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Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History



Prediction: Patriots 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 12 Tom Brady Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 33 Stevan Ridley Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
RB 34 Shane Vereen Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 6-40, 0
RB 65 Brandon Bolden Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 11 Julian Edelman Rec: 6-80, 1 TD
WR 64 Danny Amendola Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
WR 75 Kenbrell Thompkins Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
WR 96 Aaron Dobson Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 4 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 6-60, 1 TD
K 3 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 10 Defense / ST  
 
Miami Dolphins
Rank  Player Projections
QB 14 Ryan Tannehill Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 32 Knowshon Moreno Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 36 Lamar Miller Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 28 Mike Wallace Rec: 6-70, 0 TD
WR 37 Brian Hartline Rec: 4-60, 1 TD
WR 82 Brandon Gibson Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 16 Charles Clay Rec: 4-40, 1 TD
K 23 Caleb Sturgis FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 25 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Patriots Have 10+ wins in 11 consecutive seasons, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (1983-98 49ers, 16)... Head coach BILL BELICHICK (199) needs 1 win to become 6th coach in NFL history with 200 regular-season wins... QB Tom Brady has 11 division titles, most by starting QB in NFL history. Brady's 148 regular-season wins are tied for 3rd-most all-time by starting QB. For career, Brady is 17-7 vs. Dolphins & has 42 TDs vs. 20 INTs & 89.8 rating. Brady (49,149) needs 177 pass yards to surpass HOFer WARREN MOON (49,325) for 6th all-time... Since 2012, RB Stevan Ridley ranks 1st in AFC with 19 rush TDs. Averages 4.5 yards/att. (2,477 yards, 555 att.), highest avg. in club history (min. 500 att.). Has 4 rush TDs in past 4 vs. Mia... In 2013, Julian Edelman led NE in rec. (105) & rec. yards (1,056), both career-highs. Joined WES WELKER & TROY BROWN as only players in club history with 100 catches in season. In last meeting, had career-high 139 yards & 13 catches with TD. TE Rob Gronkowski has TD catch in 4 of past 5... S Devin McCourty has 2 career INTs vs. Mia. In past 4 vs. Dolphins, CB Darrelle Revis has 3 INTs, including 100-yard TD, FF & FR.

Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill had career-highs in pass yards (3,913) & TDs (24) in 2013. Has passed for 7,207 career yards, 5th-most in 1st 2 seasons in NFL history. Only Dolphins QB to pass for 3,000+ yards in each of 1st 2 career seasons. In last meeting, passed for 312 yards with 3 TDs & 0 INTs for 120.6 rating... In past 2 vs. NE, RB Lamar Miller has 173 scrim. yards (150 rush, 23 rec.)... In 4 career games vs. NE, WR Mike Wallace has 352 rec. yards (88/game) & 3 TDs. Had 105 yards & 39-yard TD catch in last meeting. WR Brian Hartline has posted 1,000+ rec. yards in back-to-back seasons & can become 1st Dolphin to do so in 3 consecutive years. Hartline (3,769) needs 231 rec. yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000 career. Aims for 7th in row with 4+ catches vs. NE... DE Cameron Wake ranks 4th in club history with 51.5 sacks & needs 5.5 to surpass TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team annals. Has 4.5 sacks in past 6 vs. NE. LB Olivier Vernon led team with 11.5 sacks in 2013. Has 5 sacks in past 6 vs. AFC East... S MICHAEL THOMAS had 1st career INT in last meeting.


Results and Schedule

New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 MIA A    
2 2014-09-14 MIN A    
3 2014-09-21 OAK H    
4 2014-09-29 KC A    
5 2014-10-05 CIN H    
6 2014-10-12 BUF A    
7 2014-10-16 NYJ H    
8 2014-10-26 CHI H    
9 2014-11-02 DEN H    
10   Bye      
11 2014-11-16 IND A    
12 2014-11-23 DET H    
13 2014-11-30 GB A    
14 2014-12-07 SD A    
15 2014-12-14 MIA H    
16 2014-12-21 NYJ A    
17 2014-12-28 BUF H    
   

Miami Dolphins
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 NE H    
2 2014-09-14 BUF A    
3 2014-09-21 KC H    
4 2014-09-28 OAK A    
5   Bye      
6 2014-10-12 GB H    
7 2014-10-19 CHI A    
8 2014-10-26 JAC A    
9 2014-11-02 SD H    
10 2014-11-09 DET A    
11 2014-11-13 BUF H    
12 2014-11-23 DEN A    
13 2014-12-01 NYJ A    
14 2014-12-07 BAL H    
15 2014-12-14 NE A    
16 2014-12-21 MIN H    
17 2014-12-28 NYJ H    

Injury Report

New England Patriots
Doubtful  TE Rob Gronkowski (other-excused)
Questionable  WR Danny Amendola (hamstring)
 RB Brandon Bolden (knee)
 CB Brandon Browner (hamstring)
 DE Michael Buchanan (ankle)
 WR Aaron Dobson (hamstring)
 SS Nate Ebner (ankle)
 TE Rob Gronkowski (knee)
 SS Duron Harmon (hamstring)
Probable  QB Tom Brady (calf)
 CB Darrelle Revis (knee)
IR  SLB Darius Fleming (knee, 8/31/2013)
 DE Will Smith (knee, 8/27/2013)
PUP  DT Jerel Worthy (knee)
   

Miami Dolphins
Out  DE Terrence Fede (knee)
 WLB Jordan Tripp (chest)
Doubtful  CB Will Davis (ankle)
Questionable  CB Walt Aikens (hand)
 FS Louis Delmas (knee)
 MLB Koa Misi (shoulder)
 TE Dion Sims (groin)
 CB Jamar Taylor (groin)
 SLB Philip Wheeler (thumb)
Probable  TE Charles Clay (knee)
 DE Dion Jordan (shoulder)
 RB Knowshon Moreno (knee)
 DE Derrick Shelby (other-illness)
 K Caleb Sturgis (groin)
 CB Jamar Taylor (hip)
 SS Jimmy Wilson (hamstring)
IR  CB Anthony Gaitor (knee, 8/26/2013)
 RB Mike Gillislee (hamstring, 8/26/2014)
 TE Arthur Lynch (back, 8/26/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Offense 
MIA
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 32.3 17.5 23.4 NE
Rushing yards 110.5 89.5 116.8 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 4.47 4.13 4.26 NE
Completion % 63.3% 58.3% 61.2% NE
Passing yards 301.0 238.0 228.9 NE
Passing yards per completion 10.93 10.29 10.71 NE
Passing yards per attempt 6.92 6.00 6.56 NE
Interceptions 0.8 1.3 1.0 NE
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.0 0.6 MIA
Sacks allowed 1.8 2.8 2.4 NE
3rd down conversions 40.5% 34.5% 38.3% NE
4th down conversions 50.0% 16.7% 50.5% NE
Time of possession 32:19 28:50 30:22 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison

  NE
 Defense 
MIA
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 25.3 19.8 23.4 MIA
Rushing yards 129.8 121.3 116.8 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 4.75 4.13 4.26 MIA
Completion % 58.3% 57.3% 61.2% MIA
Passing yards 253.5 223.5 228.9 MIA
Passing yards per completion 12.06 10.89 10.71 MIA
Passing yards per attempt 7.03 6.24 6.56 MIA
INT return 0.5 0.8 1.0 MIA
Fumble recoveries 0.5 0.3 0.6 NE
Sacks 2.8 1.8 2.4 NE
3rd down conversions 41.5% 39.2% 38.3% MIA
4th down conversions 11.1% 50.0% 50.5% NE
Time of possession 28:57 31:10 30:22 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   NE   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 8.3 7.7 9.5 NE
Yards per kick return 26.4 18.6 23.1 NE
Yards allowed per punt return 5.3 5.7 9.5 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 21.8 22.4 23.1 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison

   NE   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 4.0 5.0 5.9 NE
Penalty yards 27.5 34.8 50.2 NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2013 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 4 2000-09-24 NE MIA 3-10 MIA
2000 17 2000-12-24 MIA NE 27-24 MIA
2001 4 2001-10-07 NE MIA 10-30 MIA
2001 15 2001-12-22 MIA NE 13-20 NE
2002 5 2002-10-06 NE MIA 13-26 MIA
2002 17 2002-12-29 MIA NE 24-27 NE
2003 7 2003-10-19 NE MIA 19-13 NE
2003 14 2003-12-07 MIA NE 0-12 NE
2004 5 2004-10-10 MIA NE 10-24 NE
2004 15 2004-12-20 NE MIA 28-29 MIA
2005 10 2005-11-13 NE MIA 23-16 NE
2005 17 2006-01-01 MIA NE 28-26 MIA
2006 5 2006-10-08 MIA NE 10-20 NE
2006 14 2006-12-10 NE MIA 0-21 MIA
2007 7 2007-10-21 NE MIA 49-28 NE
2007 16 2007-12-23 MIA NE 7-28 NE
2008 3 2008-09-21 MIA NE 38-13 MIA
2008 12 2008-11-23 NE MIA 48-28 NE
2009 9 2009-11-08 MIA NE 17-27 NE
2009 13 2009-12-06 NE MIA 21-22 MIA
2010 4 2010-10-04 NE MIA 41-14 NE
2010 17 2011-01-02 MIA NE 7-38 NE
2011 1 2011-09-12 NE MIA 38-24 NE
2011 16 2011-12-24 MIA NE 24-27 NE
2012 13 2012-12-02 NE MIA 23-16 NE
2012 17 2012-12-30 MIA NE 0-28 NE
2013 8 2013-10-27 MIA NE 17-27 NE
2013 15 2013-12-15 NE MIA 20-24 MIA

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.