Prediction: Saints 31, Falcons 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 7 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 305, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 21 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-15, 0 |
RB 53 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
RB 59 |
Devonta Freeman |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 8 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 7-90, 1 TD |
WR 21 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 5-65, 1 TD |
WR 45 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
WR 89 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
TE 37 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 14 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 32 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
New Orleans Saints |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Drew Brees |
Pass: 320, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 14 |
Mark Ingram |
Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 35 |
Pierre Thomas |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
WR 18 |
Kenny Stills |
Rec: 5-75, 1 TD |
WR 26 |
Marques Colston |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 73 |
Nick Toon |
Rec: 2-35, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Jimmy Graham |
Rec: 7-75, 1 TD |
TE 42 |
Ben Watson |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 12 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
Falcons In Week 1 win vs. NO, QB Matt Ryan completed 31 of 43 (72.1 pct.) for 448 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 128.8 rating. Named NFC Off. Player of Week. Has 4,112 pass yards, 4th consecutive 4,000-yard season. Has 4 of 5 4,000-yard seasons in team history... RB Steven Jackson has 7 TDs in past 8 meetings. Has 100+ yards or TD in 5 of past 7. RB Jacquizz Rodgers had TD in Week 1... WR Julio Jones had 7 catches for 116 yards in last meeting. In his past 2, has 21 catches for 448 yards (224 per game) & 2 TDs. WR Roddy White had TD catch in last game vs. NO. WR-PR Devin Hester has 64-yard PR-TD & 55-yard rec. TD in career vs. NO. WR Harry Douglas aims for 4th in row with 100+ yards or TD... CB Desmond Trufant leads team with 14 PD. LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 127 tackles. In past 2 vs. NO, has 24 tackles. CB Robert McClain had INT in last meeting. S Kemal Ishmael leads team with 4 INTs.
Saints QB Drew Brees has won 7 of 8 starts at home vs. Atl. with 103.8 rating. Last week, completed 29 of 36 (80.6 pct.) for 375 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 137.8 rating. Has 4,358 yards, his NFL-record 9th consecutive 4,000-yard season. Since joining NO in 2006, leads NFL with 43,091 yards & 314 TDs... RB Mark Ingram rushed for 2 TDs in Week 1. Has 869 rush yards and needs 131 for 1st career 1,000-yard season. RB Pierre Thomas had 5 catches for 83 yards last week. RB Khiry Robinson had rush TD in last meeting... TE Jimmy Graham has 7 TDs in past 8 meetings. Has 4 TDs in past 3 vs. Atl. at home. Has 16 TDs in past 16 at home. Since 2011, leads NFL TEs with 343 catches, 4,289 yards & 45 TDs. WR Marques Colston aims for 4th in row at home vs. Atl. with TD. Had 5 catches for 110 yards in Week 1. TE Josh Hill had 2 TDs last week. WR Kenny Stills is 2nd on team with 781 rec. yards (Graham, 782)... LB Junior Galette has 15 sacks in past 18, incl. 2 sacks & FF last week. Has 13 sacks in past 15 at home. DE Cameron Jordan has 11 sacks in past 14 at home. S Pierre Warren had 2 INTs last week.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
L 7-29 |
-22 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
L 21-22 |
-1 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
W 29-18 |
+11 |
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
L 37-43 |
-6 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
New Orleans Saints |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
ATL |
A |
L 34-37 |
-3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
MIN |
H |
W 20-9 |
+11 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
DAL |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
TB |
H |
W 37-31 |
+6 |
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
DET |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
GB |
H |
W 44-23 |
+21 |
9 |
2014-10-30 |
CAR |
A |
W 28-10 |
+18 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
SF |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CIN |
H |
L 10-27 |
-17 |
12 |
2014-11-24 |
BAL |
H |
L 27-34 |
-7 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
PIT |
A |
W 35-32 |
+3 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 10-41 |
-31 |
15 |
2014-12-15 |
CHI |
A |
W 31-15 |
+16 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
TB |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
NO Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
25.0 |
23.0 |
21.7 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
96.0 |
109.3 |
111.0 |
NO |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.78 |
4.46 |
4.16 |
NO |
Completion % |
66.9% |
70.6% |
62.1% |
NO |
Passing yards |
295.0 |
288.0 |
229.0 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
11.18 |
10.23 |
10.71 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.48 |
7.22 |
6.65 |
ATL |
Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
NO |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
ATL |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
ATL |
3rd down conversions |
46.9% |
43.6% |
38.7% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
50.0% |
46.5% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
30:07 |
29:46 |
30:05 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
NO Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
22.0 |
30.0 |
21.7 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
101.3 |
167.5 |
111.0 |
ATL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.42 |
5.70 |
4.16 |
ATL |
Completion % |
64.1% |
59.0% |
62.1% |
NO |
Passing yards |
303.8 |
216.3 |
229.0 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
12.49 |
12.31 |
10.71 |
NO |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.00 |
7.27 |
6.65 |
NO |
INT return |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
ATL |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
47.1% |
47.6% |
38.7% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
25.0% |
46.5% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
29:53 |
31:41 |
30:05 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
NO |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
21.8 |
11.6 |
8.6 |
ATL |
Yards per kick return |
24.0 |
24.3 |
23.2 |
NO |
Yards allowed per punt return |
14.6 |
3.2 |
8.6 |
NO |
Yards allowed per kick return |
18.6 |
28.0 |
23.2 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
NO |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.0 |
5.0 |
6.5 |
- |
Penalty yards |
38.3 |
39.3 |
54.6 |
ATL |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
8 |
2000-10-22 |
NO |
ATL |
21-19 |
NO |
2000 |
16 |
2000-12-17 |
ATL |
NO |
7-23 |
NO |
2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
ATL |
NO |
20-13 |
ATL |
2001 |
13 |
2001-12-09 |
NO |
ATL |
28-10 |
NO |
2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
ATL |
NO |
37-35 |
ATL |
2002 |
11 |
2002-11-17 |
NO |
ATL |
17-24 |
ATL |
2003 |
7 |
2003-10-19 |
NO |
ATL |
45-17 |
NO |
2003 |
11 |
2003-11-16 |
ATL |
NO |
20-23 |
NO |
2004 |
12 |
2004-11-28 |
NO |
ATL |
21-24 |
ATL |
2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
ATL |
NO |
13-26 |
NO |
2005 |
6 |
2005-10-16 |
ATL |
NO |
34-31 |
ATL |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-12 |
NO |
ATL |
17-36 |
ATL |
2006 |
3 |
2006-09-25 |
ATL |
NO |
3-23 |
NO |
2006 |
12 |
2006-11-26 |
NO |
ATL |
31-13 |
NO |
2007 |
7 |
2007-10-21 |
ATL |
NO |
16-22 |
NO |
2007 |
14 |
2007-12-10 |
NO |
ATL |
34-14 |
NO |
2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
NO |
ATL |
20-34 |
ATL |
2008 |
14 |
2008-12-07 |
ATL |
NO |
25-29 |
NO |
2009 |
8 |
2009-11-02 |
ATL |
NO |
27-35 |
NO |
2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
NO |
ATL |
26-23 |
NO |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
ATL |
NO |
27-24 |
ATL |
2010 |
16 |
2010-12-27 |
NO |
ATL |
17-14 |
NO |
2011 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
NO |
ATL |
26-23 |
NO |
2011 |
16 |
2011-12-26 |
ATL |
NO |
16-45 |
NO |
2012 |
10 |
2012-11-11 |
ATL |
NO |
27-31 |
NO |
2012 |
13 |
2012-11-29 |
NO |
ATL |
13-23 |
ATL |
2013 |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
ATL |
NO |
17-23 |
NO |
2013 |
12 |
2013-11-21 |
NO |
ATL |
17-13 |
NO |
2014 |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
ATL |
34-37 |
ATL |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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