |
2009-12-17 |
IND |
JAC |
35-31 |
IND |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
IND |
JAC |
28-31 |
JAC |
2010 |
15 |
2010-12-19 |
JAC |
IND |
24-34 |
IND |
2011 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
JAC |
IND |
17-3 |
JAC |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
IND |
JAC |
13-19 |
JAC |
2012 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
JAC |
IND |
22-17 |
JAC |
2012 |
10 |
2012-11-08 |
IND |
JAC |
27-10 |
IND |
2013 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
IND |
JAC |
37-3 |
IND |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
JAC |
IND |
10-30 |
IND |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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