Prediction: Patriots 24, Dolphins 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
Miami Dolphins |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 17 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 26 |
Lamar Miller  |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 38 |
Daniel Thomas |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 22 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
WR 32 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 46 |
Brandon Gibson |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
TE 10 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
K 19 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 9 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 8 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 43 |
Brandon Bolden |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0 |
WR 26 |
Danny Amendola  |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
WR 31 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
WR 33 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 58 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-80, 1 TD |
K 6 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 5 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
Dolphins Club is 2-1 on road this season... QB Ryan Tannehill (4,871) needs 129 yards to reach 5,000 career. Had career-best 3 TD passes last week. Team is 8-1 when he has 90+ rating... Offense rushed for season-best 120 yards vs. Buf. last week...RB DANIELTHOMAS averaged season-best 5 yards per carry vs. Buf... WR Mike Wallace has 15 receptions for 206 yards (13.7 avg.) with 2 TDs in 2 career games vs. NE. 18 of WR Brandon Gibson's 29 catches this season have been for 1st downs. Gibson tied career-high with 2 TD receptions last week. 3 of WR Brian Hartline's 4 career games with 100+ receiving yards have been on road... TE Charles Clay aims for 4th straight game with TD catch... DE Cameron Wake has 5.5 sacks in 8 career games vs. NE. DT Randy Starks has 25 sacks with Mia., most by Dolphins DT... LB Olivier Vernon seeks 4th game in row with sack. LB Philip Wheeler leads team with 43 tackles... S Chris Clemons posted 1st INT of season last week.
Patriots Aim for 14th straight win vs. AFC East at home... Seek 5th straight win at home vs. Mia... Since '10, Patriots are 24-3 (.889) at home... QB Tom Brady (342) needs TD pass to surpass HOFer FRAN TARKENTON (342) for 4th-most in NFL history. In past 6 wins vs. Mia., Brady has passed for 1,695 yards with 11 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 102.4 rating. Passed for career-best 517 yards vs. Dolphins on 9/12/11... RB Stevan Ridley has 3 rush TDs in past 2 games vs. Mia. RB Brandon Bolden posted 1st rush TD of season last week... TE Rob Gronkowski (114) registered 10th 100-yard receiving game of career last week, most by TE in franchise history. Gronkowski (195) needs 5 catches to reach 200 career. Has 3 TD receptions in past 4 vs. Mia. Since 2011, Gronkowski has 28 TD rec., most among NFL TEs... WR-PR Julian Edelman has career-best in catches (46) & rec. yards (455) in' 13. Edelman had 94-yard PR-TD vs. Mia. on 1/2/11... Defense has forced turnover in 34 consecutive games, longest active streak in NFL... DE Chandler Jones has career-best 6.5 sacks in 2013... Rookie DT CHRIS JONES had career-high 2 sacks last week. Ranks 1st among NFL rookies with 3.5 sacks... S Steve Gregory had INT in last game vs. Mia... Rookie CB Logan Ryan had 79-yard INT-return TD last week.
Results and Schedule
Miami Dolphins |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-10 |
+13 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
IND |
A |
W 24-20 |
+4 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
ATL |
H |
W 27-23 |
+4 |
4 |
2013-09-30 |
NO |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
BAL |
H |
L 23-26 |
-3 |
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
NE |
A |
|
|
9 |
2013-10-31 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
10 |
2013-11-11 |
TB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2013-11-17 |
SD |
H |
|
|
12 |
2013-11-24 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
NE |
H |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
MIA Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
22.7 |
23.3 |
23.0 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
102.0 |
111.3 |
109.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.62 |
4.07 |
4.09 |
MIA |
Completion % |
60.2% |
55.4% |
61.1% |
MIA |
Passing yards |
227.7 |
205.0 |
242.9 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
10.58 |
10.09 |
11.03 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.37 |
5.59 |
6.74 |
MIA |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
4.7 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
34.4% |
28.2% |
37.8% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
42.9% |
43.4% |
NE |
Time of possession |
26:40 |
28:29 |
48:41 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
MIA Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
24.0 |
18.3 |
23.0 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
118.7 |
129.8 |
109.1 |
MIA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.80 |
4.05 |
4.09 |
MIA |
Completion % |
64.1% |
54.0% |
61.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
265.7 |
212.8 |
242.9 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
11.63 |
11.71 |
11.03 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.46 |
6.32 |
6.74 |
NE |
INT return |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
MIA |
Sacks |
2.3 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
44.6% |
40.6% |
37.8% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
14.3% |
43.4% |
MIA |
Time of possession |
33:20 |
31:30 |
48:41 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
MIA |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
4.5 |
11.7 |
9.0 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
27.0 |
24.1 |
24.2 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.1 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
26.8 |
21.3 |
24.2 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
MIA |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
3.3 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
23.3 |
51.5 |
55.8 |
MIA |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 2 to 7 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 2 to 7 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
4 |
2000-09-24 |
NE |
MIA |
3-10 |
MIA |
2000 |
17 |
2000-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
27-24 |
MIA |
2001 |
4 |
2001-10-07 |
NE |
MIA |
10-30 |
MIA |
2001 |
15 |
2001-12-22 |
MIA |
NE |
13-20 |
NE |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
NE |
MIA |
13-26 |
MIA |
2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
2003 |
7 |
2003-10-19 |
NE |
MIA |
19-13 |
NE |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
MIA |
NE |
0-12 |
NE |
2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
MIA |
NE |
10-24 |
NE |
2004 |
15 |
2004-12-20 |
NE |
MIA |
28-29 |
MIA |
2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
MIA |
NE |
28-26 |
MIA |
2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
MIA |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
NE |
MIA |
0-21 |
MIA |
2007 |
7 |
2007-10-21 |
NE |
MIA |
49-28 |
NE |
2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
MIA |
NE |
7-28 |
NE |
2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
MIA |
NE |
38-13 |
MIA |
2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
NE |
MIA |
48-28 |
NE |
2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
NE |
MIA |
21-22 |
MIA |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-04 |
NE |
MIA |
41-14 |
NE |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
2011 |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
NE |
MIA |
38-24 |
NE |
2011 |
16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
2012 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
MIA |
NE |
0-28 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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