Prediction: Patriots 30, Lions 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Detroit Lions |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 10 |
Matthew Stafford |
Pass: 310, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 26 |
Joique Bell |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 35 |
Reggie Bush |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 45 |
Theo Riddick |
Rush: 0, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
WR 4 |
Calvin Johnson |
Rec: 8-105, 1 TD |
WR 25 |
Golden Tate |
Rec: 5-75, 1 TD |
WR 82 |
Corey Fuller |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 22 |
Eric Ebron |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 22 |
Matt Prater |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 24 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 4 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 310, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 23 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 5-35, 0 |
RB 32 |
Jonas Gray |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 62 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 27 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 40 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 85 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-75, 1 TD |
TE 23 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 14 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Lions QB Matthew Stafford has 2,760 yards (306.7 per game) & 19 TDs in past 9 vs. AFC. Reached 20,000 pass yards (20,136) in 71st game last week, fastest in NFL history. Since 2011, ranks 2nd in NFL with 17,334 pass yards... RB Reggie Bush had 113 rush yards in 12/24/11 game at NE (with Mia.). RB Theo Riddick has rec. TD in 3 of past 4... WR Calvin Johnson has 14 rec. TDs in past 15 vs. AFC. Has 91 catches for 1,634 yards (116.7 per game) & 12 TDs in past 14 vs. AFC. Since 2011, leads NFL with 5,657 rec. yards & 106.7 rec. yards per game. In past 7, WR Golden Tate has 52 catches for 749 yards (107 per game) & 3 TDs, incl. 5 100-yard games. Has 26 catches for 359 yards (119.7 per game) & TD in past 3 vs. AFC... LB DeAndre Levy leads team with 96 tackles. Has 7 INTs since 2013, most by NFL LB. DT Ndamukong Suh had sack in only meeting. In past 5, DE EZEKIEL ANSAH has 4.5 sacks & 3 FFs. Last week, LB Josh Bynes & CB Cassius Vaughn each had INT.
Patriots Aim for 7th consecutive win... In last meeting, QB Tom Brady completed 21 of 27 passes (77.8 pct.) for 341 yards & 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 158.3 rating... Last week, RB Jonas Gray rushed for career-high 201 yards & tied single-game club record with 4 TDs (RANDY MOSS, 4 TD catches on 11/18/07). In 3 starts in 2014, RB Shane Vereen has 226 scrimmage yards (91 rush, 135 rec.) & 2 TD catches... In past 6, TE Rob Gronkowski has 40 catches for 587 yards & 6 TDs. Has 5 TDs in past 3. Since entering NFL in 2010, leads league with 51 TD catches. Last week, surpassed BEN COATES (50) & RANDY MOSS (50) for most TD rec. in Pats history. WR Julian Edelman had 81 scrimmage yards last week (50 rec., 31 rush). WR Brandon LaFell has 5 TDs in past 7. TE Tim Wright has 4 TDs in past 6, incl. 2-yarder vs. Colts... LB Akeem Ayers has sack in 2 of past 3 since joining NE in Week 8. In past 5, LB Rob Ninkovich has 4 sacks, INT & FR. S Devin McCourty had 2 INTs (tied for career-high) in last meeting. Had INT last week vs. Colts.
Results and Schedule
Detroit Lions |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-08 |
NYG |
H |
W 35-14 |
+21 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CAR |
A |
L 7-24 |
-17 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
GB |
H |
W 19-7 |
+12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
NYJ |
A |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
BUF |
H |
L 14-17 |
-3 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIN |
A |
W 17-3 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
NO |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
ATL |
A |
W 22-21 |
+1 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
MIA |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
ARI |
A |
L 6-14 |
-8 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
NE |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-27 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
TB |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
GB |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
W 42-20 |
+22 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
DET Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
19.7 |
40.7 |
22.7 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
73.7 |
83.7 |
107.4 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.36 |
3.83 |
4.04 |
NE |
Completion % |
59.9% |
67.7% |
62.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
245.7 |
312.7 |
242.1 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
10.58 |
11.82 |
11.04 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.34 |
8.00 |
6.85 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
3.3 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
34.3% |
53.0% |
39.6% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
100.0% |
46.3% |
NE |
Time of possession |
31:28 |
30:39 |
30:11 |
DET |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
DET Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
17.0 |
22.0 |
22.7 |
DET |
Rushing yards |
64.0 |
88.0 |
107.4 |
DET |
Rushing yards per attempt |
2.87 |
3.98 |
4.04 |
DET |
Completion % |
66.5% |
60.1% |
62.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
232.3 |
267.3 |
242.1 |
DET |
Passing yards per completion |
9.87 |
11.77 |
11.04 |
DET |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.56 |
7.07 |
6.85 |
DET |
INT return |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
DET |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
37.1% |
43.9% |
39.6% |
DET |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
25.0% |
46.3% |
NE |
Time of possession |
28:32 |
29:21 |
30:11 |
DET |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
DET |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.0 |
14.7 |
8.8 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
25.0 |
22.1 |
24.1 |
DET |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.0 |
6.5 |
8.8 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.4 |
21.2 |
24.1 |
NE |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
DET |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
8.7 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
78.7 |
59.0 |
53.5 |
NE |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
13 |
2000-11-23 |
NE |
DET |
9-34 |
DET |
2002 |
13 |
2002-11-28 |
NE |
DET |
20-12 |
NE |
2006 |
13 |
2006-12-03 |
DET |
NE |
21-28 |
NE |
2010 |
12 |
2010-11-25 |
NE |
DET |
45-24 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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